ZEC ANALYSIS📊 #ZEC Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retesting the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone
👀Current Price: $37.80
🚀 Target Price: $50.00
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ZEC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ZEC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Breakout
GBP_NZD GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD made a retest
Of the key horizontal level of 2.2600
Which is now a support after a powerful
Breakout so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
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GBP/USD Breakdown: Bearish Setup with Sell Opportunity!"Key Observations:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The price initially formed a rising wedge near resistance.
The wedge broke down, indicating bearish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: Around 1.3014 – 1.3027, marking a strong rejection area.
Support Zone: Around 1.2933 – 1.2843, where price previously bounced.
Strong Support: Around 1.2627, marked as the target area for a bearish move.
Bearish Setup:
A range-bound consolidation occurred after the breakdown.
The chart marks a sell signal, suggesting a move toward the 1.2627 target zone.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Sell after confirmation below 1.2933.
Target: 1.2627 (major support level).
Stop-Loss: Above 1.3014 (resistance level).
This setup suggests a potential bearish continuation, with price expected to decline further if support breaks. Always confirm with volume and market conditions before entering a trade.
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction
This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum.
This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum.
🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern:
Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range.
Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend.
A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal.
Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels.
The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend.
2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183
This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup.
A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement.
🔹 Support Level – 0.83154
This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced.
Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout.
It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154
A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses.
This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
🔹 Entry Point Consideration
Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge.
3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup
📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup
📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout)
🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level)
❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level)
🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1
📊 Risk Management Strategy
Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance.
Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward.
4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis
Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength.
Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend.
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum.
📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern.
✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move.
✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside.
5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations
⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade:
✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering.
✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout.
✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target.
6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook
This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level.
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Target: 0.84183
❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154
📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1
📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description
Title:
🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming!
Description:
📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹
💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
GBP-NZD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 2.2600
Which is now a support then
Made a retest and we are now
Seeing a bullish rebound
Already which reinforces our
Bullish bias on the pair and
Suggests that we enter
A long trade with the
Take Profit of 2.2715
And the Stop Loss of 2.2568
Buy!
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CHF/USD Weekly Forecast: Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetMarket Overview: Bullish Reversal in CHF/USD
The Swiss Franc (CHF) / U.S. Dollar (USD) currency pair has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a bullish trend reversal. This breakout is significant as it suggests the end of a prolonged downtrend and the beginning of a new upward momentum. Traders who capitalize on this pattern could benefit from potential long opportunities.
This analysis will cover the chart pattern, key levels, trading setup, risk management, and market sentiment, providing a comprehensive professional breakdown of the CHF/USD price action.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge – Bullish Breakout
A Falling Wedge is a well-known bullish reversal pattern that forms when price action creates lower highs and lower lows, but the slope of the highs is steeper than the lows. This leads to a narrowing structure that suggests sellers are losing strength, paving the way for a bullish breakout.
Pattern Characteristics:
✔ Prior Downtrend: The CHF/USD pair was in a sustained bearish trend before forming the wedge.
✔ Converging Trendlines: Price action squeezed into a wedge formation, showing decreasing volatility.
✔ Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
✔ Retest Possibility: Price may revisit the breakout zone before continuing its uptrend.
A breakout from a falling wedge typically leads to a sharp bullish rally, making this a high-probability trading opportunity.
2. Key Technical Levels: Support & Resistance
Support Zones (Buying Interest):
🔵 1.0835 – 1.1000: This zone has acted as strong support where buyers stepped in aggressively.
🔵 1.1071 – 1.1095: A short-term support level that aligns with recent price action, making it a critical stop-loss area.
Resistance Zones (Profit Targets):
🔴 1.1483 – 1.1550 (Primary Resistance): Price has struggled at this level previously, making it the first target for a bullish move.
🔴 1.1600 (Major Resistance): If the uptrend continues, this level will act as the next major challenge.
🔴 1.1909 (Extended Target): A long-term resistance level where price has historically reversed.
3. Trading Strategy & Entry Setup
Now that we have identified the breakout and key levels, let’s design a strategic trading plan.
📌 Entry Points for Long Trades:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Buy at the current price after the breakout, expecting continuation.
✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the wedge breakout zone or support near 1.1071 – 1.1095 before entering long.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management):
❌ Stop below 1.1071: This level is a strong support area, and a break below it may invalidate the bullish setup.
❌ Alternative Stop below 1.1000: A safer option for long-term traders to avoid stop-hunting.
📌 Take-Profit Levels:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1483 – 1.1550 (Primary Resistance Zone)
🎯 Target 2: 1.1600 (Stronger resistance where partial profits can be booked)
🎯 Target 3 (Extended): 1.1909 (For swing traders holding positions longer)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
A proper Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio of at least 1:2 should be followed for efficient trade management. This means:
Risking 50 pips to gain 100 pips (or more) for profitable trading.
4. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals
✔ RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Above 50? Bullish confirmation.
Near 70? Overbought zone, potential pullback.
✔ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Bullish Crossover? Strengthens buy signal.
Divergence? Confirms price momentum.
✔ Volume Analysis:
High volume on breakout? Confirms strong buying interest.
Low volume? Beware of false breakout.
✔ Fundamental Factors:
Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy: If SNB maintains dovish policies, CHF could weaken, pushing CHF/USD higher.
US Federal Reserve Stance: A strong USD could slow CHF/USD gains.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
🔹 Summary of Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish breakout from Falling Wedge – high-probability long trade
✅ Retest of breakout zone may offer better entry
✅ Major support at 1.1000 – 1.1071
✅ Targeting 1.1550 – 1.1909 range
🚀 Final Trading Plan:
📌 Buy CHF/USD above 1.1100 – 1.1150
📌 Stop-loss below 1.1071
📌 Take Profit 1: 1.1550
📌 Take Profit 2: 1.1600
📌 Take Profit 3 (Swing Trade): 1.1909
📢 Pro Tip:
Always confirm breakout volume before entering.
Monitor economic events affecting CHF & USD.
Use proper risk management (1-2% of account per trade).
📊 Final Verdict:
🔥 CHF/USD is in a bullish setup after breaking out from a Falling Wedge. Traders should look for buy opportunities on pullbacks while targeting resistance levels. 🚀
EURJPY Weekly Forecast: Triple Bottom Breakout & Bullish Target Overview of the Chart & Market Structure
The EUR/JPY daily timeframe chart presents a Triple Bottom Pattern, a powerful bullish reversal formation that suggests a potential shift in market sentiment. This pattern occurs when price tests a key support level three times and fails to break lower, indicating strong buying interest at that zone.
Historically, a Triple Bottom leads to a significant trend reversal as sellers lose strength and buyers gain control. If confirmed by a breakout above resistance, this setup could provide a high-probability trading opportunity for swing traders and position traders.
Key Chart Components & Price Action Analysis
1. Triple Bottom Formation
The three bottoms marked on the chart represent repeated failed attempts by sellers to push the price lower:
Bottom 1 (August 2024): The first rejection from the support zone (~155.000) led to a temporary bounce.
Bottom 2 (October 2024): Price retested the same level, but buyers stepped in again, preventing a breakdown.
Bottom 3 (March 2025): The final test of support confirmed a strong accumulation zone, setting the stage for a potential bullish breakout.
In technical analysis, a Triple Bottom is considered a stronger reversal signal than a Double Bottom, as it represents prolonged buying pressure at key levels.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zone (~155.086): This level has been tested multiple times and remains a solid demand zone, where buyers have consistently entered the market.
Resistance Zone (~166.000): This level represents the neckline of the pattern, which must be breached to confirm a bullish reversal.
Breakout Target (~179.233): If price breaks out above 166.000, the projected target is set at 179.233, based on the height of the Triple Bottom pattern.
Trading Strategy & Entry Plan
1. Entry Point – Waiting for Confirmation
A buy trade should be initiated ONLY after a confirmed breakout above the resistance level (~166.000). Traders should wait for a daily candle close above this level, preferably with high volume, to confirm the breakout.
2. Stop Loss Placement
A stop-loss should be placed below the third bottom (support level) at 155.086 to minimize risk.
This placement ensures that if price invalidates the pattern by moving below the support level, the trade is exited early.
3. Profit Target Calculation
The measured move technique is applied to estimate the target. The height of the pattern (distance from support to resistance) is projected upward from the breakout point.
Target price: 179.233, aligning with historical resistance.
4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio & Position Sizing
The risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup is favorable, making it an attractive swing trade opportunity.
Traders should adjust position sizes based on risk tolerance, ensuring proper money management principles are applied.
Additional Confirmation Factors
1. Volume Analysis
A breakout with increasing volume will confirm strong bullish momentum.
Weak volume during breakout could indicate a false breakout, requiring caution.
2. RSI & Momentum Indicators
RSI trending above 50 suggests growing bullish strength.
Bullish divergence on RSI or MACD would add further confidence to the trade.
3. Retest of Resistance as Support
Often, after breaking resistance, price retests the breakout level before moving higher.
This could offer a secondary entry opportunity for traders who miss the initial breakout.
Potential Risks & Market Conditions to Watch
False Breakouts – If price fails to sustain above resistance, the pattern could be invalidated.
Macroeconomic Events – Major news events, such as ECB or BOJ policy decisions, could impact EUR/JPY movement.
Geopolitical Uncertainty – Unexpected events may cause volatility and deviation from technical patterns.
Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup
The Triple Bottom Pattern in EUR/JPY is shaping up as a strong bullish reversal setup. If the price successfully breaks above 166.000, a rally toward 179.233 is expected.
📌 Trading Plan Recap:
✅ Entry: Buy above 166.000 (confirmed breakout).
✅ Target: 179.233 (measured move projection).
✅ Stop Loss: 155.086 (below support).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for swing traders.
This setup aligns well with technical and price action strategies, making it an attractive trade idea for the upcoming weeks.
GOLD - Price can bounce up from pennant to $3100 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price sometimes declined inside the falling channel, where it broke support level and fell to the channel's support line.
Then it turned around and rose to support area, some time traded near and later continued to move up.
Gold broke $2935 level again and soon exited from channel also, after which continued to grow in pennant.
In pennant, price reached $3055 level, which coincides with resistance area and tried to break it, but failed.
After this, price corrected to support line of pennant and then started to grow, and now it trades near $3055 level.
In my mind, Gold can bounce up from support line of pennant to $3100, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
NZD_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|
✅NZD_CHF made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal level
and the breakout is confirmed so we
are bearish biased and we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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CAD-CHF Nice Bearish Setup! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level and is already marking
A bearish pullback while trading
In a bearish wedge pattern so
If we see a breakout then
A further move done is to be expected
Sell!
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Euro can exit from pennant and rebound up from support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price was previously trading inside an upward channel, where it consistently rebounded from the support line and moved toward the resistance line. After a final bounce from the lower boundary, EUR made a strong breakout and exited the channel, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. This move brought the price directly to the current support level at 1.0745, which overlaps with the support area. After reaching the local high, the price turned around and entered a correction phase, forming an upward pennant pattern. Inside this structure, we can see how EUR respected both the resistance line and the rising support line of the pennant. Recently, the price rebounded from the support line again, showing signs of strength near the support area, and is now consolidating at the edge of the pennant. This setup often signals an upcoming breakout. I expect the price to break above the resistance line of the pennant and continue its bullish move toward TP1, which is set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Setup!A rising wedge is a pattern that typically forms when the price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum starts weakening. The narrowing structure of the wedge indicates that buyers are losing strength, and a breakout to the downside is likely.
Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge:
✔ Higher highs & higher lows – but with reduced momentum
✔ Trendline support (lower boundary) & resistance (upper boundary)
✔ Volume decline – suggests a potential reversal
Expected Scenario:
If the price breaks below the lower trendline, it signals bearish pressure, and Silver could see a strong decline.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level ($34.50 - $34.80)
The upper boundary of the wedge is acting as strong resistance.
Historically, this zone has rejected price action multiple times, indicating sellers are defending this area.
📌 Support Level ($30.20 - $30.50)
A major demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
If the wedge breaks down, this is the most likely target for the decline.
📌 Stop Loss ($34.81)
Placed just above the recent high and resistance zone to limit risk in case of an unexpected upside breakout.
📌 Target ($30.20)
Measured move from the wedge breakdown projects a sharp decline toward the next strong support at $30.20.
3. Trade Execution Strategy
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If the price breaks below the lower trendline (around $33.00), we expect a strong move downward.
📉 Short Entry: Below $33.00 (after confirmation)
🎯 Target: $30.20
❌ Stop Loss: $34.81 (above resistance)
Confirmation Needed:
✅ Strong bearish candle close below support
✅ Increased volume during breakdown
✅ Retest of broken support turning into resistance
🟢 Bullish Alternative (Invalidation)
If price breaks and holds above $34.81, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and a breakout towards $36.00 - $37.00 could be expected.
4. Additional Considerations
📌 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on macroeconomic news, Fed decisions, and USD strength, as these impact Silver prices.
📌 Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging and use a proper risk-reward ratio (1:3 or higher).
📌 Market Sentiment: Watch volume trends and confirm breakout or fakeout before entering trades.
Conclusion
This chart presents a high-probability short trade setup based on the rising wedge breakdown.
If the breakdown occurs, Silver could drop toward the $30.20 support zone. However, traders should wait for confirmation before entering to avoid fakeouts.
Would you like me to refine this further for a TradingView post? 🚀
Potential reversalAs always we must look for channels in which price is moving on a bigger timeframe, this one is in 4h candles giving a good medium term channel which it has respected at least 2 times before, so my idea is to wait for a breakout and retest or a reasonable rejection at this point positioning trades following price as we allways say.... don't go against the trend!
EURJPY Confirmed Pennant Pattern BreakoutOANDA:EURJPY Long Opportunity
Price has made a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Pennant Pattern it has been forming the past couple of weeks.
The Breakout meets all the requirements needed to be validated as a True Breakout!
With Price trading above the 200 EMA, this adds more confirmation that the Bulls are in-control and we can reasonably expect to see price move to the Upside.
At the Start of the Following Hour ( 09:00 CST ), I will enter a Long Position on OANDA:EURJPY with my SL below the Retest of the Break!
CAD_CHF BEARISH WEDGE PATTERN|SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.6213 which makes us
Locally bearish biased and
On top that we are seeing a
Fully formed bearish wedge
Pattern so IF we see a bearish
Breakout from the wedge
Pattern we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and my bullish
Bias is reinforced by the
Trade war and a possible
Recession fear which comes
As a reaction to the Trump's
Car tariffs. So as the price
Is trying to break the all-time-high
Level of 3058$ we can enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 3101$ and
Stop Loss of 3027$
Buy!
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CAT - Falling Wedge PatternKUCOIN:CATUSDT (3D CHART) Technical Analysis Update
CAT is currently trading at $0.000008225 and showing overall bullish sentiment
Price has broken out from the falling wedge pattern and we are seeing beginning of the bullish trend. Expecting this trend to continue until the price hits the resistance zone.
Entry level: $0.000008225
Stop Loss Level: $0.000004602
TakeProfit 1: $0.000011536
TakeProfit 2: $0.000011536
TakeProfit 3: $0.000034238
TakeProfit 4: $0.000065098
Max Leverage: 2x
Position Size: 1% of capital
Remember to set your stop loss.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto
SUI - Falling Wedge - Confirmed BreakoutBINANCE:SUIUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update
SUI is currently trading at $2.77 and showing overall bullish sentiment
Price has formed nice falling wedge and we see a clear breakout from the falling wedge pattern. I'm expecting this trend to hold and read the resistance level around $5.3
Entry level: $2.7
Stop Loss Level: $1.8
TakeProfit 1: $3.1
TakeProfit 2: $4
TakeProfit 3: $5.3
Max Leverage: 2x
Position Size: 1% of capital
Remember to set your stop loss.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
SUI ANALYSIS🚀#SUI Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #SUI that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #SUI broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #SUI retest the levels
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #SUI price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#SUI #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Starbucks (SBUX) Brewing a Breakout? Don’t Miss This $100 BattleStarbucks (SBUX) 2-Hour Chart Breakdown
Hey traders, let’s dive into Starbucks (SBUX) on the 2-hour chart and see what’s cooking. The price is sitting at $99.65 right now, up a tiny 0.01%, but don’t let that small move fool you—this chart has been a wild ride lately, and I think we’re at a really interesting spot for a potential trade.
What’s Been Happening with the Price?
If you look at the chart, you’ll see Starbucks hit a high of $112.38 back on March 17th. That was the peak, and man, did it come crashing down after that! The price tanked all the way to $97.34 by early April, a pretty steep drop. Since then, though, things have calmed down a bit, and we’ve been stuck in this tight range between $97.34 and $100.00. Lately, the price has been pushing toward the upper end of that range, and it’s got my attention.
Let’s Talk Trends
From mid-March to early April, we were in a clear downtrend. You can see it on the chart—lower highs, lower lows, and a descending trendline that kept the price in check as it slid down. It was a bear’s paradise, and there’s even a sell signal marked on the chart from that $112.38 peak that caught a massive 27.96% profit on the way down. Not bad at all!
But now, things are starting to shift. After hitting that $97.34 low, the price has been consolidating, and just recently, it broke above that descending trendline. That’s a big deal because it tells me the bears might be losing their grip. We’re not in a full-on uptrend yet, but the momentum feels like it’s tilting toward the bulls, especially with the price testing that $100.00 level.
Key Levels to Watch
Let’s zoom in on the levels that matter here. On the downside, $97.34 has been a rock-solid support. The price has bounced off that level a couple of times in early April, so it’s a spot I’m keeping an eye on. If we drop back down, that’s where I’d expect buyers to step in again.
On the upside, $100.00 is the big resistance we’re testing right now. The price has struggled to break through here before, so it’s a critical level. If we can get a clean break above it, I think we could see a nice move higher. The next big resistance after that would be around $107.00, which was a swing high from late March, and then up toward $111.00 or even that $112.38 peak if things really get going.
What the Past Signals Tell Us
The chart has a couple of trade signals marked, which give us some context. That sell signal at $112.38 was a home run, as I mentioned—27.96% profit as the price collapsed. Then there’s a buy signal at the $97.34 low on April 5th, but that one only managed a peak profit of 0.27%. Not exactly a big win, and it makes sense because the price has been stuck in this range since then. It’s like the market’s been taking a breather, trying to figure out its next move.
Digging into the Technicals
Alright, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of what’s happening on the chart. That break above the descending trendline is a bullish sign for me. It’s like the price is saying, “I’m done with this downtrend, let’s try something new.” We’re also in this consolidation range between $97.34 and $100.00, and when I see a range like that, I know a breakout is usually coming. The question is, which way?
One thing that’s catching my eye is the potential for a double bottom pattern. We’ve got two tests of that $97.34 support, and if we can break above $100.00, that would confirm the pattern. If that happens, I’d measure the height of the pattern and project it upward, which could take us toward $107.00 as a first target. That’s something to watch for.
I’d love to see volume on this chart to confirm the breakout, but from the price action alone, it feels like there’s some buying interest building as we push toward $100.00. If we get a strong candle closing above that level, I’ll be a lot more confident in the bulls.
How I’d Trade This Setup
So, what’s the play here? I see a few ways to approach this, depending on what the price does next.
First, let’s talk about the bullish case. If we get a solid break above $100.00—ideally with a strong 2-hour candle and some good volume—I’d be looking to go long. My first target would be $107.00, and if we get some momentum, maybe even $111.00 or $112.38. I’d set my stop loss just below the recent swing low around $98.00 to protect myself in case this breakout fails. That trendline break and the potential double bottom make me think the bulls have a shot here.
On the flip side, if the price gets rejected at $100.00—and I’ll be watching for something like a shooting star or a bearish engulfing candle—I’d consider a short. If we drop back down, $97.34 is the first target, and if that support breaks, we could even see $94.00, which is a psychological level and a spot where I’d expect some buyers to show up. For a short, I’d set my stop loss just above $100.65 to give it a little room.
If you’re more of a scalper, you could play the range while we’re stuck in it. Buy near $97.34, sell near $100.00, and use tight stops outside the range—say, below $97.00 for longs and above $100.65 for shorts. It’s a decent way to grab some quick profits while we wait for the bigger move.
A Word on Risk
One thing I always remind myself is to keep risk in check. Starbucks has been volatile—look at that 27.96% drop from the peak! So, I’d be careful with my position size and aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on any breakout trade. Also, keep an eye out for any news that might shake things up, like earnings reports or big economic data releases. Starbucks is in the consumer discretionary sector, so things like consumer spending trends or even coffee prices could move the stock.
The Bigger Picture
Speaking of the broader market, Starbucks can be influenced by how the NASDAQ 100 is doing, since it’s listed there. If the overall market is feeling optimistic, that could help push SBUX higher. On the other hand, if there’s a risk-off vibe, we might see that $100.00 resistance hold strong. It’s always good to check the bigger picture before jumping into a trade.
Wrapping It Up
So, where does that leave us? Starbucks is at a really interesting spot right now, testing that $100.00 resistance after breaking above the descending trendline. I’m leaning toward a bullish breakout, especially with that potential double bottom pattern, but I’ll be watching closely to see if we get confirmation above $100.00. If we do, I think $107.00 is a realistic target, with $111.00 or higher in play if the bulls really take control. But if we get rejected here, $97.34 is the level to watch on the downside.
For now, I’d say be patient and wait for the price to show its hand. Whether you’re looking for a breakout or playing the range, there’s definitely an opportunity here. Just make sure to manage your risk and stay on top of any news that might move the stock. Let’s see how this plays out I’ll be watching this one closely!
AUD/CAD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Support📊 Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Accumulation Zone : The price previously traded within a rectangular consolidation range before breaking down.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Pattern : A falling wedge has formed, indicating a possible breakout to the upside.
3️⃣ Key Support : The price has tested the 0.8980 - 0.8970 zone multiple times and is showing signs of rejection.
4️⃣ Potential Upside : A breakout above 0.9030 - 0.9050 could confirm further bullish momentum.
🚀 Trading Plan:
📌 Entry : On a breakout above 0.9025
🎯 Targets :
First target : 0.9100
Extended target : 0.9130
🛑 Stop Loss : Below 0.8965 to minimize risk.
🔔 Confirmation Needed: Wait for strong bullish price action before entering long trades. 🚀🔥
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement.
🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement.
🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support.
🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance.
📈 Trading Plan:
✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest.
🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain).
🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly).
📊 Conclusion:
If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.