Brent - D1Brent
D1 - Update*
After breaking through the trend line, the price was unable to gain a foothold behind the line, which may lead to further downward movement when the lower line is broken.
For shopping, nothing changes dramatically.
Globally, the levels that the price can reach are 92.04
If a downward movement is realized, the levels can be considered at a price of 63.36
What can you expect?
Long - You can consider entering from the current levels of ~79.21 or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 75.34, if you are considering the entry from W1 and the formation of a 3-wave structure, the stop can be set at the minimum of the 1st wave at the level of 72.00
Short - When the level of 75.43 is broken, you can consider selling or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 79.33
Long
Target 81.41 - 82.78 - 85.51 - 87.98 - 92.04
Short
Target 72.36 - 70.61 - 66.79 - 63.36
Brent
⚡️Strifor || USDCHF-11/01/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The dollar is still being considered for sale. There were low expectations that we would see a strengthening of the US currency before the publication of inflation data in the US. But nevertheless, the buy-priority remains in USD .
USDCHF forms a clear accumulation, which is filled with market sales. And this means a potential resource for growth. Technically, we continue to accumulate before reaching the level of 0.85696 , which also says more about an impending upward breakout of this resistance.
The scenarios are highlighted on the chart. The first is more likely, but the second may be realized just at the time of the publication of inflation data. That is, in the second case, there will be a preliminary false breakdown downward and then a growth above the level of 0.85696.
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Crude Oil (#WTI): Detailed Structure Analysis 🛢️
Please, check the important key levels on ⚠️WTI Crude Oil.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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⚡️Strifor || SILVER-US PPI‼️Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Recent events in the Middle East have made markets nervous. In turn, this has traditionally generated demand for metals. However, so far the situation is not particularly serious, since Yemen is a constant point of hostilities. There are unlikely to be any strong purchases in metals until the end of today's trading day. But after the weekend, it is better not to postpone deals of this kind to the next week.
Technically and considering volumes, shorts are still being looked for. We have two scenarios ready for the US PPI data. We consider the target for the fall to be at the level of 22.00.
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⚡️Strifor || USDCHF-US PPI‼️Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: We continue to consider this currency pair in the format of a strengthening U S dollar. The pressure to the level of 0.85696 also indicates the likelihood of a breakout upward, which we are already waiting for throughout the current week. Most likely, we will see this in the US PPI data.
Two scenarios are considered for the transaction simultaneously. Scenario №1 is already in progress, but at the very moment of publication of the US PPI, there may be a false downward movement. For this we need scenario №2 . We consider the growth target above the level of 0.85696 , namely near 0.86500.
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Brent - W1\D1Brent
W1 - The price may form a potential 3-wave structure, which, if wave 1 is broken, will mean continued upward movement to the values of 95.90
D1 - You can observe the formation of a triangular structure with a breakout of the upper trend line. Globally, the levels that the price can reach are 92.04
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the current levels of ~79.21 or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 75.34, if you are considering the entry from W1 and the formation of a 3-wave structure, the stop can be set at the minimum of the 1st wave at 72.00
Long
Target 81.41 - 82.78 - 85.51 - 87.98 - 92.04
Understanding the Ripple Effects of U.S. Inventory Data on WTIThe American Petroleum Institute's latest report indicates a significant draw in U.S. oil inventories – a larger-than-expected decrease of 5.2 million barrels. But what does this mean for the market?
This drop in inventories typically signals a tightening supply, which, in theory, should push oil prices up. However, the data also showed an increase in gasoline and distillates inventories, suggesting a contrasting scenario of weakened demand, particularly in the U.S., the world's largest fuel consumer. This weakened demand is further evidenced by the ongoing impact of a severe winter storm, restricting travel and, consequently, fuel usage.
Technical analysis adds another layer to this narrative. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), a trend-following momentum indicator, shows sell signs, while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains neutral. For market watchers, these indicators suggest potential shifts, with bears possibly entering at a point around $71.88 a barrel, pushing prices down to support levels of $69.42. Conversely, should the trend reverse, resistance might be met near $74.34 a barrel.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Crude oil - $200 per barrelWe've all seen how oil reacted to the beginning of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. I am sure that this conflict will not settle down quickly and will only increase. The conflict will involve other players in the region - Emen is proof of this fact.
How will oil react to this?
The suspension of supplies and other problems with oil supplies will provoke demand for oil and the price will go higher and in the next few years will renew historical highs up to $200 per barrel. I think this was calculated by the coalition of aggressor countries before the war started.
about TA
We see a strong horizontal level where there is a lot of liquidity (concentration of stop losses) which will be collected up to the level of the largest horizontal volumes from below. And only after that, we will see a global reversal, which is probably the end of the year - December
On the chart, I have shown levels from which I will try to take longs.
I hope there will be PEACE in the world.
Our world looks very humongous in terms of cosmic civilization sending tons of bombs to kill each other.
Best regards EXCAVO
USOIL - BEARISH MOVE 📉
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The USOIL Reached a Resistance Level (74.03 - 74.75).
The Price Formed a Rising Wedge Pattern.
The Support Line is Broken.
Currently:
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure,
and Now It Will Continue Its Bearish Movement📉
TARGET: 69.50🎯
Brent to continue in the upward move?Brent - 24 expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Intraday, and we are between bespoke support and resistance 73.72-81.78.
Immediate signals are hard to interpret.
Previous resistance, now becomes support at 77.40.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 77.40 (stop at 76.40)
Our profit targets will be 79.90 and 81.78
Resistance: 79.90 / 81.78 / 84.57
Support: 77.40 / 76.61 / 73.72
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Outlook & Trading Plan 🛢
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot that the market is currently weak & consolidating.
I see an example of a classic inside bar formation.
71.4 is the lower boundary of the range of the mother bar.
Its breakout - a 4h candle close below will be a strong bearish confirmation.
A bearish movement will be anticipated to 70.1 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance will push the prices higher.
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WTI BULLISH OUTLOOK AND POSSIBLE STRATEGIESWith recent market dynamics, the oil trading landscape has witnessed significant shifts, presenting traders with lucrative opportunities. Here are actionable strategies tailored to capitalize on these developments.
1. Fed's Dovish Stance and Demand Surge: The Federal Reserve's dovish outlook coupled with the International Energy Agency's upgraded oil demand forecast signals a potential uptick in oil consumption. This suggests a bullish trend for oil prices. Traders could consider entering long positions or call options in anticipation of a sustained price increase due to heightened demand projections.
2. OPEC's Tightening Supply Scenario: OPEC's report highlighting a potential deficit in the oil market, especially if OPEC+ production cuts persist, indicates a tightening supply situation. Traders may benefit from this by leveraging the anticipated supply shortage. Long-term positions or bullish spreads might be favorable strategies to capitalize on the potential price rally resulting from constrained supply.
3. Declining U.S. Oil Inventories and Weakening Dollar: The Energy Information Administration's data revealing a substantial drop in U.S. oil inventories, alongside the weakened dollar, strengthens the bullish sentiment. Considering the reduced supply and increased affordability of oil due to the dollar's decline, traders could explore long positions or bullish futures contracts to align with the rising prices.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly recent attacks on vessels, add to the uncertainty surrounding oil supply. Traders might view this as an opportunity for short-term gains through cautious but strategic investments, keeping an eye on potential supply disruptions that could trigger price spikes.
In conclusion, recent market developments indicate a favorable landscape for bullish trading in the oil market. Traders can consider adopting long positions, call options, or bullish spreads to capitalize on the projected increase in demand, tightening supply, weakened dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, it's crucial to stay informed and adaptable to swiftly respond to evolving market conditions for optimal trading outcomes.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Oil: Head & Shoulders Pattern,Heading Back to the $60 Territory?Hi Fellow Realistic Traders. Here's my latest price action analysis on Oil!
The oil market has recently witnessed a significant head and shoulders pattern breakout, signaling a clear shift towards a bearish reversal scenario. Subsequently, the price has persistently descended below the EMA200 line, affirming the establishment of a robust downtrend. Further underscoring this trend, the Stochastic indicator revealed a bearish divergence, suggesting a potential sustained downward movement towards our target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on $UKOIL."
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Signal?! 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil keeps falling.
After a completion of a correctional movement, the market dropped again
and violated a key horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price formed a narrow horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
Its support breakout is an important intraday confirmation.
We can anticipate a bearish continuation to 67.3 level now.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Trend Continues 🛢️
Crude Oil dropped yesterday, as I predicted.
In fact, the market is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
A breakout of a horizontal support of a wide horizontal range
was a strong trend following signal.
The next support that I see on a daily is 67.5.
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
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WTI - H4 - Area for Long!WTI is again in the value area and good for long positions.
Manage your risk and set some buy limit in different prices like 70.5 - 71.5 - 72.5
By manage your money wisely you can earn money with out worrying about losing your money.
If this area breaks and oil falls more don't panic!
Just keep your positions and buy in the lower levels
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKOil prices saw a decline due to skepticism about OPEC+'s output cuts and concerns over growing supply overshadowing potential disruptions in the Middle East. U.S. crude settled 1.4% lower at $73.04 a barrel, and Brent dropped 1.1% to $78.03 a barrel. Despite announcements of output cuts, the lack of confidence in compliance and doubts about measurement methods have cast shadows on the effectiveness of these measures. Geopolitical events, such as attacks in the Red Sea, have revived concerns about potential disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies, amplifying market anxieties. Additionally, fears of decreased demand and weak global manufacturing activity in November added pressure on prices. Technical indicators signaled bearish sentiment, indicating possible support levels at $66.78 and a potential rebound around $74.75.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.