Btc!
Revisiting Bitcoin CyclesAs you can see we might be half way of the bull market phase for this cycle(green emas). These green emas reflecting the bull phase have been increasing in duration over history. This time we might see it lasting for about 1000 days. We are currently about 500 days since this green trend started , so we might see the best coming soon. Once these emas shift to green it will mark the start of the downtrend. Make sure to take some profits once we are approaching to day 1000 or you will have to wait about 4 more years to see these prices.
Bitcoin DominationHistorical cycle data on the indicator points to the possible end of bitcoin's dominance growth. This may indicate the beginning of capital reallocation in favor of altcoins. At least until May 7 we will have a short-term altcoin season, but if we are lucky, even until the end of May.
⚠️ Caution Amid Geopolitical Factors
While a temporary altcoin season may be on the horizon, it's essential to consider broader economic factors. Ongoing trade tensions, particularly involving the U.S., could introduce volatility into the markets. Such geopolitical uncertainties might render the current altcoin rally a bull trap, with potential downturns in the summer months.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may drop from resistance zone to $84K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After spending several days consolidating below the resistance area, Bitcoin finally pushed higher and retested the 87500 level. This resistance was already confirmed multiple times in the past, and now it aligns perfectly with the upper boundary of the resistance zone at 88200 - 87500. The price made a sharp rally toward that level after bouncing from the support zone at 81200 - 80500, where bulls managed to defend the trend line. Currently, BTC is trading just under the resistance zone, showing early signs of rejection and slowing momentum. The price structure still respects the trend line from below, but the positioning beneath resistance, combined with the triangle formation, suggests potential exhaustion at the top. Given the repeated tests of resistance and the overall pattern, I expect BTC to decline from this level and move down, breaking the trend line and exiting the triangle pattern. For this case, I set my goal at the 84000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
btcusdtGreetings all, I did a numerological vol from the benchmarks and with that I concluded that we will fall hard at 66-67k dollars. I also want to point out that we have exactly an inverted chart of how the breakout was formed, fractality that has been repeating for a long time, a classic inverted pattern that often flies down after a fake carry up and hard down.
BTC - Bullish Control, Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🚀 As per my last two setups (highlighted on the chart), BTC rejected the $72,000 support and pushed higher with strength.
📈 This week, BTC broke above the $90,000 structure, confirming a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
🟢 For the bulls to stay in control, a break above the $95,200 resistance is still needed.
📊 In the meantime, as BTC retests the $89,000–$90,000 zone, we’ll be looking for medium-term trend-following longs to catch the next impulsive move.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Two Bullish Scenarios...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 BTC has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more.
🏹In parallel, for the bulls to take over long-term, and shift the entire trend in their favor, a break above the last major high marked in red at $88,888 is needed!
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC Analysis - Bullish BiasMy current outlook on Bitcoin remains bullish, anticipating a move towards higher price levels.
I am specifically watching for the potential formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Should an FVG form, I will be looking for price to potentially retrace and touch this gap.
Upon a successful interaction with the FVG, my expectation is for price to then continue its ascent towards the higher levels I have marked on my chart.
I am focusing on identifying confirmed long opportunities based on this potential FVG setup and retest.
Trade safe!
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Ethereum Bitcoin pair bottom confirmed!As confirmed by CRYPTOCAP:ETH \ CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, we can say that a local bottom was seen at 2019 accumulation levels. With a major reversal from the current region, we can see major movements across Altcoins, with Ethereum being an undeniable leading force and leader for altcoins.
BTC has just bounced, game a long entry from weekly support..110
“🔍 BTC has just bounced off our weekly support—here’s why I’m eyeing $110k next…”
Analysis bullets:
🛑 Risk: stop-loss around $78–80k (weekly close below red band)
▶️ Entry: current weekly close above the descending trendline
🎯 Target: $110k resistance (green zone)
Call to action:
“What do you think — will we break out or retest lows? Comment below! 👇”
unpublished Bitcoin navigator BTC update 21.04.2024
I just realized I posted a private chart yesterday.
I'll republish it so that the entire @TradingView community can see it
Click👇🏻
So, after deep analysis
Which, surprisingly, coincides with my previous publications.
I won't add them to this post.
The base case scenario is to reach BTCUSD 96-98
Why?
1. Need to reach the highest volume level of the year
In May, and with a high probability, a correction down to the level I have indicated with the yellow box
At least 4 out of 5 models point to this
The models are these transparent dotted lines that are barely visible.
And then ATH
Interesting Question, where is ATH?
I have shown on the chart a dashed line that tapers off the two previous peaks. I have seen many times how this line did not work and was broken by a big Liquidating candlestick up and down, so graphically, you can guess my conservative targets.
When writing this text, I wondered what could explain the fall in the price of Bitcoin after adding it to the reserve, other than speculation and liquidity gathering, and I have no other answers. But in this case, when they start releasing news about the Bitcoin reserve, they will buy it en masse, after this official announcement. Some time will pass, and a 20% drop, then most of the industry will be disappointed and start blaming Trump - he failed again, even with the Bitcoin reserve. So after that, we should quickly rise on this emotion.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC Next Move - Bulltrap or Take-off?In todays overview, we will discuss the price action of BTC and what we could expect in the short-term.
What will we discuss?
- Bitcoin approaching key resistance
- Daily trendline break - But no higher high yet
- Stochastic RSI overbought on the daily timeframe
- Defining the daily range
- Downside targets within the range
- Final thoughts
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Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance
Bitcoin is now pressing up against a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is dense with liquidity, and many stop-loss orders have likely accumulated just above the previous local wick. It's not uncommon in these scenarios for price action to briefly push higher, grabbing that liquidity and triggering those stops, before reversing direction. A short-term stop run followed by a move to the downside wouldn’t be surprising and would align with typical market behavior in these conditions.
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Daily Trendline Break – But No Higher High Yet
On the daily chart, BTC has managed to break above a descending trendline that had previously capped price action. While that initial breakout was a promising sign for bulls, price has since been consolidating outside the trendline without yet printing a higher high. Until that happens, the overall market structure remains bearish on this timeframe. A confirmed higher high would be needed to shift the daily trend back to bullish.
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Stochastic RSI Overbought on Daily Timeframe
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is typically unsustainable for long periods. This kind of prolonged overbought reading often precedes a pullback. The key question is not if a correction will happen, but how deep it will go. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the beginning of a stronger upward move. But until then, caution is warranted.
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Defining the Daily Range
Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is the key zone that traders should be paying attention to. As long as price remains within this bracket, we are in a ranging market, not a trending one.
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Downside Targets Within the Range
If price does get rejected at the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include support levels at $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000. These levels could provide bounce opportunities within the range. There’s no need to speculate on price moving significantly below $75,000 unless that level is cleanly broken. Similarly, upside targets beyond $89,000 shouldn’t be considered until we see a proper breakout and continuation.
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Final Thoughts
We should treat the current market as range-bound until proven otherwise. That means respecting the range: moves into resistance zones near FWB:88K – GETTEX:89K are potential selling opportunities, while dips into support around $75K–$80K may be areas to look for buying setups. Until either support or resistance gives way, expect this chop to continue, and trade accordingly.
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BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts.
Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move:
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1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom
At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal.
- Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside.
- This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range.
The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively.
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2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction
Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup.
- The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement.
- Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts.
This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation.
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3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout
What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance .
- Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue.
- In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier.
- The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution.
This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag.
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4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution
Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic .
- The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models.
- Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized.
- This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup.
The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside.
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5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse
This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven:
- Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal
Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions.
Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup.
---
Conclusion:
This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action:
- Accumulation fuels markup.
- Breakout entices buyers.
- Manipulation traps them.
- Distribution unloads supply.
- Reversal completes the cycle.
The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)Before anything else, we shouldn't forget that through multiple analyses shared from the bottom on higher timeframes, we knew Bitcoin was highly bullish.
The red zone from the previous analysis has been engulfed and cleared | a lot of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. It’s better to wait for a pullback now.
The price has now reached a resistance zone, where a large number of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move.
Also, the diametric pattern is still visible, and after the completion of wave F | which has just occurred | a reversal is expected for wave G.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN Well well well.. The break-out happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed a massive break-out yesterday as it convincingly left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) behind on its strongest 1D green candle since . The foundation of this was a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on the April 08 2025 Low.
This is the same kind of Bullish Divergence that took place on the September 06 2024 Low and resulted in a similar Lower Highs bullish break-out. After an October 02 2024 re-test of the 1D MA50, the trend-line became the new Support all the way to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension (measured from the last Lower High).
As a result, we expect BTC's next medium-term Target to be $130000 (just below the new 3.382 Fibonacci extension).
So do you think the pattern will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Is the Altcoin Season Over?Is the Altcoin Season Over?
What's truly unfolding for Bitcoin is precisely the weekly analysis I've laid out for you. While many of you might be eagerly anticipating an extraordinary altcoin season, the harsh reality is that there isn't going to be one. Instead, we've been riding a Bitcoin-dominated season. And once the trend you see in the chart plays out, the market will essentially come to a close, paving the way for a heavy downward spiral for both altcoins and Bitcoin. It's a bitter truth, but it's the reality we're facing
BITCOIN RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCIN is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 94,900$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 91,000$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.