$BTC Retests 50WMA For The First Time in 217 DaysAs expected,
CRYPTOCAP:BTC retested the 50WMA for the first time since September 2024 (217 days ago).
₿itcoin historically has outsized reactions when this happens.
Btc!
Pullback to 80KMorning folks,
So, our long-term bearish journey that we were following for 4-5 weeks comes to an end. BTC more or less hit our 74K target and strong weekly support area .
The next one stands around 69K, but market strongly needs a new driving factor to break ~70K support area, and hardly this will happen this week.
Taking in consideration that market is oversold, now we set a tactical target- pullback to 80K resistance area , and then we will see, should be sell again or not.
SUI Long Spot Trade Setup – Support Zone EntrySUI is retracing into a key support level around $2.00, providing a potential high-reward swing setup if buyers defend this zone.
📌 Trade Details:
Entry: ~$2.00
Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $2.50 – $2.90
🥈 $3.25 – $3.60
Stop Loss: Just below $1.60
USDT.D hit our target of 5.6-5.7% as mentioned in my last idea. USDT.D has closed above PSH at 5.51%, which warrants caution. However, I’d like to wait for the weekly close to confirm the direction USDT.S is headed toward. That said, we’ve now taken the 5.6-5.7% level I mentioned last week in my idea, and this should provide enough liquidity to target downside levels. If we overshoot and wick, keep an eye on the 6.1-6.2% level as our next liquidity target, which will likely align with BTC’s 68K-72K range. On LTF and MTF, there’s not enough liquidity left in the current range, and I think if we go down, we’ll see a smooth ride until 4.35%
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
Breaking: Bitcoin Loses $80,000 Support The price of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) today saw a noteworthy downtick of 2.24% today making it down 7% since last week losing the $80k grip. This move came days after Donald Trump the recently elected president, on Wednesday, announced a minimum tariff rate of 10% and higher rates for 57 economies like China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
The asset has tanked to the $76,000- $74,000 support point, placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC on the brink of a selling spree should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below the $70k support, possible retracement should be around the $60- $50k support points.
Similarly, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC trading below key Moving Averages (MA), and the RSI at 35, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is gearing up for a reversal albeit the market is still volatile. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) should break the 1-month high resistant a possible uptick to $120k is feasible.
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $77,615.23 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $78,391,741,615 USD. Bitcoin is down 5.64% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1, with a live market cap of $1,540,502,278,162 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,847,937 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
I'm Bullish, but... NEAR / USDTHello again my brothers and sisters,
3 Drive Structure, do I need to say anything else?
I mean, look at this symmetrical triangle, when this blows, in the past, did it only touch base twice? I dont think so, 3 drive structure is needed for this and then we can be extremely bullish!
I'll be loading my boat down there.
If this helped you out, let me know!
Trade thirsty!
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
BTC UPDATE: Flash Crash? Or Bullish Retest?🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re enjoying this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
📉 BTC just dropped nearly $10K in a single day, sliding from $84K to $74K amidst growing tariff tensions and broader market turmoil.
But here’s the bullish twist—this dump might just be a healthy retest.
BTC recently broke out of a strong inverse head & shoulders pattern, and what we’re seeing now looks like a classic neckline retest.
📌 Key Support: $72K
As long as BTC holds above this level, there’s no reason to panic. Once the dust settles from this bloody Monday, momentum could shift back to the upside.
🟢 This could be a golden accumulation zone—low risk, high potential reward.
❌ Invalidation Level: Weekly close below $72K
💬 What’s Your Take?
Will BTC bounce from this level, or is there more downside ahead? Drop your analysis and predictions below—let’s navigate this together and secure those gains! 💰🔥🚀
BNB / USDT - Downfall AheadEvening friends,
Lotta hype on this coin right now, but I have to leave my thoughts here.
Its straight forward so I won't take long here, just read the notes and let me know what you think.
Trade thirsty!
Patience Friends...Howdy again,
As much as the 2.5% is coming we must have patience. It looks like it wants to tough the resistance trend lines once again before actually losing this support here. It also is a double bottom on the weekly which is pretty hard to break, but once it does, not only btc, but the whole market will explode.
Trade thirsty!
P.S: I'll put this as SHORT even though you should LONG usdt and SHORT the market.
Bitcoin Key levels for a tradeBitcoin Key levels for a trade
81k - local swing buy zone
76 - 78k area - swing long zone
Bitcoin Short-Term Setup: Watch $79K Resistance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall again ,as I expected in the previous post .
This post is also a short-term analysis and is on the 15-minute time frame .
Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a 5-wave downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
I expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend in the coming hours , at least to the Resistance zone($79,350-$78,540) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $75,470, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Can a USD sell-off save the Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is hanging on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) amidst the market chaos and especially following last night's stronger 104% trade tariffs to China from the U.S.
This is a simple yet powerful classic chart, displaying Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, black trend-line). This shows the long-term negatively correlated pattern they follow on their Cycles.
Every time DXY entered an aggressive sell-off in the final year of the 4-year Cycle, Bitcoin started its final parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle. This time the DXY peaked exactly at the start of the year (2025) and is on a selling sequence up until today but due to the ongoing Trade War, BTC not only didn't rise but is on a correction too.
Can an even stronger DXY sell-off save the day and complete the 4-year Cycle with a final rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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[BTC] Crash to $26k: Generational Buying OpportunitySince 2022, Bitcoin has surged in a major bull market, hitting the psychological $100k milestone. However, a triple divergence on the weekly RSI signals an overbought market, pointing to an imminent pullback.
The recent peak likely marked the end of Wave (3). Given that Wave (2) was an expanding flat (verifiable on lower timeframes), Wave (4) should bring a sharp, significant correction.
Wave 4 of (3) formed a running triangle, followed by a short Wave 5—exactly as occurred. Running triangles in Wave 4 paired with a brief Wave 5 often indicate distribution, typically preceding a major move against the trend.
The price action from March 2024 into 2025 resembles classic distribution. Since peaking near $110k, Bitcoin has declined slowly but steadily, suggesting a major crash rather than a typical medium-term pullback.
The $26k–$30k range offers robust support, and it’s unlikely the price will drop much lower. Along the way, the 200-week moving average (MA200 Weekly)—Bitcoin’s strongest historical support—could trigger a significant bounce. However, if this level is decisively breached, full-blown panic could ensue.
Given my expectation of a 2008-style bear market in the S&P 500 (see related ideas), the timing aligns perfectly. A market-wide crash would inevitably impact Bitcoin, as panic drives capital out of all markets to meet margin calls.
The $26k zone should mark the crash’s bottom, potentially presenting a generational Bitcoin-buying opportunity. If the S&P 500 retests its COVID lows while Bitcoin only revisits its 2023 consolidation range, it would underscore BTC’s relative strength. Once panic subsides, capital could flood into Bitcoin from across the globe.
Technically, this would be the bottom of Wave (4). Wave (5) could then propel Bitcoin to $1 million per coin in a powerful uptrend.
[BTC] $1M Bitcoin Inevitable—After a $26k CrashToday, I posted predictions that Bitcoin (BTC) will crash to $26k and the S&P 500 (SPX) will retest COVID lows (see related ideas). Yet, I firmly believe that post-crash, Bitcoin will soar to $1 million per coin—an inevitable outcome that could unfold rapidly, perhaps within one or two years.
Consider this: Bitcoin is no longer a fringe, unproven technology. It’s the world’s largest and most robust computer network, running without downtime for 16 years.
Critics argue quantum computing will kill it, but they overlook a key point: if quantum computers break traditional encryption, the entire internet, banking system, and digital infrastructure collapse too. Is this possible? Yes, but humanity tends to solve such challenges. By then, quantum-resistant cryptography will likely be implemented, and no profit-driven miner will resist it.
Hyperbitcoinization, forecasted 11 years ago (hyperbitcoinization.com), is unfolding now. Reports suggest 60–70% of hodlers never sell, stabilizing supply. Meanwhile, demand is surging globally. Individuals are pouring savings into Bitcoin, selling homes, borrowing, and maxing out credit cards. Visionaries like Michael Saylor borrow billions to buy more. New demand streams keep emerging: ETFs enable retirement account investments, seasoned “wise” investors are finally onboard, institutions are piling in, banks worldwide offer Bitcoin accounts, nation-states and politicians join the fray. Capital is flooding into Bitcoin from every corner, draining other markets.
This is arguably the strongest bull market in modern history. Bitcoin’s price lacks traditional fundamentals—it’s a psychological market fueled by belief and emotion. Emotionally charged bull markets don’t fizzle out with quiet distribution; they end in a euphoric squeeze beyond imagination. What’s happening resembles a market cornering (en.wikipedia.org) —not by a malicious group, but by humanity-wide groupthink. Think Tulip Mania or the Dutch East India Company. Skeptical? Read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles Mackay.
Bull markets don’t die under selling pressure; they collapse when demand is exhausted. But with capital being siphoned from all markets, when will demand dry up? Only when the price reaches a level requiring infinite capital to push higher. No one knows exactly when, but it won’t be before $1 million per Bitcoin.
If my 2008-style SPX crash prediction (see related ideas) proves correct and Bitcoin only falls to 2023 levels ($26k), its resilience will shine. While the SPX retests COVID lows, Bitcoin’s shallower drop would signal unmatched strength.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bitcoin’s long-term chart is stunning. Since the 2018 bottom, it’s traced Elliott Waves , , , and . From the 2022 low, we’re in Wave . A pullback to $26k would be Wave (4) within the larger —unlikely to dip much lower.
Since inception, the 200-week moving average (MA200 Weekly) has been Bitcoin’s bedrock, supporting every bear market. Odds favor it holding again. A crash to $26k would confirm a four-year consolidation/reaccumulation phase. Once it breaks out, the move will be explosive.
This reaccumulation also resembles a rounding bottom, cup-and-handle, and inverse head-and-shoulders pattern—classic bullish signals in a strong trend, promising a massive upward surge post-breakout.
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
BTCUSDT📊 Bitcoin Weekly Analysis – Smart Money Concept (SMC)
On the 1W BTC/USDT chart, we are currently observing a corrective move after a strong bullish impulse. The price is approaching a high-probability demand zone formed between two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
• 🔹 FVG 3M around $74,000
• 🔹 FVG M around $66,000
🟩 Long Setup Zone:
The area between these FVGs represents a discounted price zone where smart money is likely to step in. This is labeled as a “zone for long position” on the chart.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
• The market is in a retracement phase, targeting inefficiencies (FVGs).
• If price taps into this zone and shows signs of bullish intent (e.g., weekly bullish engulfing, BOS/CHOCH on lower timeframes), we can expect a strong upward move.
⸻
🎯 Mid-to-Long Term Target:
• Based on the current market structure and SMC model, the next major target is $130,000.
⸻
🔐 Risk Management:
• Ideal entry: within the FVG zone
• Stop-loss: below the lower FVG (around $65,000)
• Confirmation: bullish price action on lower timeframes or weekly candle close with strong momentum
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential high-reward opportunity if smart money reacts to this discounted zone. Patience and proper confirmation are key.
⸻
BTC short 74633.81 . 4Hbitcoin . We notice a support break followed by a pullback to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. I believe the price is targeting a ( 0.618 extension = 1.618 retracement ) Fibonacci extension level." 74633.81
BTC.... HOLD THE LINE!!!!BTC is still on a daily downtrend however every lower time frame structure can provide evidence of a reversal. Bitcoins price is at critical levels of support and as long it holds the line Class Bullish Divergence is all we need to get some follow-through. CHOCH is the evidence we need.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
