Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3—2025)When Bitcoin grows, the Altcoins grow. It is easy to know when the Altcoins will be growing if Bitcoin is moving up with momentum, but what happens when Bitcoin isn't doing anything, just sideways?
When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. It is easy to know what will happen to Bitcoin by tracking the Altcoins market. Right now, many Altcoins are breaking bullish three digits green on the day. This is the first time since August and November 2024, before a major bullish impulse. This type of action reveals that the Altcoins market is set to grow.
» When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, which means that Bitcoin will do the same. This is now confirmed.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3)
The market is turning bullish and this is no longer my speculative opinion, this is now a confirmed fact. You can always go to any Cryptocurrency exchange and look at the list of trading pairs, sort the listing to show the top earners first and you have your proof. Whenever there are many pairs, true projects not scam coins, growing 2-3 digits green, that means that the market is bullish.
See for yourself and tell me what you see. Knowing this, let me do an analysis for you, which one is your favorite Altcoin pair? What is your TOP Choice? Which Altcoin will you pick?
Leave a comment with the trading pair you want me to look at. Make sure to add some questions; What would you like to know about the project in question and the chart? What is your trading strategy? Are you trading short-term or long-term? Are you a reporter, a writer, a reader or a trader?
Are you serious about Crypto or just passing by?
How long have you been in this market?
Have you been successful before?
Do you use mindfulness for trading?
Do you process stress through exercise, eating, fasting, drugs or meditation?
What method do you use to handle the stress that comes from engaging the market?
What are your goals?
Share some information together with your pair so that I can do a personalized analysis based on what you want.
I will respond your comment with a published analysis or an analysis on the comment reply. One condition though, the trading pair must be available on this TradingView platform with at least 6 months of data for the analysis to be viable.
Let's find some great Altcoins. The BTC pairs are in a great situation right now and great prices are still possible but not for long.
The time is now, which one will be Your Top Altcoin Choice?
See you in the comments section below.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection
In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior.
---
Historical Context: Previous Cycles
3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months:
- 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000.
- This was followed by a significant correction.
- 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections.
Cycle Completion – Price Reversion
By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase.
---
Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024
We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle :
- Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event.
- If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect:
- A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K.
- A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase.
---
Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving)
Using the same temporal framework:
- By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K.
- This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion .
- It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion.
---
The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic
- Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent :
- Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving .
- Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving.
- These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles .
---
Final Thoughts
This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026.
Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain .
What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
---
1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
---
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
---
3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
---
4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
---
5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
---
Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Bitcoin: Watch For These Break Out Scenarios.Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the 88 K resistance (see arrow). What happens after that is anyone's guess. This is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about considering multiple scenarios and then adjusting as the market offers new information.
This evaluation can be helpful on multiple time frames if you know how to use it. For example, a break of the 83K support can be a great day trade opportunity on time frames like the 5 minute. A test of the 78K to 80K area followed by a confirmation can offer a long opportunity on the swing trade or day trade time frames. A test of the 88K or 90K resistance levels can offer aggressive short opportunities on smaller time frames as well. You have to be prepared for the possibility of the corresponding pattern to appear (bullish/bearish reversal) and confirmation. From there risk can be effectively quantified and taking action becomes reasonable.
Getting stuck on 1 scenario rather then being prepared for multiple possibilities makes you inflexible because there is NO precision in financial markets (unless you're on the micro structure level MOST retail traders are NOT). The scenarios I explained here can unfold over the week or take longer, AGAIN is it a matter of catalyst or surprise news event.
As far as the bigger picture, nothing has changed. The 76K AREA low is a double bottom, which translates into a broader higher low when you look back over the year. This higher low structure implies Bitcoin is still generally BULLISH which means betting on resistance levels can be considered a lower probability outcome. This also means current prices are still attractive investment levels as long as you are sizing strategically. IF price manages to break below 65K over the next quarter, then I would say investing should be more limited since such a break implies the impulse structure is no longer in play.
Other than that, seasonal volume typically peaks around this time of year in the stock market, which means the next few months are more likely to be less eventful and contain smaller price ranges etc. There are always exceptions and news catalysts will still cause price spikes, but the dramatic nature like we have seen will likely be smaller. So unless there are any surprises in Bitcoin, be prepared for slow grinds or less eventful movements generally speaking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys!
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario.
The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards.
📌 Key Zone to Watch:
– Support area around $83,000 – $82,500
– A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal.
Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
$BTC: Last 2 months pump before the bear market starts.On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one.
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
BCT CMEWe are have 2 target
1) 86850
2) 83200
Friday close in 4h sibi, I think this Sunday NWOG open price down and looking stops lvl 83.200
We are see below 4h bisi after week vi, I think price need move first this area for create sales candle and after hunt 86.850 above NWOG 7 March
I search buy in this two pd area
Lets see what happen after open exchanges
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC Breaks Key Resistance –Pullback Your Last Chance to Enter!?To start today's analysis, it's best to look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) analysis I shared with you on April 10 , which can give us good insight and has performed well so far .👇
Bitcoin seems to have finally managed to break through Important Resistance lines as well as the Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) . The break volume is also high and could be a good sign for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the breaking of important resistance lines , we should wait for the next 5 impulsive waves , which I will try to analyze step by step in this idea and future ideas.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) for the first time after the pullback to the broken Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) (it is better to enter a long position on the pullback ). Basically, assets can NOT break such heavy zones for the first time . ( With very good news, it may break for the first time ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,022-$85,539
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,340-$88,000 = Important
Do you think the main uptrend has resumed or will Bitcoin correct again?
Note: The pullback is likely to start from the third point of contact with the Resistance lines.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,100, it seems we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
(1D chart)
(Movement in a wide range)
If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to.
It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out.
(Narrow range movement)
After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend.
In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4).
-
As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point.
The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited.
If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC SHORT TP:82,300 17-04-2025🚨 Time to go Short! The targets are set between 82,000 and 82,500, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes indicating a bearish trend.
We anticipate this downward movement to unfold within the next 2 days. It’s crucial to enter at the right moment and consider averaging down to maximize your potential gains.
Keep an eye on market updates to adjust your strategy accordingly. Following me will ensure you stay informed about any changes and the latest insights. Let’s navigate this market together and aim for those profits! 📉💰
BTCUSD | 1H | IMPORTANT LEVELSHey There;
I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis just for you.📈
Key resistance levels for Bitcoin are 85,892.00 and 86,192.00, while the support level stands at 83,190.00.⚠️
If Bitcoin breaks above the 86,192.00 level, the next target could be around 88,860.00.📣
I truly care about you all, and keeping you informed is something I see as my responsibility.🥰
Wishing you an amazing day ahead!💙
BTC Dominance – Are We Near the true Altseason?BTC Dominance – Are We Near the Altseason?
BTC dominance has been rising recently, and many believe the real altseason will begin once BTC.D reaches 71%, just like in the previous cycle.
However, it might happen sooner than expected.
On the 1W timeframe, several signs are flashing:
RSI is showing a bearish divergence that’s about to play out.
Since January 2023, the MACD has been in overbought territory.
Each time RSI peaked above 70%, we saw a rejection of 8–10%. It's currently at 68% and nearing that level again.
On December 2nd, 2024, the structure was broken, but it has since re-entered its rising channel.
🔗
On the Daily chart:
BTC.D is approaching its cycle peak around 65%, which should act as a resistance and potential reversal point.
Since the structure was already broken once, another downside break is highly probable.
🔗
On the Monthly chart, it’s pretty clear we’re nearing the end of the BTC dominance cycle, and a rotation of capital is likely to follow soon.
Now, there are 2 possible scenarios:
Altseason starts at 65% in this cycle.
Altseason starts again at 71%, mirroring the previous cycle.
When you look at the Monthly chart, it’s easy to see that this cycle is different. With an overbought RSI, and a potential break of structure, a long-awaited MACD correction could be the trigger for the real altseason.
🚨 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) 🚨