PhoenixLTD, 1W & 1DLooking very Good Channel Pattern and it is ready to Breakout
Enter into it after the upper trendline Breakout
it is Combination of Both Triangle and Channel Patterns , it can Break any time
so look an eye on it or make an Alert above trendline broke
Follow For More Swing Trade Ideas Like This
Breakout!
XAG/USD Bullish Setup - Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAG/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 11:17 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 33.82300
High: 33.89005
Low: 33.79435
Close: 33.88880
Change: -0.05780 (-0.20%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 32.80000 to 35.25000, with the current price around 33.88880.
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of XAG/USD, showing price movements from late March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a sharp rally from around 32.80000 (March 21) to a high near 34.60000 (March 27). This indicates a strong bullish trend.
Following this rally, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of the Falling Wedge pattern.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out of the wedge pattern, closing above the upper trendline with a strong bullish candle. The current price of 33.88880 is above the breakout level, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
2. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish chart pattern that can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. In this case, given the preceding uptrend, it’s likely a continuation pattern.
A Falling Wedge is characterized by two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle than the upper trendline.
The wedge started forming around March 27, after the price peaked near 34.60000, and continued until the breakout on April 2.
Pattern Dynamics:
The narrowing range between the trendlines indicates decreasing selling pressure and a potential buildup of buying interest.
Falling Wedges typically resolve with a breakout to the upside, as the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a resumption of the prior trend (bullish in this case).
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the upper trendline of the wedge on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 33.88880. This breakout is a key signal for a potential upward move.
The breakout level appears to be around 33.85000–33.90000, and the price is currently holding above this level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 33.58553 (approximately 33.58–33.60).
This level acted as a significant support during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its importance as a key area of buying interest.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 34.60000 (approximately 34.60–34.80).
This level corresponds to the high reached on March 27, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 34.82470 (approximately 34.82).
This target is likely calculated using the standard method for wedge patterns: measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The target of 34.82470 is just above the resistance zone, suggesting that a break above 34.60000 could lead to further upside toward this level.
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 33.58553.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (around 33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is approximately 0.31447, which represents the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a risk-reward ratio of 0.9467 (2.80% / 9,469.7).
The potential reward is the distance from the breakout level (33.90000) to the target (34.82470), which is approximately 0.92470, or a 2.80% gain.
The risk is the distance to the stop loss (0.31447), making the risk-reward ratio approximately 2.94:1 (0.92470 / 0.31447), which is favorable for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Arrows and Labels:
A blue arrow labeled “Falling Wedge” points to the pattern, clearly identifying it for viewers.
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 33.58553 zone, indicating where buyers have stepped in.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 34.60000 zone, highlighting the next significant barrier.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 34.82470, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 33.58553, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 33.89900 (red) and bid price at 33.88558 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) XAG/USD.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around 33.85000–33.90000 on April 2.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline, with the current price at 33.88880, slightly below the high of 33.89005 but still above the breakout level.
Traders might wait for a retest of the breakout level (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 33.58553.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and breaches the support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is 0.31447, or approximately 0.93% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 34.82470.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension beyond the resistance at 34.60000.
Reward: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the target (34.82470) is 0.92470, or approximately 2.80% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.94:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.31447), the potential reward is nearly 3 units (0.92470).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the resistance at 34.60000, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at the resistance level (34.60000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the wedge was bullish, as evidenced by the rally from 32.80000 to 34.60000. The Falling Wedge, therefore, acts as a consolidation within this uptrend, and the breakout suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 34.60000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50 or 70) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
Silver prices are influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical events. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A weakening dollar typically supports higher silver prices.
Economic Data: Key releases like U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation data, or Federal Reserve statements around this time could impact silver.
Geopolitical Events: Any risk-off sentiment (e.g., due to global tensions) could drive safe-haven demand for silver.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the breakout level (33.85000–33.90000) and falls back into the wedge, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 33.58553 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 34.60000:
The resistance level has previously capped the price, and there’s a risk of rejection at this level. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near 34.60000.
Market Volatility:
Silver can be volatile, especially on a 1-hour timeframe. Unexpected news or economic data could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for XAG/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern. The price has broken out above the wedge’s upper trendline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 34.82470. Key levels include support at 33.58553 (where the stop loss is placed) and resistance at 34.60000, which the price must overcome to reach the target. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.94:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on XAG/USD or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
(ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead?Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead?
This 4-hour Ethereum chart shows a breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price has started forming higher lows, signaling potential upside movement. The projected target is around $2,411, indicating a significant recovery.
A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further upward momentum. Traders may consider long positions while monitoring resistance levels.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: ~$1,879
Target: ~$2,411
Resistance Zones: $2,100 - $2,200
Would you like me to refine this further? 🚀
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview:
The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios.
1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation
The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary.
Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out.
Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels
🔹 Support Level ($84,110)
This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further.
Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin.
🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone)
This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks.
After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest.
🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone)
If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections.
🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone)
A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for:
A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support.
A strong bullish candle confirming continuation.
📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range.
📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors
✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation.
✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation.
✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action.
Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup
Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout
Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation
Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup)
Key Levels:
✅ Support: $84,110
✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000
✅ Target: $89,931
✅ Stop Loss: $84,110
🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
JPMorgan at a Crossroads Bullish Surge or Bearish Retreat ? Hello, fellow traders!
Today, I’m diving into a detailed technical analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) on the 2-hour chart, as shown in the screenshot. My goal is to break down the key elements of this chart in a professional yet accessible way, so whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, you can follow along and understand the potential opportunities and risks in this setup. Let’s get started!
Price Action Overview
At the time of this analysis, JPM is trading at 243.62, down -1.64 (-0.67%) on the 2-hour timeframe. The chart spans from late March to early May, giving us a good look at the recent price behavior. The price has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows, but we’re now seeing signs of a potential pullback or consolidation.
The chart shows a breakout above a key resistance zone around the 234.50 level (highlighted in red on the Volume Profile), followed by a retest of this level as support. This is a classic bullish pattern: a breakout, a retest, and then a continuation higher. However, the recent price action suggests some hesitation, with a small bearish candle forming at the current price of 243.62. Let’s dig deeper into the tools and indicators to understand what’s happening.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart is a powerful tool for identifying key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. Here’s what it’s telling us:
Value Area High (VAH): 266.25
Point of Control (POC): 243.01
Value Area Low (VAL): 236.57
Profile Low: 224.25
The Point of Control (POC) at 243.01 is the price level with the highest traded volume in this range, acting as a magnet for price. Since the current price (243.62) is just above the POC, this level is likely providing some support. However, the fact that we’re so close to the POC suggests that the market is at a decision point—either we’ll see a bounce from this high-volume node, or a break below could lead to a deeper pullback toward the Value Area Low (VAL) at 236.57.
The Total Volume in VP Range is 62.798M shares, with an Average Volume per Bar of 174.44K. This indicates decent liquidity, but the Volume MA (21) at 165.709K is slightly below the average, suggesting that the recent price action hasn’t been accompanied by a significant spike in volume. This could mean that the current move lacks strong conviction, and we might see a consolidation phase before the next big move.
Trendlines and Key Levels
I’ve drawn two trendlines on the chart to highlight the structure of the price action:
Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle formation, with a flat resistance line around the 234.50 level (which was later broken) and an upward-sloping support trendline connecting the higher lows. Ascending triangles are typically bullish patterns, and the breakout above 234.50 confirmed this bias. After the breakout, the price retested the 234.50 level as support and continued higher, reaching a high of around 248.02.
Current Support Trendline: The upward-sloping trendline (drawn in white) is still intact, with the most recent low around 241.50 finding support on this line. This trendline is critical—if the price breaks below it, we could see a deeper correction toward the VAL at 236.57 or even the 234.50 support zone.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Based on the Volume Profile and price action, here are the key levels I’m watching:
Immediate Support: 243.01 (POC) and 241.50 (recent low on the trendline). A break below 241.50 could signal a short-term bearish move.
Next Support: 236.57 (VAL) and 234.50 (previous resistance turned support).
Resistance: 248.02 (recent high). A break above this level could target the Value Area High at 266.25, though that’s a longer-term target.
Deeper Support: If the price breaks below 234.50, the next significant level is 224.25 (Profile Low), which would indicate a major trend reversal.
Market Context and Timeframe
The chart covers 360 bars of data, starting from late March. This gives us a good sample size to analyze the trend. The 2-hour timeframe is ideal for swing traders or those looking to capture moves over a few days to a week. The broader trend remains bullish, but the recent price action suggests we might be entering a consolidation or pullback phase before the next leg higher.
Trading Strategy and Scenarios
Based on this analysis, here are the potential scenarios and how I’d approach trading JPM:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the POC at 243.01 and the trendline support at 241.50, I’d look for a bounce toward the recent high of 248.02. A break above 248.02 could signal a continuation toward 266.25 (VAH). Entry could be on a strong bullish candle closing above 243.62, with a stop-loss below 241.50 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 241.50 and the POC at 243.01, I’d expect a pullback toward the VAL at 236.57 or the 234.50 support zone. A short position could be considered on a confirmed break below 241.50, with a stop-loss above 243.62 and a target at 236.57.
Consolidation Scenario: Given the lack of strong volume and the proximity to the POC, we might see the price consolidate between 241.50 and 248.02 for a while. In this case, I’d wait for a breakout or breakdown with strong volume to confirm the next move.
Risk Management
As always, risk management is key. The 2-hour timeframe can be volatile, so I recommend using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, if you’re going long at 243.62 with a stop-loss at 241.50 (a risk of 2.12 points), your target should be at least 248.02 (a reward of 4.40 points), giving you a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your account on this trade.
Final Thoughts
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 2-hour chart, with a confirmed breakout above the 234.50 resistance and a retest of this level as support. However, the recent price action near the POC at 243.01 and the lack of strong volume suggest that we might see a pullback or consolidation before the next move higher. The key levels to watch are 241.50 (trendline support), 243.01 (POC), and 248.02 (recent high).
For now, I’m leaning slightly bullish as long as the price holds above 241.50, but I’ll be ready to adjust my bias if we see a break below this level. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let the market show its hand before taking a position.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below, and happy trading!
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break support level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Previously, Bitcoin was moving inside a triangle pattern, consistently reacting to the resistance zone between 88500 and 89300 points. Each time the price approached this level, sellers stepped in strongly, pushing the price back down. After multiple unsuccessful attempts to break this resistance, BTC ultimately lost bullish momentum, resulting in a decisive breakdown below the trend line. This breakout confirmed that sellers were taking control of the market. Following this bearish impulse, the price rapidly declined, eventually reaching the key support level at 81500, which coincided with the strong support zone between 81500 and 80800 points. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading near this support zone, showing a weak reaction and limited bullish interest, signaling continued bearish pressure. Considering the recent price action, the clear bearish breakout from the triangle, and the weak response at the current support, I expect that BTCUSDT will continue to decline and break the support level. That's why I set my goal at 79000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NZD_JPY BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅NZD_JPY is going down
After the bearish breakout
Which reinforces our bearish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD_USD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading in an
Downtrend and the pair
Made a bearish breakout
Then made a retest and
Is going down now again
So we are bearish biased
And a bearish continuation
Is to be expected
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke our of the bearish
Wedge pattern then made
A retest and is going down
Now so we are bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
313% vertical this morning $0.30 to $1.24300% vertical BOOM 💥 squeezing out shortsellers who were just moments before trying to manipulate downside 👉🏻 Priceless! 🤑
+33% gain realized with 3 Buy Alerts into vertical NASDAQ:ICCT
What red market is everyone talking about? We don't know anything about that 🤷🏻♂️
Gold - They All Call Me Crazy!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is just starting the next rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Gold perfectly broke out of the long term rising channel formation. After we then witnessed the bullish break and retest confirmation, it was quite clear that Gold will head much higher. This just seems to be the beginning of the next crazy major bullrun.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EOS ANALYSIS📊 #EOS Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retesting the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone
👀Current Price: $0.6235
🚀 Target Price: $0.9200
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #EOS price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#EOS #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the key
Level of 70.30$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Move up after a potential
Local pullback
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURO - Price can exit from pennant and drop to $1.0650 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price made strong upward impulse and broke several resistance levels on its way to the top.
Then it started to consolidate and formed a pennant pattern with a series of lower highs and higher lows.
Price touched upper boundary of the pattern and bounced down, showing weakness near resistance zone.
Recently Euro broke through the pennant support and tested $1.0790 level from above with no strength.
Now it trades slightly above the breakout point and stays below key trendline and local resistance area.
In my opinion, Euro can continue to decline and reach $1.0650 support level, exiting from pennant in the coming days.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
ZEC ANALYSIS📊 #ZEC Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retesting the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone
👀Current Price: $37.80
🚀 Target Price: $50.00
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ZEC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ZEC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
GBP_NZD GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD made a retest
Of the key horizontal level of 2.2600
Which is now a support after a powerful
Breakout so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD Breakdown: Bearish Setup with Sell Opportunity!"Key Observations:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The price initially formed a rising wedge near resistance.
The wedge broke down, indicating bearish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: Around 1.3014 – 1.3027, marking a strong rejection area.
Support Zone: Around 1.2933 – 1.2843, where price previously bounced.
Strong Support: Around 1.2627, marked as the target area for a bearish move.
Bearish Setup:
A range-bound consolidation occurred after the breakdown.
The chart marks a sell signal, suggesting a move toward the 1.2627 target zone.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Sell after confirmation below 1.2933.
Target: 1.2627 (major support level).
Stop-Loss: Above 1.3014 (resistance level).
This setup suggests a potential bearish continuation, with price expected to decline further if support breaks. Always confirm with volume and market conditions before entering a trade.
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction
This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum.
This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum.
🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern:
Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range.
Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend.
A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal.
Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels.
The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend.
2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183
This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup.
A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement.
🔹 Support Level – 0.83154
This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced.
Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout.
It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154
A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses.
This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
🔹 Entry Point Consideration
Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge.
3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup
📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup
📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout)
🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level)
❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level)
🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1
📊 Risk Management Strategy
Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance.
Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward.
4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis
Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength.
Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend.
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum.
📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern.
✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move.
✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside.
5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations
⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade:
✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering.
✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout.
✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target.
6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook
This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level.
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Target: 0.84183
❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154
📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1
📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description
Title:
🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming!
Description:
📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹
💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
GBP-NZD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 2.2600
Which is now a support then
Made a retest and we are now
Seeing a bullish rebound
Already which reinforces our
Bullish bias on the pair and
Suggests that we enter
A long trade with the
Take Profit of 2.2715
And the Stop Loss of 2.2568
Buy!
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CHF/USD Weekly Forecast: Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetMarket Overview: Bullish Reversal in CHF/USD
The Swiss Franc (CHF) / U.S. Dollar (USD) currency pair has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a bullish trend reversal. This breakout is significant as it suggests the end of a prolonged downtrend and the beginning of a new upward momentum. Traders who capitalize on this pattern could benefit from potential long opportunities.
This analysis will cover the chart pattern, key levels, trading setup, risk management, and market sentiment, providing a comprehensive professional breakdown of the CHF/USD price action.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge – Bullish Breakout
A Falling Wedge is a well-known bullish reversal pattern that forms when price action creates lower highs and lower lows, but the slope of the highs is steeper than the lows. This leads to a narrowing structure that suggests sellers are losing strength, paving the way for a bullish breakout.
Pattern Characteristics:
✔ Prior Downtrend: The CHF/USD pair was in a sustained bearish trend before forming the wedge.
✔ Converging Trendlines: Price action squeezed into a wedge formation, showing decreasing volatility.
✔ Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
✔ Retest Possibility: Price may revisit the breakout zone before continuing its uptrend.
A breakout from a falling wedge typically leads to a sharp bullish rally, making this a high-probability trading opportunity.
2. Key Technical Levels: Support & Resistance
Support Zones (Buying Interest):
🔵 1.0835 – 1.1000: This zone has acted as strong support where buyers stepped in aggressively.
🔵 1.1071 – 1.1095: A short-term support level that aligns with recent price action, making it a critical stop-loss area.
Resistance Zones (Profit Targets):
🔴 1.1483 – 1.1550 (Primary Resistance): Price has struggled at this level previously, making it the first target for a bullish move.
🔴 1.1600 (Major Resistance): If the uptrend continues, this level will act as the next major challenge.
🔴 1.1909 (Extended Target): A long-term resistance level where price has historically reversed.
3. Trading Strategy & Entry Setup
Now that we have identified the breakout and key levels, let’s design a strategic trading plan.
📌 Entry Points for Long Trades:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Buy at the current price after the breakout, expecting continuation.
✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the wedge breakout zone or support near 1.1071 – 1.1095 before entering long.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management):
❌ Stop below 1.1071: This level is a strong support area, and a break below it may invalidate the bullish setup.
❌ Alternative Stop below 1.1000: A safer option for long-term traders to avoid stop-hunting.
📌 Take-Profit Levels:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1483 – 1.1550 (Primary Resistance Zone)
🎯 Target 2: 1.1600 (Stronger resistance where partial profits can be booked)
🎯 Target 3 (Extended): 1.1909 (For swing traders holding positions longer)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
A proper Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio of at least 1:2 should be followed for efficient trade management. This means:
Risking 50 pips to gain 100 pips (or more) for profitable trading.
4. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals
✔ RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Above 50? Bullish confirmation.
Near 70? Overbought zone, potential pullback.
✔ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Bullish Crossover? Strengthens buy signal.
Divergence? Confirms price momentum.
✔ Volume Analysis:
High volume on breakout? Confirms strong buying interest.
Low volume? Beware of false breakout.
✔ Fundamental Factors:
Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy: If SNB maintains dovish policies, CHF could weaken, pushing CHF/USD higher.
US Federal Reserve Stance: A strong USD could slow CHF/USD gains.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
🔹 Summary of Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish breakout from Falling Wedge – high-probability long trade
✅ Retest of breakout zone may offer better entry
✅ Major support at 1.1000 – 1.1071
✅ Targeting 1.1550 – 1.1909 range
🚀 Final Trading Plan:
📌 Buy CHF/USD above 1.1100 – 1.1150
📌 Stop-loss below 1.1071
📌 Take Profit 1: 1.1550
📌 Take Profit 2: 1.1600
📌 Take Profit 3 (Swing Trade): 1.1909
📢 Pro Tip:
Always confirm breakout volume before entering.
Monitor economic events affecting CHF & USD.
Use proper risk management (1-2% of account per trade).
📊 Final Verdict:
🔥 CHF/USD is in a bullish setup after breaking out from a Falling Wedge. Traders should look for buy opportunities on pullbacks while targeting resistance levels. 🚀
EURJPY Weekly Forecast: Triple Bottom Breakout & Bullish Target Overview of the Chart & Market Structure
The EUR/JPY daily timeframe chart presents a Triple Bottom Pattern, a powerful bullish reversal formation that suggests a potential shift in market sentiment. This pattern occurs when price tests a key support level three times and fails to break lower, indicating strong buying interest at that zone.
Historically, a Triple Bottom leads to a significant trend reversal as sellers lose strength and buyers gain control. If confirmed by a breakout above resistance, this setup could provide a high-probability trading opportunity for swing traders and position traders.
Key Chart Components & Price Action Analysis
1. Triple Bottom Formation
The three bottoms marked on the chart represent repeated failed attempts by sellers to push the price lower:
Bottom 1 (August 2024): The first rejection from the support zone (~155.000) led to a temporary bounce.
Bottom 2 (October 2024): Price retested the same level, but buyers stepped in again, preventing a breakdown.
Bottom 3 (March 2025): The final test of support confirmed a strong accumulation zone, setting the stage for a potential bullish breakout.
In technical analysis, a Triple Bottom is considered a stronger reversal signal than a Double Bottom, as it represents prolonged buying pressure at key levels.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zone (~155.086): This level has been tested multiple times and remains a solid demand zone, where buyers have consistently entered the market.
Resistance Zone (~166.000): This level represents the neckline of the pattern, which must be breached to confirm a bullish reversal.
Breakout Target (~179.233): If price breaks out above 166.000, the projected target is set at 179.233, based on the height of the Triple Bottom pattern.
Trading Strategy & Entry Plan
1. Entry Point – Waiting for Confirmation
A buy trade should be initiated ONLY after a confirmed breakout above the resistance level (~166.000). Traders should wait for a daily candle close above this level, preferably with high volume, to confirm the breakout.
2. Stop Loss Placement
A stop-loss should be placed below the third bottom (support level) at 155.086 to minimize risk.
This placement ensures that if price invalidates the pattern by moving below the support level, the trade is exited early.
3. Profit Target Calculation
The measured move technique is applied to estimate the target. The height of the pattern (distance from support to resistance) is projected upward from the breakout point.
Target price: 179.233, aligning with historical resistance.
4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio & Position Sizing
The risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup is favorable, making it an attractive swing trade opportunity.
Traders should adjust position sizes based on risk tolerance, ensuring proper money management principles are applied.
Additional Confirmation Factors
1. Volume Analysis
A breakout with increasing volume will confirm strong bullish momentum.
Weak volume during breakout could indicate a false breakout, requiring caution.
2. RSI & Momentum Indicators
RSI trending above 50 suggests growing bullish strength.
Bullish divergence on RSI or MACD would add further confidence to the trade.
3. Retest of Resistance as Support
Often, after breaking resistance, price retests the breakout level before moving higher.
This could offer a secondary entry opportunity for traders who miss the initial breakout.
Potential Risks & Market Conditions to Watch
False Breakouts – If price fails to sustain above resistance, the pattern could be invalidated.
Macroeconomic Events – Major news events, such as ECB or BOJ policy decisions, could impact EUR/JPY movement.
Geopolitical Uncertainty – Unexpected events may cause volatility and deviation from technical patterns.
Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup
The Triple Bottom Pattern in EUR/JPY is shaping up as a strong bullish reversal setup. If the price successfully breaks above 166.000, a rally toward 179.233 is expected.
📌 Trading Plan Recap:
✅ Entry: Buy above 166.000 (confirmed breakout).
✅ Target: 179.233 (measured move projection).
✅ Stop Loss: 155.086 (below support).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for swing traders.
This setup aligns well with technical and price action strategies, making it an attractive trade idea for the upcoming weeks.
GOLD - Price can bounce up from pennant to $3100 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price sometimes declined inside the falling channel, where it broke support level and fell to the channel's support line.
Then it turned around and rose to support area, some time traded near and later continued to move up.
Gold broke $2935 level again and soon exited from channel also, after which continued to grow in pennant.
In pennant, price reached $3055 level, which coincides with resistance area and tried to break it, but failed.
After this, price corrected to support line of pennant and then started to grow, and now it trades near $3055 level.
In my mind, Gold can bounce up from support line of pennant to $3100, breaking resistance level.
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