OIL PRICE IS TOO LOW TO STAY AT THIS LEVEL FOR LONG#COMMODITIES #TRADESETUP
📡🔞 TRADE $BRENT
🔽 LONG (BUY) > 76.20$
❌ STOP > 75.10$ (1.18%)
✅ T1 > 93.32$ (RR 19.31)
✅ T2 > 119.5 (RR 48.41)
☠️CAUTION !!!!
2 IMPORTANT INFORMATION TO TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION:
> THIS IS A MT/LT TRADE. REGARDING THE SETUP. JAC IS DONE AND WE ARE WORKING ON THE EXIT. PIV D (76.47$) MIGHT BE THE KEY.
> IF WE REINTEGRATE THE FORK (BACK BELOW 75$). LAST CALL MIGHT BE THE LEFT LQ ZONE (73.30$)
> FUNDAMENTALS
OPEC+ likely to stick to its guns despite price slump, delegates say
www.reuters.com
Wo1and, PhD
Brent
⚡️UPDATE: OIL PRICE, 21 March 2023My last update was over 1.5 months ago.
I was looking for a continuation of the downtrend in the price of Oil down to the mid-60s area. I expected this to happen soon or after a period of side-ways movement.
Subsequently, Oil proceeded to trade sideways and in recent days has reached the support level as outlined in the chart.
We should expect strong support around this area. Extending back to 2019, this area has acted as both support and resistance on numerous occasions.
📉 A strong move below this area could see an acceleration in the pace of the downtrend with Mid-40s being the next stopping point. The narrative/rationale for such a move would be a collapse in inflation expectations/demand destruction due to the current banking crisis and flow on effects.
📈 A bounce higher is also possible. An outsized bounce would signal a change of behaviour that may result in a trend reversal. On the other hand, a minor bounce would not change the bearish trend and we should expect 📉 as outlined above.
Last time: 7th Feb 2023
No change of opinion. Looks to be headed lower. Currently moving in a choppy sideways pattern (horizontal green arrow) . There are currently no reversal signs such as a large bullish candle or significant bounce - the scale of which will need to surpass the Oct 2022 short-term rally.
In the short-term, prices can move higher to the upper range of the current side-ways movement or just simply fail to the downside. I don't forsee a long period of consolidation.
The medium-term price target is still the mid-$60s. That's the strongest immediate support zone.
DYOR, not investment advice.
UKOIL🛢️ macro movesBrent Crude Oil : Multiyear(2015-2022) inverted Head and Shoulders triggered at the beginning of this year. Price broke the major downtrendline and subsequently iH&S neckline at 87 (lime) and then skyrocketed to 138. Now pulling back down to the neckline. We could actually see the backtest of the major downtrendline and dip into the S/R Zone 76-68. This would be great buying opportunity. Price shouldn't get much below right shoulder (65.8), otherwise the setup would be invalidated. Will set SL to 60, Target 157.
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Brent: In the Jungle 🌳🌴🎍Wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh
Wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh
Wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh
Wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh, wimoweh
In the jungle, the mighty jungle
The lion sleeps tonight,
In the jungle the quiet jungle
The lion sleeps tonigh
Wee heeheehee…–
… – okay, let’s stop here before we won’t be able to get this song out of our heads. We should rather take a look at Brent, which has advanced deep into the dark green jungle between $77.13 and $42.20 and has left the mark at $75.09 behind. We hope, the course has taken a sharp machete along, as we expect it to penetrate the scrub further – ideally until the 61.80%-retracement at $62.71. There, it should complete wave 2 in green and subsequently turn upwards again.
Bullish Market for The OIL This Week ?As the markets attempt to digest two bank failures in the U.S., a plunge in shares of Credit Suisse and plummeting bank stocks on two continents, fears mount that a banking collapse could lead to a sustained economic downturn and cap demand for oil. So that will push the OIL up .
Crude oil 7.03.2023Now the situation that fundamentally pressures the price of oil , it is the sale prices of oil from Russia, and this is a trigger for the market, for a further decline.
Now we are moving in a range of 83-69, breaking through the upper level will mean for me, reaching the liquidity zone, collecting stop losses and continuing the move down
Best regards EXCAVO
Crude could fall even lower without OPEC intervention
• Oil prices remain under pressure despite receding banking fears
• Major technical breakdown suggests more losses could be on the way
• Will the OPEC come to the rescue?
After falling by 8% at one point, crude oil prices managed to bounce back from their worst levels on Wednesday along with everything else. The rebound came on the back of news the Swiss National Bank offered a $54 billion lifeline to Credit Suisse. The move has helped calm fears of a financial crisis in Europe. But there wasn’t much immediate follow-through in the markets this morning ahead of the European Central Bank decision. Crude oil also turned lower. Risks, therefore, continue to remain to the downside for oil prices.
Oil prices have been weighed down by at least three major factors in recent days: 1) general risk-off sentiment, 2) weaker demand projections for oil and 3) technical selling.
Given that prices had been stuck inside a corridor for a long time – since early December to be exact – a major move was going to follow. The fact that we have now had a bearish fundamental trigger – a sharp rise in financial stability risks – to move prices outside of their ranges to the downside, meant that technical traders have also helped to add pressure on prices by selling oil futures short to take advantage of the momentum.
The three-month consolidation has been resolved by prices moving and closing below the support level of the sideways channel. This should keep the “sell-the-rallies” trade intact until something changes fundamentally.
The impact of very high levels of inflation over the past couple of years has been hurting consumption, while the significant interest rate tightening by central banks have further reduced consumer and business buying power. Indeed, the International Energy Agency is forecasting that global oil supply will “comfortably” exceed demand in the first half of this year. The IEA reported that commercial oil stocks in developed OECD countries hit an 18-month high. Oil prices also remain weighed down by higher-than-expected inventories. The EIA, meanwhile, posted a 1.6-million-barrel rise in US crude stockpiles last week, which was more than forecast.
So, all this begs the question: will the OPEC step in to save oil prices again by cutting its production?
The balls in their court now, but for now, thanks to the big breakdown, the path of least resistance is clearly to the downside for oil. Granted, we might see an oversold bounce in prices soon. But until something changes fundamentally to create a higher high for oil, we would continue to favour selling into resistance than fading the dips.
For Brent, the next potential downside target could be $70.00. Stop-loss orders of many bullish traders would now be resting below Wednesday’s low at $71.36. If they get tripped, which we think is likely, the next stop could well be that $70.00 mark. That’s not to say oil cannot go much lower than that. But that’s our main downside target in the short-term outlook.
On the upside, key resistance is seen between 75.00 to 76.60, an area which was previously support. Bullish traders will want to see oil go back above this area to regain control again.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
Follow Fawad on Twitter @Trader_F_R
ukoil 8h chart broke down 15% correction warningUKOIL 8hour chart review/outlook. Broke key s/r recently
so expecting weakness next 4-8 weeks. Previously compression
intro triangle pattern and sequence of higher lows was
invalidated recently with break of 83.50 USD.
sequence of higher lows at 76.50 and 79.85, but broke
down with recent sell side pressure mounting due to
US banking crisis. Based on measured move price projection
bears will target 69.50 USD, so this is a 15% correction off
the base of the triangle patter setup.
Recommended strategy: short sell rips/rallies and exit
final TP at 69.50 on sell side.
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Target 45,27. Recession! Following monthy chart.
Before I shared a short setup an it hit the target
Then shared a long setup, it hit the target
This time it's a bit concerning. I got a short signal from my indicator and I think target will be 45.27 in fibo.
SL 112.
This means recession, something bis is coming soon.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Setup Explained🛢
On a today's live stream, we discussed WTI Oil.
The price formed a tiny double top pattern on 1H time frame,
approaching a wide supply cluster.
Its neckline was broken.
I expect a bearish continuation to 70.9 now.
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Continue to go long on crude oil.
Due to positive data, the oil price continues to rise. Our long position took profit at 76.3. Currently, it seems that there is still momentum for oil to continue its upward trend, with the MACD indicator showing a second bullish crossover on the 2-hour chart. Resistance is near 78.5, so I believe we can continue to enter long positions with a trading strategy of entering around 76.3-75.8 and setting a profit target in the 78-79 range. If the oil price can break through the 79 level, the next target is around 80.8.
TVC:USOIL MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Crude Oil Stuck In A Range, Forming Contracting Triangle!Crude oil price has been moving between 70 & 83 since Nov. 2022. In the process forming contracting (or symmetrical) triangle. A strong bullish close above the upper descending line will make crude oil price to be bullish while a close below the lower descending line will invite more bears for oil.
With price hovering currently on strong support level, oil most likely will break above the symmetrical upper line...
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
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Brent showing two strong bearish patterns to target $67.71M formation has formed over the Rising Flag.
This confirms not one but 2 bearish patterns in the making.
There is a strong chance of the price coming down. and we have other indicators confirming.
7= 21 - crossing
Price <200
RSI<50
Target $67,71
Going long on crude oil.
The crude oil is currently trading around 74.8, with some support visible on the 4-hour chart. In the short term, there is upward momentum observed on the 1-hour chart. As a trading strategy, one can go long near 74.8 and target 76.3, with the possibility of further upside if the resistance at 76.3 is breached. If unable to break through, a short position can be considered at 76.3. I will keep you updated in due course.
Short-term trading strategy: Go long near 74.8 with a target of 76.3.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Going short on crude oil at 77.8.
At the start of the Asian market on Thursday, crude oil is currently trading around $76.5 per barrel. On Wednesday, crude oil continued to fall as concerns about more aggressive interest rate hikes weighed on economic growth and oil demand, outweighing the larger-than-expected reduction in US inventories. Although yesterday's decrease in crude oil inventories did not cause significant fluctuations in the price and quickly recovered, it shows that the overall trend of crude oil is weak. My trading strategy remains short, with a focus on selling high.
My trading strategy is to short crude oil at $77.8, with a stop loss at $78.6 and a target of around $75.
Investors can choose their own profit-taking points according to their trading style. The above is only a short-term trading perspective. I will notify you promptly if there are suitable opportunities. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the best encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading simpler! You are also welcome to read my other ideas below.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Waiting for a rebound to go short.
In the early Asian session, US oil traded near $77.20 per barrel. On Tuesday, crude oil plummeted more than 4%, affected by Chairman Powell's speech exacerbating concerns about interest rate hikes and a stronger dollar. Powell stated to lawmakers on Tuesday that the Fed may need to raise interest rates more than expected to respond to strong recent data, which led to a downturn in most financial markets. Today, shorting is favored in crude oil. Strategy suggestion: Sell crude oil near $78.3-$78.5 with a stop loss at $79.2 and a target near $76. I will also give an alert once it reaches the target.
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TVC:USOIL FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Crude Oil (WTI): Bearish Outlook Explained 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil reached a key daily structure resistance.
The price formed a tiny little double top on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline has been just broken.
The market will most likely keep retracing.
Goals: 79.9 / 79.6
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