$BTC – Breaking Out of the Pattern?📈 Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is testing the upper resistance zone of a multi-month structure.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) has already occurred, adding fuel to the bullish case.
🚀 Just a bit more upside and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could escape this consolidation pattern completely.
Key levels to watch:
Break above ~$110K area
Green trendline remains strong support
Eyes on higher timeframe close to confirm breakout
This could be a pivot point for Bitcoin’s next leg higher — or a trap if sellers step in hard.
Breakofstructure
BTCUSD – 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated🧩 BTCUSD – 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025
The BoS has happened, but don’t let it fool you — price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling.
🧠 SMC Playbook:
🔨 BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low.
🟥 Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%–100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low.
🔄 Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499–95,629).
🎯 Target: Weak Low = 95,200
🧼 Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation)
📏 RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+
🔎 Narrative:
Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection — Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone.
📊 Key Observations:
❌ Buyers are likely trapped.
📍OB tapped + Fibonacci 79–100% = High confluence.
💥 Expecting liquidity sweep → sharp sell-off.
⏰ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.)
📣 How to Trade It:
Monitor price action inside red zone (79–100%).
Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH).
Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630.
TP at Weak Low → potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in.
🧠 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Don’t chase price — trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.”
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’re watching this level too.
📈 Save this chart for your next sniper entry.
🔁 Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
BTCUSD 15M | Order Block Slam + Channel Break | 1:4+ RRR Setup🧠 BTC/USD Breakdown — Smart Money Style | May 17, 2025
This one’s textbook bearish premium reaction — the kind of move that wipes out late buyers and fills institutional orders. Let’s zoom into this juicy setup ⬇️
🧩 1. Smart Money Context
Price climbs inside a rising wedge structure
Enters premium zone and taps a defined 🔮 Order Block (OB)
OB rejection confirmed with:
Liquidity grab
Bearish engulfing
Channel break 🚨
🎯 2. Trade Details
Entry: 103,500 – 103,800 (OB zone)
SL: 103,850
TP Zones:
TP1: 103,000 (OB base)
TP2: 102,500
TP3: 101,420.70 (full breakdown completion + imbalance fill)
Risk-to-reward: 1:3 to 1:4.5+ depending on your exit style.
🔍 3. Why This Setup Works
Order Block marks institutional selling zone
Liquidity sweep triggers false breakout trap
Channel break with volume confirms momentum shift
Final candle closes with strength — this ain’t no fakeout
This is how smart money loads up and leaves retail chasing ghosts 👻
📉 Missed the initial entry? Watch for a pullback to the OB for a possible second chance!
🔥 Final Note:
The weekend price action often moves erratic, but this setup shows institutional control — wait for confirmation and let price do the heavy lifting 🧘♂️
💬 Drop your thoughts: bullish retest or straight dump incoming?
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for clean, no-BS smart money analysis every day!
Market Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT TradingMarket Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT Trading
In ICT (Inner Circle Trader) trading, understanding Market Structure Shifts (MSS) is crucial for accurately interpreting market trends and making informed trading decisions. This article delves into the significance of MSS, its distinct indicators, and how it integrates with other trading elements like Breaks of Structure and Changes of Character.
Understanding Breaks of Structure and Change of Character
Comprehending the dynamics of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) can be crucial for analysing market trends. A Break of Structure occurs when price levels move beyond established support or resistance areas, indicating a potential continuation or acceleration of the current trend. For example, in an uptrend, a BOS is identified when prices break above a previous resistance level, suggesting further upward movement.
Conversely, a Change of Character signifies a possible shift in the market's direction. This occurs when the price action breaks against the prevailing trend, challenging the recent high or low points that served as market barriers. A CHoCH often raises a red flag about the sustainability of the current trend. For instance, in a sustained uptrend, a CHoCH would be marked by a significant downward breach that violates a previous low point, hinting at a weakening of bullish momentum.
Both BOS and CHoCH are pivotal in the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology, where they are used to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in trend dynamics. Traders monitor these patterns to adjust their strategies, whether to capitalise on the continuation signalled by a BOS or prepare for a trend reversal suggested by a CHoCH.
What Is a Market Structure Shift?
MSS, meaning a Market Structure Shift, is an indicator of a significant change in the prevailing trend, marked by a series of patterns that suggest a reversal is imminent. An ICT MSS is more than a simple Change of Character (CHoCH); it includes additional signals that strengthen the case for a directional change.
The process begins with a shift in market structure that fails to sustain the ongoing trend. For example, during an uptrend, the market might fail to make a new higher high, instead forming a lower high. This initial deviation raises a caution flag about the trend’s strength.
The confirmation of an MSS in trading occurs when there is a decisive break of a significant swing point, accompanied by a strong impulse move that deeply penetrates through this point, known as a displacement. This displacement is critical—it’s not merely a slight breach but a robust move that clearly indicates a shift.
In essence, an MSS signals that the current market momentum has not only paused but is likely reversing. For traders, this is a pivotal moment: the lower highs in an uptrend or the higher lows in a downtrend prior to the break suggest that a new opposite trend is starting to take shape.
How to Use a Market Structure Shift in Trading
An MSS ultimately serves as a directional tool. It helps traders understand when a potential trend reversal is underway, enabling them to align their strategies with the new market direction.
To effectively use an MSS in trading, traders often follow these steps:
- Observing Current Market Structure: They start by analysing the existing trend direction and key price levels. Understand whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement by identifying patterns of higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows.
- Watching for a Break in Key Levels: The core of an MSS is the break of an important high or low, combined with a sharp price movement that breaches a significant swing point (displacement).
- Confirming with News Releases: MSS often coincides with major economic announcements or news releases that can affect market sentiment significantly. For example, if there's a report indicating unexpectedly high US inflation rates, and this correlates with a sharp downward movement in EURUSD, it provides additional confirmation of the MSS. A stronger dollar against the euro, in this case, would signal a clear shift in market direction towards favouring the dollar.
By recognising these elements, traders can more confidently anticipate and adapt to changes in market direction. A well-identified MSS not only indicates a pause in the current trend but also the establishment of a new trend.
Using Market Structure Shifts With Other ICT Components
Using Market Structure Shifts with other Inner Circle Trader methodology components like break of structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps may enhance a trader's ability to interpret and react to market dynamics.
Integrating MSS with ICT Market Structure
An MSS identifies a potential reversal in the market’s direction. When an MSS occurs, it often leads to the formation of a new high-low range in the direction of the new trend. For example, if a bearish MSS results in a new lower high and lower low, traders can watch for a BOS of this range. A retracement back inside of the new range can signal a decent area to search for an entry to ride the trend that’s just beginning.
Utilising Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps
However, there are scenarios where the price doesn’t establish a new high-low range but instead returns to the area where the original displacement occurred. This displacement often leaves behind a fair value gap and an order block.
- Fair Value Gap: This is a price range that the market skips over quickly during a displacement, leaving it untested by typical market trading. It often acts like a vacuum, drawing the price back to fill in the gap at a later stage.
- Order Block: An order block is typically a consolidation area that precedes a strong price move and is considered a footprint left by institutional traders. It represents levels where significant buying or selling occurred, potentially acting as support or resistance in future price movements.
If the price returns to fill a fair value gap and enters the order block, this scenario can provide a potent setup for a reversal. Traders might look for confirmatory signals at these levels to enter trades that anticipate the market returning to its previous course or extending the reversal initiated by the MSS.
The Bottom Line
The insights provided on MSS and its application within the ICT trading framework can be instrumental for any trader seeking to navigate the complexities of the market effectively. To put these strategies into practice and potentially improve your trading outcomes, practice a lot and learn more about ICT trading.
FAQs
What Is a Market Structure Shift?
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) indicates a potential reversal in market trends, marked initially by a lower high in an uptrend or a higher low in a downtrend, followed by a displacement—a significant and rapid price movement that decisively breaks through a key market level.
How to Identify Market Structure Shift?
Identifying an MSS involves observing for early signs of trend weakening (lower highs or higher lows) and waiting for a subsequent displacement that confirms the shift. This displacement should significantly penetrate a key swing point, clearly indicating a new direction in market momentum.
What Is the ICT Method of Trading?
The ICT (Inner Circle Trader) method of trading is a comprehensive approach that utilises various trading concepts such as market structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps, focusing on how institutional traders influence the market. It emphasises understanding and leveraging these components to align trading strategies with probable market movements.
What Is the Difference Between MSS and BOS in ICT?
In ICT, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) refers to a potential trend reversal, confirmed by a lower high/higher low followed by a displacement. A Break of Structure (BOS), however, simply indicates the continuation or acceleration of the current trend without necessarily suggesting a reversal, marked by the breach of a key high or low point within the ongoing trend direction.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Simple Break of Structure BoS Trading Strategy Explained
One of the best and reliable strategies to trade break of structure BoS is to apply multiple time frame analysis.
In this article, I will teach you my break of structure gold forex trading strategy. You will get a complete step-by-step guide with examples.
Let's start with a quick theory and let me explain to you what is break of structure BoS in Smart Money Concept SMC trading.
In a bullish trend, break of structure BoS is an important event that signifies a continuation of an uptrend. It is based on a violation and a candle close above the level of the last higher high (HH).
After a breakout, the broken level becomes the first strong support for trend-following buying.
Check multiple examples of confirmed breaks of structure BoS on GBPNZD forex pair on a weekly time frame.
In a downtrend, Break of Structure BoS means a bearish trend continuation . Break of Structure is considered to be confirmed when a candle closes below the level of the last lower low (LL).
The broken key level becomes the closest strong support for buying.
That's the example of a healthy downtrend on USDJPY forex pair on a daily. Each break of structure BoS pushed the prices lower, providing a strong signal to sell.
What newbie traders do incorrectly, they trade break of structure without a confirmation strategy, and it leads to substantial losses.
Though GBPCHF is trading in a bullish trend and though each BoS provided a trend-following signal. The price retraced significantly lower below the broken structure before the growth resumed.
When the price retests a broken structure after BoS in a bullish trend, start lower time frame analysis.
If you identified a break of structure on a daily, analyze 4h/1h time frames.
If on a 4H, then 30/15 minutes.
After the price sets a new higher high with BoS in uptrend, it usually starts trading in a minor bearish trend on lower time frames.
With our strategy, your signal to buy will be a retest of a broken structure and a consequent bullish Change of Character CHoCH . That will provide an accurate bullish signal.
In a bearish trend, analyze the lower time frames after a retest of a broken structure. Your signal to sell will be a bearish Change of Character CHoCH.
Look at a price action on EURCHF on a daily.
We see a strong bullish trend and a confirmed Break of Structure BoS.
According to the rules of our trading strategy, we start analyzing 4h/1h time frames after a retest of a broken level of the last Higher High.
Our signal to buy is an intraday bullish CHoCH. We open a long trade after that with the stop loss below the intraday lows and take profit being a current high.
That's how simple this strategy is.
Multiple time frame analysis provides the extra level of security.
Strong lower time frame confirmation substantially increases the win ratio of a trading setup.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
xau/usd continuation sell of from $2,678Gold has been showing clear structure to the downside on the 1H. However, on the 4H time frames and above we didn't actually see price further BOS to the downside buy rather it pushed back up the 8H imbalance to create EQH liquidity. This makes me wonder whether or not we will see a last push up from Gold before price then makes it way further down.
However, this week we can be sure to catch some sells on gold as we see a lot of bearish indication on the lower time frames. I am expecting for price to open and consolidate before it takes the ASH and potentially fails the 30min supply zones i have before reacting from the 6H supply. It is also possible that price may want to fill the 6h Imbalance above and actually react from the 4H supply instead.
If price truly wishes to respect these Asian highs and simply further react without having a significant retracement then I can potentially expect price to react from these lower time frame 30min supply order blocks.
GBPJPY daily/montly liqOn the chart with monthly candles, a liquidity grab can be seen at the last higher low (HL). On the daily timeframe, you can observe that there has already been a break of structure and a test of a fair value gap (FVG). Therefore, the expectation is for further decline. For this, I will conduct an analysis on a smaller timeframe.
Nifty Outlook: Last Week of NovemberNifty is currently trading at 23,900.
It will come 500 points below to 23,400.
This level coincides with multiple things - previous support & 0.786 fib level of the last run.
Then it will reverse and go up till 24,700.
That is where it will take the liquidity of the previous swing highs.
USDJPY: Bearish Break in FocusHello Traders,
Below is my analysis of USDJPY currency pair from H1 perspective.
Trend & Sentiment
USDJPY is in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lows. The recent break below 153.819 confirms bearish momentum, with sellers firmly in control.
Key Levels
Resistance: 153.962 (Minor), 154.653 (Major)
Support: 153.276
Possible Movement
Bearish Continuation: Likely toward 152.466 (target) as long as the price stays below 154.653.
Retracement Risk: Minor resistance at 153.962 may cap any short-term bounces.
Reversal Signal: A break above 154.653 could shift momentum to bullish.
Conclusion
The outlook remains bearish with a focus on 152.466, while resistance at 154.653 defines the trend's invalidation point.
Do let me have your thoughts.
Cheers and happy trading!
CHFJPY 4H LONG setup
CHFJPY has been consolidating for a long period of time and finally broke the resistance level recently, which possibly helped to form an upward Break of Structure(BOS) confirmation too, seen on 4H chart. Look at the Daily or Weekly chart, you can see that we are in clear uptrend, it is a good idea to follow the big trend. Now when the price pulls back to the 4H Order Block, we can BUY, this is a classic trend-following trade.
Entry: 172.060
Stop Loss: 171.471
Take Profit: 180.117
Risk Reward Ratio: 13.8
Will BTC Push Up Soon? The Key Level is at 65000.00 !!!
I will be looking for LONG opportunities on BTC after the resistance level at 65000.00 has been broken and thereafter forms an upward confirmation Break of Structure(BOS) signal, and the two reasonable take profit levels are set as "TP1" at 70000.00 and "TP2" at 72000.00, shown on the 8H Chart.
At the moment, BTC is consolidating locally. It seems that the market needs to grab more liquidity from supporting areas down below in order to push up later and the 8H green Demand Zone can be a potential area for that.
If the "Caution level" at 58000.00 below the 8H Demand Zone has been broken first, then new analysis on BTC will be made.
USDJPY 1H Big Push-Down is Coming !?!?
USDJPY 1H local trend might start pushing down alongside with the strong down-trend at higher timeframes, after the green 1H supply zone has been reached today.
For that to happen, we need a downward confirmation signal Break of Structure(BOS) to emerge first, which is at level 144.229. Two rough scenarios have been drawn on the chart, we need to be patient for the BOS in order to seek Short opportunities later on. This push can potentially go to the Daily low targets at 141.684 or 140.249 (seen clearly on Daily chart).
The "Caution Level" at roughly 145.645 indicates a potential trend reversal signal once it's broken, new USDJPY analysis will be made at the time.
GOLD 1H Situational Analysis
Gold has been pushing up for a long period of time, now it has finally slowed down and started consolidating seen on 1H chart.
For LONG opportunities, we need a upward confirmation signal Break of Structure(BOS) to happen at level 2517.580 first, which increases the probability of the market going towards the TP level 2531.765, after which we can start seeking for entry area at lower timeframes to BUY. There are two scenarios for the market to reach BOS, briefly marked by the blue and green prediction paths.
At current moment, it is not easy to Short the Gold, since the uptrend in higher timeframes still seems very strong. But I've suggested a rough "Caution level" at 2491.000, indicating a potential trend reversal signal once it's broken, it's lying below a 1H green demand zone.
Bitcoin price looks settled following todays Breakout BTCUSD_2024-08-09_00-06-51_87596.png
As per my last post on Bitcoin which showed Bitcoin's strength in breaking out to the upside today from recent zones, this breakout occurred when Bitcoin was looking very bearish with D Tops across most timeframes. Be aware of a massive cup and handle formation on the weekly chart.
The chart here displays Bitcoins healthy price action as it settles in a rising wedge across 1hr, 2hr and 4hr timeframes.
We won't see these low prices again for a long time is my feeling. The interest rate reduction in the USA is practically in the bag for September and we are ever so close. Also today pleasing figures in unemployment assistance in the USA.
Going forwards to the September I am holding contracts in Silver but I have sold out of Gold as I see much more upside in Silver and potentially even more in Bitcoin. Buy the dips in small parcels that your margin can afford and safe and happy trading to everyone.
Jati Tinggi Group Bhd - Consolidation in ProgressA new IPO listed in December 2023 that mirrors the bullish continuation pattern with regards to Zantat Holdings Bhd, Wentel Engineering Holdings Bhd.
In daily timeframe, price is currently trapped in the sideways/accumulation ranging from 0.280 to 0.315 since Mid April 2024 with a low volume. However, price is struggling to close above 0.315 which is a strong resistance due to the following:
1. Ma 50 in Daily Timeframe
2. Ma 20 in Weekly Timeframe
3. Bearish candle in Weekly Timeframe
4. Supply zone (0.315 to 0.325) in Daily and Weekly Timeframe
In lower timeframe M15, in the internal structure, price already form a Change of Character (ChoCh) and followed with a Break of Structure (BoS) suggesting price is bullish in short term period.
To further validate this bullish movement, price must close above 0.315 as mentioned in Para 2.
A break below 0.290 will negate the bullish movement in M15 signaling correction still in progress while 0.275 will be the last defense.
Wentel Engineering Holdings Bhd to Exit The Sideways RangeIn daily timeframe, price is currently trapped in the sideways/accumulation ranging from 0.305 to 0.335 since April 2024 with a low volume. Price also is holding up well above both the MA 20 and Ma 50. A weekly bull candle already taken out the long wick bearish candle showing that the bullish momentum still intact for short term period.
In lower timeframe H1, the internal structure price formed Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) suggesting price is bullish.
To further validate the bullish movement, price must close above 0.345 as a sign of Change of Character (ChoCh).
A break below 0.305 will negate the bullish movement in H1 signaling correction still in progress while 0.285 will be the last defense.
Zantat Holdings Bhd to Gain Momentum for New HighIn daily timeframe, price is holding well above the MA 20 indicates the momentum still intact for short term period.
In lower timeframe H1, we can see a reversal followed by a bullish continuation pattern and currently price is capped below the supply zone area of 0.515 to 0.525.
To further validate the bullish movement, price to close above 0.515 in weekly timeframe as a breakout from the previous weekly bear candle.
A break below 0.470 invalidates the bullish movement and will further move downwards to 0.455.