To Thine Own Shoe be True - $BTC's Other Foot is About to FallBitcoin’s Floor Must Be Lower – Chart Physics and Market Psychology at Work
In this video, I explain why Bitcoin has no choice but to find a lower floor, despite many traders believing the worst is behind us. While price is briefly going to appear to confirm support, this is just part of the process before it comes back down and breaks through it on the third test. The real focus here isn’t whether this level holds for another day or two—it’s about why Bitcoin must go lower before it can establish true support.
For a long time, Bitcoin has been floating over clear air with no real structural support. When price climbs too high without building a strong foundation, it eventually has to fall back down to fill the gaps. Right now, the market is in denial, desperately trying to hold Bitcoin in the $90,000 range, but this isn’t about what traders want—it’s about chart physics and liquidity. When there’s nothing left to hold the price up, it must seek a lower equilibrium.
Psychologically, traders don’t want to accept that Bitcoin might have to revisit $70,000 or lower to reset before moving higher. But markets don’t move based on hope—they move based on supply, demand, and liquidity positioning. Right now, there are no meaningful buyers willing to absorb the sell pressure at this level, which means Bitcoin has nowhere to go but down. Once it finally breaks through, it will likely move quickly, as there’s no real support structure beneath it.
Know thy shoe.
The shoe will find the ground.
(My sincerest apologies about the volume ladies and gentlemen. The problem which I thought I had corrected from a prior video still exists in this video. It is an issue I'm hoping Trading View can correct before too long on their end… The problem originated on my end, but there was nothing I can do after it was recorded, and I had to get this video up there - I believe it contains important time sensitive information…
Please try listening with the volume turned all the way up or perhaps with headphones until the problem can be corrected.
My system issue has been corrected for the future, but Trading View if you can, please tweak this on your end and amplify it. This video is extremely worthwhile..)
Breakdown
The IWM is sitting at critical support!!!On Friday, the IWM broke through a multi year support line (beige) and closed below a multi year parallel channel. Thankfully, it found support at its 200 day MA. If the IWM cannot recapture the inside of the parallel channel this week and confirms a close below the 200 day MA - watch out below. This should be on every one’s watch list this week because where the small caps go - every other risk asset will follow!!!
NZD/USD breaking down from Ascending wedge patternASCENDING WEDGE PATTERN : nzd/usd has made an ascending wedge pattern on hourly timeframe and has started breaking down from the pattern with strong confirmation
BEARISH MACD : macd has become very bearish with signal line having gone below macd line indicating powerful bearish momentum for nzd/usd
TARGET : 0.58477 level is the target
RCI, Bear Flag On The Daily As Well As The 4hr Analyzing both the daily and 4-hour charts reveals a very prominent bear flag, which has formed following a steep decline. This pattern is often indicative of further downward movement, and it's hard to ignore the implications.
Word on the street is that they're currently in dire straits. Since the Shaw acquisition, they've hemorrhaged 11 billion in valuation. The situation is exacerbated by declining revenues and missed growth targets. In short, it's not looking promising.
If the trend continues downward, we might see the price testing the $19 USD mark sooner rather than later.
For those who are currently long on this or have any vested interest, it might be prudent to reconsider your position and cut your losses before it's too late.
BTC Massive SetupConsolidation for months between 91k and 106k
- Classic Wyckoff setup as an accumulation/distribution
- Price targets of: 121.878 (122k is the popular target) to the upside with 75,827 on the down
- Saylor today put out news to be raising another $2 billion to buy BTC. Either he is going to be able to hold the floor or get washed out
- Trade can be taken with confirmation of breakout on either side pretty easily as momentum will be so strong that being on the wrong side will most likely be an immediate stop out
Maruti : Make or Break?Technical view
Box trading strategy in which you identify or stop consolidating for a couple of days and trading the direction of the breakout in this case Maruti Suzuki india limited is consolidating for past 3 days.
What is the strategy why does this work?
When a stock price moves sideways, it usually happens for two main reasons: either people are losing interest in the stock, or there's a lot of activity but the number of buyers and sellers is balanced.
Now, imagine a group of traders who are watching this stock. They have set their stop-loss orders close to where they bought the stock. This means if the price moves too far against them, they'll automatically sell to limit their losses.
When the stock finally breaks out of this sideways pattern, something interesting happens. New buyers or sellers jump in, excited about the movement. At the same time, those traders who were holding onto their positions start to sell because their stop-loss orders are triggered.
This combination of new traders entering the market and existing traders exiting their positions creates a surge in momentum in the direction of the breakout. So, if the price breaks upward, it can rise quickly as both new buyers come in and former holders sell out, pushing the price even higher.
Pro Tip
Entry at 15m tf Strong Candle Close (Outside the Box)
StopLoss is at Entry Candle high or Low (Not more than (0.8%)
Targets :- 12,887.50 (Upside) 12,411.25 (Downside)
Fundamental View
Profit: Maruti Suzuki India Ltd reported a consolidated net profit of ₹3,727 crore for Q3 FY25, a 16% YOY increase. However, another source indicates a standalone net profit of ₹3,525 crore, up 13% YOY, but below market expectations of ₹3,624 crore.
Revenue: The company reported revenue of ₹38,764 crore, a 16% YOY increase.
Sales Volume: Total sales were 566,213 units, up 13% from last year3. Domestic sales were 466,993 units (up 8.7%), and exports were 99,220 units, a significant increase of 38.2%.
EBITDA: Operating profit (EBITDA) increased by 14.4% YOY.
Not an Investment Advise
RUNE/USDT Testing Critical Support – What's Next?RUNE/USDT depicts a bearish breakdown from a rising channel pattern. The price is currently hovering near the critical support zone around $4.20 to $4.50.
If this key support fails to hold, we could see a continuation of the downward momentum, targeting levels near $3.50 or lower.
However, a temporary consolidation near the support zone cannot be ruled out before the next decisive move.
DYOR, NFA
Bearish Pattern Plays Out: AUD/USD Breakdown ConfirmedAUD/USD is currently moving in a classical bearish pattern, with the price taking temporary support at the lower trendline. However, this support appears weak and, as anticipated, has now broken down, confirming further downside momentum.
The structure remains in favor of sellers, and more bearish movement is expected as the breakdown reinforces the selling pressure.
Master High-Probability Breakouts with the GOLDEN Trading SystemWelcome to the GOLDEN Trading System (GTS) – a custom-designed strategy tailored for traders seeking high-probability breakout opportunities. Built on the foundation of TradingView's powerful indicators, GTS focuses on leveraging Camarilla Pivot Levels (H3-H4 and L3-L4) to spot and act on potential market trends. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this system simplifies the complexity of technical analysis, giving you an edge in the markets.
Core Elements of the Strategy.
1. Key Levels to Watch:
Green Band (H3-H4):
Represents a resistance zone where bullish breakouts are likely to occur. A confirmed breakout above H4 often leads to a strong upward trend.
Red Band (L3-L4):
Acts as a support zone, signaling potential bearish moves when broken. A confirmed breakdown below L4 generally triggers a downward trend.
2. The Breakout Concept:
When the price crosses either of these bands, it indicates a potential shift in market dynamics:
Bullish Breakout: Price breaks above the Green Band, suggesting buyers have gained control.
Bearish Breakout: Price breaks below the Red Band, signaling sellers have the upper hand.
Why This Strategy Works?
High Probability: Camarilla Pivot Levels are widely respected by traders, making breakouts from these zones more reliable.
Trend Confirmation: The system minimizes false signals by focusing on specific breakout levels instead of broader zones.
Clear Entry/Exit Points: You can easily determine when to enter a trade and set stop-loss or take-profit levels.
How to Use the GOLDEN Trading System?
Identify the Bands: Look for the Green Band (H3-H4) and Red Band (L3-L4) on your chart.
Watch for Breakouts:
Enter a long position when the price closes decisively above the Green Band (H4).
Enter a short position when the price closes decisively below the Red Band (L4).
Manage Your Risk:
Use the opposite band (L3 or H3) as a stop-loss level to protect your trade.
Consider trailing your stop-loss as the trend progresses.
Add Confirmation: For greater accuracy, combine this strategy with other tools such as volume spikes, candlestick patterns, or higher timeframe trend analysis.
Case Study Example:
Take a closer look at the chart provided:
The price broke below the Red Band (L3-L4), confirming a bearish breakout.
Post-breakout, the price continued its downtrend, offering a high-reward opportunity for short-sellers.
By adhering to the system's clear breakout rules, you could have entered the trade early and capitalized on the trend with confidence.
Benefits of the GOLDEN Trading System:
Simplicity: Focuses on straightforward rules, making it beginner-friendly.
Consistency: Reduces emotional trading by adhering to defined breakout zones.
Scalability: Works across multiple timeframes and markets, including indices, stocks, and commodities.
Pro Tip for Advanced Traders:
Combine GTS with volume analysis, RSI divergence, or moving averages to add layers of confirmation to your trades. This helps filter out false breakouts and improves your win rate.
Join the GTS movement and elevate your trading game today! Share your feedback, results, and tweaks to make the strategy even better. Happy trading! 🚀
GOLDEN Breakout setup on Nifty 50 for (30-12-24)Nifty 50 index was going sideways for 3 days, today it gave bull breakout but not sustained properly. So next trading day can become significantly important if you do breakout trades!
ANALYSIS :
On chart you can see I am using my custom build indicator named Golden Trading System (GTS) it shows two significant support and resistance zones which works like magic! as of now it is not published but you can follow us to get notified when we publish this.
How you can use it ?
Alternatively you can use standard pivot point and change the pivot type to camarilla. Here we will only use H3-H4 and L3-L4.
In the chart you can see I already marked the H3-H4 and L3-L4 for tomorrow (30-12-24) so you can use that instead.
How to TRADE ?
Tomorrow (30-12-24) three thing can happen :-
(i) If market gave breakout the green band (H3-H4) we can look Long setup.
(ii) If market gave breakout the red band (L3-L4) we can look Short setup.
(iii) Market can go sideways / range bound between green band and red band.
CAUTION :-
While taking bullish trades we should not neglect the red resistance line and also While taking bearish trades we should not neglect the red support line because form those points market can reverse so trade cautiously and with "Stop Loss".
"ALTCOINS: HOLD OR SELL? BTC Dom at a Critical Turning Point!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this analysis resonates with you, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for premium setups that actually deliver results! 💹🔥
🔥 Market Recap
Last night, we witnessed a massive liquidation cascade across the entire crypto market. Altcoins took a heavy hit, with many dropping 20-30% overnight, wiping out billions of dollars.
🔑 Key Takeaway:
This is why I always stress—never trade leverage without a stop-loss. Protect your capital first. Hope you all followed this golden rule!
📊 Market Outlook: Where Are We Heading?
BTC Dominance:
Breaking down from a rising wedge on the weekly time frame—a classic bearish signal.
Currently retesting the breakdown zone, indicating a potential sharp decline ahead.
🌟 What This Means:
If dominance drops further, spot altcoin holdings will likely surge.
This is the time to accumulate, not panic-sell.
💎 Opportunities Ahead
Many altcoins are retesting key support levels after breaking out on the daily time frame:
FET, W, PEPE, LTC, APT, RENDER, and more.
Patience is key here. Hold onto your spot bags and use this dip as an opportunity to accumulate strong projects.
🚀 The Road Ahead
Over the next few days, we anticipate a strong recovery across the market, with alts pumping hard. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and ride this wave.
💬 Your Move:
What’s your strategy for this phase? Are you accumulating or waiting for more clarity? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—we’re in this together! 🌊🔥
👉 Follow us for more timely updates and winning trade setups. Let’s crush it! 💪
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview:
The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity.
Trade Setup for Short Position:
1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis.
2.Targets:
Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone).
Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel).
3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level).
4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2.
Alternate Scenario:
If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
POWERGRID MAY FALL DUE TO DOUBLE TOP FORMATION
DOUBLE TOP FORMATION :
powergrid has formed a perfect double top pattern on weekly timeframe and seemed to be positioned for further fall.
Although it had shooted up suddenly 2 weeks back due to the uncertainty which bubbled up surrounding maharashtra election which affected whole whole stock market. But after the release of the election results it has started going down again
BEARISH DIVERGENCE :
Apartfrom double top it has also formed strong bearish divergence pattern on the chart with 2 divergent peaks having formed on chart & rsi 4th mar & 29th july respectively indicating strong bearish momentum for powergrid
BEARISH MACD :
macd indicator has also become extremely bearish with macd line hovering below signal line by large margin
PROFIT TARGET :
The stock will fall till 299 level which is 22 points away from current level
Gold - This Will Be The Top!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject the channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Gold perfectly retested the top of the rising channel after rallying more than +35% over the past couple of months. Just looking at this overextended rally alone, it is quite likely that Gold will correct even more and maybe, we will even see a retest of the previous breakout level.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.050
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETH One Final DropLooking at one final drop to the .618 golden pocket.
Daily - Hidden Bearish divergence RSI/MACD at the 0.886 retracement. RSI looking like it wants to double bottom to form bullish divergence at the ~2100 area. Also a trendline that needs to be retested to better form a massive pennant structure that will ultimately lead ETH to new record highs after this flush.