Oil Topping for nowPrice has flipped many times in the past at this price.
Price is extended to the upside.
Momentum has been diverging for the last 8 months.
OPEC+ has reaffirmed their stance to increase production.
Saudi Arabia and other countries production hasn't even been turned back on yet so they can increase it even more if need be.
Global demand and consumer demand is actually falling, this can be seen by China's economy contracting so prevalently.
It's still winter and a correction is warranted.
Maybe by May or so, we go back up again and could go to crazy heights if things don't get better with inflation.
Brent
XTI CRUDE OIL SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS-Price Continues to grind higher and higher.
-OIL Is up +22% for the year making it one
of the best-performing commodities.
-News on Russia/Ukraine = demand oil.
-Inflation.
-Don't be the idiot trying to sell this thing with no confirmation.
Yes, shorting 1min scalps is fine but I do not recommend
trying to hold a short for over 24 hours.
UKOIL Short IdeaOil Markets are currently trading at the highest levels since 2014 after just reaching the 96 area. There has been a small retracement from this high to the current region (93.88). The RSI indicator on the higher time frames show very overbought levels which show that price could fall from this area down to the previous resistance zone. The target of this short idea is the previous resistance level at 90.88, this is a 3% gain for 1% of risk (stop-loss at 94.89).
An attractive ideaThis analysis is purely a personal analysis
Hints
1. This analysis is checked in the weekly time frame, so each of the waves has the necessary time to form between a few weeks to several months, and a total of one to two years.
2. For convenience, it refuses to go into details so that the trader can easily understand it.
3. The study was performed in the form of Elliott and canalization using Macd indicator
Analysis Description: Oil is on a long-term upward trajectory annually, so after the proper growth of oil prices and the failure of the downtrend, higher goals are pursued, but what is clear is that each impulse step needs a active step to rest.
So it can be said that in the next few weeks to a few months, the oil route is expected to be relatively upward to reach its $ 114 target to complete a complete cycle.
And then it enters a correction cycle that can take up to two years, so expecting to see $ 35- $ 45 as a midline target is not unexpected.
Note:
Proper insight into considering all possible scenarios then
1. Short-term visions Long-term to medium-term are well defined
We have a temporary uptrend and targets of $ 114 and $ 105 for it
Then for several months the rest of the movement shifted and, the price suffered
And then move to the channel midline for several months
At the end of this analysis is only a personal analysis and there is no certainty in doing or not doing it ......
DeGRAM| USDCAD goals aboveThe price is still in the range 1.26660 - 1.27798 and most likely this accumulation will be realized upwards. The nearest target is the level 1.28370, after that the buyers will move the price higher to 1.29372.
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DeGRAM| EURUSD recovery attemptFixing the price above the level of 1.13740 will lead to an increase to the resistance level of 1.14735. Of course, the possibility is not ruled out that the price will not be able to recover above this level, and then the target lies at 1.12240, and until this level is broken down, the bullish potential for the currency pair remains.
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TS ❕ BRENT: time for correction"Black Gold" showed excellent results and the price closed above $94. However, soon the instrument will need a downward correction, at least.
SELL scenario: The short entry point is expected to be found at the resistance line of the uptrend channel. You can enter both on a rebound from this line or after a false breakout, which will be a more conservative option.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
TS ❕ BRENT: re-approach The rapid growth of oil continues. After reaching the level of 94, as expected, buyers have not calmed down and are aiming for new highs.
BUY scenario: At the moment, longs are relevant, especially from the level of 91.08, where the support line is also located. The price is expected to re-approach the level of 94.
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Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
OIL-BRENTCharts show us movement, goals, support and resistance, direction and possible correction
We just have to learn the language of the chart
This is my personal opinion. Please do not trade based on my analysis and data.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move Initiates 🛢
On our morning's live stream we discussed Oil.
It looks like the market is finally preparing for a bearish move.
On hourly time frame, the price formed a descending triangle formation - a classic reversal pattern.
Its neckline breakout is our trigger to sell.
I expect a bearish move at least to 89.5 level.
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
DeGRAM| USDCAD inside the range The Canadian dollar is moving in the range of 1.26660 - 1.27798 and is currently trading at its lower border. This setup allows considering long trades up to the level of 1.27440.
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Brent Oil - Long Term Bearish OutlookBrent oil shows a clear pattern of developing bearish divergence on MACD vs. price when the dollar rallies.
These have preceded oil routs 3 times historically.
And yes, we have one now.
I should point out that Brent oil is also at the top of an important historical trend which consists of lower highs and lower lows over the long run.
The resistance trend has never been broken.
WTI - CL - Above Probable Range
Consensus is $100 WTI - everyone is talking about it, maybe it happens.
From a technical standpoint - its overdone. Note the green arrows.
This week comments Nancy Pelosi sent crude screaming higher.
Obviously geopolitical issues will supersede technicals when it comes to oil prices.
That said I expect these comments to fizzle away - now that all shorts have been obliterated. WTI up over $3 on Friday alone at its peak.
US Dollar was down this week which also pushed oil higher - personally looking for DXY to move up as well, which will also support lower oil prices in USD.
Only the Euro rallied, both the Canadian Dollar and British Pound were lower.
Daily chart shows oil was divergent on this latest rally - and looked like $88 was likely the top, and it looked weak, with all the shorts in place, they thrust oil higher.
Looking for oil to pullback to about $83
DeGRAM| USDCAD in the spotlightQuite a relevant pair for today, so news on the labor market is expected for both currencies. At the moment, it is expected to rise to 1.27440, with the potential for growth to 1.28370. However, in connection with today's news, you need to be careful when placing orders.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Resistance Ahead! 🛢
Hey traders,
Oil is unstoppable.
From the beginning of December, the market gained more than 35%.
Ahead is a strong supply cluster.
It is based on a major rising trend line that the price respected 3 times in a row in the past.
Let the price test that structure and then look for a confirmation to short catching a pullback from there.
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The correction I want to see before trading on USOIL This is an update on the post I made last week regarding the correction I want to see before trading (you can see the full post on the "link to related ideas")
The concept of the setup is pretty simple. The price has already behaved in similar ways in the current area in the past, and the last thing I need to observe to say "This is ready" is the correction I have defined on this chart. Of course, if this doesn't happen, then I will not be able to trade, and that's the end of the story. However, if the filter happens, I know ill be in front of a high-quality setup.
PAST SITUATIONS:
The setup is like this . If the expected correction happens, I will set pending orders on a new local high, stop loss below the correction and target on the next weekly resistance level. This setup can take around 150 to 200 days. The risk I will be taking in this situation is 3% of my trading capital.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view and charts in the comments.
Brent oil price to remain elevated in range 84 - 90Hello traders,
As predicted earlier, with OPEC+ increasing supply from the beginning of 2022, the price for oil rose up and above 85. Upside trend has taken a pause or in technical terms "retracement" or "consolidation" after a strong up momentum.
As we can see in 4hrs charts upward momentum from 77 levels till 91. Now we will see prices move in range 84.5 - 89.5 for some time before it hikes to 100 levels.
Brent oil outlook for now and for next two months is not good for oil importing countries.
Reasons:
1. Increase in supply by OPEC+ and Shale gas producers cannot keep up with the demand.
2. Geo-political issue with Ukraine, Russia and NATO group of countries.
3. Frequent extreme weather is undermining the global supply chain making commodities expensive.
Happy trading,