USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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Breakout!
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 22.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has broken above last weeks highs.
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on the daily and 4H charts.
Overall Bullish price action is evident.
Price has been consolidating through London session thus far, we can expect a tap into the demand below the liquidity (relative equal lows) before continuation of bullish cycles.
Notes:
Price is currently at a weekly supply level, we may bounce in and out of it a few times, so manage your risk and take this setup based on your own analysis as well.
SUI Trade Setup – Early Reversal PlaySUI has just swept underside liquidity around $1.80, reclaiming key support and showing signs of a potential trend reversal. If it holds this higher low and breaks above $2.40, that would likely confirm a bullish structure shift and open the door for a strong move up.
📍 Entry Zone:
Around $2.25
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $2.73
🥈 $3.40
🥉 $4.00
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $2.00
Breakout or Fakeout? How to Spot the Difference and Trade.Trading breakouts can be exciting - and profitable - when they're real. But how do you avoid getting caught in those frustrating false breakouts (fakeouts) that trap many traders?
In this clear and practical guide, you'll learn exactly how to identify genuine breakouts, avoid traps, and improve your trading decisions instantly.
Here's what we'll cover:
✅ Real Breakouts vs Fakeouts: Why it matters.
✅ Market Psychology: Why false breakouts happen.
✅ Volume: Your best friend for spotting authenticity.
✅ Price Structure & Context: When breakouts mean business.
✅ Momentum Confirmation: The hidden indicator that changes everything.
Let’s dive in!
🚩 Real Breakout vs Fakeout: Know the Difference
A breakout occurs when price decisively moves beyond a clear support or resistance level. Imagine Bitcoin breaking above $50,000 or Gold dropping below $1,900.
A fakeout happens when price briefly breaks these key levels—but quickly reverses, leaving traders stuck on the wrong side of the market.
Why it matters: Fakeouts aren't just frustrating—they’re costly. They drain your capital and confidence. Recognizing them early keeps you profitable and disciplined.
🧠 Why Do Fakeouts Happen? (The Psychology)
Fakeouts thrive because traders chase excitement and fear missing out (FOMO). Here’s the secret many traders overlook:
Bull and Bear Traps: Institutional traders deliberately push prices slightly past key levels to trigger stop orders—only to reverse the price sharply.
FOMO-driven trades: Retail traders jump in excitedly at any small breakout, providing fuel for these short-lived moves.
Understanding these tactics can help you stay calm and avoid impulsive entries.
🔥 Volume: The Ultimate Breakout Indicator
Want to know if a breakout is real? Look at volume—it reveals the market’s true intention.
High Volume: Means broad market participation and conviction, supporting a genuine breakout.
Low Volume: A red flag! This signals low market conviction and a higher likelihood of reversal.
Example: If Ethereum breaks above $4,000 with unusually high volume, that's a strong signal. But if volume remains low, beware—it's likely a fakeout.
📐 Context and Price Structure Make a Difference
Not all breakouts are created equal. Pay attention to these key context clues:
Trend Alignment: Breakouts in the direction of a clear existing trend are more reliable.
Significance of Level: Breakouts of major support/resistance levels (weekly or monthly highs/lows) have higher odds of success.
Follow-through and Retests: Genuine breakouts often retest broken levels, turning old resistance into new support.
⚡ Momentum Confirmation: Your Secret Weapon
Momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) tell you what's happening beneath the surface. They help confirm or reject breakout validity:
Strong Momentum: If indicators confirm the breakout direction, the breakout is more reliable.
Divergence (Warning Sign): If price makes a new high but momentum indicators show lower highs, beware—a fakeout could be near.
Use momentum as your final confirmation step. It’s the missing piece that many traders ignore.
🎯 Quick Breakout Checklist
Use this simple checklist next time you're assessing a breakout:
🚦 Trade Breakouts Wisely: Final Tips
Be Patient: Waiting for breakout confirmation saves you from costly mistakes.
Set Clear Stops: If a breakout fails, exit quickly. Small losses protect your capital.
Scale into Trades: Enter gradually to manage your risk effectively.
Mind Market Context: Always align breakouts with the broader market direction.
Trading breakouts doesn't have to be stressful. When you know what signs to watch for, you trade with confidence—not guesswork.
🚀 Conclusion: Trade Better, Not Harder
Avoiding fakeouts is all about patience, confirmation, and understanding market psychology. By using volume, context, and momentum effectively, you'll greatly improve your breakout trading.
Now, put these strategies into practice. Stop guessing—start confidently trading real breakouts today!
Happy Trading!
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CTMI Strategy Spotting the Move Early – DG ExampleCTMI Strategy – Clean Entry. Strong Setup.
Another clear Buy Signal with 100% alignment, solid trend score, and a forecast target mapped out.
CTMI keeps you focused with structure, not emotions.
Comment “CTMI Access” for a free 7-day trial.
Trade smarter. See the edge for yourself.
STX Downtrend Breakout + 2x Bull RSI Divergences (1D)BINANCE:STXUSDT broke out of its downtrend after printing two Bull RSI Divergences in a row, and retesting a demand zone dating back to 2019.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.45: Main Demand Zone, relevant since 2019. A break below it would invalidate the setup.
• $1.20: Arguably the most important S/R throughout STX's history, in place since March 2021 and potentially a strong resistance, also currently reinforced by the 200-day EMA. If reclaimed, it would most likely shift the bias to bullish.
• $2.70-$3.00: Main Supply Zone to overcome for new ATHs, dating back to April 2021.
Definitely worth taking a look at the chart on the monthly timeframe as well, to grasp the full significance of these levels.
All things considered, this seems a high-conviction trade, with a clean invalidation and a very good R/R.
GOLD - Price can make correction and then continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price broke out from the lower wedge line and started climbing with confidence, building momentum step by step.
After bouncing off the $3215 zone, it pushed higher and touched the wedge resistance without major rejection.
The current candle formation shows signs of slowing down, hinting at a possible short-term pullback ahead.
Despite that, the structure remains bullish, and buyers are likely to defend local support if the price dips slightly.
With the breakout zones holding firm, I expect Gold to make a correction and then resume the upward path.
My target is set at $3500, where the upper wedge boundary might once again act as key resistance.
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ONDO/USDT: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT!🚀 ONDO Breakout Alert – 80%+ Potential Incoming?! 👀🔥
Hey Traders! If you're all about high-conviction plays and real alpha, smash that 👍 and tap Follow for more setups that actually deliver! 💹💯
ONDO has officially broken out of a long-term falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern. After months of compression and lower highs, price has finally pushed above the resistance line — signaling a potential trend reversal is in play. 📊
🔹 Entry: CMP (~$0.87)
🔹 Targets: $1.20 / $1.42 / $1.63
🔹 Stop-loss: $0.772
🔹 RR Ratio: Excellent risk-to-reward setup
🔹 Leverage: Use low to moderate (Max 5x)
🧠 Trade Idea:
With volume slowly picking up and structure breakout confirmed, this setup could offer big upside potential. Spot entries also look attractive for mid-term accumulation.
💬 Drop your thoughts or charts below — let’s ride this one smart and together! 🚀
SBIN Breakout Alert | Strong Volume + RSI Confirmation🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
Pattern: Stock has broken out of a clear consolidation range (highlighted in blue), suggesting bullish momentum.
Volume Spike: Notable surge in volume (blue arrow), confirming the breakout strength.
RSI: RSI has broken above the 60–65 zone, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Price Action: The breakout occurred above ₹775–₹780 resistance, now acting as support.
🟢 Recommendation: BUY
Action Level (INR)
Buy Above ₹785–₹790 (on minor dips or current price)
Target 1 ₹835
Target 2 ₹875
Stoploss ₹755 (below the breakout support zone)
for educational purposes only
US500's performance this week will be crucial in determiningUS500 Weekly Analysis
The US500 index is currently exhibiting bearish tendencies, but a crucial level to monitor is $5491. This level has the potential to act as a resistance point, and we're looking for a possible selling opportunity around this area. However, if the market breaks above $5491, it could signal a shift in bias towards bullish territory, potentially leading to a significant upward move.
Key Levels to Watch:
1. Sell Zone: $5491 - This level is critical in determining the next move. We'll be watching for confirmation to sell, such as bearish candlestick patterns or trend indicators.
2. Resistance Area: $5730 - $5790 - A strong resistance zone that could potentially cap upward movements.
Trading Strategy:
1. Wait for Confirmation: We'll wait for the market to reach the $5491 level and look for confirmation to sell. This could include bearish candlestick patterns, trend indicators, or other technical signals.
2. Breakout Scenario: If the market breaks above $5491, we'll reassess the bullish potential and look for opportunities to buy.
3. Risk Management: It's essential to manage risk effectively, setting stop-losses and take-profits according to our trading plan.
Market Outlook:
The US500's performance this week will be crucial in determining the next direction. We'll be monitoring the market closely, analyzing price action, and providing updates on any developments. Stay tuned for our analysis and guidance on potential trading opportunities.
By keeping a close eye on these key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make more informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
AXISBANK – Classic Cup & Handle Breakout | Targeting 1280 & 1320🧠 Technical Analysis:
AXISBANK has formed a textbook Cup and Handle pattern over the past few months. The breakout above the resistance zone around ₹1199 marks a potential start of a new bullish rally.
🔹 Cup Formation: Rounded bottom between Dec 2024 - Apr 2025
🔹 Handle Formation: Consolidation range in Oct - Dec 2024
🔹 Breakout Candle: Strong bullish candle with increasing volume
🔹 200 EMA: Price is now well above the 200 EMA, adding to the bullish bias
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹1280
Target 2: ₹1320
These levels are based on the measured move technique and previous swing highs.
🛡️ Support:
Immediate support lies around the breakout zone near ₹1199
Next strong support is near ₹1090 (200 EMA)
📊 Volume:
Breakout accompanied by a surge in volume confirms buyer interest and validates the pattern.
📌 Conclusion:
AXISBANK is showing strong bullish momentum with a confirmed breakout from a well-defined Cup and Handle formation. As long as it sustains above ₹1199, the stock could potentially rally toward ₹1280 and ₹1320 in the coming sessions.
📅 Keep it on your radar for bullish continuation setups!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading and investing involve risk.
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
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EURO - Price can fall to $1.1200 points, exiting from triangleHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price first broke out of a falling wedge pattern, kicking off a sharp rally that gained serious momentum.
The move ran into resistance at $1.1440, where price began stalling and transitioned into a triangle setup.
Since then, price has been wedged inside the triangle, testing highs but struggling to break convincingly.
The support trendline still holds, but each push upward is met with rejection near the resistance ceiling.
Momentum is fading, and with volume drying up, a downside move is becoming more likely from this zone.
I expect that the Euro can break lower from the triangle and fall to $1.1200 points in the upcoming sessions.
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NZD-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Trades!
NZD-USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 0.5920 then
Made a pullback to retest
The new support so we are
Bullish biased which means
We can enter a long trade
On Monday with the Take
Profit of 0.5968 and the
Stop Loss of 0.5893
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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Cardano Breakout and Potential RetraceBINANCE:ADAUSDT Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Cardano for a selling opportunity around 0.6250 zone, ADAUSDT was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.6250 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GBP_AUD WAIT FOR BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD is consolidating in
A bearish triangle pattern
So we are bearish biased
And If we see a breakout
To the downside we will
Be able to go short on the
Pair expecting a further
Move down
SHORT🔥
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NZD_CHF WILL GROW|LONG|
✅NZD_CHF is making a recovery
Move up and made a bullish breakout
Of the key level of 0.4860 so we
Are bullish biased and a
Further move up is to
Be expected
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.