BTC Setup: 2.7 R:R"Bitcoin Poised for New Uptrend After Bull Flag Breakout Retest"
Bitcoin appears ready to begin a new uptrend after successfully retesting the breakout from a bull flag pattern and completing consolidation above key support.
This setup offers a 2.7:1 risk-to-reward ratio, with the following trade parameters:
Entry: $109,965.79
Stop Loss: $106,300
Target: $120,000
Btc!
BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context
After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential
Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower.
Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point
Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel.
Channel Continuation Structure
The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000.
Final Thoughts
This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from.
If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
SEI Long – Breakout with Relative Strength & Trend ContinuationSEI is showing strong relative strength and has just broken out of recent structure. We’re watching for a higher low to form above the $0.22 zone, confirming trend continuation and unlocking upside liquidity.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: Around $0.22
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.29
o 🥈 $0.39
o 🥉 $0.49
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.19
Bullish bounce for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 108,797.87
1st Support: 106,083.15
1st Resistance: 112,003.20
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BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began.
While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case:
The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry.
The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K.
RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence.
Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment.
Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend.
Short Setup Thesis
Entry Zone:
109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply)
Stop Loss Zone:
Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup)
Target Zones:
TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area)
TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf)
TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone)
Break Trigger / Confirmation:
A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
$RIOT Continues to Follow PathNASDAQ:RIOT Is sticking closely to the plan testing the bottom and top of the channel multiple times.
Price closing above the weekly 200EMA and weekly pivot Friday will be a very bullish signal. As we have over 4 tests of the upper boundary resistance there is a high probability we break through and continue higher in a high degree wave 3.
Initial targets are the weekly R5 pivot at $39 and all time high at range at $79.
Price tested the .618 Fibonnaci retracement in a complex correction for wave 2.
Analysis is invalidated below the channel support.
Safe trading
$MSTR Megatrend Continuation?NASDAQ:MSTR is market leader in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC strategic reserves strategy and has set the benchmark.
After a nearly 20x rally profit take is exceptive, price has held up extremely well through the last 6 months only dropping to the .236 Fibonacci retracement and weekly pivot. As Bitcoin continues into price discovery expect the MSTR rally to continue with renewed tailwinds.
It is an extremely hated stock as well as its collection of yield baring derivatives. The keeps the social mood / sentiment low which could prove further tailwind for growth.
I am looking at a terminal target this cycle of around $1500 at the R5 weekly pivot.
Safe trading
$WULF Critical Resistance!NASDAQ:WULF has had a great come back but has just hit a triple sword resistance: weekly 200EMA, weekly pivot and High Volume Node where I expect it to struggle for a while!
Are CRYPTOCAP:BTC miners the new altcoins?
Bullish continuation through these resistances will flip them to support and demonstrate fundamental resilience on an improving macro economic background overcoming technical analysis.
Long term tailwind potential can be as high a10x from here but more realistic targets are the R3 weekly pivot $17 and R5 weekly pivot at $25.
Analysis is invalidated below the high degree wave (4) of a leading (or ending) diagonal Elliot Wave pattern.
Safe trading
Breaking: Bitcoin Just Broke the $110k Resistant Next Top $115kThe price of the first crypto currency ever created saw a noteworthy uptick to reclaim the $110k price point however, the move was short-lived as the asset retraced to $109k mark but present price chart depicts a move to the $115k resistant point in the short term.
With the Relative strength index (RSI) at 63, Bitcoin might be inches away from claiming the $115k pivot amidst build up momentum and institutional adoption. further bullish metrics include the asset trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) respectfully.
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3
Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth.
Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading!
Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack.
As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here.
Safe trading
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3
Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth.
Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading!
Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack.
As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here.
Safe trading
BITCOIN now starts ascent to $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with a strong green 1W candle, recovering all loses and has started the current one with a stable rise. As stable as the whole Bull Cycle has been so far since the November 2022 market bottom.
The current uptrend is the technical Bullish Leg that has always emerged the Triple Support Combo of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and former Resistance, turned Support (Pivot).
As you can see, this has happened 2 times already and this is the 3rd. The previous one peaked a little above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, which gives us an immediate Target on a 2-month horizon at $150000. This confirms a number of previous studies we conducted, all leading towards this price or around it.
So do you think all roads lead to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$BTC Weekly Continues to follow the script!BTC appears to have completed a shallow wave 2 retracement showing investor excitement and demand - They just can't wait to buy some!
New all time highs are expected this week (perhaps today) once the High Volume Node resistance we are currently at is overcome (obviously).
Wave 3 has an expected target of the R3 pivot $190k but i am expecting price to overextend this cycle to at least the R4 pivot at $233k.
Safe trading
BTCUSD Trade Setup Idea on 1D Timeframe - Bullish MomentumBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading at $109,348, showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart. The recent breakout from consolidation signals potential continuation, provided key resistance levels are breached and held.
Must Consider Analysis Timeframe : 1Day.
Strictly follow the trading rules for Entry..... only on Retracement.
SL on Previous or Close swing low.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Confirmation: If price sustains above 112,150, we expect bullish momentum to accelerate.
Target 1 (TP1): 112,150 – Key breakout level that may act as support once reclaimed.
Target 2 (TP2 - Major): 121,128 – Long-term resistance and major profit-taking zone.
📊 Trade Logic:
A confirmed breakout and hold above 112,150 indicates strong buyer interest and could drive price toward 116,572 and 121,128.
The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout structure.
REMEMBER:- RESPECT THE LEVELS, LELEVLS RESPECT YOU THEN.
💡 Strategy: Monitor for retests and bullish candle confirmations above 112,150 to add or enter long positions with proper risk management.
! Disclaimer & Important Note:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All trading involves risk. We are not responsible for any kind of loss incurred, whether financial, emotional, or otherwise. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Trading involves significant risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The trade idea shared above reflects personal market interpretation and is subject to change based on new market conditions.
Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree
Stay safe. Trade smart.
Follow for more ideas!
📍Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree
📈 Stay safe. Trade smart.
🔔 Follow for more ideas!
XRPUSDT → Resistance retest. Coin inside the flatBINANCE:XRPUSDT is rising towards resistance at 2.3288 due to a shift in the fundamental background to positive and a rally in Bitcoin, but there is always a but...
On the daily chart, XRP is trading below strong trend resistance, and there is also a fairly strong and voluminous liquidity pool at 2.3300 ahead, which could provide strong resistance. Bitcoin is also approaching its critical level of 110500, which may temporarily hold back growth, and a correction in the flagship could trigger a correction in the rest of the market...
Focus on resistance and the liquidity pool at 2.3288. A sharp approach and capture of liquidity without the possibility of continuing growth could lead to a correction by half or the entire local range (to 2.16).
Resistance levels: 2.3288, 2.357, 2.45
Support levels: 2.25, 2.213, 2.16
If the retest of resistance at 2.3288 ends in a false breakout, then subsequent consolidation below the level could trigger a correction to the above support and interest zones.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin – The 270/100 CycleBitcoin isn’t just trading. It’s pulsing — in cycles that reward those who understand timing as much as price.
Over the last two years, BTC has shown a repeating pattern with surgical precision:
Range Phase:
Each macro consolidation lasts ~220 to 270 days, where price builds structure, absorbs supply, and prepares for its next expansion. This is the quiet phase — the zone where conviction is tested, and weak hands exit.
Impulse Phase:
What follows is a ~100-day vertical leg, where BTC surges between +50% to +80%, targeting the next macro resistance. We’ve seen this repeatedly:
Accumulate → Expand → Re-accumulate → Expand.
Wait for something more reliableMorning folks,
Since our last update action was anemic. Nothing has changed seriously. BTC was able to show just minor upside action. Based on current performance, I do not want to take long position right here and prefer to wait for something more reliable. Because BTC action stands rather different from the one that we expected to see.
For example it might be H&S pattern on 1H chart. Thus, an area around 103K seems the one that we will keep an eye on.
Bitcoin’s not done dropping. Selling pressure’s still on!Welcome aboard ✌️
In order for Bitcoin to climb higher, we first need a deeper correction.
Right now, price is stuck inside a channel — and it’ll take stronger momentum to break out.
🔻 So for now, I’m expecting further downside. Stick with me and don’t miss this bearish wave!
BINANCE:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD