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UKOUSD - Fibonacci confluence area is located at 81.10UKOUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 84.00 (stop at 85.30) A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 81.10. Selling posted in Asia. We have a Gap open at 83.88 from 22/11 to 28/11. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 83.94. Our profit targets will be 81.10 and 79.90 Resistance: 83.88 / 83.94 / 88.01 Support: 81.10 / 79.90 / 78.07 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:UKOUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
$70 crude coming? A major (bearish) development in oilThe technicals in crude continue to break down as the buyers stand aside – the 26 Sept swing low looks close to being taken out at $76.61 and a break here sees $65 come into play – it does feel like these lows will be tested, so a short bias is preferred. The fact we see crude down 4% when copper is up 1% speaks to the EU price caps as the driver, over just a China Covid and an economic/demand story. I think it's important to look at the crude futures curve – On TradingView I have shown the difference between the continuous front month contract and August 2023 contracts (code CL1! -NYMEX: CLQ2023) – this is now eyeing inversion, having been as high as $11. 90 in October. This is a big development in the crude complex as it removes a key reason for funds/producers to hold longs for the roll down into the next contract on expiry. What else has caused the moves on the day? • Poor liquidity – everyone watching Ger vs JAP - obviously many market ballers are off now for US Thanksgiving • EU price caps on Russian exports came in a $65 to $70, perhaps higher than consensus – not that Russia will comply and work with countries that apply such caps – but I guess the view is given the caps are higher, and Russia is selling crude at discounts of c.$20 p/b, that these caps won't affect Russia supply • The DoE Weekly Inventory data showed a 3.7m drawer in crude inventories, however, the market caught onto a 3.06m build in gasoline inventories (most since July), while distillates rose by 1.72m. I always find with the inventory report the market will see what it wants to see, but on today’s report it’s the gasoline numbers that have won out • China Covid restrictions – obviously still highly fluid but it is influential on the demand side of crude’s driver – traders seeing new mobility controls in the city of Zhengzhou and PCR testing – we watch Beijing and Shanghai as always given the record case count sweeping the country. We gear up to the next OPEC meeting on 4 Dec, which could even more focus if price breaks $70 – we have our eyes on US payrolls then but the OPEC meeting could drive some solid cross-asset vol.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Pepperstone
Gold GC1 - A New ATH is Simply a Fantasy. But, a Big Trade Brewsis this thing that has traded like a boat anchor, as much of a boat anchor as Bitcoin . More or less not moving at all. Yet, as with all things, consolidation periods only last for so long before the volatility picks up again to draw in new attention. This chart is a huge amount of time and very wide ranges and so it's very hard to stuff the important info into the part associated with this call. You'll have to read my wall of text for it to all make sense. Many have wondered, myself included, how Gold could have failed to make a new high during its post-Russian Federation invasion of Ukraine pump to $2078. I myself traded this during that time and had months worth of longs established at $1,600, $1,700, $1,800 and missed the chance to get out at a profit, waiting for it to set a new high. I was very confused. Over the months, I have upgraded myself significantly and I now understand why. It's simple: Market makers were simply attacking the area above the '11 $1,923 ATH. The fact that no new high was made indicates that MMs are heavy on the sell. Unfortunately for goldbugs, this means that a new all time high is literally a fantasy. It will happen, but not until significant downside conditions are met. The total range equilibrium between the $1,069 low in '16 and the post-COVID ATH is roughly $1,550. Until gold trades below this area and there are indications longs are accumulating, there will not be a move towards an ATH again. This can be seen with a study of the monthly: And the Weekly: This is reality. Just get in line with reality and you'll be able to: a) Save losses b) Book gains Gold has traded, since September, underneath a key low, and has not followed its counterpart Silver in taking significant north-side runs. Today during FOMC madness, the one time that gold really ought to have gone up to draw in buyers based on the notion of inflation hedging, it instead ran into resistance at that $1,670 level. This mostly assures that gold is headed to new lows. In my opinion, there are two scenarios, the first is much more likely than the second, and bodes well for bulls: 1) Gold trades to the low $1,500s for a discount versus the COVID-hysteria lows for the first time in almost two years. Should it show signs of life here, Gold should reverse and head back into the $1,850-$1,900 area. But be warned this type of trading pattern will not amount to a run towards a new all time high, although it will feel like it, and all the "gurus" will assure you it will be. This type of trading pattern will constitute more selling, because a longer term move downwards is happening. 2) Gold loses all life and heads towards the $1,350 area. This will be long term bullish because, after what is likely to be at least a year of accumulation, it means that a new all time high is inbound. I believe gold will drop as equities rally more. I think that when equities start to dump, this time gold will go up, because it will drag in goldbugs and ancap types who think the dollar is on the way out and the gold standard is coming back. After you buy their bags at $1,900, gold will be crushed and you'll buy high and sell back low. Note that in terms of Commitments of Traders , although commercials are their most long they've been in three years, they're still not net long. You won't see them be net long until the $1,300s. But before then, we should see Gold mimic the patterns of silver , because more selling is in store. A final word: The biggest market risk right now is not the Federal Reserve , or a recession. Neither is it Credit Suisse collapsing. A lot of things are going to go up, and may even go up a lot (Don't believe it? Take a look at what the Dow Jones just did. Some components made a new all time high in the middle of your "Hawkish Federal Reserve" and your "recession."). The greatest market risk is that the Chinese Communist Party will either collapse internally or be thrown away by "Emperor" Xi Jinping as he, and the nation of China, struggle to survive what is happening. When that day happens, 20% days down on the indexes are going to come and there won't be any bounces. Wall Street won't be in such a mood to market make anymore, because all their collusion with the Chinese Communist Party and their implicit passive and active support of the organ harvesting persecution of Falun Gong will have many of their members scuttle into hiding. Just wait and see. Nobody thought the USSR would ever fall, and yet, it did. Overnight. Tl; dr Gold --> $1,500 with little upside in between. This is a bear trap. Then big bounce to $1,850. But the big bounce is a bull trap.
COMEX:GC1!
by LordWrymouth
13
Crude prices under downside pressureCrude prices under downside pressure on the back of weaker demand outlook The recent break below the $92 short term support level has opened up the prospects for a further decline towards a test of the September 30th lows near $84, the bearish outlook can be technically supported by the fact that current price is below its 20 and 50 day simple moving averages, as well as the fact that the 14 day relative strength index has crossed below its respective signal line (bearish). Short positions can therefore be technically supported provided price is unable to push back above the recent support now turned resistance at $92. Short sellers may be looking for $84 and $81 as potential downside targets, while longs may be aiming for a retest of the $92 area with $93.54 in extension.
SKILLING:XBRUSDShort
by Skilling
OIL, What's next?As the CPI numbers and the inflation numbers starts to slow and decrease, and banks are saying that 2023 inflation will drop even more. The oil is facing more down moves. The Saudi Arabia, needs a $75 per barrel to cover the government budget. but what if the decrease production to keep prices high, will be enough to cover the budget ?! In this chart, we are seeing too possible buys, with two possible scenarios. the first buy at $75.00 per barrel and the second one at $50.00 Always manage your risk in trading be for you enter the market. Regards.
TVC:UKOILShort
by ghattas360
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Oil set for higher pricesTrade Idea: Buying Oil Reasoning: Head and shoulders setup still possible on the daily chart. Entry Level: 86.46 Take Profit Level: 92.66 Stop Loss: 83.43 Risk/Reward: 2.05:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OLong
by Signal_Centre
USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview? -TOP author on TradingView -2000+ ideas published -15+ years experience in markets -Professional chart break downs -Supply/Demand Zones -TD9 counts / combo review -Key S/R levels -No junk on my charts -Frequent updates -Covering FX/crypto/US stocks -before/after analysis -24/7 uptime so constant updates 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! USOIL H2: BUY/HOLD XABCD setup 15% gains (SL/TP)(NEW) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. Tagged as LONG as I expect more gains. READ ENTIRE IDEA BEFORE EXECUTION!!!! 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: USOIL 2hours candle chart review ::: speculative XABCD setup in progress ::: expecting correction/pullback after G20 ::: G20 meeting likely result in pullback MODE ::: higher risk setup: short from point C ::: near 92/94 USD TP BEARS 80 USD ::: this is higher risk setup use tight SL ::: BULLS remain on sidelines and wait ::: for correction to complete (point D) ::: recommended strategy: BUY/HOLD 80 USD / D ::: 80 USD is also a strong liquidity gap zone ::: BULLS should wait for a better price ::: TP1 BULLS 90 USD TP2 BULLS 93 USD ::: WAIT for price to pullback before buying ::: near 80 USD / liquidity zone /point D ::: shorting is a higher risk setup now ::: SWING trade setup do not expect ::: fast/miracle overnights gains here ::: good luck traders 🔸 Supply/Demand Zones ::: 80USD fresh demand zone ::: 92/94USD fresh supply zone 🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies ::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A ::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS ::: Sentiment mid-term: BEARS/pullback RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
6
Oil move pending China's directionBrent Crude Oil price is expected to consolidate between 93 to 100, with the main catalyst being China's Covid Policy. There were on-and-off hopes of China's reopening. However, we are still very much on the fence given the continued strict Covid measures in China. On the other hand, China did announce an easing of the measures, reducing the quarantine time. Another positive news is that the NHC is planning to accelerate vaccinations, which is crucial before further easing on their zero COVID policy. We don't know how long that will take, or when it will be in effect. Buys on support above 93 and sells on resistance at 100, until we have a clear path on China's reopening. Overall, looking more for buys given the pretty much firm demand in oil. Keep an eye out for OPEC oil report on Monday, 14 Nov 2022.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by geneAnalytics
Brent: Watch it burnWe're currently observing a downwards trend that should turn once the blue wave is completed. Thereupon, Brent should move above the $105.42 resistance into the turquoise target zone between $104.29 - $116.05. After hitting the target zone, Brent should turn and drop below the support at $83.61 directly into the green target zone between $77.10 - $42.16. After crossing the green zone, the green wave should be completed and turn out of the green zone to move above the $83.61 support. Since the anticipated downslope is surely not going to evolve as a straight line, we'll sketch the in-between-movements as the course comes down from the top.
TVC:UKOIL
by MarketIntel
Brent could trade higher only if...Energy prices climbed on Friday as Brent reached the 92.60 price level and WTI climbed a high of 98.75. This move higher was due to the weakness of the DXY and the anticipation that China was ready to reopen borders, spurring demand for oil. However, as China reiterates its intention to maintain its current Covid policy, both Brent and WTI are retracing lower from last week’s climb higher. Look for the completion of the retracement before a continuation of the uptrend. The prices could test the key resistance level of 97.00 for WTI and 102.00 for Brent, if prices clear above the immediate resistance of 94.00 and 100 respectively.
TVC:USOILLong
by JinDao_Tai