UKOIL Brent Crude TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Recently, there has been a lot of news about the fact that oil futures have recently doubled after the last fall, that JP Morgan has earned a couple of billions, and so on and so forth.
It is a rumor that oil will fall again to $ 20 per barrel, I honestly do not really believe in this scenario, since oil is not only a trading product but has a certain influence factor from different countries, so most of the OPEC and OPEC + participants will try to speculate prices and other traders will help them in this.
Now I am exiting LONGS for oil because traders are trying to close the GAP, so we have a certain level where we can observe further price developments.
If we discard the speculative market and look from a technical point of view, we have two variations.
1. In which I very much believe this is breaking through the support level, a small correction, and going up to the golden ratio.
2. This is the exit from the channel and the fall, where we will wait for the bear rally to expire. and buy it again.
I would like to note that this analysis carries with it the subjective opinion of the author and does not force trading and is not a signal for buying or selling instruments.
Take care of yourself, like, and subscribe to my channel, leave comments, and write your own about the current situation.
Brentoilanalysis
Brent to Break over $40.00 to $45.00?Lets see if the price squeezed in this triangle breaks and the bulls have the day...
BRENT OIL top-down analysison DAILY: BRENT OIL is approaching a strong resistance and GAP zone so we will be looking for objective sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H1: OIL is currently trading inside our orange channel, so we are waiting for a new swing to form around our lower orange trendline to consider it objective and enter on its break downward.
we also have a regular bearish divergence on MACD.
meanwhile, as usual, BRENT OIL would be overall bullish until an objective sell setup is activated.
CFDS ON BRENT CRUDE OIL - BUY Earlier today, Barclays cut its crude oil price forecasts for this year on worsening outlook driven by the raging coronavirus pandemic even as the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia threatens oversupply in markets. According to the bank, UK Brent oil price outlook has been revised lower to $31 per barrel while WTI oil could average around $28 per barrel this year.
Crude oil prices are expected to remain under pressure unless the world succeeds in containing the spread of the virus effectively. In addition, Saudi Arabia’s plans to flood markets with cheaper oil amid weakening demand is likely to add extra pressure on oil prices in the near future.
According to Barclays, global available onshore storage capacity is now estimated at around 1.5 billion bpd. However, there could be an oversupply of around 5 million bpd this year, with Q2 2020 experiencing an oversupply of as much as 10 million bpd. The bank also noted that the US government’s plans to fill up its strategic oil reserves will be unable to offer support to oil producers in the country.
According to data from the US Department of Energy, available SPR storage in the country amounts to less than 80 million barrels, and when filled over six months, would increase demand by just about 0.5 million bpd. This meagre amount is far less than the predicted oversupply global oil markets are set to experience this year.
PERSONAL RECOMMENDATION:
TVC:UKOIL
BUY LIMIT 30.76
SL : 28.25
TP : 36.50
TP2 : 39.50
BRENT OIL | Bearlish scenario | UpdatingPossible BRENT oil movement based on Elliott theory and Fibonacci proportions
Updating last idea
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My two lines for BrentDue the latest worldwide events and seeing that DJT transportation index seems not performing well... Bad news also coming from that cartel OPEC represents I decided to setup my position against brent.
Here are my two levels based on FIBO lines.
What are your thoughts? Do you really think that the price of the barrel will continue to plummet? Will we reach $ 20 soon?
Please feel free to comment. Glad if you share this too. Thanks!
BRENT - Great chance for growth! 05/03/0202Friends, support this idea with your Like and any Comment. Thanks.
I expect the start of price growth BRENT in the framework of the impulse wave C.
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🛢 BRENT OIL - Entered zone of verbal INTERVENTIONS USA&SAUIn this zone, I expect a BUNCH of bullish info-occasions into the oil market and bullish forecasts of energy organizations and OPEC. Thumb UP👍 if you agree with me!
Although the United States and Saudi Arabia are already competitors in the oil market, they are in the same team in this zone and will do everything possible to prevent a strong collapse in oil prices. And if this happens, then such a failure should not be long in any case...
There are 3 very important reasons for this:
1) the Saudis' budget is burning.
2) the US problem is even more serious - almost the entire oil industry is sitting on a wild leverage before banks (very large debts to banks - just a cosmic exposure)! Low oil prices = defaults from shale producers = defaults from US banks = disaster.
3) the impact of coronavirus on energy quotes can be called short-term, since factories in China are already returning to work.
Technical Indicator 12H:
1) Awesome Oscillator - turned to green zone and started rise up.
2) Stochastic RSI - started to rise up from the undervalued zone.
Summary:
Buy on pullback around 55.15 and sell in 67 zone. Its more than 20% profit. Stop-loss could be around 53.37
USDBRO approaching support, potential for a bounce!
USDBRO is expected to drop to 1st support at 60.28 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 63.90.
*Disclaimer.*
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USDBRO reversed from resistance, potential drop!
USDBRO reversed off its resistance at 65.62 where it could potentially drop further to 62.82.
*Disclaimer.*
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
USDBRO reversed from resistance, potential drop!
USDBRO reversed off its resistance at 65.62 where it could potentially drop further to 62.82.
*Disclaimer.*
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
USDBRO reversed from resistance, potential drop!
USDBRO reversed off its resistance at 64.35 where it could potentially drop further to 62.82.
*Disclaimer.*
Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.