CoinMarketCap chart and correlation with BTC
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(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a downward trend along the medium- to long-term downtrend line.
The decline in USDT dominance can be interpreted as an upward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, if it remains below 4.91 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter a bull market.
The coin market is expected to show a major bull market until 2025.
At this time, the USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 3.42 and then rise, causing the coin market to enter a bear market.
Therefore, a major bear market is expected in 2026.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
You might think that it would be good if it continued to rise in a bull market, but in reality, that is not the case.
The reason is that if the price continues to rise, you have to buy more money.
Therefore, it will show a pattern of falling when appropriate and rising again when appropriate.
As I mentioned earlier, 2025 is a major bull market, so it will eventually show a rising pattern.
So, when should we buy and when should we sell?
It would be nice if we could know this a little bit faster, but we can never know.
Currently, BTC is renewing its ATH, so it is even more difficult to predict the movement.
Therefore, we can only predict it through predictable chart analysis techniques.
Among them, the method I use is to predict and respond to the high point using the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the DOM (DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM) indicator using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The DOM indicator indicates the end of the high and low points, and the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are used to establish a basic trading strategy.
The sky blue (#00bcd4) arrow is generated, indicating that the DOM (60) indicator is likely to be generated soon.
In other words, it means that the end of the high point is becoming more likely.
When the DOM(60) indicator is created, there is a high possibility of resistance, so the price is likely to fall.
Therefore, you should think about a countermeasure for the decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, since 2025 is expected to show a major uptrend, it is recommended to sell in installments at an appropriate level to preserve profits.
The reason is that we cannot know how far it will fall.
The start of a full-scale decline is likely to begin when it falls below the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls after the DOM(60) indicator is created, we should observe whether a new HA-High indicator is created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support in the vicinity.
If a new HA-High indicator is not created, it is likely to fall to the current HA-High indicator location of 73499.86.
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A trend line has been formed between highs, but a trend line between lows has not yet been formed.
Therefore, it is difficult to predict how far it will fall once the decline begins.
In the 2025 bull market, BTC is expected to rise to around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
Therefore, we should also consider countermeasures for this.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
When will the altcoin bull market start?
I think the timing is when BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline.
I think the rising BTC dominance means that the funds flowing into the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
Therefore, we should consider that a market for trading BTC has been formed.
If BTC dominance fails to fall below the 55.01-62.47 range, BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 73.63-77.07.
At this time, it is highly likely that it will encounter strong resistance and begin to decline.
Since it has not fallen below the mid- to long-term trend line, it seems likely that it will continue to rise.
In order to eventually turn into a downtrend, BTC dominance must fall below 60.
If not, I think it will be difficult to expect an uptrend in altcoins.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until July 11.
Therefore, the key issue is whether there is support near 111696.21.
If there is support at the 111696.21 point, it is expected to rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
If not, we need to check whether there is support near 108316.90.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, three conditions must be met to break through the 111696.21 point upward.
- The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend with K>D,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator is showing an upward trend (if possible, above the 0 point),
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is maintained above the High Line,
If the above conditions are met, I said that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend from the 111696.21 point.
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The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, we need to see if it can be maintained above 111696.21 until the next volatility period.
If it fails, we need to check if it is supported above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, near 108316.90.
If not, it is likely to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or near 99705.62.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend, and if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
That is, we can see that the support around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section will be important turning points for the future trend.
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On the USDT dominance chart, it seems likely that August 3rd will be the volatility period.
Looking at the BTC chart, it seems likely that August 2nd to 5th (August 1st to 6th) will be the pre-movement for the volatility period of August 1st to 6th.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Breadth Indicators
Resistance zone: 3265.0-3321.30
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward breakout of the important zone of 2419.83-2706.15.
We need to see if the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 (2788.93).
If so, it is expected to rise to the resistance zone of 3265.0-3321.30.
The important zone of 2419.83-2706.15 is the support and resistance zone that can lead to a full-fledged uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls below this zone, we should stop trading and watch the situation.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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What is the key that makes you start trading?
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HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Therefore, they are determined by Heikin-Ashi's Open, Close, and RSI values.
If the RSI indicator value is above 70 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-High indicator is generated.
If the RSI indicator value is below 30 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-Low indicator is generated.
Therefore, rather than judging the rise and fall with your eyes, you can judge the rise and fall transitions with more specific criteria.
If you look at a regular chart, you can see that there are many rise and fall transition points, unlike the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The Heikin-Ashi chart has the effect of reducing fakes.
Therefore, it has a higher reliability than judging with a regular chart.
The biggest disadvantage of the Heikin-Ashi chart is that it is difficult to know the exact values of the Open and Close values.
Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used to accurately and quickly identify the Open and Close values by indicating the rising and falling transition points of the Heikin-Ashi chart on a general chart.
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The Heikin-Ashi chart uses the median.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the low range, and the HA-High indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the high range.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated and then receives support, there is a high possibility that an upward trend will begin, and if the HA-High indicator is generated and then receives resistance, there is a high possibility that a downward trend will begin.
Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used in basic trading strategies.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, and if the HA-High indicator supports and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise rise.
Therefore, to compensate for this, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators were used.
The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
When these indicators are above 60 or below -60, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators are created.
In other words, the DOM (60) indicator corresponds to the overbought range and indicates the end of the high point.
The DOM (-60) indicator corresponds to the oversold range and indicates the end of the low point.
Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, the actual stepwise decline is likely to start when it falls below DOM (-60).
On the other hand, when the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, the actual step-up trend is likely to start by rising above DOM (60).
This compensates for the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
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There is no way to be 100% sure in all transactions.
Therefore, if the motivation to start a transaction is clear, it is only worth challenging the transaction.
Finding that motivation and deciding how to start a transaction that suits your investment style is the trading strategy and the core of trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th
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This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th.
The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6.
It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart.
For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators.
Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed.
What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point.
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It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction.
Conditions for continuing the uptrend include:
1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend,
2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line,
3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend,
If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
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If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important.
If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21.
If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline.
The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section.
Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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I don't think this will be left in the past...Well well well, Walgreen's is definitely going to try and redo there entire business model in order to save it.
There are some weird and unbalanced volume levels left behind that I think we will see again this year.
Target is $12 and depending on this earnings, I don't know when it will hit. Shares only.
Important Volatility Period: Around August 21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The medium-term trend is maintaining an uptrend.
However, if the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so caution is required.
The support zone is
1st: 222.15-235.59
2nd: 172.16
Around the 1st and 2nd above.
The 268.07-311.48 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
If the price is maintained above this zone, there is a high possibility that a full-scale upward trend will continue.
However, since a resistance zone is formed in the 347.21-382.40 zone, we need to look at how this zone is broken upward.
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When it falls to the 172.16-234.59 zone, we need to find a time to buy.
If not, we need to buy when it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 zone.
It would be better to buy at a lower price, but since the investment period will inevitably be longer, I think it is better to buy when an upward trend is detected.
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The important volatility period is around August 21st, but before that, we need to check the movement around July 25th.
If it falls below 268.07 after August 21st, it could lead to further decline.
If it rises above 311.48 and maintains the price during the movement around July 25th, it could lead to further increase and it seems likely to create a trend after the volatility period around August 21st.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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EOS -> Vaulta : (0.5013 support is the key)
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EOS switched from banking to blockchain during the network reorganization.
(AUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise to around 0.5013 and receive support.
If not, it is likely to show a step-down trend.
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(4h chart)
In terms of day trading,
Support range: 0.4942-0.4822
Resistance range: 0.5959-0.6394
We need to see whether it can receive support and rise in the above range.
However, since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing around 0.5013, it is important to see how the volume profile formed around this area and 0.5389 will rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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See if we can hold the price above 0.05709
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(AWEUSDT 1D chart)
The total supply of 2 billion has been unlocked.
Therefore, it seems that temporary profit taking will occur.
We will have to wait and see what kind of flow it will show in the future, but I think the key is whether there is support around 0.05709, which is the HA-Low indicator point.
Since the volume profile section formed on the current 1D chart is formed at 0.06367, we need to check whether there is support around this area.
The 0.06981-0.07188 section corresponds to the previous high point of the 1M chart.
Therefore, the start of the uptrend is expected to begin when the price breaks through the 0.06981-0.07188 section upward and is maintained.
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In summary of the above,
- The time to buy is when support is confirmed around 0.05709.
- The resistance section is likely to be around 0.06367 and the 0.06981-0.07188 section.
Therefore, you should create a response strategy depending on whether there is support at the points or sections mentioned above, that is, 0.05709, 0.06367, 0.06981-0.07188.
If the price falls below 0.05709, you should stop all trading and wait and see.
The reason is that it is likely to lead to a step-down trend.
Even if it rises, it is expected that there will be a limit to the rise due to profit taking for the time being because all tokens have been unlocked.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Important Support and Resistance Areas: 2419.83-2706.15
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether ETH can find support in the 2419.83-2706.15 area and rise.
This is because this section is the section that needs to be supported in order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin.
Therefore, if you are trading ETH, you can proceed with a purchase when support is confirmed in the 2419.83-2706.15 section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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Check support at 108316.90-111696.21
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Among the many trend lines, the one marked 1W is the important one.
Therefore, we need to look at whether it can rise above the 1W trend line or rise along the trend line.
If not, and it falls below 108316.90, it may lead to further decline, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
This volatility period is expected to continue until July 3, but it is expected to last until July 11, so caution is required when trading.
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Indicators that indicate high points are DOM(60), HA-High, and StochRSI 80.
HA-High and StochRSI 80 are formed around 108316.90, and DOM(60) is formed at 111696.21.
Therefore, the 108316.90-111696.21 section is a high point boundary section, and if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
The conditions for a stepwise uptrend to begin are:
- The K of the StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend below 80,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator must show an upward trend above the 0 point,
- The OBV of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must show an upward trend. If possible, it is better for the Low Line ~ High Line channel to form an upward channel.
When the above conditions are met, I think that if it is supported and rises in the 108316.90-111696.21 section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will continue.
If the above conditions are not met, it is likely that it will show a downward trend again while pretending to rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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$10 is looking realistic... if Mr. T doesn't mess it up lolWe have a lot of $10 call options on every expiration date for the next few months, meaning this move might take a while to play out. Unsure of exact date if its earnings call or news but $10 seems to be where the focus is.
If tariffs begin or effect Brazil negatively then this stock could plunge on low growth anticipation.
Watch very very closely on how price reacts to $9 IF we even go down there.
Important volume profile area: 0.2392
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If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
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(SEIUSDT.P 1M chart)
I wonder what the 1M chart means on the futures chart, but if you know the current big picture trend, I think you can trade according to your main and secondary positions.
Currently, the volume profile section is formed at 0.2392 on the 1M chart, so it is expected that the major trend will be determined based on this point.
In other words, if the price is maintained above 0.2392, I think it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend.
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(1W chart)
Currently, on the 1W chart, we are checking for support near the 0.2750 point, which is the StochRSI 80 indicator point.
The StochRSI 80 indicator is one of the indicators that indicates the high point section.
Therefore, if it is supported near the StochRSI 80 indicator, it is highly likely to rise.
On the other hand, if it is not supported, it is important to check for support because it corresponds to the resistance point.
Once the rise begins, it is basically likely to rise until it meets the HA-High indicator.
The HA-High indicator is currently formed at 0.7406.
However, when rising, there is a possibility of receiving resistance near the area where the arrow is pointing, so you should think about a countermeasure.
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(1D chart)
In order to rise, the price must rise above the 0.2801-0.2998 range and maintain it.
If not, there is a possibility of falling until the HA-Low indicator is met.
However, since an important volume profile range is formed at the 0.2392 range, whether there is support near this area is an important issue.
Therefore, if it falls below 0.2392, it is recommended to stop trading and check the situation if possible.
If it rises above 0.2998, it seems likely to surge to the 0.4323-0.4820 range because the resistance range is weak.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if price can hold above M-Signal indicator on 1D chart
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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I failed to register a modified indicator of StochRSI indicator on TradingView alone, so I added it to the existing OBV by readCrypto indicator.
From the top of the indicator setting window to the bottom
1. OBV indicator of Low Line ~ High Line channel
2. PVT-MACD oscillator indicator
3. StochRSI indicator
They are registered in the order above.
Since the values used are all different, you should activate and use one indicator.
Please check the chart above.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend as it failed to rise above the HA-High indicator (108316.90) on the 1D chart.
It is currently checking whether there is support near 107340.58, which is the StochRSI 50 indicator point.
If it fails to receive support and falls, it is expected to fall to around 104463.99.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point on the 1W chart.
Since the StochRSI 20 indicator point is formed near the 104463.99 point, its importance can be considered high.
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Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing near 106133.74, there is a possibility of volatility when touching this area.
Since the volatility period begins around July 2 (July 1-3), it is necessary to keep an eye on the current movement.
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However, the key is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator, so the current movement may be natural.
This volatility period is expected to last until around July 10 (July 9-11), so be careful when trading to avoid being fooled by fakes.
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- The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of transitioning to a state where K < D.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is showing signs of decline.
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing signs of decline in the High Line.
Therefore, if you look at the indicators, they are showing signs of decline overall.
However, if the OBV rises above the High Line, the price will show signs of rise.
Therefore, we need to observe the movements of the indicators while checking whether there is support at the StochRSI 50 indicator point.
Basically, the time to make a purchase is when it shows support near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low indicator.
If you want to make a purchase outside of that, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required.
The indicators that tell you the high point are HA-High, DOM(60) indicators.
In addition, there are StochRSI 80 and StochRSI 20 indicators that require quick response.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Checking the trend change after the volatility period
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If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is expected to last from June 21st to 23rd.
Therefore, it is necessary to check the trend formed after the volatility period.
The 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart, so it is important to see if there is support near this point.
If it falls without support, it may fall to around 89294.25.
The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart.
Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is rising to around 99705.62, the area around 99705.62 is likely to play an important role as support and resistance.
Even if it turns upward, it must rise above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 of the 1D chart to maintain the price.
If not, it is likely to fall again.
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The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that it fell from the high point range.
In other words, if it falls below the HA-HIgh indicator point, it is likely to start a downtrend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is an intermediate value, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
The end point of the high point is the DOM (60) indicator.
Therefore, it should be interpreted that it has risen above the high point section only if it rises above the 111696.21 point.
Therefore, depending on how the 108316.90-111696.21 section is broken upward, an upward trend can be predicted.
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There are auxiliary indicators OBV indicators made of Low Line ~ High Line channels and PVT-MACD oscillator indicators.
The OBV indicator made of Low Line ~ High Line channels is an indicator that can see how the channel is structured, and whether OBV falls below the Low Line of the channel or rises above the High Line.
Therefore, you can predict the future trend based on the channel pattern.
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The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is an indicator created by adding the Close value dash PVT value to the MACD formula.
Therefore, it shows a similar appearance to the MACD oscillator indicator.
The reason for looking at the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is to find out how the trading volume flows.
There are many trading volume indicators, but I think this PVT-MACD oscillator indicator reflects the trading volume flow well.
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However, you should look at the support and resistance points where the changes in the movement of the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator, the OBV indicator created by the Low Line ~ High Line channel, and the StochRSI indicator occur.
If the changes in these indicators occur near the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicator points, it can be of great help in creating a trading strategy.
The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end point of the low point.
That is, falling below the DOM(-60) indicator means that it has entered the low point range, and there is a high possibility that it will show a full-scale downtrend.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it has left the low point range.
That is, if it rises above the HA-Low indicator, it means that there is a high possibility that an uptrend will begin.
However, since the HA-Low indicator is an intermediate value, if it encounters resistance and falls, it is possible that it will show a stepwise downtrend.
Therefore, whether there is support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is important.
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Currently, the OBV indicator created as the Low Line ~ High Line channel has fallen below the Low Line.
Therefore, we need to look at whether the Low Line ~ High Line channel will change to a downtrend channel in the future.
We need to look at whether an 'M'-shaped pattern indicating a trend change occurs.
Since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is still below the 0 point, it can be seen that the selling force is dominant.
However, since the oscillator is maintaining an upward trend, you can see that the overall selling pressure is decreasing.
Even so, since it is located near the HA-High indicator, the resistance in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is expected to be considerable.
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Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This will increase accuracy.
However, since the standard time frame chart for all indicators is a 1D chart, it is most important to check the flow of the 1D chart.
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You may think it is difficult because you have to look at multiple indicators at once.
The most important thing is to look at the movement when approaching the HA-Low or HA-High indicator.
The reason is that the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is a description of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
An example of a new way to interpret the OBV indicator
Hello, traders.
If you "follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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I think the reason why there are difficulties in using auxiliary indicators and why they say not to use indicators is because they do not properly reflect the price flow.
Therefore, I think many people use indicators added to the price part because they reflect the price flow.
However, I think auxiliary indicators are not used that much.
Among them, indicators related to trading volume are ambiguous to use and interpret.
To compensate for this, the OBV indicator has been modified and added.
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The ambiguous part in interpreting the OBV indicator is that the price flow is not reflected.
Therefore, even if it performs its role well as an auxiliary indicator, it can be difficult to interpret.
To compensate for this, the High Line and Low Line of the OBV auxiliary indicator have been made to be displayed in the price section.
That is, High Line = OBV High, Low Line = OBV Low
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Then, let's interpret the OBV at the current price position.
The OBV of the auxiliary indicator is currently located near the OBV EMA.
That is, the current OBV is located within the Low Line ~ High Line section.
However, if you look at the OBV High and OBV Low indicators displayed in the price section, you can see that it has fallen below the OBV Low indicator.
In other words, you can see that the price has fallen below the Low Line of the OBV indicator.
You can see that the OBV position of the auxiliary indicator and the OBV position displayed in the price section are different.
Therefore, in order to normally interpret the OBV of the auxiliary indicator, the price must have risen above the OBV Low indicator in the price section.
If not, you should consider that the interpretation of the OBV of the auxiliary indicator may be incorrect information.
In other words, if it fails to rise above the OBV Low indicator, you should interpret it as a high possibility of eventually falling and think about a countermeasure for that.
Since time frame charts below the 1D chart show too fast volatility, it is recommended to use it on a 1D chart or larger if possible.
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It is not good to analyze a chart with just one indicator.
Therefore, you should comprehensively evaluate by adding different indicators or indicators that you understand.
The indicators that I use are mainly StochRSI indicator, OBV indicator, and MACD indicator.
I use these indicators to create and use M-Signal indicator, StochRSI(20, 50, 80) indicator, and OBV(High, Low) indicator.
DOM(60, -60) indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and Momentum indicators to display high and low points.
And, there are HA-Low, HA-High indicators, which are my basic trading strategy indicators that I created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Among these indicators, the most important indicators are HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators that are necessary when creating trading strategies or detailed response strategies from HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Check support near 104984.57
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above High Line.
Therefore, the candle body color has changed to dark green (#00332a).
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near StochRSI 80 (104984.57) and rise above 10613.74.
If it falls,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 102302.08
You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
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If it is supported near 104984.57, it is likely to rise, but since the volatility period continues until May 20 (up to May 28), it is recommended to check whether it is supported.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained above 102302.08 even after the volatility period.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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