Breakout!
Decoding Reversals: Technical Analysis of ONGC: Educational postEDUCATIONAL POST
Technical Analysis of ONGC Stock
This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.
In this post, we'll analyze the ONGC stock chart using technical indicators.
Key Points:
1. Bullish Divergence: Price and MACD are diverging, indicating a potential reversal.
2. Bullish Divergence: Price and RSI are also diverging, supporting the reversal idea.
3. Resistance Breakout: The stock has broken through a key resistance level with strong volume.
4. MACD Turns Positive: MACD has turned positive after the breakout, confirming the reversal.
5. Elliott Wave Counts: Wave counts suggest a potential reversal.
What to Expect:
Based on these indicators, we can see a potential reversal in ONGC's stock price. It may retrace to Fibonacci levels (50-61.8%) before continuing upward.
Conclusion:
This post is meant to illustrate how technical indicators can be used to analyze a stock chart. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
PHA - Under the radar potentialThe good looking chart shows us breakout and retest confirmation on the weekly very clearly. This is an AI focused coin PHA.
I have followed their recent updates and seems like they have a very unique business model when it comes to utilizing AI agents. I think the coin has a good use case and a good inflation model to be sustainable.
I will hop on this one. Lets ride the AI train.
Let me know of your thoughts.
Ascending Triangle in Nikkei/Yen Futures: A 2025 Bullish Setup?1. Introduction
The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity.
2. The Technical Setup
The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone.
This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections.
Key Contract Specifications:
o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!)
Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index
Tick Size: ¥5
Point Value: ¥2,500
Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY
o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI)
Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index
Tick Size: ¥5
Point Value: ¥250
Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY
These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset.
3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan
The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures:
Trade Direction: Long
Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level.
Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections.
Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk).
The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup.
4. Importance of Risk Management
Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup:
Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making.
Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders.
Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses.
Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels.
By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup.
5. Closing Remarks
The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target.
Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
AMP Looking at a Break out Soon
AMP - Great news coming down the pipe line for good ole AMP'y.
Partnering up with Coinbase and Regal Cinemas through the Flexa app, SPEDN.
***Allowing digital anonymous crypto payments anywhere anytime. Fast, Safe, and Secure.
This is a good one to jump on board with, lots of upward potential.
More companies jumping on board in the future as we move in to the Crypto revolution.
AMP - Looking at a break out, resting on the 0.618 Fib. After a unexpected whole market Christmas downturn, things are looking to turn around. A deeper wave 4 correction is not actually a bad scenario, usually means higher wave 5 targets in my book. Which is a good thing. I'm expecting something huge to happen in the crypto space as a whole, so better get your Moon Boots ready and buckle up!
Target 1: 0.019 to 0.024 (Get you some) around %160 increase from here
Target 2: 0.030
Target 3: MOON
Target 4: MOON
Target 5: MOON
Target 6: MOON
BTC QUICK UPDATE: Falling Wedge Breakout in Sight?🚀 Hey everyone! 👋
If this analysis excites you, hit that 👍 and follow for more high-value trade setups that deliver results! 💹
🎉 Happy New Year, Everyone! 🎉
Wishing you all a prosperous start to 2025! Let’s hope this is the year of the real Altseason where we all make life-changing gains. 🚀💰
BTC is forming a falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe—a classic bullish setup. It’s currently attempting a breakout, and once we see a confirmed 4-hour close above this wedge, we could witness a solid 8-10% rally, potentially pushing BTC above the $100K mark!
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Range: GETTEX:92K –$94K
Targets: $100K–$104K (Short-term rally).
Invalidation: 4-hour close below $91K will nullify the setup.
📈 Why This Matters:
The falling wedge is one of the most reliable bullish continuation patterns. With BTC holding above critical support and momentum building, this could be the perfect setup to kickstart 2025 with strong gains!
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you seeing the same breakout potential? Let us know your thoughts, analysis, or predictions in the comments below. Let’s crush it together this year and ride the wave of profits! 🌊🔥
Follow The Trend or Wait for Retracement...NSE:BAJAJ_AUTO trade at 10500. Support is at 9700 and Resistance at 10600.
P/E RATIO - 36.35 Industry P/E - 23.75
On the 23rd AUG Bajaj Auto give a Breakout above 10000 level. You can wait for Retracement otherwise Follow the Trend for Next Resistance at 11200-11500.
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again.
Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BNB SWING LONGSwing Long BNB Opened:
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The 2021 all-time high is the most critical level for me to watch. Historically, this level has acted as a strong support and resistance zone. Additionally, the price recently tapped the first 4H order block, showing a solid reaction from a 4H perspective.
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My trade strategy is grounded in sentiment (ATR) and general average price. Currently, all indicators have flipped green, even though the price hasn’t yet broken the previous internal swing high (1D perspective).
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Key Levels:
2021 All-Time High, as strong support especially with the current 4H reaction from it
Current ATH, This level will be my 75% TP, since its bove 3R (which is my minimum required R per trade, also This level holds liquidity and offers potential for price discovery above, where i will take the 25% (1.2 dev)
Last Internal daily Swing High, Breaking this level could create upward momentum tp reach the minimum target of the ATH.
The daily ATR sentiment confirms a bullish bias with a green signal,. (Main criteria for system)
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Trade Details:
Stop-Loss: Below the lowest wick from the 4H OB test. This area also aligns with the 4H 24/42 EMA, meeting my SL criteria.
Targets, 75% of the position will be exited at the current ATH. The remaining 25% will aim for the 20% deviation zone above the all time high, ($829.23 on Phemex linear charts).
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This trade offers a potential R of 4.2, with a maximum of 5.1R in total on average.
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Comparative Analysis:
Looking at the weekly BNB chart versus the daily BTC chart, I noticed similarities in structural behavior. While the timeframes differ, the fractal nature of the market validates this comparison.
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Both charts show clear break-of-structure patterns with higher-low formations. On the BTC weekly chart, three BOS moves have occurred since the last low, mirroring 2 break of structures on the BNB chart. BNB is approaching its ATH without significant rejections, which I interpret as a sign of strength.
EIGEN - Box is brokenBINANCE:EIGENUSDT (1h CHART) Technical Analysis Update
EIGEN is currently trading at $3.578 and showing overall bullish sentiment sentiment
Price was trading inside the box for couple days and expecting to breakout from the box soon. There is a good potential for long trade here.
Entry level: Candle close above $3.68
Stop Loss Level: $ Below 3.204
TakeProfit 1: $3.875
TakeProfit 2: $ 4.180
TakeProfit 3: $ 4.592
TakeProfit 4: $ 5.035
TakeProfit 5: $ 5.612
Max Leverage: 5x
Position Size: 1% of capital
Remember to set your stop loss.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto
Looking for a leap play on NKE! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
ACH ANALYSIS📊 #ACH Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily chart with a breakout of Descending. We would see a good price moment in few weeks if breakout sustains here 🧐
👀Current Price: $0.02740
🚀 Target Price: $0.03150
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ACH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ACH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR