Brentcrude
Brent Pullback, Sellers to Take over?Last week we saw brent oil break the 50% retracement level from the free fall in price from over supply and lack of demand from the corona virus at the start of the year.
This week we have seen a pullback edging to this retracement level, will the bulls continue to prop the market up or has momentum finally ran out? With fundamental data showing a gloomy economic forecast and coronavirus cases starting to rise is this the moment we see large selling within the market?
Brent crude. Today's matrix for intraday trading. August 14
Hi everyone. My analysis done for my main timeframe m5. I start from higher timeframes D1, H1 and move down to lowest m5.
Futures contract for Brent crude , London exchange ICE 10-20
My trading is based on market phases by Wyckoff.
For timeframes m5:
Buy 45.65 — take profit 46.20
Sell 44.80 — take profit 44.35
Trading on m5 timeframe.
July 20. Today's matrix for intraday trading on m5 timeframe.
Hi everyone. My analysis done for my main timeframe m5. I start from higher timeframes D1, H1 and move down to lowest m5.
Futures contract for Brent crude , London exchange ICE 09-20
My trading is based on market phases by Wyckoff.
For timeframes m5:
Buy on the test of level 43.40, target 43.80
Buy 43.80, target 44.51
Sell 42.75, target 42.40, target2 42.00, target3 41.50
Trading on m5 timeframe.
CRUDE OIL waiting for the sell setup to formon DAILY: CRUDE OIL is sitting around a strong resistance zone so we will be looking for objective sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: CRUDE OIL is trading inside our red wedge pattern but the lower trendline is not valid yet so we are waiting for a third swing to form around our lower trendline to consider it our last swing and then enter on it break downward.
so also have a regular bearish divergence adding more confluence to our sell setup.
Brent Crude Oil Important technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
. While the price is below the resistance 44.55, beginning of downtrend is expected.
. We make sure when the support at 36.95 breaks.
. If the resistance at 44.55 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
. There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 43.315 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.93 on 2020-06-23, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
. While the RSI support #1 at 50 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
. A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.80 on 07/06/2020, so more losses to support(s) 42.20, 40.00 and minimum to Major Support (36.95) is expected.
. Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
. Relative strength index (RSI) is 62.
Bullish breakout setting upPrice has consolidated, forming an Ascending Triangle.
As Price is above the 200EMA, I anticipate a breakout to the upside and will seek confirmation of the breakout with a close above $42 (orange line).
Target #1: ~$45 (Closing the gap down from 6th March lows)
Target #2: $50 (Confluence zone of 61.8% from Jan highs + 127% fib extension from April lows)
Brent Crude might have a top in place at $44.00Brent Crude is looking to drop further towards $33.50 and $26.00 as the commodity carves a meaningful top around $44.00 handle. The earlier rally from $15.75 through $44.00 seems to have completed 3 waves at least. We can expect a minimum drop towards $33.50, which is fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the entire rally. Having said that, please do note that Brent Crude has got enough room to correct lower towards $26.00 (fibonacci 0.618 retracement) as well. Possibilities remain for a sideways consolidation before the next major move. Overall, Brent remains bearish below $44.00.
Strategy:
Short against 44.00, targeting 33.50 and 26.00
Legal Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. The data provided is for marketing material purposes and is not intended to confuse nor guide our clients on trading decisions. Any investment activity performed is perceived to be a self-directed decision. Exclusive Markets is not liable for losses that may occur because of a decision made after reading the information published on our research page or any other media.
Risk Warning: Trading the capital markets is risky therefore further knowledge and experience may be required. Apply appropriate risk and money management always and ensure the implementation of safe leverage.
UKOIL Brent Crude TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Recently, there has been a lot of news about the fact that oil futures have recently doubled after the last fall, that JP Morgan has earned a couple of billions, and so on and so forth.
It is a rumor that oil will fall again to $ 20 per barrel, I honestly do not really believe in this scenario, since oil is not only a trading product but has a certain influence factor from different countries, so most of the OPEC and OPEC + participants will try to speculate prices and other traders will help them in this.
Now I am exiting LONGS for oil because traders are trying to close the GAP, so we have a certain level where we can observe further price developments.
If we discard the speculative market and look from a technical point of view, we have two variations.
1. In which I very much believe this is breaking through the support level, a small correction, and going up to the golden ratio.
2. This is the exit from the channel and the fall, where we will wait for the bear rally to expire. and buy it again.
I would like to note that this analysis carries with it the subjective opinion of the author and does not force trading and is not a signal for buying or selling instruments.
Take care of yourself, like, and subscribe to my channel, leave comments, and write your own about the current situation.
Don't miss the great sell opportunity in BrentTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (42.80). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. Brent is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 48.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 39.70
TP2= @ 38.65
TP3= @ 37.10
TP4= @ 34.10
TP5= @ 32.30
SL: Break Above R3
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Brent Crude Carves Intermediary Top Around 44.00Brent Crude has carved a potential top around $44.00 handle. The commodity has dropped lower below $40.00 as we prepare to publish this article. The entire rally between $15.75 and $44.00 seems to have unfolded in 3 waves until now. If a triangle is unfolding, we would witness another 3 waves drop towards $26.00 (fibonacci 0.618 of the previous rally). If an impulse is underway, Brent could find support around $33.00 (fibonacci 0.382 retracement of Wave 3). Either way, Brent Crude is heading lower from here. We therefore turn our outlook to bearish for the next few weeks to come. Immediate support is seen around $37.20, and a break lower would confirm that a meaningful top could be in place at $44.00 levels.
Strategy:
Short against $44.00, targeting $33.00 and $26.00 respectively.
Legal Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. The data provided is for marketing material purposes and is not intended to confuse nor guide our clients on trading decisions. Any investment activity performed is perceived to be a self-directed decision. Exclusive Markets is not liable for losses that may occur because of a decision made after reading the information published on our research page or any other media.
Risk Warning: Trading the capital markets is risky therefore further knowledge and experience may be required. Apply appropriate risk and money management always and ensure the implementation of safe leverage.
Brent Crude within a tight range $40.20-$41.30Brent Crude short term probable wave counts could be as follows: The drop between $43.40 and $36.99 is in 3 waves, Wave a on the chart. The subsequent rally towards $41.64 is also 3 waves until now, Wave b on the chart. If the above counts hold well and Brent remains below $43.40, a potential flat corrective wave structure(3-3-5) could be in the making. Alternately, if prices break through $41.65 and higher, Brent could be on its way towards $45.00-$46.00 before reversing lower again. If the former count is unfolding, we should see a sharp drop, sub dividing into 5 waves, as Wave c unfolds towards $33.00 and $26.50 respectively.
Strategy:
Short against $44.00, targeting $33.00 and $26.50 in the medium term.
Legal Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. The data provided is for marketing material purposes and is not intended to confuse nor guide our clients on trading decisions. Any investment activity performed is perceived to be a self-directed decision. Exclusive Markets is not liable for losses that may occur because of a decision made after reading the information published on our research page or any other media.
Risk Warning: Trading the capital markets is risky therefore further knowledge and experience may be required. Apply appropriate risk and money management always and ensure the implementation of safe leverage.