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BTC - Channel is Broken, Now What? The most bullish scenario right now is that the price stays in the upper part of the channel, tests the top of the channel and continues to rise. If this breakout in BTC remains a manipulation, the price may also make the same manipulation downwards. When the price breaks through, my first thought is that it may find support at the midpoint of the channel, but this is a low probability. The higher probability is that it will make the same manipulation downwards and then re-enter the channel.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by UmutTrades
BTC-HIGH-POWERED SHORT ZONEAs you can see, the Volume Moving Average (YELLOW LINE) has been steadily declining ever since that sharp move up back in April. That’s not bullish behavior—it’s a warning. This week ENDING ON THE 13TH, Bitcoin must close above the monthly swing high (Top ORANGE LINE) if the bulls want any shot at locking in a green monthly candle. Now, here’s the part most miss: if price breaks below the 0.875 GANN level (Top WHITE LINE), odds spike for a retracement toward the 0.5 GANN level (Middle RED LINE). Conveniently—that area also aligns with both the 20 SMA (PINK LINE) and the 50 SMA (PURPLE LINE). That’s your confluence zone. It’s a great spot to exit any shorts and reassess the battlefield. I’ve been in a short from around the $108K mark for weeks. BTC is strong as long as it holds above the 0.5—and I’m still calm above the 0.125 GANN level (Lower WHITE LINE). Panic only creeps in if we break the monthly swing low (Bottom ORANGE LINE). Now, if by some miracle the bulls rip through the all-time high, I’ll happily add to my short in the HIGH-POWERED SHORT ZONE (RED BOX). That’s where overconfidence meets resistance. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I’M JUST A GUY ON X… DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH! 👉 FOLLOW ON X: @tHEaLPHAvIEW
Short
by TheAlphaView
Is BTC getting ready for a new ATH?🔍 1. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Horizontal Lines): 🟢 Resistances (Green Lines): 114,295.54 — strong resistance resulting from previous highs. 112,767.65 111,009.00 110,685.35 — current key level that price may try to retest after a potential breakout. 🔴 Supports (Red Lines): 108,496.55 — current level being tested, also coinciding with local resistance from the past. 107,687.57 105,888.74 102,909.85 100,848.07 98,208.22 — strong long-term support; in the past, this level was reacted with a strong bounce. 🔶 2. Downtrend channel marked with orange lines: The upper downtrend line acted as resistance. The lower uptrend line acted as support. The price recently broke above the upper line, but is now testing it again - this could be a retrospective retest. ➡️ If the close of the H4 candle is above this line - a possible confirmation of the breakout. 📊 3. Stochastic RSI indicator (at the bottom of the chart): Currently in the uptrend phase after a bounce from the oversold level (<20). The %K line (blue) is crossed upwards by the %D line (orange) - a bullish signal. Still below the overbought zone, which suggests that the potential uptrend still has room to develop. 🧠 4. Market structure and price action: Price broke above the 108.496 level, but is currently struggling to stay above this zone. A retest of the broken triangle could be a healthy move, provided that support is maintained in the 108k–107.6k area. A break below and a close below 107.6k could mean a false breakout and a possible decline towards 105.8k or even 102.9k. 🧭 5. Possible scenarios: ✅ Bullish scenario: Maintaining the 108.496 level and closing the candle above the upper orange line → continued growth. The nearest targets are: 110.685 (first resistance), 111.009 and 112.767 next. ❌ Bearish scenario: The price will not stay above 108k and will fall below 107.687. Possible return to the previous consolidation range with the target: 105.888, and then 102.909 or 100.848. 🧮 Summary: Currently, the decisive moment is underway: a test of support after breaking out of the convergent triangle. The Stoch RSI indicator gives a bullish signal, but the price must confirm the movement by behaving above 108k. Retest and bounce - this is a bullish scenario. A breakdown and return under the trend line - means that the breakout was false.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th. The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6. It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart. For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators. Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed. What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point. - It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart. Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period. If not, it will eventually show a downward trend. As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction. Conditions for continuing the uptrend include: 1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend, 2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line, 3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend, If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. - If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important. If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21. If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline. The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section. Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BITCOIN Is there enough time for another parabolic rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is practically consolidating on the short-term, having just recently been rejected off its new All Time High (ATH). Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook is still a very strong, structured uptrend, a Channel Up pattern that is now technically aiming for its next Higher High. Incredibly enough, this Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, has been almost entirely within the Buy Zone (green) of the Fibonacci Channel Up going back all the way to April 2013! As you can see during the previous two Cycles, every time BTC got above that Buy Zone, it started a parabolic rally. So far, we haven't got such rally on the current Cycle and with time running out (assuming the 4-year Cycle model continues to hold), do you think we will get one this time around? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
BTCUSDT – Ready to Launch from Accumulation Zone?BTCUSDT is consolidating around the $101,000 FVG zone – a previously strong launchpad. Price structure remains bullish, forming higher lows and showing a healthy throwback pattern. If the $101,448 level holds, the next target could be $116,000 – a potential 14% rally in two weeks. Fundamentals support the upside: expectations of Fed rate cuts and renewed ETF inflows are fueling fresh momentum for Bitcoin. Still, watch for price action confirmation – and always manage your risk!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin record a new ATH?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. Maintaining the specified support area will lead to the continuation of Bitcoin’s upward path and recording a new ATH. If it is corrected, we can look for Bitcoin buying positions from the specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area. In recent days, Bitcoin has been stabilizing in a price range of around $107,000, with the market simultaneously witnessing a combination of short-term volatility and massive accumulation by institutional investors. A close examination of Bitcoin’s fundamental parameters shows that the market has entered a different phase than in the past; one that is no longer driven solely by momentary excitement, and that structured capital flows and on-chain data have formed its main axis. At the forefront of this trend are Bitcoin spot investment funds (Bitcoin ETFs), which reached their highest level of capital inflows in June. Total net inflows of these funds reached more than $4.5 billion last month, and on some days even approached more than $1 billion. Funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC now have billions of dollars in assets under management, a clear sign of increasing institutional participation in the Bitcoin market. These institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin not with a short-term view, but with a long-term view and through legal means, which has reduced selling pressure and increased market stability. On the other hand, the data from Anchin clearly shows that the market is in a steady accumulation trend. The amount of old Bitcoins held for more than 8 years experienced a significant growth of 5% in the second quarter of 2025. This statistic shows that long-term investors are not only reluctant to sell, but are still accumulating their assets. Also, the MVRV ratio, which indicates the relative profit or loss of the market, has decreased from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating mild and controlled profit taking by some investors, rather than widespread selling pressure or general panic. This rational behavior is a sign of market maturity and investors’ intelligence in managing short-term profits. On-chain activity data also shows a similar trend. The average daily active addresses have reached around 1.02 million, indicating a decrease in market inflammation while maintaining overall dynamism. Other indicators such as Liveliness and Whale Accumulation also confirm that the amount of old transaction traffic has decreased and whales are mainly accumulating, not supplying. This trend is very valuable, especially in a market that has been far from explosive growth. From a macro perspective, the Bitcoin market is clearly in a consolidation and accumulation phase, but this consolidation is based on much stronger foundations than in previous periods. Institutional capital inflows via ETFs have reached over $50 billion, providing a strong foundation for continued growth. Also, some very old wallets that have been inactive for nearly 14 years have recently woken up and moved around $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. Although this could be a sign of potential supply, the market has not yet seen a significant negative reaction to it in the current market conditions and the market remains cautious. Analysts believe that Bitcoin is in the third phase of its bullish cycle after the halving, which could bring gains of more than 120%. Some forecasts suggest a price range of $200,000-250,000 by the end of this year; however, the realization of such levels is subject to stable macroeconomic data, ETF performance and the absence of severe geopolitical shocks. Finally, it can be said that the Bitcoin market has now reached a maturity where even periods of consolidation tend to strengthen its fundamentals rather than weaken the market. High-powered institutional investors are entering, whales continue to accumulate instead of selling, and long-term investors also see a bright outlook for the coming months. In this phase, price levels of $125,000 to $140,000 are likely by the end of the summer if the current trend continues, while in the event of severe economic or political pressures, key support for Bitcoin will be in the $95,000 to $100,000 range. Overall, Bitcoin is moving slowly but steadily towards higher targets, with stronger support than at any time in its history.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Daily Price Uptrend, Resistance Breakout TestBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been in a recent Daily price Uptrend, rallying up from the $100,000 price support level. A SMA Golden Cross printed on May 21st, 2025. Bitcoin price is attempting a resistance zone test and has yet to breakout and hold above the $111,000 to $112,000 price zone. Resistance levels: $110,000 , $112,000 , $117,000 , $121,000. Support levels: $108,000 , $107,000 , $105,000 , $104,000 , $100,000. Recent crypto industry, government legislation news, and institutional crypto purchases have helped to keep Bitcoin price above $100,000 support. Stock market correlation volatility could also affect the crypto market and prices for the next 30 to 45 days.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NoFomoCharts
SOLANA → Pre-breakdown consolidation may lead to distributionBINANCE:SOLUSDT is declining and testing the support of the trading range as Bitcoin pauses after strong growth and enters a correction phase... SOL looks a bit weaker than Bitcoin technically, but SOLANA has some positive fundamentals, though that might not be enough. After forming a false breakout of key daily resistance, Bitcoin is moving into a correction phase. An update of local lows on the chart could trigger a drop across the entire cryptocurrency market. In SOL, the focus is on the two nearest levels of 148.75 and 145.64. A breakdown of support could trigger the distribution of accumulated energy within the specified range as part of a downward momentum. Resistance levels: 148.75, 151.2, 153.88 Support levels: 145.64, 138.59 The ideal scenario would be a false breakout of 148.75 (liquidity capture) and a retest of 145.64, followed by a break of support. Consolidation below 145.65 could trigger a drop to the zone of interest at 138.59. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - What's Next for for BTC?🎯 KEY LEVELS DECODED 🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT: $102,800 - $103,200 _____________________________ NEUTRAL STRATEGY: Buy Zone: $102,800 - $102,600 Sell Zone: $110,000 - $112,000 Stop Loss: $100,500 (range breakdown) Target: Opposite end of range Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio _____________________________ 🎢 SCENARIO : (Probability: 35%) If BTC consolidates between $102K-$108K : Range-bound trading for 2-3 weeks Accumulation phase before next major move Key levels: Buy $102K, Sell $110K _________________________ 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER 🛡️ DYOR
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ONE1iMPACT
BTC - Bullflag Pattern points to new ATHMarket Context Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for several weeks now, respecting both upper and lower boundaries with precision (3 touches on the top, 2 on the bottom). This structure suggests an orderly pullback after a strong impulsive leg to the upside in Q2. As price compresses within this flag-like pattern, market participants are watching closely for signs of breakout or breakdown. Bullish Fair Value Gap Reaction Recently, price dipped into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and bounced strongly — a key bullish signal indicating that demand stepped in at the inefficiency. The FVG also aligns with a retest of the channel’s resistance-turned-support, further validating the bounce. This confluence zone acts as a springboard for potential continuation. Channel Breakout & Liquidity Above ATH Price has now broken above the channel structure, shifting the market narrative from consolidation to potential expansion. The breakout zone is located just beneath the All-Time High (ATH) — an area that’s likely loaded with stop orders and breakout buys. A sweep or clean break above the ATH would not only invalidate the prior bearish structure but also trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum. Bull Flag Continuation Potential Structurally, this chart presents a classic bull flag breakout. After a strong impulsive leg up and a controlled consolidation phase, we now see bullish continuation potential toward the 112,000–114,000 region. If the ATH gets breached and reclaimed, it could become strong support in the next leg higher. Final Thoughts This is the type of setup that blends both technical precision and market psychology — structure, liquidity, and momentum all coming together. Whether you're already long or watching for confirmation, this move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major rally. If you found this analysis helpful or thought-provoking, please give it a like! And let me know in the comments — do you see this as a true breakout or a trap in disguise?
Long
by Louigi_24
86
ES, SPY, SPX will be testing key support on Sunday After a welcome rally into new highs for the s&p, there appears to be a critical crossroad forming. Using the ES continuous contract I have placed 2 anchored VWAP's. The first being anchored to the last higher low on Thursday, June 19. And the the second, being anchored to this last Thursdays high on July 3rd. For this post we will call the anchor from June 19 - VWAP1. And for the July 3rd anchor - VWAP2 VWAP1 r1 has acted as a key support line since the higher low was set. Successfully bouncing and holding support several times. As we headed lower on this Thursdays July 3rd session, we remained between the center and r1 of VWAP2 indicating strong selling pressure for the day. With it being a shortened trading day with less liquidity however, I have less concern over the days price action. The forming crossroads and the upcoming Sundays open will be more telling for where we likely head this week. The blue Horizontal Line at 6266 is placed directly on VWAP1s r1 (green line) which has acted as support. If we trade into this level on the Sunday open, it's a clear signal the sellers are still in control. If however, price can consolidate at that level (6266) and form structure, a breakout of the structure would be evidence of sellers backing off and buyers stepping in creating a good buying opportunity for the week. Another possible scenario, if we first manage to trade up into s1 of VWAP2 (orange line) around the 6300 level, I will be looking for a short scalp down to the r1 of VWAP1 at 6266. From here it would be prudent to sit and wait for more confirmation on if this is a reversal, or just another pullback in the uptrend. These are my two trade setups and ideas for Sunday's open. Hope this analysis helps. Happy trading 🤙💰📈
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TradeitUntilyouMakeit
#BTC Update #3 – July 5, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #3 – July 5, 2025 Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following its latest impulsive move. To confirm that the correction is complete, I’d need to see a fresh impulsive leg. Until then, price may continue to pull back . Looking at the liquidation heatmap, I’m seeing stacked liquidity between $107,100 and $106,500 . Based on that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC wick down toward $106,000, sweep that zone, and potentially initiate a long-biased impulsive bounce. If that bounce materializes, my first target is the $110,000 region . It’s also worth noting that Bitcoin is currently sitting inside a supply zone, which could add short-term resistance before any breakout.
by whaliocom
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, the price has formed a clean upward channel after bouncing from the strong support zone at 103500 - 103000 points. This movement marked the beginning of a new bullish phase. Price continued to rise step by step, confirming the structure with higher highs and higher lows. After reaching above 110000 points, it made a minor pullback but still trades above Support 1 - 108800 points. This zone, 108800 - 108200 points, aligns well with the midline of the channel and may serve as a strong area for buyers to re-enter. The price is currently trading around 110382 points and is still respecting the channel structure. As long as BTCUSD stays above the support zone and inside the ascending channel, I expect a potential continuation toward the upper boundary. My current goal is 114000 points - near the resistance line of this bullish channel. Given the strong trendline support, clean reaction at each correction, and buyer activity on lows, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
10
BITCOIN - Price can drop from resistance area to $103000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, price entered a pennant pattern, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line. Then the price reached $98700 level and soon broke it, after a small correction, and then continued to move up. Later BTC rose to the resistance line of the pennant, but soon turned around and started to decline, breaking $110000 level. Price little corrected and then tried to bounce back and failed, after which it fell to $98700 level and then started to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to a $110000 resistance level and tried to break it again, but recently turned around and started to fall. Now, I expect that BTC can grow to the resistance area and then drop to $103000 support line of the pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by WalterMoon
11
#BTC Update #2 – July 5, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #2 – July 5, 2025 I still see $112,000 as Bitcoin’s next major target. That said, the $110,000 zone continues to offer strong resistance, and price hasn’t managed to break through it with conviction yet. If BTC can’t clear $110K with momentum, I expect a potential pullback. For now, I consider price action to be stuck in a decision zone. Without a clean breakout above $110K, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a deeper correction before any meaningful upside continues.
by whaliocom