Breakandretest
1/20 SampleFirst Trade in my 20 sample size. I dont normally trade on mondays but o whale setup looking nice. Outside of my normal early NY session Simple B&R targeting some money up high. Definitely a FOMO entry but I dont really care and I just wanted to be in this trade RRR is still there. If price moves lower imma take another entry. 0.5% risk . SL is pretty Tight ngl.
EUR/USD up for the next couple of days... EUR/USD has been in an uptrend for the last week or so. Today I found another break and retest set up for a buy on the daily and four-hour charts. Price is above the MA's, and it looks like it will hit those previous highs. Looking forward to seeing this trade play out. If prices break above the previous high, I will update the next potential take profit. Cheers!
Buy Setup On GbpUsd The setup I called in the beginning of the week, is starting to play out. On the lower timeframes, price has broken the significant resistance level and came back to test as support. But on the larger timeframes, we don't want to neglect the clear extreme weekly resistance level that's approaching. If price has a bullish reaction following the recent retest, then potential targets for this pair would be around that extreme level. The stop loss could be placed right underneath the level. Let's see if we could get some bullish movement.
Sell Setup on USDCHFKeeping the bearish bias for the USD in mind, it seems we could be having a sell setup form for UsdChf. On the larger timeframes, price has rejected off of a non-horizontal resistance level and created strong bearish structure towards the downside of the channel.
On the lower timeframes, price has broken some market structure by violating a recent support level. I'll be waiting for price to make a bullish correction movement to retest the level as resistance. The level I have outlined has added significance due to the psychological number it possess. Considering it's a round number like .9000, this adds some validity to the level. Let's see if we could get a pullback and bearish rejection before looking to sell.
Bearish Bias for the USDOLLAR IndexLooking at the US Dollar Index, it seems relatively obvious which bias has been playing out for the past year. Ever since the beginning of coronavirus, the US dollar has been weakening by the week. And there seems to be no reason to think that's going to change anytime soon. On the larger timeframes, we could see clear bearish rejection off of a significant resistance level placed on the daily timeframe. With this bearish impulse taking place, we've created a downtrend channel on the lower timeframes.
Looking on the H4, we have clearly identified both a non-horizontal support and resistance level. We could notice that price is currently headed towards the bottom of the channel. If sellers manage to bring price below the current support level it's sitting at, this pair could have some more bearish movement before we see a correction wave towards the upside. Take home point to apply in the markets, USD strength seems weak.
Understanding the NFP EU PumpHere are some questions I put out to my community group the other day followed by the answers. The reasoning being the move has been annotated on the chart.
Why did price slowly decline prior to NFP?
- Price had to decline slightly before NFP to mitigate the impulsive move created earlier in the day.
- Price had to stop out break and re-test buyers with a tight stop loss
- Price had to lure sellers into the market before NFP
Why did price reject the exact box marked before skyrocketing?
- Price skyrocketed because it had gathered enough liquidity from stopping out the buyers.
- It utilised the previous order block to skyrocket to take out the impulsive sellers before NFP.
GBPNZD - Bullish Break and RetestGBPNZD appears to have broken it's recent range along with the downtrend marked above. Price appears to be making a break and retest of the broken range and I expect a continuation back up to the 1.94500 area, a level of noticeable resistance/support as illustrated on the chart.
Let's see if a bullish GBP can push price up to our target area.
Short idea on GU after break of hourly structureYesterdays candle closed as a very promoting SS (shooting star), this was seen after a convincing move higher towards a slight daily level. This SS gives me confidence that price will reverse and go down to the untested level on the daily (5th April). We can see that if price comes back to the level now without a move lower we will have 61.8Fib confluence (very strong confluence). We will also have out 50EMA hovering around that area. We have out stop just above the high of the impulsive move down. Nobig news to come out today on either currency so we don't have to worry about watching out for that.
If we get in I will close out at 4PM as it is Friday and I don't hold over the weekend.
CADJPY: Trade idea.Looking for a BRT (break and retest) here. Watch and wait for bullish price action at the support level. Always enter after confirmations of bullish price action. A bullish engulfer, an evening star, a hammer, a full bodied bullish candle that breaks minor resistance, etc.
Let me here from you in the comments! Like and subscribe, people!
GBPJPY SHORTSGBPJPY has broke its counter trend and has also broke out a S/R lvl @ 150.318 i am simply looking for a retest of the underside of this lvl and if price action looks clear ( hammer candles, shooting starts , engulfings etc) i will be looking to short this into recent lows aiming for 149.386
confluences for this trade
1. trend break with acceptance below
2. 0.618 fib sitting on our lvl of structure
3. atr for today is also in the zone we are looking to short
this is not a limit order i will be waiting for price action.
EURJPY longs after price action I am currently watching eurjpy for longs around 129.812 you can see we have broke up and out of a lvl of structure and had acceptance above and are currently coming back for a retest , we have 0.618 fib confluence on this lvl as added confluence
I will need to see clear price action on this lvl to take a position however its an area to watch