BRENT.CMD/USD 4H Chart: Reaches near $70The Brent crude oil price reached near the $70 mark on Wednesday. The increased was due to the US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela crude oil exports and the OPEC supply cuts.
As for the near future, it is likely that the BRENT.CMD/USD pair makes a brief retracement down towards a support level formed by the 50-hour simple moving average at 67.93.
Meanwhile, technical indicators demonstrate that the commodity could continue to maintain the medium-term ascending channel pattern during the following trading sessions.
Brentcrude
Brent Crude Oil - Shorting opportunityBrent Crude Oil does not seem to have the support it needs to make the push higher up from the 4H chart. MACD 8H is making lower lows as well.
As long as the 4H 50 EMA holds strong as resistance, the move further down is active.
First TP is at Fib Extension 1 which is 64. If prices still aren't able to find support at that price, then sell further till 1.618 (62)
BRENT.CMD/USD 4H Chart: Weekly overviewThe Brent crude oil prices have depreciated about 4.93% against the US Dollar during the last week. The pair breached the lower boundary of an ascending channel pattern at 64.63 on Tuesday.
The BRENT.CMD/USD pair is currently trading near a resistance cluster formed by the weekly S1 and the 50-hour simple moving average at 66.58.
If the commodity passes the cluster as mentioned earlier, buyers could push the pair towards the weekly R1 at 67.94.
Although, if the resistance line holds, a southern breakout is likely to occur during the following trading sessions.
Crude Oil 63?Decembers ascending trendline from the end of 2018 as you can see price has closed below it, I can see consolidation within the 4hr range and support. (green)
With price below this trend, along with the strong 65 area, the bottom of our macro range previously a support, now becoming resistance, i can't see this rallying further.
I feel there is too much compression of resistance above the price.
Ending the last 4hr bar with a hammer/pin is a decent sign also of confirmation
15minute has retest the trendline previously mentioned and already rejected off during the last few hours of trading last week.
Brent Crude Pullback Buy Trade H4After reaching multi-month highs and following Trump's tweet on OPEC, oil fell $64.36 and seems to be completing a pullback we forecasted earlier in our analysis. The commodity is now trading close to the lower rising channel boundary, supporting our long view.
The inverse SHS pattern has already been triggered and projects a target of around $76.xx. More risk-averse traders could aim at the upper rising channel resistance ($73.xx).
Will this Doji put an end to the #oil rally?We decided to analyze the daily graph of oil as we found an interesting technical model called-Doji, What Does a Doji Tell You? analysts interpret this as a sign of reversal. So our recommendation is Sell position
We also added the Fibonacci Retracement to know where we were going
Sell Brent (oil)
Entry Price: 66.30
Stop loss: 67.30
Take Profit: 65
Brent Crude Potential Long, Inverse SHSHi guys, Brent crude formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart and broke above the neckline on Feb 14. The pattern suggests an upside target of around $77, but we might also see a pullback to the neckline before the target is reached.
This trade has also been posted on our Telegram channel, feel free to join: t.me
Brent Crude Oil Futures monthly demand, buy BrentBrent Crude Oil Futures has a monthly demand level located around $5038 that gained control a couple of months ago. The fact that we have had that monthly imbalance in control allowed us to make too decisions. 1) No shorts would are allowed trading against a big timeframe demand imbalance that has gained control. 2) Only longs would be allowed.
Brent Crude Oil has been rallying for a few weeks now creating a new weekly demand level around $53.91 and potentially creating a new one slightly higher around $62.00 a barrel. There is a clear long bias providing buy opportunities on Brent Crude Oil Futures, a lot margin for profit on the way up to monthly supply zone around $77.00 a barrel
We do not take into consideration any fundamental analysis to trade futures, no earnings announcements or volume, we do not need any of that to make a trading decision based on supply and demand imbalances. We just need to know where those imbalances are located and what is the bigger picture trend on the stock.
Still if you pay attention to news, in the beginning of February Oil prices have fallen after disappointing US factory data sparked fresh concerns about a slowdown in the global economy. Brent crude futures dropped 0.2% to $62.6 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate fell 1.4% to $54.48 a barrel. Oil prices had been buoyed by a new round of supply cuts from Opec and its allies.
Can we really make sense out of this Brent Crude Oil news? Maybe you can, but do we really need it? No we don't. Price reached a very strong monthly demand level, we are allowed to buy Brent Crude Oil but we are not allowed to sell it.
You can also use various options strategies to take longs at demand imbalances, long calls, spreads or any other strategy that you might have on your trading plan.
Break above neckline may see 'Oil Rise as high as $74'Trade set up
‘Buy long’ on daily open with caution as current price closes above the 10day EMA with stops below the recent daily close or those with higher risk appetite, a close below the 10day EMA.
Target levels of 64.30 followed by the 50% retracement of the previous major move around $68.30 and looking to add to our position as price make a new higher-high above $63.00.
Why we like it
With recent US government sanctions imposed on Venezuelan state-owned oil firm PDVSA, we saw a strong rise in oil prices which continues the pressure from the bulls looking to send oil higher.
Technically speaking, recent MACD crossover and oversold RSI may be an early indication of a change in trend as price looks to have found support with a potential ‘Head & Shoulder pattern’ also in play. One could argue a break above the neckline could see oil rise as high as $70-$74 with the shorter-term outlook ranging between $64.30 and $68.60.
That said, a close below the 10Day EMA and furthermore, a break below the recent support level could see the end of this short term rally.
Disclaimer.
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
USDCAD. Buy now. Trading Criteria:
Regardless which way you want to trade, look for minimum five 4hr. candles in consolidation zones (yellow border boxes), or five daily candles for solid yellow boxes. If you're a pattern trader or pinbar trader, this might be useful here.
Wait for the breakout of the 4hr. consolidation or daily consolidation from red border boxes to take the trade. Red border boxes are the High/Low of a consolidation period inside the consolidation zone. I usually aim for 80% of the weekly ATR (or monthly ATR for yellow solid boxes) taking profit but not always at the next yellow box. I place my stop loss above/below red border box.
*These zones, with the inclusion of price action described above, have remarkable accuracy.
Yellow border box: weekly consolidation zone
Yellow solid box: monthly consolidation zone
Red border box: High/Low breakout box (5 minimum candles)
Grey solid box: monthly grid block
EMA & MACD crossover, a potential early entry for Brent Crude?Trade set up - Enter on a daily close above the 10 day EMA with stops below the previous weekly low of 58.35 and a short-term price target of 70.00 - 71.00, looking to add to the position once broken above the downtrend channel.
Why we like this trade - Technically speaking, price looks to have found some support around the Feb 2017 high after the recent 33% onslaught of crude prices since late September. With a recent MACD crossover and bullish weekly close last week, it may be an early signal for a change in direction. We are looking for a close above the 10day EMA as an entry signal which seems to be holding true using the MACD crossover and oversold RSI for support in our conclusion.We've also seen a strong draw of 10m barrels in the weekly API crude inventory report, which gives us some confidence tonights official DoE report should follow suit.
That said, a break below the recent low could indicate further downside with the recent price support simply a rest for sellers looking to target $45-50 a barrel.
Disclaimer.
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation
UKOIL Brent Crude Oil Long-Term ForecastSo, here we go again with the brent crude oil forecast:
Scenario 1: Oil prices could reach highs of up to $83 a barrel, which represents a resistance level formed by the descending upper trendline.
Scenario 2: Oil prices could fall even lower to about $30 a barrel, which represents a 100% retracement of the previous wave. That level is also in the support zone formed by the previous lower lower.
My verdict: Price is going up to $80 a barrel