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Brexit

XAUUSDLooking for the targets above to be reached. Fundamentally - Brexit along with global recessions are on the cards which will strengthen XAU. Technically - Bearish structure on 4H time frame has been broken however looking at M time frame we can see higher prices looking exhausted. Long term i would like to see 1700 reached and above that will confirm bearish structure broken on the higher time frames. I have added to my positions and will be looking for XAU to hit 1530 as a more immediate target but ultimately higher targets i also want to be taken out due to fundamental aspects as well as some technical, we still have a week left to see some more bullish action before a potential reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by LitCap-Vell
2
GBPUSD: End of A Suggests B,C For Structure CompletionI have been bearish on GBPUSD since prices broke below the psychological $1.30 barrier. The current minute structure suggests that corrective wave b is underway since minuette wave (v) ended. b minute could be either an a,b,c or a w,x,y, however likely to pullback down to 1.2121/2171 Fibonacci zone. The upside potential could be limited to 1.2644, which is the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion of the 1.1960-1.2383 corrective minute wave a. Unless if the base low was the end of minor wave 5 and now GBPUSD reverses. that would turn the potential a,b,c into an 5-wave move. Should bears take over once again minor 5 will be underway! Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
by Orbex
1
ORBEX: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD On The Move!In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD #Euro down on: - Disappointing German Manufacturing PMI (actual 41.4 vs expected 44.1 vs previous 43.5) - ECB could have made a mistake talking somewhat 'neutral' - Draghi's speech hinted to high uncertainty, decision-making harder and harder #Yen down on: - Disappointing Japanese Manufacturing PMI (actual 48.9 vs expected 49.8 vs previous 49.3) - Potential stimulus measures - Potential US-Iran deal #Dollar up on: - Trade talk optimism - Markit Manufacturing PMI (actual 51 vs expected 50.4 vs previous 50.3) #Pound down on: - Thomas cook sentiment - Parliament prorogation sentiment - Barnier's pessimistic comments Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
Repo-injections in the USA, Brexit optimism and other resultsWe have already written about the results and the Fed’s decisions, the Bank of Japan, Switzerland and England in a previous review. We only note that mood is “dovish”, which creates a favourable background for the gold growth, therefore, we continue to buy the asset this week. As for the USA repo market. A shortage of liquidity in the money market provoked the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for the first time in 10 years to resort to liquidity injections. We are talking about tens of billions of dollars a day. So far the dollar on the foreign exchange market reacted calmly, the problem may well be aggravated. Too large volumes of US government bonds are pumping dollars out of the US money market, which stimulating dollar infusion by the Fed. Whether it turns on the money machine at full capacity or a new round of quantitative easing is not clear yet, but for the dollar, it is an alarming signal. Our position on the dollar is also unchanged so far - we are looking for points for its sales. First of all, against the Japanese yen and the British pound. The last 3 weeks have been extremely successful for the British pound. Its growth against the dollar, counting from the beginning of September, reached 600 points. The last time such an impressive rally was observed at the end of 2018. Brexit is the reason for all the troubles and joys. This time, a series of defeats of Boris Johnson in Parliament led to the fact that the markets believed that there would be no withdrawal without a deal. This in turn sharply increased the chances of successful negotiations with the EU. This is also supported by European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker comments that the Brexit deal could be concluded before October 31. But not everything is decided, this week is likely to give the pound several reasons for volatility. We are talking about unresolved problems with the Irish border, as well as the decision of the Supreme Court of Great Britain regarding the legality of the suspension of Parliament. Our position on the pound is still unchanged - we will look for points for purchases of the British currency. But we will do this from relatively conservative points. Friday showed that the pound can not only grow but also fall. Last week was extremely busy for the oil market. The drone attack on the oil infrastructure of Saudi Arabia not only led to a 50% drop in oil production but also triggered a panic in the oil market. The result is the one-day oil growth record in history (an increase of about 15%). However, the very next day, Saudi officials assured that by the end of September production volumes would be restored. Even though now some imbalance has arisen in the oil market, given its temporary nature, we recommend oil sales. Comments from Arabia on the restoration of production ahead of schedule is likely to return oil to the level at the start of last week. And this means that 5% is the potential oil decline.
by Trade24Fx
1
GBPJPY BEARISHAs we can see price struggled to break the bearish structure on the daily despite the bullish rally we have previously just had, i would like to see price now come down to at least 61% which for me i have marked this zone in green and the blue zone being 88%. Mondays are never really a day i look to enter markets but over the next coming weeks as we are also approaching brexit talks i would like to see the pound fall and in doing so mitigating candles below and filling imbalance.
Short
by LitCap-Vell
GBPCHF: Trading Plan For Next Week hey traders, I was paying close attention to GBPCHF for a while as it started approaching a significant level of resistance. Finally on a daily RSI shows us clear divergence and very nice dodji. The market also leaves clues on a 4H: pair was trading in a rising parallel channel for more than two weeks and finally, the market has set a lower high. The last thing that I am looking for is a bearish breakout of a channel. It will be a perfect confirmation to open a short trade. Targets are 1.22 1.20 Stop 1.25 *if the market sets new higher high higher close, setup will be invalid
Short
by VasilyTrader
Central Bank Week Results, OECD Forecasts and Pound GrowthFollowing the Fed, the Banks of Japan, Switzerland and England announced their decisions on the parameters of monetary policies. They keep interest rate steady. Accordingly, there were no large movements in the pound, yen and franc parities. Although it is worth noting some strengthening of the yen following the Bank of Japan decision. Kuroda (the head of the Bank of Japan) noted that the Central Bank supports the expansion of monetary incentives. So the global trend towards easing monetary policies may continue. Based on the results, our trading recommendations are unchanged. We will continue to sell the dollar primarily against the yen and the British pound. We will also sell the euro against the yen. As for the pound, its fate will depend entirely on the outcome of the Brexit negotiations. We are still looking for a positive outcome, therefore, recommend buying the British pound. Moreover, yesterday the pound against the dollar rose to the highest levels since July 2019. This happened after the comments of the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker appeared that the Brexit deal could well be concluded before October 31. in the light Gold purchases continue to be relevant. Concern among investors yesterday updated OECD forecasts on the world economic growth rates were added. The organization lowered its estimates to 2.9% from 3.2%. OECD also warned that exit without a deal would provoke a recession in the UK economy. Speaking of the UK economy. Retail sales came out worse than expected -0.2% m/m (forecast was 0%). But once again we emphasize that the fate of the pound is now decided not by economic data, but by Brexit. Yesterday, data on the real estate market in the United States was published and again the data significantly exceeded experts' forecasts: sales of existing homes in August increased by + 1.3% m/m (forecast was -0.7%).
Long
by Trade24Fx
2