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BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle? Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well. Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment. As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases. As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard. But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle. ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next. I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin. FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow. This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market. Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins. There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now. Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge. The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off. If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs: ETH staking LTC ADA DOGE XLM XRP HBAR This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices. Spring can turn positive very quickly. The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2. In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation. Additional Catalysts to Watch For: There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen: Introduction of Basic Income Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected. Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise. It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive. The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith. Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment. In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital. Stay strong and focused. Best regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
13
3 week chart forecasted the drop. Now what for Bitcoin?As per analysis: Update on this chart that forecasted the drop. If you see my Binance BTC chart you will see both line up with each other's analysis yet they are 2 different types of TA and timeframes. Now the drop has happened the % we forecast of the minimum 25% is not hit yet. This chart shows in yellow the current amount of % in drop BTC has made so far. The orange is the minimum as per history. You will see on this chart there are now coloured circles around some candles. These are the times when Bitcoin was in a similar late period of a bull market and the RSI white line went under the yellow RSI line.(not the yellow trendline at 50.21 , the actual moving RSI yellow line). The price drops are shown for these inside the circles, except for covid crash (red circle). There are date ranges shown which are from the bottom of these price drops to the top of the bull run. I have put similar date ranges at current bottom and the larger of the 2 goes to mid November which would line up with a normal ending to bull run, making right now similar to the pink circled area. The red circle is the covid crash and if you look at RSI this is the only time in a bull run that the yellow moving RSI line is on a downward slope. Every other time it is sloping down, we are in a bear market. Now look at the current situation, it is a downward sloping line. This is a slight concern. Now we wait to see what unfolds on the lower timeframe analysis after this recent drop and check other indicators for a bear market confirmation. For now, we must assume we are still in a bull market, unless there are more signs of a bear market showing. If still in bull run then these prices are a gift on altcoins. The issue is whether BTC wants to close the gap at 77k area which could potentially trigger the bear market to follow, depending on how long it is down at that price. If this 3week RSI reclaims the yellow moving RSI line then we know the bull run will continue.
BNC:BLX
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
BITCOIN hit the MA200 (1d)! Massive Support, strong rebound veryBTCUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern, which almost hit today the MA200 (1d). The last time Bitcoin traded on this level was October 14th 2024. Technically, this is not just a short term Channel Down bottom buy signal but also a long term buy opportunity for the remainder of the Bull Cycle. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 99000 (+22.48% rise like the previous bullish wave). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is massively oversold, dipping below 30.00 for the first time since the August 5th 2024 bottom. This is a massive long term buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
$BTC: Key Levels to Watch in the MarketKey Levels to Watch in the Market 📉 Bybit hack aftermath: Destroyed market sentiment Shook institutional confidence Killed the national reserve idea (US states considering Bitcoin reserves have now canceled their votes) 🚀 The last push to $99K was all Michael Saylor, spending SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B alone. Is he insane? Buying at the top of the market? Painful Consolidation Ahead? We’re sitting at $91K—a crucial support. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, expect a freefall to $85K, then possibly $81K (major support zones). From there, Bitcoin can either: ✅ Bounce into a relief rally ❌ Break down into a full bear market if it falls below Support 3 Tough Times for Crypto Meme coin frenzy scared off retail investors after massive losses. Presidents rugging people doesn’t help trust in the industry. Trump’s tariff policies could push inflation up, forcing the FED to hike interest rates. Any Good News? Nope. 📉 SPX500 is also dropping. 🔍 TruthLabs warns that if a bear market starts, most exchanges and DeFi protocols won’t survive —they aren’t backed 1:1. This could trigger the worst bear market ever. (See their warning here: x.com) Final Thoughts ⚠️ Watch $91K—if it breaks, exit the market and wait. No need to get rekt in this toxic environment. And pray that Tether has enough liquidity to handle the mass exodus. Put your funds on Binance or another reputable exchange. 🔍 DYOR
by CryptoNikkoid
2
BITCOIN Step back and admire the big picture!Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a 'bloodpath' week in the eyes of most but not to those that know when to zoom out and look at the bigger picture. And that's BTC being on a purely technical Bull Cycle correction. In fact the same Channel Down correction has been seen twice already this Cycle after at least a +105.70% rise. Both times it found support and bounced on the 1week MA50. Another month of consolidation is possible until contact (or close) is made but overall, the current levels are an excellent long term buy opportunity. Buy and target 175000 (+105.70%). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
LTC Litecoin Could Do One More Round Of Bouncing Within WedgeThis is a possible scenario here. This is in line format not candles so wicks could be lower than than this. Lines remove all the wicks and are just on an open and close basis, kind of cleaning up the noise. This is not guaranteed to happen but it is a possible scenario before we break out again around the end of March. I'll post below a candle chart as well so you can see those levels. As long as we stay within this wedge on a closing basis and within the channel on the candle format then we should be fine. If we break down below the wedge or channel and close below it then thats not going to be very good. I don't see this happening thats just worst case scenario. Follow me for more updates. Not financial advice. Thank you
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by Bitgolder
BTC/USDT Chart Update !! BTC/USDT price movement over some time from mid-2020 to early 2025. Price Action: Prices have experienced significant fluctuations, forming a series of peaks and troughs. The recent price has been around 84,618 USDT. Resistance Level: The highlighted area around 96,500 USDT indicates a potential resistance level that the price may struggle to break. Technical Pattern: The chart suggests a “cup and handle” formation, indicating a potential bullish trend if the price breaks through the resistance. Recent Decline: The current decline of around 12.09% suggests a correction or retracement may be in store after the recent rally. It would be prudent to monitor market news and technical indicators for the latest updates to anticipate future price movements. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market. We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic. 1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year. But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit. 2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ). It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!) 😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours.... We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...) ⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
by P_S_trade
4
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Channel Down with Potential Reversal!Pair: BTC/USD Timeframe: 4H Current Price: $86,486 (-2.37%) 🔍 Market Overview Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined double downward channel, indicating a period of correction. The price is approaching a key support level, which could act as a potential reversal point. 📊 Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Double Channel Down Formation BTC has been moving within two parallel descending channels, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The price is currently at the lower boundary of the second channel, where buying pressure may emerge. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Levels: $85,500 - $86,000 (Lower channel boundary) $83,800 (Key demand zone) 🔹 Resistance Levels: $89,000 (Mid-channel resistance) $92,500 (Upper channel resistance) $96,892 (Major breakout target) 3️⃣ Possible Trading Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the $85,500-$86,000 support zone, we could see a bounce back towards the mid-channel resistance (~$89,000). A confirmed breakout above $92,500 would signal a trend reversal toward the $96,892 target. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to hold the $85,500 support, we could see a further drop toward $83,800 or even lower. A confirmed breakdown would extend the bearish momentum, possibly towards $80,000. 📌 Trading Plan ✅ Long Entry: Around $86,000 - $85,500 (Support Retest) Stop Loss: Below $83,800 Target 1: $89,000 Target 2: $92,500 Target 3: $96,892 🚨 Short Entry (If Breakdown Occurs): Below $85,500 Stop Loss: Above $88,000 Target 1: $83,800 Target 2: $80,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
BTC touches $80,500 - and heading lowerBTC has touched $80,500 this morning. For anyone thinking its a buying opportunity, best to let the market sell off. There will be lower prices ahead. $73,500 - $72,500 is my 1st support area, but this is by no means the lowest prices possible. Not by any stretch. We have a lot of time to work off this sell off, and plenty of room for lower prices, and lots of missing support. Murrey Math, Elliotwave, and Kumarwave being used for analysis. Posts, comments, and DM's are always welcome. Good Luck.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Urbanmove
BTC Long back to the MeanBitcoin has recently broken out of its prior range, sweeping liquidity below key levels. This setup presents a potential mean reversion opportunity, expecting price to revert back into the range. The target for this trade is around 96,785.2, aligning with the previous consolidation area. Key Levels: Entry: Current price region (~89,310) Target: 96,785.2 (Mean reversion level) Stop-Loss: 85,969.9 (Below liquidity sweep) Trade Execution: Entry Confirmation: Signs of rejection from the liquidity grab area / MSB on 2h Risk/Reward: Favorable setup with a good R:R ratio. Stop Placement: Below the liquidity sweep to prevent early invalidation. Conclusion: The market has grabbed liquidity and is now positioned for a move back into the range. If bullish momentum continues, we expect price to revert toward the 96,000 level.
Long
by SerenityEquity