Breadth Indicators
Idk This Company, But It Is Acting Strange My first target price is 1.75 and that is the only target I am looking at, for the moment.
I am seeing unusual price action and volume imbalances. This can be whipsawed in either direction so be careful!
GPBJPY BEARISHPrevious high was not broken but price created a new low. Based on trend line, price will retest previous high and trendline and sell off from there.
Potential Short Opportunity for GE Aerospace (GE)GE Aerospace (GE) may be a good short opportunity here, as the hourly chart shows some nice negative divergence within a nice-looking rising wedge formation. If Ge breaks the wedge, short-term support will be around the $205 level. If they break that level, then I would be watching that $199.13 support level. If $199.13 were to fail, I would then watch to see if we could get a third reaction on the possible rising trend line highlighted in light blue.
PEPSIIII - Long Term Super Over Sold ConditionsThis play does not make the much sense to me via a fundamental perspective regarding the economic outlook of companies like PEPSI, Coke and $KO. But, from an investment standpoint, they control the food/drink market and have seen stagnant numbers and low growth regarding there products. Our new leader RFK Jr. in the food industry might start a complete overhaul of the products forcing these companies to rethink there targeted audiences/ marketing campaigns and adapt to this generations pallet.
Short term it needs to build more structure and a foundation, on the other hand watch out for a V shaped reversal in the coming weeks.
Target #1 - $155
Target #2 - $160
Target #3 - $170
Stop Loss - $140
Stay tuned for option position longs, I will personally be investing money in them as well.
Brazil Stocks are Heating Up...I am seeing a huge volume profile imbalance at $10 and above.
I think this stock along with TSXV:XL will pop short/long term.
Target #1 - $10
Target #2 - $12
Watch for a pop and retest of the trend line for continuation.
Heavy Volume Build Up! Little Double Dip?Seen in the volume profile levels to the left, there is a large volume displacements and price looks like it wants $110 this week.
High amounts of calls at the $110 strike expiring 1/10. Its only right lol.
Large volume on the $130 & $150 strikes expiring 1/17
Price targets:
#1
$110 by end of week
#2
$120
#3
$140
Everyone wants $20, Here are my thoughts...Making this without looking at earnings numbers or there so called growth.
From what I am seeing in relative strength, $15 is the fair value price at the moment.
I am expecting to see a gap down to the $15 area and have it slowly or quickly climb to $20-$25.
If the inverse plays out, we will gap up to $20-$25 and then flash sell to $15 long term.
Right now, options market is wanting.
$20 for calls expiring 1-31.
$18 for calls expiring 2-07.
$17 for calls expiring 2-14.
BUT... a very large position of puts, expiring 02-28, is at the $12.5 strike.
I look at this as retail buying short term options expecting price to move there, while institutions have positioned themselves in longer term expiring contracts.
BITCOIN SITS ON CRITICAL BULL MARKET SUPPORT!!!Good day Traders and investors,
Bitcoin at the moment is sitting above VERY CRITICAL Bull market support band. In my opinion, this support needs to hold it there is going to be another leg up.
I want to add this is likely the last time it will hold this line as support. It will not play such a big roll in the future other possibly serving as resistance to the tops or top.
Please keep in mind I as talking about closing above support, so... yes it can wick down. Weekly and monthly closes are very important. If this level is lost with a monthly close, then I would call t his bull run over. Yes, it's that important.
The top shows the entire trend line, and on the bottom is the same line, just zoomed in o the daily.
Please feel free to ask or add anything down below
like and share. Follow me on other socials linked in the BIO.
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
OM: the most resilient crypto asset todayI'm setting up a buy trigger for OM. Among the crypto assets I track, this one has shown remarkable resilience. During today's market drop, most assets pulled back to the 200-period moving average, with even major market cap leaders like ETH and BNB breaking well below this key support level intraday. In contrast, OM remained strong, with its deepest decline barely dipping below the 20-period moving average.
Today's sharp market recovery indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, which is an undeniably bullish signal. However, given the market's recent streak of failed breakout attempts, I plan to approach this setup with caution.
I'm taking a modest position in OM if the trigger is activated. Due to the relatively wide stop-loss (-32%), I will allocate only 3% of my portfolio, limiting potential downside risk to -1%. On the upside, if the trade performs well, the projected return is 160%, translating to a +4,8% portfolio gain.
Bitcoin | 60-Day OutlookYou may wonder, where did I get this price path prediction from?
I audited the entire chart of bitcoin from when it was created to now.
Compared every top, bottom and consolidation move to present. The one you see here does not accurately predict the EXACT price it rejects, supports from BUT, it has predicted the last few months of price action for me so far.
First target is FWB:88K
Second target is $85K-$84K then a bounce back to $105K and a drop.
For the next few months, Bitcoin is going to be volatile and consolidate during its top formation.
Charging Stations, Reduced Rates and Politics.With the future of the car industry looking dark and bright at the same time, HTZ has been over sold and bullied hard since its last pump with tesla ect.
My long term target I know it will hit is $8 over the next year.
I rarely call on meme stocks but no one is seeing this one coming ;)
Multiple Different Outcomes I Wanted to Share.I think its finally time for PLTR to seek some downside.
I put the four down move outcomes I think will happen and a few for upside peaks. We are stalling out on PLTR and the dont even get me started on the earnings/finacial side of the company versus its price.
Next weeks bear target is 75-70 and longer term is 60.
Bull case for this stock is 100. But I highly doubt it.
Big Bets Coming In, Negative Gamma Clusters Here We Come!I have been waiting to call this one for months. Predicted the downfall of MSTR and now I want a dead cat bounce or short term rally again.
After large positions and option contract plays are placed/bought, it can take time for the bottom to form and the price to move. I can see potential downside to $290-$289 and then we bounce ORRRRRR if we break through 290-289 with strong downside, next target is $262.
IF WE LOSE 290, its very very bad for the stock longer term.
First target is $320
Second target is $340
Meta: Tight Range at Old HighsMeta Platforms jumped last month and now some traders may see opportunity in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $595.94 level. It was the record closing price on October 4 and near the top of the range in subsequent weeks. META rallied above it in early December and retreated to hold the same range in the second half of last month. Has old resistance become new support?
The stabilization is also occurring near the 50-day simple moving average. That may reflect a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Third, the social-media giant ended Friday above its 21-day exponential moving average. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Next, stochastics are turning up from an oversold condition.
Finally, shaded boxes mark two interesting weekly patterns. The December 23-27 period saw prices remain within the previous candle. That bullish “inside week” was followed by bullish “outside week” December 30-January 3. That could also suggest that buyers are gaining the upper hand.
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People sold for taxes. NOW, back to 100K before Jan 21stMy orange support lines held firmly, MSTR closed at my exact support yesterday and we are set up for a push higher before our new Pres takes office on the 21st.
Price target is 100K before 01/21/2025 and then an argument for a potential bearish head and shoulders is on the table. Which plays out perfectly because all of retail will be so hyped for trumps pro crypto administration, that bullish retail buying could trigger another pull back down.
Be ready for A LOT of whip saws and volatility. Buy the rumor and SELL THE NEWS.
Ascending CloudThe cloud is rising and we have corrected half of the rise since September. Thus a rise to test the previous high may be expected which may result in a Fionacci retracement of the December fall at least,
Holy Cow, A lot of Big Option Purchases Coming In!First price target for January is $90 and it could happen soon.
Be careful as spike downs tend to have a lower low formed prior to reversal, this would create bullish divergence on RSI, MACD and more which is another to double down.
Options chain for calls expiring 1/10/2025 show the $90 strike has 1,522 calls bought on Friday at .87 per contract.
Not huge, bot overall the bias on NVO is buy the dip. long term target of well over 100
Time to long it!!!I have no back ground info on this ticker once again and am only going based on technicals.
All indicators point to a pump for about 10-15%. RSI, MACD and my other breathe indicators are pointing up for bullish movement.
Price target 1 is 52
DJI Hits Weekly Support: What's Next? - Market Breadth AnalysisThe DJI has recently declined as previously predicted and has now completed a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a bearish trend. The index has reached a significant weekly support zone around the 42,500 level (🟩 marked by the green box).
So, what’s next? 🤔
Looking at the H1 chart, we notice some interesting market breadth outlook:
- US30 Market Breadth EMA20 Indicator:
The EMA histogram has shifted from 🟩 green to 🟨 yellow, indicating an increasing number of stocks with strong bullish momentum.
However, the height of the histogram (yellow) bars 📉 is decreasing, suggesting that the overall number of stocks with strong bullish momentum is also diminishing.
- Market Breadth MACD Indicator:
The 🔴 red line (representing strongly bearish stocks) is clearly declining, showing a reduction in the number of stocks with strong downward momentum.
Meanwhile, the 🔵 blue line is increasing significantly, suggesting that many stocks are reversing upward even within a bearish momentum.
The 🟢 green line, which represents strongly bullish stocks, is climbing but still lacks the strength to signal a decisive shift. A significant breakout would require the green line to rise further, confirming a stronger bullish momentum across a larger number of stocks.
- Market Breadth EMA Alignment:
The 🔴 red line crossed above the 🟢 green line quite some time ago and continues to widen. This suggests that a bullish crossover (green crossing above red) is unlikely in the near term. A confirmed bullish signal would require the green line to overtake the red line again.
- Summary:
While there are early signs of potential reversal, the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to suggest a significant upward breakout. It’s crucial to monitor whether the 🟢 green line in the MACD and US30 Market Breadth EMA20 indicators can rise substantially, indicating a larger number of stocks gaining solid bullish momentum.
⚠️ Until then, the uptrend remains weak, and caution is warranted. While DJI might retest previous highs, breaking past those highs to form new all-time highs seems challenging at this point.
Strategy: Given the current conditions, it might be more advantageous to look for shorting opportunities. 📉
How to Identify Market Downtrends Without Fundamentals🔍 A Fundamental Perspective
On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 4.25%–4.5%. However, their guidance suggested a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, with projections of only two reductions instead of four as previously expected.
This cautious stance, driven by lingering inflation concerns and a resilient labor market, triggered a sharp market sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummeted over 1,100 points, recording its steepest single-day drop since 1974.
🔍 Market Breadth: A Technical Perspective
If you’re not tracking fundamental events, Market Breadth indicators can offer valuable insights into market trends and the health of the index.
1️⃣ US30 Market Breadth EMA 20
The histogram bars in yellow reflect the number range of stocks in the DJIA with strong uptrends. Recently, the height of these bars has been steadily declining, signaling that fewer stocks are maintaining bullish trends.
2️⃣ Market Breadth MACD
Conversely, the red line of the MACD indicator, which represents stocks in a strong downtrend, has been rising. This divergence indicates that bearish momentum is building across the market.
3️⃣ Market Breadth EMA Alignment
The red line crossing above the green line in this indicator confirms a strong downtrend, providing additional evidence of bearish dominance.
📈 Price Action Analysis
The price has broken below the ascending channel, which further supports the bearish case. Combining this with signals from the Market Breadth indicators strengthens the probability of a sustained downtrend in the DJIA.
✅ Key Takeaway
By analyzing Market Breadth and combining technical indicators, you can gauge the market's strength even if you're not following the fundamentals. As DJIA breaks below critical technical levels, traders should exercise caution and watch for further confirmation of bearish trends.
Future Outlook with StochRSI and OBV
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I used TradingView's index chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
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(BTCUSD 1M chart)
OBV is showing an upward breakout of the High Line.
Accordingly, we should look at how the High Line is expressed when the candle of the next month is created.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above 50 points, and has changed to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we should look at whether it will maintain the current state and show an upward trend.
Looking at the movement of the indicators on the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
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(1W chart)
There is some ambiguity in analyzing BTC due to the movement of the 1W chart.
The StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point, and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
As of now, the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, I think the pressure for a decline is increasing as time goes by.
The OBV indicator has risen above the high line.
Accordingly, if a high line is created next week, we should see if it enters the high line.
If so, BTC is expected to show a downward trend.
However, the StochRSI and OBV indicators cannot tell the extent of the decline.
Therefore, if the decline begins, there is a possibility that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator will be touched.
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(1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 101197.25.
Accordingly, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must rise above 101197.25 to maintain it.
The OBV indicator is near the high line.
Accordingly, when it rises above 101197.25, we need to see if the OBV indicator breaks through the high line upward.
The StochRSI indicator is below 50, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we need to see if it rises above 50 points and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and is maintained.
If not, and BTC falls below 95961.82, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, then the important issue is whether there is support near that indicator.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period around December 3, it is important to see whether the price can be maintained near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0 until the next volatility period.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while moving sideways unless it falls below 95904.28.
The key point is what I said on the BTCUSDT 1D chart.
If it rises above the BW(100) indicator point of 101109.59 and maintains the price, and if the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a possibility that it will rise further.
However, as I mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the StochRSI EMA indicator on the 1W chart is approaching the 100 point, so it will eventually show a downward trend.
As explained in the big picture below, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until the end of 2025.
Therefore, I think that even if there is a short-term decline or a downward trend this time, it will eventually rise above the current price.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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US30 Bullish Swing Setup Using Market Breadth EMA AlignmentKey Observations
✅ Support at Key Levels:
The price has approached the lower Bollinger Band (~44,579), a zone that historically attracts buyers. This area often signals oversold conditions and potential for a reversal.
✅ Market Breadth Confirmation:
Our proprietary Market Breadth EMA Alignment tool shows a stable bullish breadth value of 10 stocks, with bearish breadth limited to 5 stocks, suggesting that bullish momentum may resume soon.
✅ Candlestick Support Formation:
Recent candlesticks near the lower Bollinger Band indicate rejection of further downside, forming a potential support base for a short-term reversal.
Swing Trade Setup
Entry Plan:
Aggressive Entry: Enter near the lower Bollinger Band (~44,579) with tight risk management.
Conservative Entry: Enter long on a confirmed close above the mid-Bollinger Band (~44,634) for additional confirmation.
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (T1): Mid-Bollinger Band (~44,634).
Target 2 (T2): Upper Bollinger Band (~45,034).
Indicator Insight
This analysis uses the Market Breadth EMA Alignment tool to quantify bullish and bearish momentum across US30 components. By observing the alignment of bullish versus bearish stocks, traders gain additional insight into market sentiment.
Risk Disclaimer:
⚠️ This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly and use appropriate risk management techniques.
Access to the Script:
This idea incorporates an invite-only script. If you’d like to learn more about the script’s functionality or request access, please message me directly.
