AUDCHF | Perspective for the new weekEven though we are generally in an uptrend, there are shreds of evidence that Buyers might have lost the steam that brought them this far as we await significant breakdown of neckline @ Fr0.68250 for confirmations that support Bearish bias.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Reversal Pattern (Double TOp) | Trendline
Observation: i. Uptrend: Line drawn under pivot lows explains the prevailing direction of price.
ii. Price is currently @ Fr0.68250 which has been a strong demand zone since the beginning of the year 2021.
iii. Evidence that supports my Bearish dimension is the double rejection of the major Support/Resistance level on Weekly chart @ Fr0.69130 which makes a Double Top - a strong Reversal pattern.
iv. As the Reversal pattern is on the verge of completion, it appears price is at a temporary end of a Bullish run and we have to be very careful as a Breakdown of neckline followed by retest/rejection might be the appropriate signal to sell in this instance.
v. We should not forget that the Neckline has been a strong Demand zone in the past and this could attract a handful presence of Buyers before the decline begins. It is worthy to note that if we observe any significant Bull run from the neckline, we might be looking in the direction of a rally... Hence, trade consciously!
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 3 to 8 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Breakdowntrading
NZDCAD | Perspective for the new weekObserving the Day chart, despite the obvious that we are in an uptrend wave; we are beginning to see a Reversal structure as Buyers appear to gradually lose momentum and Sellers receiving the baton to push price further down with the hope of respecting the Bullish trendline on the daily chart.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Successful Breakdown of CA$0.91500 on the 13th of Jan 2021 projects a high expectation of a rejection of this level in the coming week(s).
ii. Supply zone @ CA$0.91500/0.92200 shall be a window to look for Selling opportunity in the coming week.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 220 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekIt is fascinating to see how the Key level @ $0.71600 appears to be a decision-maker for traders in the last 30days as Breakdown/Breakout of this level points at the prevailing direction of the price. Looking beyond this... We are now at a juncture in the market where the chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal becomes a unique tool for us to make a trading decision.
On the chart is a baseline with three peaks, with the outside two close in height and the middle is highest (Head and Shoulder).
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Reversal pattern (H & S) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. After making a peak @ $0.73100, Price have continue to risk further decline as it keeps finding Lower Lows.
ii. A significant breakdown of my Key Level @ $0.71600 (Neckline) last week confirms the completion of a Head and Shoulder pattern.
iii. My attention in the coming week shall be shifted to Selling opportunities and the Neckline area shall be the risk limit.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BPCL - Good Short opportunity - 1hr Analysis- Short termBPCL is at a very crucial level. A good short trade is expected. Breakdown of 2 months trend - Good fall .
Breakout trade can give 1% to 1.5% targets.
Short below- 390
Target 1 - 380, Tgt 2 - 370.
St Loss - 395
Buy above - 395
Target 1 - 400, Tgt 2-405+
St loss-390
GBPJPY SHORTA good opportunity to short. there is a nice downtrend forming as the price has broken out of the April range. A retracement to former support (MAGENTA HORIZONTAL RAY) also coincides with the 0.382 Fib and the S1 monthly pivot point. the COT data also shows speculators getting shorter on the pound and longer on the yen which can clearly be seen in this weeks price action.
If you have any ideas supporting or on the contrary to my opinion please leave a comment.
thanks and happy trading
note: I am already short the pound in the form of a long EURGBP trade so I may only enter if that trade moves in my favour as I do not want to be over exposed to the pound, but I am definitely bearish.
Bearish on ITCThere is a semicircle breakdown in ITC which reflects there will be further downfall in ITC. Stock is Trading below 50, 20 and even 10 days moving average which shows stock is in down trend. Lower Risk deviation of Bollinger bands stock is falling at rapid pace. I would suggest to short ITC
Sell- 206 Stoploss- 218 Target- 202.65, 197.95, 189.80 Time frame 1-2 weeks
BTC shows a strong bearish favor in weekendBTC shows a strong bearish favor in weekend
After a dump and pump of BTC on Sep. 19, 2019, BTC's price has formed a descending triangle pattern on the M30 timeframe.
Though local resistance prevents BTC to go down, most of the indicators on most of the lower timeframe (H4 and lower) point to bearish favor.
Though triangle patterns are the bilateral patterns, which means BTC might go on either way (up or down). From my experience, the price will have more chances to break down local resistance at the end of the triangle.
A SHORT idea with the final target to be on 2nd local support, with a protective stop at MA20 is recommended. Important supports and resistance are as shown in the chart.