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Breakdown

4hr chart h&s pattern could send us back to the golden .618 fibAs always we must wait for confirmation of this pattern before attempting to trade it. There is compelling bearish confluence here with the breakdown target from this pattern lining up perfectly with the .618 golden fib retracement. Not only this, but this zone is also just below where the extremely strong support from the weekly 21 ema (not shown here) is located. As we have seen in the previous bull market of 2015-2017, the weekly 21 ema was able to maintain support for price action throughout the entire bull market and was retested every correction except one during that bull market. These 3 things combined increases the probability of a breakdown to this zibe significantly where we could see a wick all the way down to the golden fib fulfilling the H&s breakdown target while the body of the candle still manages to close above that with the weekly 21 ema maintaining support. Of course, it's also possible the correction could be over well before that with such parabolic bullish fever still very much in the air....the coming FUD concerning the 14 trillion tether lawsuit as well as the recent executive order passed against chinese companies also suggests a deeper correction is likely...but ultimately we must still wait to see if this h&s breakdown confirms first. I will be watching to see if this top ascending plum colored trendline from the previous ascending broadening wedge we were in can maintain its support. I will not be convinced the h&s breakdown will occur until it is clear that this trendline has been flipped to solidified resistance. This is as always only my personal strategy and not financial advice nor am I a financial advisor. Best of luck in whatever trade you decide to take and thanks for reading!
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
Warning: ♫Bitcoin Plunge is coming to town!♫ Bitcoin has been silent lately in a symmetric triangle. A sideways Bitcoin sort of irritates people. But you shouldn't worry! The Bitcoin plunge is coming! If we can see the yellow-colored oscillator, the Effective Divergence indicator, it gave us a similar symmetric triangle compared to the price. Well, EffDi gives us an early breakdown... nice! It was accompanied by a dump from 38k to 34k. We have a potential breakdown of the price's symmetric triangle! Also, the Moving Average Channel, which composes of a MA 100 for the high and the low, was also broken with the recent dump! This Channel prevented the pullback from 42k about a week ago. This breakdown is strong. Don't forget the extra volume during the dump. Early signal for an impending plunge! It is coming! We may see the correction go all the way to 30.2k, strong support, which halted the previous pullbacks. Get ready! ♫Bitcoin plunge is coming to town!♫ Also, I noticed when Bitcoin plunges, many altcoins plunge too. Interesting! Get ready for the next crypto movement! What do you think? Leave a comment below! Also hit that like button and change that "Follow" to "Following". Thank you!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trader_ph
9
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekIt is fascinating to see how the Key level @ $0.71600 appears to be a decision-maker for traders in the last 30days as Breakdown/Breakout of this level points at the prevailing direction of the price. Looking beyond this... We are now at a juncture in the market where the chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal becomes a unique tool for us to make a trading decision. On the chart is a baseline with three peaks, with the outside two close in height and the middle is highest (Head and Shoulder). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Reversal pattern (H & S) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. After making a peak @ $0.73100, Price have continue to risk further decline as it keeps finding Lower Lows. ii. A significant breakdown of my Key Level @ $0.71600 (Neckline) last week confirms the completion of a Head and Shoulder pattern. iii. My attention in the coming week shall be shifted to Selling opportunities and the Neckline area shall be the risk limit. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
3
AUDCAD | Perspective for the new weekIt appears that the rally that began early Dec 2020 has found a reversal point as the appearance of a Double Top structure becomes visible. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Reversal pattern (Double Top) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. DT: Bearish technical reversal pattern forms after the price reaches peak @ CA$0.99000 two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. ii. The Breakdown of Bullish Trendline @ CA$0.98400 emphasizes a change in direction as price action disregard Trendline. iii. I shall be patience to watch out for weakness in the strength of buyers at the Demand zone (CA$0.98000) which is also the Neckline for signal confirmation. iv. Please note that a significant breakdown of Demand zone might see the price go into a correction phase where buyers will try to push the price up from this level one more time; when this happens, CA$0.98200/0.98400 shall be a Sell window for me in the coming week(s). Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 3 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
5
USDCNH | Perspective for the new weekIt has been months since I published any speculation as our last publication on this pair saw us bag over 1,000pips ( see link below for reference purposes). China is on the brink of launching its CBDC - Digital Yuan. To facilitate its smooth launch, the digital yuan had to undergo several testings. In line with this, the government in Shenzhen, a metropolis in China, has disclosed plans to distribute 20 million digital yuan (approximately $3 million) to the city’s residents... This could be an exciting development for investors as the Yuan continue to rise against the Greenback in recent times. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. Y6.95000 level remains my key level as this zone shall be the yardstick for selling opportunity in the coming week(s). ii. Successful Breakdown of Key level at the beginning of the new year is a sign that the Yuan will continue to appreciate. iii. Presently experiencing traders profiting from the boom that began the year, a correction into 61.8/78.6% is on my radar for a trading opportunity. iv. Suspected ABCD pattern parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% currently (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EURCAD | Perspective for the new weekWe experienced 230pips run in our direction on my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair with another trading opportunity building up again! It is very interesting to observe that the market has continuously made its decision around the CA$1.55700 level since July 2020 which tells me that we can be confident to find a quick trading opportunity on this one! Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. Since on the 22nd of Dec 2020, the price has found Lower lows respecting the Bearish trendline that led to the recent Breakdown of CA$1.55700 followed by a sharp rejection of this level last week. ii. Considering the significance of our key level; The leg that broke down CA$1.55700 might experience correction back into this level for a decline continuation in the coming week. iii. In this regard, I shall be looking for a significant level around the Key level/Trendline to find a safe haven for a selling opportunity this week. iv. Lest I forget, I am looking forward to seeing buyers do quick activities around CA$1.5470 level after which selling opportunity will surface... Be patient :) Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 220 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EURGBP | Perspective for the new weekMy last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair enjoyed 135pips run in our direction before the rally. Now - Since late December 2020, the EUR/GBP has been rangebound between roughly the GBP0.91150 - 0.89500 level and emphatically respecting a channel. Despite most quarters supporting the appreciation of the Euro considering the unfolding of the pandemic after which Covid-19 concerns in the UK led the country into a stricter lockdown last week... I am looking the opposite with a possible risk of further decline as price breaks down key level @ GBP0.90200. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. The inability of price to break above GBP0.91000 level since Dec 2020 insinuates that buyers might have lost the momentum as we witness a Breakdown of GBP0.90200 last week. ii. Since Breakdown of Key level, a rejection of this level will be my lead in the coming week. iii. A further Breakdown of Demand zone @ GBP0.89000 with significant candle shall increase my confidence in holding the sell position. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1