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Brent

Brent Crude Oil: Potential for a further corrective move higherCurrent price remains below its 40 week moving average (200 days) which indicates that the longer term trend is lower (100 days or more), however, the scope for a further near term (25 to 50) corrective upside rally from the November high - December low remains on the table, provided the key resistance near $85.05 can be overcome for prospective extension move towards the $91.66 (50% retracement from the 52 week high/low); downside risk seen near the $78.3 support.
SKILLING:XBRUSDLong
by Skilling
BRENT CRUDE OIL BULISH PATTERNDemand for crude oil is expected to rise after a cold wave hit USA, which will likely increase the demand for oil distillates, easing of the COVID measures in China and US crude oil inventories coming up less than the analysts have had expected. British crude oil benchmark, BRENT, had broken the resistance of the triangle pattern, a strong bullish predictor, and the price might reach levels of 87.5 in the next couple of days. In an event of reversal of the trend, the price might reach levels of its previous low of 75.35 RSI and MACD both are confirming the bullish outlook, with MACD histogram above 0 and rising and RSI rising as well and approaching the 50 neutral line. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by legacyFXofficial
OPEC & The West Battling Over Oil Price. Who Wins?OPEC (and non OPEC members) are battling with the West led by the US over oil price. While the West wants oil price to hover around $60/barrel, OPEC and other oil producing countries led by Russia and Saudi Arabia feel no one should dictate the price of their commodity... With oil price now sitting on important support level, will the price breaks down to go lower OR there will be a reversal to and price start to move high? Technically, bulls came into the market early last week; drove the price high but bears later joined the market and brought price a little down. Coming week(s), if more bulls came into the market, then oil price will likely go up. Otherwise, if bears are more prominent in the next 1 or 2 weeks, then we might witness more decline in oil price. N.B - Let emotions and sentiments work for you -ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
TVC:USOIL
by BullBearMkt
BR1! - Possible to reach TP96 Bull Up condition : 1) BRENT candlestick has BO Level-2 of Raising Stage (E), next target going to be 96.55 (Level-3) 2) Tricol+ indicator - Banker's sentiment (red) above 75%, still in bullish trend Support & Resistance: S : 89.37 (-1.81%) R : 96.55 (+6.08%) Remark: - length of AB=CD=DE=EF DISCLAIMER: Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
RUS:BR1!Long
by TheWinningDay
1
Crude trader - closer to a mean reversion rally Having reached the double top target, we see that Crude is now 15% below from its 50 day MA - in the past 2 years we've been as stretched as 17% below this average before we saw solid mean reversion kick in - we are in oversold territory and that offers an elevated risk of short covering By way of flow, we now see 67% of open positions in crude are now held long by clients, so they see upside - the selling pressure seems to be supported and the buyers are having more of a say. Is price putting in a ST low? It seems to be the case - while we're yet to see momentum truly shift, it feels like the prospect of a squeeze higher has risen
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Pepperstone
China's turmoil, SPRs, and further deterioration in outlookIn our previous update on West Texas Intermediate crude oil, we updated our price target from long-term to medium-term. Additionally, we stated that this price target could soon become short-term, depending on oil market developments. Today, finally, USOIL hit a new yearly low at 73.62$, further confirming our bearish thesis. Accordingly, we continue to maintain our price target at 70$. Our views are based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors. We expect the global recession to weigh heavily on oil prices in the coming months. In addition to that, we expect the United States to offset any price increases with more releases of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR). As if it was not enough, turmoil in China also does not support the bullish narrative, putting higher prices at risk. The same applies to OPEC member countries that seek to increase their production despite a slowing economy. Overall, we have no reason to change our bearish outlook. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 The illustration shows the daily chart of USOIL, simple support/resistance levels, and two moving averages. At the moment, the price appears too far from these moving averages, likely foreshadowing a correction to the upside (as the price deviated too far from its MAs). Now, these MAs act as significant resistance levels. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
16
Brent crude bearish sentiment Commentary: Despite the optimism around the reopening of China from COVID restrictions, oil prices remain vulnerable to fears of a global economic slowdown. The EU’s price cap at $60 per barrel while OPEC+ is expected to maintain existing production targets adds towards the bearish outlook on price. Brent crude : Last weeks gains can be viewed as a “corrective” bounce off the $81 support; since price has pierced below the September 26th lows at $82.30 may serve to keep alive the bearish price sentiment; downside potential spotted near the $79.7s while upside seems limited to $89.2 in the short term (5-25 days). Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SKILLING:XBRUSDShort
by Skilling
Crude OIL Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 Crude OIL Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 6.96%, down from 7.4% last week according to OVX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 68th percentile, while according to OVX, we are on 85th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 4.9% movement Bearish: 5.08% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 27.4% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 85.9 BOT: 74.1 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 70% probability we are going to touch previous high of 83.5 30% probability we are going to touch previous low of 73.5/74 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 50% BEARISH trend Daily timeframe indicates 66% BEARISH trend 4H timeframe indicates 26.3% BULLISH trend
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux