CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move From Key Level 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil formed a double top pattern after a test of a strong horizontal resistance.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bearish confirmation.
We can anticipate a retracement at least to 73.0 level now.
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Brentoil
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🛢️
Here are the important key levels & structures to watch next week on WTI OIL.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BRNUSD_4HBrent crude oil 4-hour and mid-term time frame analysis The possibility of the formation of ABC corrective wave, which is currently expected to be in wave B, and after the end of the range, it will continue to rise towards the number and range of $83 and $85 as wave C. The main and important support number and range is 76 and 77 dollars.
Brent - D1Brent
D1 - Update*
After breaking through the trend line, the price was unable to gain a foothold behind the line, which may lead to further downward movement when the lower line is broken.
For shopping, nothing changes dramatically.
Globally, the levels that the price can reach are 92.04
If a downward movement is realized, the levels can be considered at a price of 63.36
What can you expect?
Long - You can consider entering from the current levels of ~79.21 or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 75.34, if you are considering the entry from W1 and the formation of a 3-wave structure, the stop can be set at the minimum of the 1st wave at the level of 72.00
Short - When the level of 75.43 is broken, you can consider selling or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 79.33
Long
Target 81.41 - 82.78 - 85.51 - 87.98 - 92.04
Short
Target 72.36 - 70.61 - 66.79 - 63.36
Brent - W1\D1Brent
W1 - The price may form a potential 3-wave structure, which, if wave 1 is broken, will mean continued upward movement to the values of 95.90
D1 - You can observe the formation of a triangular structure with a breakout of the upper trend line. Globally, the levels that the price can reach are 92.04
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the current levels of ~79.21 or wait for the price to fix behind the trend line and then consider entering.
Cancel if the price breaks the minimum - 75.34, if you are considering the entry from W1 and the formation of a 3-wave structure, the stop can be set at the minimum of the 1st wave at 72.00
Long
Target 81.41 - 82.78 - 85.51 - 87.98 - 92.04
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Signal?! 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil keeps falling.
After a completion of a correctional movement, the market dropped again
and violated a key horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price formed a narrow horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
Its support breakout is an important intraday confirmation.
We can anticipate a bearish continuation to 67.3 level now.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Consolidation & Complete Indecision 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil is consolidating within a range on a daily since the beginning of November.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 80.85 - the upper boundary of the range,
I will anticipate a growth to 82.50.
Bearish Scenario
In case of a breakout of 72.20 support, we may anticipate a bearish movement
to 87.35 level.
Wait for a breakout, that will give you a strong bullish or bearish confirmation.
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OPEC+ meeting incomingInitially postponed due to member disagreements, the OPEC+ meeting is now set for Thursday. Discussions are poised to delve into the consideration of deeper oil production cuts. Analysts foresee the potential extension or intensification of supply reductions into the coming year to stabilise oil prices, which currently hover around $80 a barrel. While the possibility of a collective reduction in output exists, specific details remain undisclosed.
The delay stemmed from disagreements over output levels for African producers. However, indications suggest a closer approach to reaching a compromise. The meeting's agenda features discussions by an advisory panel followed by a session with OPEC+ ministers. Notably, members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia previously committed to significant oil output cuts. Current discussions revolve around the continuation of these reductions, including Saudi's voluntary production cut and Russia's export reduction, both set to expire by year-end.
The likelihood of further oil cuts appears imminent, prompting us to refrain from offering a price prediction. However, I foresee a potential market shift—possibly a 1-2% increase if oil cuts are announced or a corresponding decrease in production sees an increase instead. My belief leans towards the former scenario. Nonetheless, any price hike might be short-lived as Saudi Arabia and Russia's production cuts are set to expire by year-end.
Henceforth, it pays to pay attention to this meeting and see what the fine details are.
Weekly Brent Crude Oil Price Prediction Update - W/C 20 Nov 2023Last Monday we posted our weekly price prediction for Brent Crude Oil.
The chart above is our analysis. You can see further analysis in our previous post.
Our price prediction for last week was between $78.00 (Min) and $87.50 (Max).
As you can see from the chart below our analysis proved true. The price stayed within the range. However, it followed the bearish indications more so than the bullish indications.
The price hit the blue line resistance levels and proceeded to go down. Following the resistance line and finding some support in the High Volume Node from the Fixed Range Volume Profile.
There are also fundamental factors at play here as well. OPEC+ delayed their meeting due on 26th November by four days due to conflicting opinions in the organisation, this is what also led to the price decline.
If you had shorted the stock once it hit the blue line resistance level it would have netted you around 3.30% ROI to the current price. Not bad for a week.
Brent - D1\H4Oil Brent
D1 - The price has formed a triangular formation, which may mean that if it fixes beyond the lower line of the triangle border, the price may continue to fall further along the trend and further reduce the price to the levels of 70.19
When fixing behind the upper trend line, the price may reverse and begin to rise, since a 3-wave structure may already be formed for the targets; in this case, we will see the price of 89.21.
H4 - For purchases, it is better to wait for fixation behind the trend line; you can also try to open at the current price with minimal risk per transaction from the lower border of the triangle. If there is a fixation, turn into sales.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the level of 82.07 to be broken/fixed and an upward movement towards the nearest targets of 89.21.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 78.93 - 78.23, if this scenario does not materialize.
When fixing behind the lower line 78.95 - 78.15, the idea is canceled when a 3-wave structure is formed in the opposite direction 89.95 - 82.87.
Long
Targets 83.01 - 84.31 - 86.68 - 89.21
Short
Targets 76.47 - 75.24 - 72.63 - 70.19
UK Brent 4H : Still trades at the bearish channel UK BRENT OIL
New forecast
The price of Brent crude futures rose sharply in the past sessions, reaching the top of the descending channel and confirming the continuation of the dominance of the downward trend in the immediate term, paving the way for achieving additional gains starting at 80.00 and extending to 78.87.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid and effective during coming period and the moving average 50 still support the price to decline , taking into account that stabilized above 82.11 will force the price to get out of bearish channel and will start a positive trades .
The expected trading range for today is between support 78.87 and resistance 82.11 .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 80.00 , 78.87
resistance line : 82.11 , 83.05
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CrudeOil Still In Downtrend Despite H4 Pullback!USOIL pullback on H4 likely targeting the trendline where sellers are waiting to push the price down again!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
UK Brent Oil 4H : Downtrend UK Brent Oil
New forecast
The price of Brent crude futures continued to rise in the past sessions to approach the 83.17 barrier, as the price is testing this support, and therefore, breaking the 81.34 support will activate the negative impact and push the price to resume the downward corrective trend, heading towards visiting the 80.00 and 78.87 areas in the near term.
Therefore, we expect to witness further decline during the coming sessions, supported by the negativity of the technical indicators, taking into account that the consolidation above 83.80 level it will postponed the negative trend and support the price to rise up . so no it possible to retest to 83.17 and the dropping .
The expected trading range for today is between support 80.00 and resistance 83.17.
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 80.00 , 78.29
resistance line : 81.35 , 83.17
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Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
W1 - The formation of a 3-wave structure continues
D1 - The price has reached 161 lvl. 3rd wave, which may mean further movement down to level 200 - 261
H4 - The price is in the correctional 4th wave, you can see the formation of an ascending channel. If the lower trend line is broken or fixed behind it, further sales to the levels of 75.4 can be considered
You can also consider entering from the formation of a double top and further movement to the lower boundary and beyond.
What to expect now?
Expectation of breaking through the level of 82.20 and fixing the lower border from the level of 81.15.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 83.60; if this scenario does not materialize and the price may return to the local range, wait for the lower border of the channel to be broken.
Short
Targets 80.00 - 79.16 - 78.43 - 76.87 - 75.41