BRKB
Buying Berkshire's break higher.Berkshire Hathaway B - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 321.11 (stop at 312.39)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term momentum is bullish.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A break of the recent high at 320.50 should result in a further move higher.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 342.8 and 348.8
Resistance: 320.50 / 330.00 / 340.00
Support: 314.00 / 305.00 / 297.00
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In the event of a crisis, this stock instead outperformed.Why did the stock rebound so quickly?
Perhaps the crisis is coming and investors are looking for stocks with a high safety margin as an investment target.
Also the company has plenty of cash to protect against risks, which is believed to be one of the reasons to attract investment attention.
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Berkshire Hathaway IncSunday, 13 November 2022
20:05 PM (WIB)
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. engages in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, and retailing services. It operates through the following segments: GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC (BNSF), Berkshire Hathaway Energy, McLane Company, Manufacturing, and Service and Retailing. The GEICO segment is involved in underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods.
The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group segment consists of underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share and facultative reinsurance worldwide. The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group segment consists of underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies for primarily commercial accounts. The BNSF segment operates railroad systems in North America. The Berkshire Hathaway Energy segment deals with regulated electric and gas utilities, including power generation and distribution activities, and real estate brokerage activities. The McLane Company segment offers wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items. The Manufacturing segment includes industrial and end-user products, building products, and apparel. The Service and Retailing segment provides fractional aircraft ownership programs, aviation pilot training, electronic components distribution, various retailing businesses, including automobile dealerships, and trailer and furniture leasing. The company was founded by Oliver Chace in 1839 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.
The Only Earnings Play I Am Betting OnI believe BRK.B's earnings was pushed back in response to the FED meeting today. Which is great because now I can catch some calls for a lower premium. Anyways, the goal here is to profit off the Buffet machine that is Berkshire Hathaway. From a technical POV, it is obvious we have a powerful set up in both the W and the D view (watching 50, 100, 200 MA's). Secondly, we are looking at a powerful buy range here at the $280 price point. The cup and handle formation are setting itself up to be exploited...
I will not go deep into the fundamental POV but here's what I am watching.
10/30/22 BRKB Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New ( NYSE:BRK.B )
Sector: Finance (Multi-Line Insurance )
Market Capitalization: 667.191B
Current Price: $299.63
Breakout price: $302.20 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $294.45-$276.00
Price Target: $321.80-$325.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 56-62d
Contract of Interest: $BRKB 1/20/23 300c
Trade price as of publish date: $14.80/contract
Buying a Berkshire break higher.BRK.B - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a
break of 283.03 (stop at 274.88)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the weekly chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
282.50 has been pivotal.
A break of 283 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum.
Prices have reacted from 260.
Our profit targets will be 304.97 and 309.97
Resistance: 280 / 290 / 300
Support: 270 / 265 / 260
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Did someone forget we are in a bear market?INVESTMENT CONTEXT
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon stated at a banking conference that investors should brace for a "hurricane right out there down the road and coming our way"
At the same conference, Wells Fargo's CEO Charles Scharf added "the scenario of a soft landing is (...) extremely difficult to achieve in the environment (...) we're in today"
U.S. manufacturing data for May positively surprised, with the index declining to 56.1 vs. analyst expectations of 54.5 - demand apparently remains strong even amidst supply-chain constraints choking retail
Italy's natural gas distribution leader Snam bought a floating regasification terminal with capacity of 5 billion cubic meters a year from Golar LNG as efforts to diversify energy supply off from Russia gain pace
President Joe Biden is expected to be visiting Saudi Arabia later in June to discuss greater OPEC+ commitment to lift crude oil production in a bout to lower prices
PROFZERO'S TAKE
Equities are failing to keep up the rebound attempted last week, on the back of still weak fundamentals and waning technical support - Nasdaq testing the 12k mark in particular testifies that a much-awaited bounce back in tech stocks simply can't hold for now. Tellingly, Jamie Dimon's meteorological metaphors muted from "big storm clouds" just on May 23 to a "hurricane"; ProfZero won't broadcast on The Weather Channel, but definitely concurs the winds of volatility will be blowing strongly for a few quarters more
Encouraging signs from Saudi Arabia are tempering concerns of even higher crude oil prices due to Russia's output being squeezed by sanctions. OPEC+ largest producer indicated it will step in raising output should Russia's quota drop excessively - yet ProfZero argues that can't be expected happen too fast, given the cartel's clear liking for the current price environment. Call on President Biden to ease the increase
ProfZero won't say "I told you" - the big red candle on page 3 does an already excellent job reminding BTC traded in overbought territory for almost 2 sessions. Calling the bottom now? Only on stronger fundamentals
PROFONE'S TAKE
ProfOne set its eyes on lithium, indicated by IEA as the mineral for which demand was growing the fastest. Lithium price ballooned 68% since the beginning of 2022, and car manufacturers do not anticipate any easing for several years, now that the European Parliament just voted to ban the sale of new cars with combustion engine from 2035. Lithium demand is growing so rapidly that ProfOne understands why Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk wants to integrate upstream into lithium production. Lithium shares a common issue in the commodity space - 80% of the world’s lithium is mined in just 3 countries, namely Australia, Chile and China. Yet another head-scratching factor amidst talks of de-globalization and tighter supply chains
PROFTHREE'S TAKE
This week was rich in Purchasing Manager’s Indices (PMIs) print for May in China. Both the official manufacturing PMI and the Caixin gauge beat expectations, ticking up from April lows. Although the figures remain below the 50-point level which separates growth from contraction, the negative trend seems to have come to an end (or a hold) thanks to lifting in COVID-19 restrictions. ProfThree sees optimism over Shanghai reopening to continue, yet warns against being too naive to exclude the probability of another variant coming. With China’s economy reeling and limited headroom for monetary stimulus due to soaring inflation, it is too early to call a rebound. Profs remain cautious about this year’s economic perspectives for the country - and in a certain way for the (ex?) globalized world at large
Berkshire Hathaway - Potential 20% Upside?Is the most famous investor in the modern history and his international conglomerate able to update historic highs before US economy spirals into recession?
Let's look at it in more detail.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years except 2020
Profit margin - not consistent and varies from 10% to 20%, 2021 was with the highest 28%
P/E - 8.4x which is considerably lower than the current S&P500 ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Following the correction of March 2020 shares of Berkshire Hathaway have enjoyed similar growth cycle as S&P500 with 120% gains
This bull run was formed by an impulse where waves 1 to 4 have been completed and wave 5 is currently developing
Wave 4 is clearly identifiable as a lengthy and flat Running Correction that lasted between May and November 2021
The final wave of the impulse is quite choppy with lots of crossings which often indicates the development of an Ending Diagonal pattern with a structure of 3-3-3-3-3
If this is the case then waves 1 to 3 have been established and wave 4 is in the process of completion
Once this zigzag-like correction is over we can observe another zigzag to update the historic highs and potential gains for investors of 20%
What do you think about Berkshire Hathaway and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
Berkshire Hathaway - Fall To Continue?Given the latest sell off it looks like the most famous investment conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway is less likely to reach its former highs in the near future.
If so, how deep it may fall?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years except 2020
Profit margin - not consistent and varies from 10% to 20%, 2021 was with the highest 28%
P/E - 8.4x which is considerably lower than the current S&P500 ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Following the sharp drop since March 2022 it is very likely that impulse wave that was developing since March 2020 has completed with an Ending Diagonal as fifth wave
If so, then we are observing the development of a new global correction which may be quite deep, in the range of $160-$240, and lengthy depending on the market sentiment and materialisation of recession risks
Currently we can see formation of Double Zig-Zag, the first one has completed in wave W. Second zig-zag is in progress with fully formed wave A, wave B to follow to the upside into the region of $325-$340
This correction wave X may last until the next earnings report planned for the beginning of August and if it is not going to reach market expectations the shares may drop further
Although fundamentals are quite good at this stage of the market cycle, Berkshire is doing reshuffle of its portfolio which may impact these fundamental indicators. Let's see what the next report is going to tell us.
What do you think about Berkshire Hathaway and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves .
Thanks
PS this is an update to the previous idea where the scenario suggested another run to update the highs
Neutral $BRK.B $319.78Neutral $BRK.B $319.78. BRK.B repeating the pattern from Nov 2020 and Mar 2021. Price action shows this time stock reached the target in shorter time span. Expect little more addition to stock price and then sideways trade action between $300 till $320 till next breakout pattern appears. Expect 20 SMA acting as support for this stock.
STNE backed by Buffett, names executive from JPMorgan ChaseSTNE StoneCo is a Brazilian payment-technology firm backed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway.
STNE is down 90% from the peak they hit in February 2021.
After another earnings miss, StoneCo named new senior managers one of them being the head of treasury, Diego Salgado, a former JPMorgan Chase & Co. director for Latin America debt capital markets.
My take profit area is between 15.60 and 19 usd.
Warren Buffett likes 50% RetracementsI was researching the holdings of AMEX:XLF to prepare for Sector Rotation into Financial which I think is due shortly and the top holding in that ETF is NYSE:BRK.B . While analyzing the chart I find that there were two distinct opportunities at major 50% Retracement Levels on 1/24/2022 and 2/24/2022. These are quite excellent holds of my key principle levels and a testament to the versatility of this one simple analysis.
Berkshire Hathaway B: Previous support provides good risk/rewardBerkshire Hathaway B - Short Term - We look to Buy at 275.30 (stop at 268.50)
We look to buy dips. We are trading within a Bullish Ascending Triangle formation. Previous support located at 275.00. The primary trend remains bullish. We look for a temporary move lower. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 275.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 293.50 and 296.50
Resistance: 288.70 / 293.50 / 300.00
Support: 275.00 / 271.00 / 247.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
1/9/22 BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New ( NYSE:BRK.B )
Sector: Finance (Multi-Line Insurance)
Market Capitalization: 714.396B
Current Price: $319.78
Breakout price: $301.50 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $305.00-$296.75
Price Target: $329.00-$334.50
Estimated Duration to Target: 100-106d
Contract of Interest: $BRKB 6/17/22 345c
Trade price as of publish date: $6.60/contract
Major Top for BRK.BAbout every decade BRK.B has a major top. Drawing a fib from the Dot.com correction in 1999 the 2.618 called the top of the Great Financial Crisis in 2007, and the 4.414 called the next major top in 2014. Drawing a fib from the GFC the 2 was almost hit during the top in 2014, and 4.414 called $294 as the next decade's cycle top, which has been rejected twice this year. The four major tops are actually spaced apart by about seven years (1999, 2007, 2014, 2021).
The daily chart has formed a triple top over the past six months. Two shooting star candles confirmed that $294 is seemingly insurmountable resistance, the first on May 10 and the second on November 8. Although this may continue to consolidate for months or longer, the upside is very limited, the opportunity cost is high, and an eventual correction can be expected.