Grounded Lithium - undervalued, strong business modelGrounded Lithium and Denison Mines are exploring and developing direct lithium extraction (DLE) from brines in Western Canada. Exploration is being directly funded via Denison Mines, who has the option to provide funding in exchange for deposit ownership. Their current deposit has an after tax NPV with 8% discount rate of $1B. Grounded Lithium currently owns 70% of the deposit and will, ultimately, own 25% of the deposit ($250M NPV). Assuming Grounded Lithium is bought out by Denison Mines at a rate of 30% of the NPV, Grounded Lithium will be valued at $75M, a 30x increase from their valuation today. This does not include any added value from additional discoveries or other reasons.
This is a long play and I do not expect Denison to make an offer until their buy-in phases have completed in 2026-2027.
Brinelithium
$LPI long (B wave potential here)LPI has experienced an impulsive 25% drop after Chile announces that it will nationalise its country's lithium supply. Private companies will be forced to work with the state to develop the local industry. I have not looked in depth into Chile's lithium industry and the potential long term consequences but the market demonstrated how it felt about the announcement. SQM fell 17% and Albemarle fell 9% (both in the top 5 largest lithium companies in the world). It is no surprise th
From a charting perspective, this looks like a clear running flat but could also become an expanding flat down the track. The impulsive C wave down could also be interpreted as the end of a new A- wave. This could mean that there B wave potential here for a swing.