OIL, Winter is coming...What a bloody day and more to come. A lot of people might ask why? And How That's possible? Is this a bullish sign? Are they gonna pump it out? Moon!? The answer of all of these questions are a simple "No"!
But why?
First, institutional moneys from both big investors and governments are moving to safe haven in order to keeping them away from loss or less
Second, Some people or governments for dealing with current situation need money. So they will dump every share they have whatever it takes. They start with whatever they have more or whatever they don't need first. Oil of course, is the last thing you want to keep in Corona Virus crisis.
Now what will happen?
We're gonna go up for a few days for hunting some newbies, market now needs some fresh money. Then we tank down to target
Brentoil
Oil is going to be cheapI'm already in on the trade already for a while. Shorted many energy stocks like XOM, and TUPRAS which are already closed but there is more downside to go. Energy stocks are going to feel this.
Trading is not about being right or wrong. Trading is not being in the market all the time. But it is a response center where you check your analysis. Do you want a infinite cost to check if your analysis is wrong? Then don't use a stoploss. Do you want an infinite return which could possibly turn into a loss due a long period? Or do you want a set goal which is hit?
Trading is not only analysis but also your mental state. Mental control or mental analysis is what makes you a winner.
OİLThe International Energy Agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC — the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries — have taken an axe to forecasts for oil demand this year, cutting year-on-year growth to the lowest levels since the financial crisis of 2008-09. The IEA was the first of the three to predict that the world will use less oil in 2020 than it did in 2019. OPEC is the only one of the three that sees stockpiles being drawn down this year - but that was before its de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, decided to open the taps and flood the world with crude in a price war that has no quick end in sight.
Brent Oil: The Price Reached 27.00 Strong Support. What's Next? The price is at a strong support zone, which could stop the falling market and pushed it upward in January 2016. How will it be this time?
From TA point of view, a reversal signal from the support zone is good for buying. But FA tells us that the oil has the potential to keep falling. It will be possible to see 25.00 and even 20.00 levels.
Buying right now is rather risky. But when there is positive fundamental news, the price of this asset will become very interesting for opening long positions. Add this market to your watch list in order not to miss a good buy opportunity.
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
OPEC dispute and BTC/USD going Hand by HandWith the growing concern of COVID-19, OPEC dispute and Trade war, It is likely that coming months will see a pour in capital for BTC/USD pair.
The MoM seems worse, seeing the UKOIL(Brent Crude Oil) will have a greater impact on BTC/USD and to make the matter worse the coming quarter does not seems a happy ending.
I believe we will touch 3k USD in coming near mid 2020.
Too Early To Call But Oil Outlook Not EncouragingThe long term outlook for oil is not at all encouraging. Depending on this month close, oil may be heading below 21. The monthly seems to be on corrective bullish wedge which is likely to reverse on the touch of the lower channel of the wedge. Dangerously dangerous for OPEC!!!
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
OIL, accurate buy idea In this video, u will learn where u can open accurate entry OIL .
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Short Oil - 22% Potential Downside- 12 Feb 2020Brent crude has had an abysmal start of the year.
As things stand, the price is hovering around $50 per barrel which is the lowest it's been in over 12 months.
A major, if not ONLY factor, that's resulted in the drop in brent crude is the Coronavirus.
As I write this, the virus has already infected more than 17,000 Chinese people and more than 350 have died. The numbers are rising on a daily basis where reports of cases have now spread to more than 15 countries.
With no slowdown in the spread of the virus, it's close to being declared a pandemic, which won't help the oil prices either…
Between the travel restrictions, the production cuts, the drop in demand and the Coronavirus epidemic causing havoc with global economies, I expect the oil price to crash another 22%.
Major travel restrictions = LESS FUEL
Early this year, the US State department recommended no travel to China due to drastic measures to contain the Coronavirus.
Since then the list of airlines halting travel to China has been on the increase including:
• Virgin Atlantic
• Air France
• British Airways
• Lufthansa
• Lion Air and even
• Seoul Air.
There has also been a reduction in flight schedules to China from American, Delta, United, Finnair, Cathay Pacific, and Jetstar Asia.
The air travel stoppages weren't the only restrictions, which lead to a drop in fuel usage.
The Philippines halted visas on arrival to Chinese nationals, Singapore and Russia closed its borders to Chinese guests while Hong Kong stopped trains from China.
These few travel restrictions I mentioned, are showing a major drop in demand for fuel.
In fact, China, which imports more oil than any other nation, is already cutting its refinery production this month by 600,000 bpd because of the reduced demand.
This means, just with the travel restrictions alone, China's oil demand can drop as much as 20%, (or 3 million barrels per day)
The world oil giants are also cutting millions of barrels of oil per day as demand drops
BP's CFO Brian Gilvary told Reuters last week that, the economic slowdown brought on by the virus will reduce oil consumption for the entire year by 300,000 to 500,000 bpd. That is roughly 0.5% of global demand.
And when demand for a product drops, the price falls with it.
Worst yet, I’m seeing two extremely negative (bearish) patterns forming on the Brent Crude oil chart…
As you can see in the chart - I expect major downside to come
My two lines for BrentDue the latest worldwide events and seeing that DJT transportation index seems not performing well... Bad news also coming from that cartel OPEC represents I decided to setup my position against brent.
Here are my two levels based on FIBO lines.
What are your thoughts? Do you really think that the price of the barrel will continue to plummet? Will we reach $ 20 soon?
Please feel free to comment. Glad if you share this too. Thanks!
Long Term Forecast For Oil Still Pointing Towards 36Six months ago, the analysis done on brent oil indicated that bears are dominating the market. Now price is hovering around 45, but bears are not yet done with either brent or WTI.
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
BRENT - Great chance for growth! 05/03/0202Friends, support this idea with your Like and any Comment. Thanks.
I expect the start of price growth BRENT in the framework of the impulse wave C.
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Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaUpdate on these long term ideas:
Oil breached the long term trendline but stopped at another one (below) and at the 1.414 extension exactly. My theory is the bottom is in here and possibly move up towards $60 again as part of a complex corrective move; a break above $5060 would help.
USOIL Breaking a Very Strong Support Right Now!Hello Traders I wish you for a very good day! Here I update all my trade plans and setups based on technicals while nothing in here shared as a trading signal. So take them at your own risk. All these remains as just a prediction until we meet with the required criteria. Best regards!
In the weekly time frame I witness a very special key level which can support for more oil price drop out ahead. As we know Corona Virus became a very strong tool to move the markets and change the traders sentiment over the time and since it got started spread out. So with the trade setup I have worked here I see $43 is became realistic at this stage.
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USOIL Double Bottoms formed before Next Rally?Hello Traders I wish you for a very good day! Here I update all my trade plans and setups based on technicals while nothing in here shared as a trading signal. So take them at your own risk. All these remains as just a prediction until we meet with the required criteria. Best regards!
Its a clear double bottoms formation on a strong support and hope this can support for more upside very soon. Trade setup I am looking for is with a very low risk to a higher reward. And hope this may give another set of good numbers again for the week.
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Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaUpdate to below idea:
Thinking that a starting wedge maybe forming within a channel up, 5 waves consisting of ABC for each wave which means wave 4 could overlap wave 1; Wave 3 of C (orange) hit 1.272 extension exactly and in the same area as 1.618 of wave 1 (white), could see a pull back towards $52 if this theory is correct.