USDWTI H4 - Short SetupUSDWTI H4
Bearish trend on this setup has really started to take off, good end to the week, but the start of the week has really picked up where we had left off. Ideally want to see a close below $87/b today or tomorrow, this would really turn the tables on the LTF and help us seek the next lower low leg. With short term targets of $84/b.
Brent
USDWTI D1 - Short Signal SetupUSDWTI D1
Pretty much everything we are scouting out is on this higher timeframe, really trying to understand market bias and direction (USD bull continuations expected) before diving into the LTF entries (H4/H1).
Nice area of D1 supply and S/R here on WTI. Targets of $85/b with a little over $2/b stops gives us over 4R potential.
📈BRENT 08/12/2022: strive upward❗️📈 Priority direction : Up .
📝 Description: Brent crude is currently trading near the POC (point of control) of the previous week and it is not surprising that buyers did not pass this barrier on the first attempt. It may take several such attempts, but most likely the situation will develop in favor of buyers and the instrument will rush to $101.50 (another barrier to growth). If the above levels are overcome (this is already a more medium-term idea), then oil will not keep you waiting and will reach $104.23.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Very Bearish Outlook 🛢
This morning with my students, we discussed WTI Oil.
The price is trading within a wide horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame.
Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double top formation.
Its neckline breakout confirms a highly probable bearish continuation.
Goals:
88.7 / 87.8
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USD BRO- Downtrend tendentionThe Brent moves is high manipulatives but this trend shows a major huge tendentions to downtrend and many indicators confirm it.
I show a simple canle analisys and confirmations from several indiacators
Just watch and wait a several days to confirmation of this trend.
I think it will be around from 70 to 45 $ for Barrel
📈BRENT 09/08/2022: recovery attempt❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: After the downward movement since the end of July, the range of which is $16, there is a possibility of recovery and a possible local reversal. The price is at interesting support levels, and the volumes confirm the potential for a likely upward reversal. Buying from the current ones is not a good idea. Longs can be looked at at the level of $97, based on the results of fixing the price at the specified value. The target is located at the level of $98-$100. After such a development of events (as close as possible to this one), we can say that oil locally turned up.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) The Market of Bears🛢
Hey traders,
A very important thing happened on WTI Crude Oil this week.
The price broke and closed below a key daily demand area.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
I will expect a further decline to 85 level from that.
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Gasoline almost back to pre-war levelsGasoline in the US has been trending lower and lower, now down 30% from its ATH. It hasn't filled the breakaway gap yet, but I think it will do so in the next few weeks, and that could be an excellent opportunity to go long in the short term.
Oil has filled the gaps and chopped at support for a while but is looking weak. What is strange is how supply is limited, the spot market is strong... yet the paper market (futures, etc.) is invalid. Maybe the weakness is due to broadly slowing growth and economic activity, though I am not sure the REAL recession is here yet. The energy crisis isn't over, especially not in Europe... and this could get worse before they get better.
Most issues remain the same, and there is very little progress. There are no new refineries; few nuclear plants are active again, Russia is still limiting gas flows to Europe, sanctions make oil flows harder, and OPEC+ cannot increase capacity fast. Our energy needs constantly grow, yet our production has plateaued. Very little can be done now to ease our problems, and our problems will become even worse if the SPR is drained and the US stops supplying the world with oil from its reserves. Most solutions require time, and politically many of these are not welcome by the green movement. Essentially, we have energy producers and green activists colluding to increase energy prices so that the first make more money and the second to make themselves feel good while simultaneously destroying people's lives and the environment.
I believe crude oil could get down to 75$ and even 55$ in the short term but ultimately will go much higher once the Fed and other central banks are forced to cut rates and print money. It's all about managing your positions until we get to that point, as a big recession could cause oil and gas prices to tank. Oil and gasoline prices rose so fast that it is almost impossible for such a move not to cause a recession and consequently demand destruction.
If we look at Gasoline prices in terms of other fiat currencies, we can see that they went 70% higher than their 2008 peak, which is a lot. I multiplied the RBOB with DXY to get a better picture of the actual cost of gas for everyone outside the US, as the US is less than 25% of the global economy. That means that for almost 90% of the population and 75% of the worldwide economy, gasoline costs 70% more than in 2008. This will have tremendous consequences, especially given the rate at which prices increase.
In conclusion, although I don't think prices have bottomed, and we could see a sharp decline in the next few months, I believe gasoline and oil prices will go much higher, and dips are for buying.
#BRENT crude oil - technical picture deterioratingAs we all know, Brent crude has been one of the strongest commodities for quite some time given all the supply issues from Russia/Ukraine and under investment. Oil has lost some critical technical levels losing both its horizontal support, rising channel as well as 200 day moving average. The market can be telling us two things, potentially, (1) there is some sort of resolution to the Russia/Ukraine embargo, or (2) Economic growth slows down as we enter recession, with demand destruction starting to take place
Next target is likely $86 which was an important level of resistance in prior years - and likely to become support should we drop further.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Oversold Market & Pullback 🛢
WTI Crude Oil looks oversold to me.
The price formed a double bottom formation after a strong bearish move
and broke its neckline then.
I expect a pullback to 92.5 / 94.5 levels.
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BRENT OIL - HERE WHAT I SEEIn my previous brent oil analysis, I stated that macd was giving a selling signal on weekly chart.
Then sales accelerated. This is what i see now.
* None of what i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
📈GOLD 08/03/2022: trying to keep growing❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan yesterday stepped up buying in precious metals, fearing a strong response from China to prevent the arrival of the speaker of the US House of Representatives. However, after the American politician's plane landed, prices began to return to their previous values and even fell lower.
The $1770 level is still interesting for buyers and they won't give up this milestone just like that. Today we assume an attempt to rise to yesterday's highs. A change of priority in favor of sales is expected only after breaking through the level of $1756.
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20 Reason for sell OILUpdate 01/08/2022
1 Structure 3: Side ways Bear
2 imbalances : upper side filled Lower side target marked
3 Current Move1/2 : impulse
4 Entry TF : D1
4.1 ETF Structure: bear
4.2 move : impulse
5 Support Resistance: up side imbalance filled
6 FIB: trigger completed
7 candle Pattern: Momentum engulfing
8 Chart Pattern: M
9 Volume :
10 Momentum: just bear (RSi) using for Momentum Unconventional using
11 Volatility : compression near lower band (use Bollinger bands for volatility )
12 strength: bull initial (ADX for trend strength
13 Sentiment : extremely bear Currency power index
14 Final Summary: hold entry and add one at close outside the band
15Buy /Sell/Wait : sell
16 Entry:90
17 Sl: 93
18 Tp: 70
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:7
20 Excepted Duration : 30
📈GOLD 07/29/2022: pause❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: Yesterday's upward impulse sent the price exactly to the set target at $1705 and continues to grow at the moment. Most likely today the price will not fall lower and a potential correction should be expected next week, however, the American session may make a "surprise". Priority today would be given to short-term intraday trades with small targets.
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