CURRENT OPEN POSITIONS...EURAUD, USDNOK, AUDJPY, BRENT CRUDE OILIn this video update, we take a look at our current open positions to give an update of where we are at.
EURAUD has moved significantly towards targets as well as AUDJPY.
The daily timeframe suggested the AUD was going to weaken and we are seeing that play out at the moment.
USDNOK remains bearish and was close to targets before rebounding, looking for the momentum to pick up here as the price has remained range-bound.
Brentoil
Crude Oil Elliot Wave IdeaAn update to this idea >
The triangle appears to have broken out to the upside and if the sideways movement between 13th August high of 57,43$ and 3rd September low of 52,87$ was wave 2 then we could be in for a big move upwards towards 63,99$ (1.618 extension).
Breaking the high at 58,79$ is critical to this theory.
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaFollow up on this idea on smaller timeframe >
Since the bounce from 5482$ there appears to be another 5 waves up from that low to 5726$, hitting the .382 extension perfectly. May now see another mini correction before another new high.
A break below 5481$ would invalidate this idea.
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaA theory that all this sideways trading since we hit the 5740$ high in mid August has been a complex correction to the move up from 5050$.
C wave may have finished at 5280$ and if we completed 5 impulse waves up from that low to yesterdays high at 5770$ then we may see a correction before another move up and a new high.
OIL: Double Equilibrium! Break Coming Soon!Hello dear energy sector friends and USOIL traders, hope you're doing well guys! ;)
Oil is now in a double Equilibrium range, both on the Daily & on the Weekly. I'm gonna walk you through how to play the break in either direction. Have fun watching! ;)
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Brent Crude Breakout?Awaiting for the close to confirm this breakout. Of course this would be a trade. I am still of the opinion that a recession is coming (or we are already in one) and oil will struggle. Really only geopolitics can change that.
However, on Brent crude, we had a downtrend and failed to make more lower lows. Indicating that the buyers were stepping in and the trend was changing.
We appear to be getting a confirmed break above this resistance level. Just awaiting the close.
There is a flip zone at the 64.10 zone so watch how price reacts there.Otherwise 65 may be in the cards.
BRENT - Important levels before US Oil Stocks announcementGlobal markets started this week following new tarriffs and statements between US and China. President Trump wants to decrease import of goods from China and also mentioned that US should undertake necessary steps to replace Chinese products. At G7 summit Trump pointed out that new economic and trading partnership with EU will be put on place. Also President Trump made a giant statement that he is ready to negotiate and meet with Iran's President Mr. Hasan Ruhani.
These news, although sounds speculative but resulted markets inpredictable movements and uncertanity in Asian markets.
UKOIL prices following a downtrend recently tested the psychologic resistance of 60USD. Tomorrow at the US Crude Oil Stocls announcements we are expecting a dropdown of crude oil stocks to 2.133M. This could support the trend reversal of the UKOIL prices and pump the price upwards. For short-term we can surely say that the price will test 60.27 and 61.00 resistnaces. Following resistances are 63.00 and 64.15. Brent in general is in a downtrend since the beginning of the year, we do not expect the price to be above 65.00 which is a very strong resistance, and sellers will do anything to bring the price down from there. Let's follow the price to test 58.35 and 57.60 supports and move towards 61.00.
Support 1 :58.35
Support 2 : 57.60
Support 3 : 56.20
Resistance 1: 64.15
Resistance 2: 63.00
Resistance 3: 60.27
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Is Brent Oil Heading towards 36 in a couple of MonthsIf respite do not come for Brent Oil in terms of buyers to increase demand between 50 and 55.25, the black gold is likely to make a higher low at around 36 in a couple of months. Looking at the chart, it took Brent Oil about two and half years to rally from its low at 27.08 in January 2016 to its high at 86.72 during October 2018. Since after that, it has being on a decline. Using this assumption one can expect Brent Oil to make another low around 36 (if demand is not drastically increased around 50 mark), in the next 2 years - 2021.
OPEC, Non-OPEC countries and unconventional oil & gas producing countries actions and inactions have a big role to play in determining the future of the price of oil within this period...
This analysis is based on my technical analysis opinion and not to be construed as a trading advise.
PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaA follow up on previous ideas:
My thinking is the triangle breaks out soon and that wave B (white) of Y (yellow) at the recent low at 505X is complete and ultimately head towards high $60's.
Alternatively the triangle is traded a little longer with one more visit to the $50 area before breakout.