Weekly Brent Crude Oil Price Prediction - W/C 11 Dec 2023Projected Price Range
The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $73.46 (Min) and $81.51 (Max).
Contended Price Levels
$78.10 - $81.60 High Volume Node & Resistance line - potential resistance
$76.00 Resistance Line - potential resistance
$73.46 Support Line - potential support
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci Retracement Breakout:
The price is still below the 0.5 level with a resistance line and a HVN just below the breaking point of the 0.5 level. This will be a strong resistance level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
High Volume Nodes (HVM):
Bottom HVM: Signifying an area of good liquidity and a potential resistance region. The price has stalled in this area over the last few weeks.
MACD and Stochastic RSI:
Stoch RSI (Bottom Indicator): The indicator crossed over last week at the overbought level and hence the price decreased. But now it is in the oversold level and this could be a good sign.
MACD (Top Indicator): This indicator has maintained just below the negative region and has refused to move out over the last few weeks. I don't see it going anywhere this week. I believe it will stay for the next few weeks in the same range and may just provide a bullish signal for the short term.
Additional Factors
Prior Resistance ( Top Blue Line):
Just above the Bottom HVM, a blue line represents a prior resistance level.
The blue line that is diagonal across the price is a potential resistance line.
Prior Support (Bottom Blue Line):
There are two support lines just near the current price. Last week the price went near this support zone and found support and didn’t fall through. Both these two blue lines are prior support levels. The bottom support line is extended from the black box you can see on the chart from a prior chart pattern. These will be crucial levels of support and levels to watch if the price breaks though.
Geopolitical Events:
Given the volatile nature of the commodities market, traders are advised to stay vigilant regarding any geopolitical events in the upcoming week, as these events can significantly impact oil prices.
Conclusion
Based on the projected price range and the various technical indicators and analyses, the outlook for Brent Crude Oil appears to be finely balanced. The delineated price levels, including resistance at $78.10-$81.60 and support at $73.46, suggest a narrow range of potential movement.
Technical analyses, such as Fibonacci retracement breakout and volume profile analysis, highlight the significance of specific levels, indicating potential resistance and support zones. The MACD and Stochastic RSI indicators imply a nuanced market sentiment, with the Stoch RSI currently in the oversold region and the MACD signalling a potential short-term bullish trend.
The presence of prior resistance and support lines further emphasises the importance of these levels in the market dynamics, while geopolitical events remain a crucial factor that could significantly impact oil prices in the coming week.
Brentcrudeoil
Weekly Price Prediction: $78.00 (Min) and $87.50 (Max)Projected Price Range
The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max).
Contended Price Levels
$81.00 - $78.00 High Volume Node - potential support
$81.73 Resistance Line - potential resistance
$75.62 Support Line - potential support
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci Retracement Breakout:
The price has gone below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. This level is currently just a dollar above the blue resistance line.
Volume Profile Analysis:
High Volume Nodes (HVM):
Bottom HVM: Signifying an area of good liquidity and a potential support region. The price has stalled in this area over the last few weeks. If the price breaks downwards it could carry on.
MACD and Stochastic RSI:
Stoch RSI (Bottom Indicator): It has crossed over at the bottom and now has just about crossed over at the top. Showing overbought pressure and a potential downturn.
MACD (Top Indicator): This indicator has maintained just below the negative region and has refused to move out over the last few weeks. I don't see it going anywhere this week. I believe it will stay and we won't see a bullish signal this week from this indicator.
Additional Factors
Prior Resistance ( Top Blue Line):
Just above the Bottom HVM, a blue line represents a prior resistance level.
The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential resistance area as well.
Prior Support (Bottom Blue Line):
This represents a support level for the price. This may be crucial if broken as the HVM is just above it.
The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential support area as well.
Geopolitical Events:
Given the volatile nature of the commodities market, traders are advised to stay vigilant regarding any geopolitical events in the upcoming week, as these events can significantly impact oil prices.
Conclusion
To conclude we see the price range being between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max). This is due to the price staying within the HVM and seeing support with also a support line just below the HVM. However, there is a resistance line just above the HVM as well. These two support and resistance lines make our price range for this week. The Stoch RSI is showing a bearish sentiment so this will be crucial to watch out for. Also, something else which is crucial to watch out for is the blue line that has already crossed the current price bar. This will form new support/resistance. The MACD is effectively null this week.
Brent - D1\H4Oil Brent
D1 - The price has formed a triangular formation, which may mean that if it fixes beyond the lower line of the triangle border, the price may continue to fall further along the trend and further reduce the price to the levels of 70.19
When fixing behind the upper trend line, the price may reverse and begin to rise, since a 3-wave structure may already be formed for the targets; in this case, we will see the price of 89.21.
H4 - For purchases, it is better to wait for fixation behind the trend line; you can also try to open at the current price with minimal risk per transaction from the lower border of the triangle. If there is a fixation, turn into sales.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the level of 82.07 to be broken/fixed and an upward movement towards the nearest targets of 89.21.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 78.93 - 78.23, if this scenario does not materialize.
When fixing behind the lower line 78.95 - 78.15, the idea is canceled when a 3-wave structure is formed in the opposite direction 89.95 - 82.87.
Long
Targets 83.01 - 84.31 - 86.68 - 89.21
Short
Targets 76.47 - 75.24 - 72.63 - 70.19
UK Brent 4H : Under sell pressure UK Brent Oil
New forecast
The price of Brent crude futures rose yesterday and reached 83.80, and found strong resistance there, showing some bearish tendency, waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected bearish trend for the coming period, noting that crossing the 81.35 level will extend the bearish wave to reach the 80.00 and 78.87 areas.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid and effective supported by moving average 50 that is continue support the price to decline ,taking into account that stability above 83.80 will stop the expected decline and put pressure on the price to rise up.
The expected trading range for today is between support 80.00 and resistance 83.80.
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 81.35 , 80.00
resistance line : 83.17 , 83.80
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
UKOil Brent Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we embark on a comprehensive analysis of UKOil, with a specific focus on the prevalent bearish sentiment observed in the 1-month (1M) and 1-week (1W) timeframes. Notably, our charts reveal that Brent has approached a critical support level, a pivotal juncture. Throughout this presentation, we delve into the fundamental tenets of technical analysis, encompassing essential components such as evaluating the current market trend, price dynamics, market structure, and other indispensable aspects of technical analysis. As we progress through the video, we meticulously scrutinize a potential trading opportunity in Brent Oil.
It is imperative to stress that the insights shared in this content are exclusively intended for educational purposes and should not be misconstrued as financial advice. Participating in the foreign exchange market trading carries a significant level of risk. Therefore, it is vital to prudently incorporate robust risk management strategies into your trading plan to navigate these challenges effectively.
Oil Brent - W1Oil Brent
W1 - The price has formed a 3-wave structure, which may indicate a trend reversal, and if this scenario is implemented, it will be possible to potentially see the price at the level of 66.30. Judging by geopolitical data, due to the rise in oil prices and the growth of the asset, there was a local movement. To confidently enter sales, it is better to wait for the level of breaking through the 1st wave of 83.30 to be fixed.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the breakout and fixation at the level of 83.30. When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 88.13, if this scenario does not materialize and the price may return locally to the range of 85 - 95
Complete cancellation of the script mark 93.83
Short
Targets 81.18 - 76.73 - 72.80 - 66.30
UK Brent Oil 4H : Got a positive momentumUK Brent Oil
New forecast
The price of Brent crude futures continued to rise to confirm the breach of the 86.68 level and stabilize above it, heading towards visiting the 88.38 level as the next main target.
Therefore, we expect to witness further rise during the coming sessions, and breaching 88.40 will facilitate the price’s task to reach 89.55, while breaking 86.68 will stop the positive scenario and put pressure on the price to return to the bearish corrective path again.
The expected trading range for today is between support 85.14 and resistance 869.55 .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 86.68 , 85.14
resistance line : 88.38 , 89.55
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Oil Brent - H4\D1Oil Brent
The nearest target is at 96.00 in continuation of the 5th wave on D1
H4 - there was a fixation behind the correctional channel and a 3-wave structure may form, which may indicate continued movement up the trend.
What to expect now?
Expectation of breaking through the level - 89.25, locally the target is 91.40 - 94.88
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 86.47 - 85.66, if this scenario does not materialize.
Long
Targets 89.98 - 91.40 - 92.75 - 94.88 - 96.00
UK Brent Oil 4h : support further rise UK BRENT OIL
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea.
Brent crude futures price trades rebounded downward after failing to overcome the resistance that was formed at the previously broken support of the main ascending channel at 91.01, putting pressure on the 89.52 level and moving above it now, which pushes the price to return to the upward path again, on its way to achieving positivity goals starting at 91.01 and extending. To 92.52 after breaking the previous level.
Therefore, we expect to witness further rise during the coming sessions, noting that breaching 89.52 and holding below it will push the price to losses again, starting with testing the 88.36 areas.
The expected trading range for today is between support 88.36 and resistance 91.00 until breaching one of them .
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 89.52 , 88.36
resistance line : 91.00 , 92.52
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
*Updating the idea and how to act*
Long - ABC correction structure has come to an end - You can observe an impulse rebound after the fall, which can lead to further growth and the 5th wave on W1
The nearest target is at 95.90
This scenario is best used to exit the triangular formation on H4 when the level of 87.85 is broken - with the cancellation of this movement and without increasing risks if the breakout turns out to be false at the level of 85.09
Short - If the price does not continue to move upward, and this was a full-fledged reversal, in the continuation of the 5th wave on D1, the nearest targets will be at the level of 74.30
In this scenario, you can consider selling from the level of 85.09 - with the cancellation of this movement and without increasing risks if the breakout turns out to be false at the level of 87.85.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the breakout of the level for Long - 87.85, local target 95.90 - 98.10
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 85.09, if this scenario does not materialize.
Waiting for the breakout of the level for Short - 85.09, local target 77.77 - 74.30
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 87.85, if this scenario does not materialize.
Long
Targets 90.17 - 92.49 - 94.63 - 98.10
Short
Targets 82.28 - 79.30 - 77.77 - 74.30
$BRN1! -Are you Ready for Winter's Storms ahead ?!- The most recent conflict on the Middle East between Israel and Palestine(Hamas)
has caused TVC:GOLD and Brent Crude Oil (futures) ICEEUR:BRN1! price to jump 4% .
This increase risk on Geo-Political spectrum is messing up with our Short in ICEEUR:BRN1! .
Short Call idea was shared on bingX copy-trade community where 2.000 people saw the Short trade opportunity.
Congratulations to those who took action.
(Calm before Winter's Storm Idea;
Russia & Saudi Arabia two of the largest World's Oil Producers steady keeping production cuts)
We have already partially taken profits off our trade before conflicts occurrence,
leaving the position opened by aiming at full TP profits at Golden Zone
(which may not be reached now due to the conflict)
*** NOTE
This is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research with your own diligence and
consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity
with your hard earned money based solely on this Idea.
Ideas being released are published for my own trading speculation and
journaling needed to be clear on different asset classes price action.
The increase in Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ prices due to the WAR🚀➕15%😔Unfortunately, in recent days, there has been a war between Israel and Palestine, and I hope that this war will end as soon as possible.🙏🙏🙏
🧐Now, how can the effect of this war show itself in the oil chart❗️❓
💡At the same time, as geopolitical tensions increase throughout the Middle East , oil prices are likely to rise even more. Meanwhile, US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are down to just 17 days , the lowest in history. This is almost half the historical average of 33 days dating back to 1990 .
💡In addition, OPEC this week reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily cut production to a ceiling of more than 1.5 million barrels per day.
💡In the days when Russian crude oil exports are limited, and the world's largest oil producers are also at war.
😱There's never been a worse time to have an unloaded SPR than today.
📈In terms of technical analysis, Brent Crude Oil is moving near the bottom of the ascending channel , 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and SMA(100) .
🔔I expect that starting next week, the trend of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ will rise and at least reach the 🔴 Resistance zone($100.48_$95.80) 🔴 again( ➕15%) .
⛽️Brent Crude Oil⛽️Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BRENT OIL ( UK OIL ) LONG term Trade AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart UK OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet
today UKOIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UKOIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on UKOIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️Brent 👉1D🔼 90 / 94 Hey there! 😊
On the daily chart, As you can see, the trend turned quite bullish after it broke past that pesky resistance at 78 and overcame the dynamic resistance too. Right now, it's hanging out around 86. Fingers crossed, if it stays above the 82 mark, we could see it making its way up to the 90.70 resistance level and even touching the long-term supply zone. If it keeps climbing, we'll want to keep an eye on how it interacts with those resistance spots. Let's see where it goes from here! 🚀
Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.❗
Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
Brent - H4\D1Brent crude oil
The channel is closed and consolidated, which allows us to expect a continuation of the upward movement towards the target of 96.14 (discussed in the previous analysis).
What can you expect now?
You can consider an entry from a breakdown of the level of 93.27.
In the case of a local movement, we can also expect a correction to the levels 92.17 – 91.83 and the opening of a position. When opening a position, it is best to exit the level of 90.23 if this script is not implemented.
Targets 93.84 – 95.04 – 96.14
BRENT OIL ( UK OIL ) LONG term Trade AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart UK OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet
today UKOIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UKOIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on UKOIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
Crude Oil's Rollercoaster: Key Insights for InvestorsThe crude oil market has been a whirlwind of activity, with prices peaking at $129 in March 2022 and plummeting to $63 by May 2023. This volatility has led to a broad consolidation zone, stalling the formation of long-term trends.
A pivotal support for these fluctuating prices has been the weekly 200 simple moving average. This indicator helped the price rebound from its low, pushing it above the $70 mark, which was also 2022's lowest point. By July, the price had escalated to over $80, indicating a possible shift in market sentiment.
Year-to-date, crude oil has seen a modest yet promising 6% increase, a significant recovery from a 21% drop earlier in the year. This uptick is largely attributed to a 16% bullish surge in July.
Last week, the market hit a milestone as prices broke the $83 resistance level, marking 2023's highest prices yet and potentially heralding a new trend. While there are no major resistance levels to halt this momentum, the $100 mark could serve as a psychological barrier, introducing some market turbulence.
Recent trends suggest the onset of a bullish phase in crude oil, the first since March 2022. This presents a ripe opportunity for investors to recalibrate their strategies, as we may be on the brink of a sustained bullish trend.
UKOILThis is an update from the last time we took a trade on oil. Our approach was wrong, impatient and too easy, this time we have gone in with refinement and it has paid off.
- Pressure from the demand was very high
- retest of sensitive area
- break down of strength
- impulsive candle
This is to show that every time you refine your strategy you add to the skill so stay working on it and making it better, it is YOURS so only you can put in the work.
UKOILBig risk and I do not advise it. This is something I have been watching from a distance for months, so no I want to try what I have been figuring out with OIL.
I'm only posting because I need it for records and learning material for myself in-case this goes sideways, even when you look the RR is very bad but this is how far my strategy for oil has brought me.
Oil (Brent Crude) / Gold (1w, Heikin-Ashi) - little macroeconomyDear Everyone,
Now little macroeconomy. We have almost exact 1 year, when Brent Crude Oil peaked in relation to Gold.
That in my oppinion suggest as main source of inflation was the cost of energy, not the money supply.
With best regards,
Paweł