Brent Crude Oil 1-day classic patternsQ: What has the highest probability of occurring?
Since February 2021 price has been stabilising on $65 per barrel.
There is a combination of 2 classic patterns forming at 65.00 support.
The inverse head & shoulders, which is in the process of forming the right shoulder, is currently invalid.
This pattern projects 85.25 as the target.
The double bottom, having recently tested and rejected 65.00, would need to breakout from 76.50 to be validated.
This pattern projects 52.00 as the target.
Objectively looking at 65.00 support the two high volume bars appear to be putting the weight in favour of the formation of the double bottom following the ~15% correction.
Since the double bottom is not validated so the current position is neutral with a bias in favour of the uptrend continuing.
It is worth paying attention to the high of the left shoulder at ~72.00 and how the bulls and bears interact as validation of the double bottom is required at 76.50
Brentoil
Ascending correction and descending returnOil is in the daily trend of correction
In general, the $ 2 climb today is considered a correction, and the target for oil prices this week is $ 64.
Oil is in the daily trend of correction
In general, the $ 2 climb today is considered a correction, and the target for oil prices this week is $ 64
Oil analysis updateOil ended the week on 64 zone
Probably it will be consolidating
Between 65-64
Strong bearish pressure, no sign of reversals yet
Will update after next structure
💌 BRENT - Inflation and Geopolitics 🕊️🌎''One way to control inflation is to have cheap Oil around'' the Fxprofessor
News:
Brent crude oil price down below $67 per barrel on London’s ICE first since May 24
The price of WTI oil also went down by 2.52%
MOSCOW, August 19. /TASS/. The price of futures contracts of Brent crude oil for October 2021 delivery went down by 2.18% on London's ICE on Thursday to $66.99 per barrel, diving below $67 per barrel for the first time since May 24, according to the trading data as of 10:00 am Moscow time.
As of 10:25 am, the price of Brent oil was down by 2.11% compared with the previous closing at $66.79 per barrel. Meanwhile, the price of WTI oil was down by 2.52% at $63.53 per barrel.
The MOEX Index was down by 1.35% at 3,872.18 points, while the RTS was down by 1.74% at 1,645.99. The dollar’s exchange rate was up by 0.45% at 74.14 rubles, while the euro’s exchange rate was up by 0.09% at 86.55 rubles.
Geopolitics:
If prices of Oil and Natural Gas are TOO high, Russia is becoming TOO dangerous (in the eyes of Americans, not in my eyes. In my eyes Russia and America should be best friends and fix this planet💌☮️🕊️🌎).
-Russia is the world's largest producer of crude oil (including lease condensate) and the second-largest producer of dry natural gas. Russia also produces significant amounts of coal.
- In early June, when Brent climbed above $70 per barrel, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the oil price reflected the balance of supply and demand and was “good enough” for Russia.
Tell me what you think.
the FXPROFESSOR
Brent OilBrent Oil:
Closing of current candle below Resistance so Important for our path..
1st and 2nd Target are shown in Chart..
Breaking: The OPEC report is issuedOPEC monthly report was issued a few minutes ago, and the report was not positive for OPEC+ and the oil-producing countries within the group, led by Saudi Arabia. OPEC kept its forecast for oil demand in 2021 unchanged at an increase of 6 million barrels per day, bringing the average to 96.6 million barrels per day, and also kept its forecast for the growth of oil demands in 2022 by 3.3 million barrels per day, bringing the average production to 99.86 million barrels per day.
While OPEC+ raised its expectations for an increase in the production of oil-producing countries outside the group by 840 thousand barrels per day, to reach an increase of 2.9 million barrels per day, with a total average of 66.9 million barrels per day in 2022.
It also raised its forecast for the production growth of oil-producing countries outside the group in 2021 by 270,000 barrels per day to reach 1.1 million barrels per day, with a total average of 64 million barrels per day.
Brent oil stays on the way to $76.25 despite recent pullbackBrent oil prices ease from the two-week top during early Friday. However, the British oil benchmark holds onto the three-week-old resistance breakout, marked the previous day. Given the firmer oscillators offering additional signals for upside momentum, a monthly horizontal area surrounding $76.25 is up for a challenge. However, any further advances become doubtful, which if portrayed could refresh the yearly top, currently surrounding $78.45, by rising towards the $80.00 psychological magnet.
Meanwhile, a daily closing below the resistance-turned-support line around $74.50 will redirect sellers toward the $72.50 and then to May’s high near $70.40. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s weakness past $70.40 will be challenged by the $70.00 round figure. If at all the Brent oil bears refrain from respecting the $70.00 mark, a convergence of 100-DMA and an ascending support line from March 23, near $69.75, will be crucial to observe.
Brent oil 4h (upward)Brent oil, now the price can get strong stability to up, so i think will record the target and more, near 79.00$
——-
Tendency: upward
Target 75.35$
Does oil affect Bitcoin? Ans: Yes, but marginally related!
Dear traders:
U.S. oil drops as much as 8% to below $70 as OPEC prepares to boost production.
Whenever oil prices crash, the digital economy destabilizes. it seems reasonable that the two (Oil, BTC) assets’ price movements would only be marginally related:
why?
1- oil is becoming ever more connected with the demand side of the global economy (demand: China.
Production: Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia...) .
2- Bitcoin was originally developed (partly) as a response to the US government's manipulation of the money supply (United States).
The production of oil has become greater in recent years and the availability of an increasing supply of oil puts downward pressure on the commodity. In contrast, Bitcoin’s supply is fixed. It will never have ups and downs in discovery of new product. This certainty explains perhaps some of the divergence between the two prices at certain times.
Source:
www.swissbullion.eu
Brent oil battles 100-DMA to keep bounce off key support lineBrent oil buyers jostle with 100-DMA while extending the previous day’s rebound from a two-month low, not to forget an ascending support line from late March. Given the RSI recovery from the oversold region, coupled with the bounce off the key support line, the commodity prices may extend the latest upside beyond the immediate DMA hurdle of above $69.00. However, the $70.00 threshold and May’s high $70.40, followed by March’s top surrounding $72.00, could challenge the oil bulls from time to time.
On the contrary, a daily closing below the stated support line, near $68.70, will aim for 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March–June advances close to $67.30. If at all the Brent bears remain dominant past $67.30, May’s bottom surrounding $64.65 becomes crucial support as it holds the key to the further downside towards the March month’s low of $60.44. Overall, oil prices tease key technical juncture and hence today’s closing will be important to watch.
OIL - The Bigger PictureOnce you zoom out, you can see exactly how price is moving. We can see that price revisited the highs of the 2018 and couldn't push any higher.
We reached that area in a an ascending wedge which is often a reversal pattern.
Looking for bear flags to take this down!
Goodluck and trade safe.
OIL - The Bigger PictureOnce you zoom out, you can see exactly how price is moving. We can see that price revisited the highs of the 2018 and couldn't push any higher.
We reached that area in a an ascending wedge which is often a reversal pattern.
Looking for bear flags to take this down!
Goodluck and trade safe.