Pullback to 87-88KMorning folks,
So, our 2-week journey successfully over, market hits 93K targets and even overcome them a bit, completing H&S AB=CD extension. Now what?
In general we expect very good 1-3 months for BTC based on our recent fundamental report. Speaking about short-term situation. Market is obviously overbought a bit. So we prefer to wait for pullback somewhere to ~87-88K area before considering any new longs.
Btc!
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all.
The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle.
A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing....
BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end.
As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs.
Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event.
We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed....
**So whats next? **
It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown.
With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend.
Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows.
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
Bitcoin Cycle Update – Are We Nearing the Peak?Check out this BTCUSDT chart – we’re at GETTEX:92K today, and seems like things are heating up!
▸We’ve seen a Cycle Bottom in late 2022 - early 2023, followed by strong Bull runs in 2023 and 2024.
▸Those Consolidation phases (sideways channels) gave us the perfect setup for massive pumps!
▸Right now, we’re in a Pause Triangle after a big rally – but the Cycle Top could be just around the corner in mid-2025.
▸After that? A potential Bear phase – time to plan your moves!
💡 What’s your strategy? Are you riding this wave to the top, or preparing for the next dip? Let’s discuss 📨
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This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance.
📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution
Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms.
Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction.
Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making.
🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth
Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics.
High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors.
Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time.
Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards.
🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA)
Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B)
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Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance.
Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems.
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Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation.
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Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030.
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Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030.
AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance.
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Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets.
Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services.
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🚀 Conclusion
By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth.
Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration.
The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
btcusdt mega dumpGreetings everyone. here I just closed the price in a triangle that goes from the $15k low and the price in it perfectly walks on its boundaries, we just tested it from bottom to top and now I think it will go down, also note that this is an inverted classical pattern. This is my pattern, just follow the ideas on tradingview.
BTC - Is there anything that can stop this bullrun?The current 4H structure presents a high-probability scenario centered around a classic liquidity sweep into premium levels, followed by potential downside rebalancing into inefficiencies. This is a clear case of price reaching for external liquidity before internal structure takes over.
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1. Liquidity Run Above BSLs
Price has aggressively pushed upward, sweeping multiple Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. These levels mark resting stop orders and breakout entries positioned by retail above recent swing highs.
- The impulsive move to the upside isn't a sign of strength—it's a strategic run for liquidity.
- These liquidity pools provide exit opportunities for large players offloading long positions initiated earlier in the structure.
- The sweep aligns with typical behavior just before price reacts to higher timeframe supply or premium Fibonacci zones.
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2. Golden Pocket Confluence Zone (Downtrend Bias)
The orange highlighted zone represents the Golden Pocket —the 61.8%-to-65% retracement zone often associated with downtrend continuation or reversal setups.
- This level acts as a magnet in trending conditions, often leading to strong rejections.
- As price enters this pocket, the probability of a reaction increases, especially following a liquidity grab.
- The structure suggests this move is designed not for continuation, but for setting up a reversal.
The projected swing failure pattern at this level implies a shift from bullish euphoria to short-term distribution.
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3. Internal Structure: Fair Value Gaps as Rebalance Zones
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked as zones of inefficiency, where price moved too aggressively to maintain balance between buyers and sellers.
- FVGs represent internal liquidity voids and serve as high-probability magnets for retracement.
- The first FVG lies just below the current price, suggesting a short-term retracement target.
- The second, deeper FVG offers a more substantial downside target and is aligned with typical rebalancing behavior after aggressive markups.
As price begins to break structure to the downside, these gaps become the logical destinations.
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4. Probable Flow: Liquidity Sweep → Rejection → Internal FVG Fill
The anticipated flow is strategic and sequential:
- Step 1: Sweep of BSL and deviation into the Golden Pocket
- Step 2: Quick rejection, potentially forming a lower high
- Step 3: Downside expansion targeting both FVGs for liquidity rebalancing
This is not about chasing price—it’s about understanding the intent behind the move : create imbalance, sweep liquidity, then deliver price into inefficiency.
---
Conclusion:
This 4H chart outlines a mechanically driven move:
- External liquidity (BSL) tapped
- Premium level tested (Golden Pocket)
- Internal inefficiencies below acting as draw
The structure points to a transitional phase from premium to discount, with the FVGs below acting as clear objectives. Until those inefficiencies are fully addressed, the upside narrative remains reactive, not impulsive.
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows:
Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25
Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86
Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
WARNING: Something feels off...🚨 Something feels off... While CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks bullish on the surface, this pump shows signs of heavy manipulation:
🔸 Michael Saylor just bought $500M in Bitcoin.
🔸 The purchase was made during Easter weekend, when institutions were closed.
🔸 Today is still a holiday in the UK, and yet the pump occurred during Asian hours — highly unusual.
🔸 Meanwhile, the SPX500 is plunging, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising — a rare decoupling.
🔸 Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in leveraged longs are sitting between GETTEX:82K –$85K, vulnerable to liquidation.
📉 This could be a classic FOMO trap — pushing price high on low volume to lure in retail before a long squeeze.
Yes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be gearing for another leg up…
But an all-time high this week? Highly unlikely.
⚠️ Stay cautious. The confidence is getting excessive.
DYOR – Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoWarning #LongSqueeze #MarketManipulation #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #Altcoins #DYOR
TOTAL2 / BTC - Majority of Alts Look BearishDon't shoot the messenger, but the MAJORITY of your Alts need to NUKE ~25% before Alt Season 🫨
This lines up with prior cycle support before Alt Season blastoff.
First step is to reclaim the EMA9, which they have failed to against BTC.
The lack of buying Volume supports this thesis for the trend to continue downwards.
Bitcoin: $150K In May (Your Altcoins Choice & Market Update)Part 1 was titled, "Bitcoin $120,000 In April & $150,000 In May."
Do you think this is possible? We only have 8 days left for the month to be over, it would require a very strong advance for Bitcoin to trade at $120,000 this very same month.
Ok. It can happen but maybe not. Anything goes.
Bitcoin is now super bullish, ultra-bullish as it trades above $90,000.
Any buy below $80,000 is an awesome buy. Even buying Bitcoin below $90,000 would be a dream. That is how it will feel like for those joining the market in several months, but not all is lost.
Any buy below $100,000 is a great opportunity if you are focused on the long-term. Bitcoin is entering bull market territory and will grow for months, the biggest growth you've experience in years... The 2025 bull market.
Bitcoin is ultra bullish now confirmed, it will never trade below 80K.
This is the bullish phase that will change the financial world forever —Crypto is here to stay.
I am Bitcoin's #1 fan, please allow me to tell you so.
» Altcoins Market Update & Your Top Altcoins Choice
The market can shake and there can be doubt but Bitcoin will always recover and grow. The Altcoins right now are very strong.
The bullish bias has been confirmed, expect maximum growth. The Altcoins will be growing on average between 20-30X each by the end of the bull run. Some will grow 50-60X while others will grow 5-8X. Allow for strong variations.
Bottom prices are still available for some pairs but, once the action starts going these prices will be forever gone. The time to take action is now. A pair can trade at a price today and tomorrow it will be 100% up. There is no going back after that, so make sure to load up on the pairs you like the most.
Choose wisely, not everything will grow.
Some pairs can start growing within days while others can start growing within months. To avoid getting the stuck pairs you can always use a diversification strategy. Lower risk and higher potential for big reward.
Focus on the long-term. Think long-term. Buy and hold.
The strategy is very simple now: The bullish bias has been confirmed, higher highs and never new lows.
Never set a limit order as stop-loss (no stop-loss), instead, you can use a manual stop-loss or forget this tool altogether, you don't need it when the market is set to grow.
Visit my profile and read all the articles that I've been publishing in the past few days, it reveals all the bull market dynamics and the approach we need to take to achieve maximum success.
Your support is appreciated.
» Feel free to leave a comment with your favorite Altcoin and I will look for you into your chosen pair.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$BTC Tracks $GOLD Very Closely With 12-Week LeadCould it really be this simple?
Maybe we can just throw Global M2 out the window and track TVC:GOLD with a 12-Week Lead.
Someone pointed this out to me yesterday when I posted Gold's near 1/1 tracking with Global M2.
*Note the deviation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA from the ETF hype.
BTC/USD: Do You Think Bitcoin Will Break Above $100K Again?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price successfully hit the $80,800 target and even dropped close to the second target at $73,700. Eventually, after forming a bottom around $74,400, Bitcoin saw renewed demand and has since surged to $93,600.
Take note: the $93,480 to $99,500 zone is a key supply area, and the primary expectation is for the price to face rejection from this level. However, after a possible short-term correction, I expect Bitcoin to resume its upward move toward targets above $100,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Latest Analysis :
Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull...
On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases:
Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range.
Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum.
Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move.
What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
Bitcoin - CME Gap fill before going up ?Bitcoin CME Futures have formed a clear CME Gap in the $91,600 – $93,400 zone (highlighted in blue). Historically, these gaps tend to get filled before the price resumes its trend.
Price may dip into the gap zone (91,800–93,400) to fill the imbalance.
We have a entry around the lower part of the gap ($91,800–$92,200).
Stop loss: Below $91,500 to invalidate the setup.
After the gap fill, we can expected strong bullish continuation
Entry: 91600
TP1: 92800
TP2: 93500
TP3: 94500
SL Below 90500
Like and support for more ideas.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
LINK Trade Setup – Pullback to SupportLINK has made a solid move from ~$10 to $15 over the past couple of weeks. With that rally showing signs of slowing, a pullback into support presents a potential opportunity to catch the next leg up.
📍 Entry Zone:
$13.00 – $14.00
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $15.00 – $16.00
🥈 $17.00 – $18.00
🥉 $19.50 – $20.50
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $12.00
We might be seeing a short-term correctionWe might be seeing a short-term correction, as the USDT supply is rising again and both ETH and BTC failed to break through their resistance levels — while Solana did. A brief pullback is possible, especially considering that the main reason behind the breakout was recent news about Trump. That could mean the breakout was a fake move or part of a temporary trend.
The three major currencies that usually drive the market are currently showing less bullish momentum for the coming days — except for Solana , which successfully broke its resistance . However, Solana isn’t continuing to climb either, likely because we still need a breakout from both ETH and BTC to confirm the move.
$BTC cycle projection. Upside to $134k-$160k, then to sub $33kHere's a chart of my cycle projection of bitcoin. I think it's likely that we find support in the $62k region over the next couple of weeks and then continue the bull run up to $129k-$137k.
In terms of gains from here, I think BTC is only a ~2x, however, I think we're going to see our biggest altcoin run since bitcoin's inception.
After we hit the top $134k-160k, I think we'll make a very large correction back down to the $20-30k region (supports on the chart) before the next long term cycle begins.
This is the final wave of the first cycle of bitcoin.
Lots of money to be made.