Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution.
Accumulation, manipulation and distribution
Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point.
Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions.
Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term.
Target levels
As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase.
Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance.
Conclusion
In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias.
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Btc!
Bitcoin Bullish, Will Not Hit $200,000 This Cycle, $137,000 NextBitcoin is still bullish. A higher low is a bullish development. If Bitcoin stops bleeding at around a price of $88,888.88 this would be a strong, perfect, higher low compared to 7-April and it would match perfectly a classic correction because this price sits at the Fibonacci golden ratio.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, timing is important and we got perfect timing on this retrace. How far down will it go?
It is still too early to say but we know that below $74,500 isn't possible because that's the last low. $78,000 is possible but not necessary so we are betting that the lowest ever will be above $80,000. Remember, Bitcoin will never ever trade below $80,000 in its history. Sorry, but these prices are gone, nobody can buy this low again.
There is good news though. You can still buy when the next low is established.
It is impossible to predict the exact price when Bitcoin will stop dropping, but it is possible to see a support level being developed. So when the next support is in, we can cover (close the SHORT) and go LONG again.
Pretty simple. Buy when prices are low, sell when prices are high.
A new all-time high is pretty high and thus we sell (sold).
When the next support level is established, we buy again.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Each Altcoin needs to be considered individually because some will grow while others move down. We are more advanced now in this bull market cycle. You can visit my profile for more.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Challenges Support —Never Ever Below $80,000 (80K)I updated this chart to show the full support range. This is Bitcoin's main support. Between $100,000 and $103,000. If this level breaks, prepare to see Bitcoin producing another week red then consolidation, on and on, before the next high.
If this support holds, then we can expect a soon and fast recovery.
The most likely scenario is that it will take around 2-3 weeks before the retrace-correction is over followed by new growth.
Remember, always a higher low. Just look back to August 2024. After the major low was in, there was indeed retraces and corrections as part of the bullish phase. It is the same.
Retraces and corrections are just an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
If you missed below $80,000 in the last drop, you can get below $90,000 in this drop. But not much lower.
Bitcoin will never ever trade below 80K.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTCUSD: Neutral on 1D means buy opportunity during rallies.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.351, MACD = 2908.600, ADX = 27.535) which is far from alarming as during Bull Cycle rallies such pullbacks are buy opportunities. Especially now that the price is even supported by the 1D MA50, which having cross above the 1D MA200 last week, they formed a Golden Cross. The pattern is identical to the last 1D Golden Cross, steady rally phases supported by HL trendlines that rose by roughly the same percentage. Their 1D RSI sequences also display similar formations. For that reason, we remain bullish on Bitcoin despite the current correction, targeting short term 119,000.
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Be careful with BTC !!!Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think is the time for btc to rise again to 111k after more correction . STRONG SUPPORT 98k
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
SHORT Bitcoin 10X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 175.6%)For experts only. This is not for beginners.
Leveraged trading is ultra-high risk and it is even harder when it comes to shorting.
This is not medical advice. This is not spiritual advice.
This is definitely not financial advice. This is just a chart and some numbers.
How you decide to use these numbers is completely up to you.
I am wishing you tons of luck and success; profits 100%.
This is a strong chart setup. It looks great.
_____
SHORT BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $111,111
2) $109,255
3) $108,000
4) $107,000
Targets:
1) $103,149
2) $101,012
3) $98,790
4) $94.239
5) $89,999
11) $88,888
Stop-loss:
Close weekly above $115,000
Potential profits: 175%
Capital allocation: 4%
_____
Thank you for reading.
If you enjoy the content make sure to follow.
(Leave a comment with your toughts.)
Namaste.
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis.
BTC has been in an uptrend since early April 2025, breaking above a strong horizontal resistance line (visible in the chart).
However, we can now observe a descending channel (falling wedge) after the peak, indicating a potential pullback.
Support Levels:
The price has tested the 50-day SMA (red) and is approaching the 200-day SMA (green), which is a strong dynamic support (around $94,740–$98,000).
Horizontal support lines are around the $103,000 and $100,000 levels, acting as immediate support.
Price Pattern:
The pattern resembles a bullish flag or descending wedge, suggesting a possible continuation of the previous upward move if a breakout occurs.
Before a bullish reversal, a retest of support levels (highlighted in the blue circle) near the moving averages is possible.
Future Path (as drawn on the chart):
Possible pullback to around $100,000–$98,000 levels.
Reversal and breakout are expected to be between $112,000 and $115,000 initially, and possibly higher to $125,000–$130,000.
Volume & Momentum:
No volume data is shown, but the price action indicates a correction with weakening momentum.
Trend lines are sloping upwards, indicating underlying strength despite the correction.
Trade Setup Based on This Analysis
Entry Zone: Around $100,000–$98,000 (if price tests support and forms reversal patterns like a bullish engulfing or hammer).
Stop-Loss: Below $94,000 (below the 200 SMA and the trendline support).
Short-Term Target: $112,000–$115,000.
Mid-Term Target: $125,000–$130,000.
Risk Considerations
If BTC breaks below the 200 SMA and horizontal support near $94,000, the trend may weaken.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance !!!The price is currently forming the second corrective wave, and a slight price drop to reach higher levels is normal.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Strong-Bullish Above 102000, Remember The Bigger PictureWe've defined $102,000 as the strongest support level ever based on the long-term. This number was extracted using the 2021-2022 bear market. It is mapped which a red dotted line on the chart.
On this chart you can see how this level worked as resistance in December 2024 and January 2025, later to become the strongest support ever now, in May 2025. Bitcoin is 100% bullish as it trades above $102,000.
» I should say super-bullish, hyper-bullish, ultra-bullish, etc.
Right now Bitcoin is safe and sound when considering the bigger picture.
The Altcoins market is also safe and we can continue to accumulate; Buy and hold.
If you have any questions do not hesitate to leave a comment.
Please keep in mind that market conditions can always change. In a day without notice.
Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
Check support: Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins.
The OBV indicator is currently rising again near the High Line.
We need to see if it can continue to rise by breaking above the High Line.
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
If it declines with strong trading volume, there is a possibility of a decline near the StochRSI 20 point of 97209.25.
Therefore, we need to respond depending on whether there is support in the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
The most important support and resistance area on the current 1M chart is 69000-73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term downtrend is increasing.
However, as mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can rise with support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85) section.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 97226.92.
-
The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
Accordingly, the current trend is likely to be maintained until the next volatility period.
In order to turn into an upward trend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintain it.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the point of 108316.90, it is highly likely that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above this point.
Therefore, we need to check if it rises above 108316.90 and receives support.
-
In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support from the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance from the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, in order to establish a buying strategy, we need to meet the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see whether there is support near it.
-
If it falls below the dotted line indicated on the OBV indicator, it will fall below the previous High Line, so there is a possibility that it will lead to an additional decline.
In particular, if it falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to fall.
However, since the channel of High Line ~ Low Line is still showing an upward trend, I think the overall movement is still maintaining an upward trend.
In order for the channel of High Line ~ Low Line to turn downward, it must fall to the area indicated by the arrow.
-
To summarize the above,
- Check for support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) section
- The start of the uptrend is when the price rises above 108316.90 and maintains it
- Check for support near 97226.92 in the event of a further decline
- If the HA-Low indicator is newly generated in the event of a further decline, focus on finding the time to buy based on whether there is support near that area
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
$BTC correction has just started. What is coming next?As I previously stated in my CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 analysis — this move was expected. Check out my other ideas for more detailed breakdowns.
So, what’s happening?
Bitcoin maximalists have been buying heavily at the top, right when RSI and MACD were in overbought territory, creating a clear bearish divergence.
Something Saylor and others seem to ignore: you can't defy mathematics — what needs a correction will correct.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks bullish on the weekly timeframe, so we’re not entering a bear market. However, the pump is over, key supports have broken, and altcoins are correcting — some by -25% in a single day.
Purely from a charting perspective, we can identify multiple potential support levels for CRYPTOCAP:BTC :
$101K, $94K, $89K, $87K, with a lower-probability retest down to $75K.
We’re likely entering a 2-week correction, after which CRYPTOCAP:BTC could resume its uptrend — potentially closing June at a new all-time high.
DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCdominance #TOTAL2 #BearishDivergence #Saylor #RSI #MACD #ATH #DYOR
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Altseason is cancelled for now. But Should resume soon.If you're interested in altcoins, be sure to check out my ideas. I’m closely tracking CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , and you’ll find plenty of valuable insights in those analyses.
So, what’s going on? My CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS prediction played out — May was bullish. But was it the real altseason? Not quite. The true altseason typically begins at the end of the Bitcoin cycle, and we’re not there yet.
Right now, we’re seeing price action reminiscent of December 2024. Bitcoin maximalists are aggressively buying BTC during a time it should be correcting, which is inflating BTC dominance and crushing any momentum for an altseason. They appear to be using altcoins as exit liquidity to pump BTC, especially as retail investors hesitate to buy Bitcoin above $100K.
What’s next?
The daily MACD suggests we’re entering a correction phase that could last around two weeks. A drop toward $1.2T is likely, as there's a major order block between the current level and that target. However, the real support lies below $900B — my "green box" — which I view as the ideal buy zone.
Historically, entries in this green box have offered 2x–3x returns on high-volatility altcoins from the top 100, especially in sectors like memes, DeFi, and AI.
I expect altcoins to correct into that zone in the coming weeks — keep an eye on it.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
#Crypto #Altcoins #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCdominance #Altseason #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #DeFi #MemeCoins #AIcoins #AltcoinSeason #DYOR
Bitcoin Short-Term, Aims Below $100,000 (Alert!)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, overall, the market looks great.
The market looks great but never forget that nothing is set in stone, market conditions can always change.
Let's consider Bitcoin for once on the short-term timeframe.
The long-term timeframes are good to spot the bigger cycle; the smaller timeframes are good to know what will happen next.
— Bitcoin 4H TF (Short-term)
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high and was followed by a strong bearish volume session. The action went on to move below a strong resistance zone, the ath range.
Now Bitcoin is trading below "local resistance" and this opens up a bearish bias short-term. When it moves back above $110,000, we can say the bulls are back in. When it trades below $106,000, we can say bearish confirmed.
Here we can see Bitcoin bearish while aiming lower.
If it continues dropping, 100K won't be the end. Either it recovers now, or else we will see a test of the low 90Ks.
Leave a comment if you agree.
Follow if you disagree.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
PHAUSDT Forming a Bullish Flag PatternPHAUSDT is currently displaying a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, which is often considered a strong continuation signal in technical analysis. After a sharp upward move, the price has entered a consolidation phase within a descending channel—forming the "flag" portion of the pattern. With good volume backing the previous rally, this consolidation suggests that the bulls are simply taking a breather before the next leg higher. A breakout above the upper boundary of the flag could potentially trigger a 40% to 50% gain in the coming sessions.
From a market sentiment standpoint, PHA is gaining increased traction among crypto investors due to its underlying fundamentals and the growing use case of privacy-preserving technologies. As part of the Phala Network, which focuses on decentralized cloud computing with built-in privacy, the token has positioned itself well in the Web3 and privacy niche. This unique narrative is attracting more attention, and it reflects in the technical setup that's ripe for a breakout.
Traders should closely monitor the breakout zone near the flag's resistance. If PHAUSDT pushes through with strong volume confirmation, it could mark the beginning of a new bullish wave. Price action, along with volume spikes, RSI crossover, and MACD bullish alignment, further support this scenario. The potential risk-to-reward ratio favors strategic long entries for both swing traders and mid-term investors.
This pattern is a compelling opportunity for those looking to capitalize on breakout moves in trending altcoins. If market conditions remain favorable, PHAUSDT could easily exceed expectations, offering a solid gain for those positioned early.
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