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Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength. I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top. Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind. I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again. The plan: Wait for BTC to hit $110K Look for a reversal from that level Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins Hold shorts until late July / early August Close positions and shift back to buying
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by UA_CAPITAL
This Low Cap Alt will 20-50x (CULT DAO)This crypto cycle has been brutal for alts. There have been massive shakeouts over and over, a relentless onslaught of rug pulls and scams, and the "Pump.fun" casino on Solana that’s drained billions of retail liquidity and transferred it to the few. The few always seem to win, and the many always seem to lose. Today, if you’re reading this, it might all change. CULT DAO could easily 20-50x from now until October 2025. Let’s take a look at the MACD divergence. ### Technical Divergence For 750 days, this bullish divergence has been forming on the histogram MACD. Every new low on price has formed a higher low on the MACD. Let’s take a look at a case study of what happens when we get this form of divergence. I traded this exact same pattern in 2022 that resulted in a nearly 425% move. The play function doesn’t work because they rebranded, and that ticker is no longer valid, but you can scroll to the bottom in my comments on that TA and see the move. I’ll post it under this as well. As you can see, we got that 425% move. Currently, CULT DAO is showing exactly the same histogram divergence. Here are some examples of zigzag impulses on low-cap alts. You tend not to get 5 waves; instead, you get this zigzag pattern. This is what I predict CULT DAO will do since it’s only a 5 million market cap. We can also see in the chart that the 0.618 time Fibonacci level hits at the end of October 2025, which is exactly where I think the altcoin market will top. Check out previous TA on that. This is only scratching the surface of what is to come for CULT DAO. I have presented to you the technical reason why a big move is stirring and why, at the apex of these divergences, the stars align, and you have the catalyst present itself, and boom—the explosive move comes all at once, and it will be extremely volatile because of its low market cap. ### Let’s Start with the Tokenomics Every time someone sells or buys CULT DAO on Uniswap, there is a 0.40% tax that goes to a treasury. The top 50 stakers get to pass proposals that fund projects/investments. The idea is to remove the centralized component of funding a project. 121 projects have been funded over the last three years with 3 million dollars. - Total CULT Funded: 479,751,081,214 CULT - Total ETH Funded: 1,573 ETH - Proposals Funded: 121 - Total USD Funded: $3,289,596 - Total ETH Burned: 303 ETH Allocating these funds has been a learning process over the last three years, but every failure has been necessary in preparing the DAO for what’s to come next. ### The Big Catalyst The creator of CULT DAO has been working on a blockchain that will function on a custom gas token—that’s right, and that custom token will be CULT DAO. You heard correctly. Every transaction, every deployment on the blockchain will require the CULT DAO token as gas to execute. The implications are massive. There are multiple dApps that are currently being constructed on the Modulus blockchain. A privacy-first zkEVM blockchain like Modulus means a scalable, Ethereum-compatible blockchain that prioritizes user privacy through zero-knowledge proofs, allowing optional private transactions while maintaining decentralization. Modulus is a privacy-first zkEVM blockchain and is scheduled to release this year between April and August 2025. I hope now you’re starting to see the picture. ### CULT DAO and ETH Liquidity Pools So, why does the price of CULT go down if there is currently very little volume? Well, CULT DAO and ETH liquidity pools are tied together, so if the ETH price goes down, so does CULT. In turn, if ETH goes up, so does CULT. You can see that CULT is nearly at a 1:1 ratio with ETH for now, coming in at a 0.91 ratio. In other words, if my thesis is correct about ETH and it goes to 15,000 dollars, the price of CULT would be as follows: - ETH at $10,000: CULT Price: $0.000005008 (4x increase). Market Cap: $21.38M (4x increase). - ETH at $15,000: CULT Price: $0.000007512 (6x increase). Market Cap: $32.08M (6x increase). That’s right—if nobody even bought CULT, not one dollar, the base liquidity increase of ETH would bring the market cap to possibly 32 million, in other words, if you were thinking of buying ETH, why don’t you just buy CULT DAO? You can buy ETH now; from this price, 15,000 is 7x, or you can buy CULT DAO, get 6x plus whatever extra volume is coming in. It seems like a logical play, really. Everything you’ve seen so far is why I believe this MACD histogram divergence has been forming for 750 days. As I said, the stars will align at the apex, and the explosion will come. ### Unruggable and No Whales Controlling Supply As you can see from the bubble map, the largest wallet that is not an exchange has a cluster total of 0.7%. The rest of the clusters you see in the image are basically exchange wallets, which are the red and dark green circles mostly. Liquidity is also locked for over 200 years. - Burned Supply = 1.29664T - Circulating Supply (including staked) = 4.27T - Staked Supply = 1.07599T - Remaining Tradable Supply (excluding burned and staked) = 4.27T - 1.29664T - 1.07599T ≈ 1.89737T So, no whales, and it’s not possible to rug because liquidity is locked. ### Modulus Blockchain Liquidity Injection The average liquidity injection for DAOs in ZK would be anything from 200,000 to 10 million. Let’s assume it’s a $1M injection that is split 50/50 between CULT and ETH, a common practice for Uniswap-style pools. - CULT Amount in Pool: At the current price of $0.000001252, $500,000 buys ~399.36B CULT ($500,000 ÷ $0.000001252). It would increase the price to a 10 million market cap overnight. ### Conclusion - Liquidity is locked for 200 years - No whales - Not possible to rug - Mainnet launching this year - ETH pools tied to CULT - MACD histogram divergence The target I have for CULT is just based on Fibonacci levels. Honestly, it’s unpredictable what will happen, how high it will go, or the impact the Modulus chain will have. 120 million is my low-end estimate; the macro Fibonacci is much higher. The last extension puts it at a 1.4 billion market cap and 266x from where we are now. This is where you want to be for the upcoming alt season—right here, down 98% with this massive divergence and all these factors that come into play. Just the mainnet launch and ETH going to 10,000 basically sends this to a 30-50 million market cap. Cult DAO and Satoshi Nakamoto share a common ethos of decentralization and anti-centralization. We need to embrace this notion and bring back the power to the many. If CULT DAO hits 1.4 billion dollars, the treasury funds would be in the millions; we fund our own future. moduluszk.io cultdao.io cultdao.io coinmarketcap.com
Long
by Sporia
2
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury " Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack . Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514 Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH). Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
btc . tue . recapApproaching the cmLow during 2/4pm (utc+2) on tuesday, brought the tiny SFP liquidity and and a NO LOOK BACK push upwards. The SHORT wasn't taken as the the bounce showed no weakness The intraday LONG turned out to be a runner. entry . 93454 tp1 . 94854 . +1.5% - this seems a 'too early tp', correct but: thought as an intraday . securing the daily minimum: PROFIT TAKEN tp2 . 100477 . +7.5% tp3 . 103626 . +10.8% The long entry is now at average 94863 . ish prv tp1 - I was waiting for lower, to add LONG position size But upon not seeing follow through and strong bounces on lower TFs, I went with a 30% of original trade size addition during wednesday 8/10pm. Now it's 10:30am, we've just pushed another 1h leg higher. I'll ride this to my next TPs, bigger reactions at this point I see only at higher prices. This thing is BULLISH (always hungry for good SHORT trades, but paytient for reactions)
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
Bitcoin Breaks Heavy Resistance Zone— But Can It Hold?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise yesterday as the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) opened and it seems like it can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ) this time, but there are still concerns from a technical analysis , so please stay tuned for this analysis . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and has broken through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) with good momentum . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and we should wait for the completion of microwave 4 . The microwave 4 can be considered a pullback to the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ). I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $96,000 and is likely to touch the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) and start rising again, since microwave 3 was with high momentum , it is possible that microwave 5 will even be truncated . The targets I have indicated on the chart can be the target of a long position . If you are looking for a Bitcoin reversal, you can focus on the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . The next major pivot will likely be within this time zone . It seems reasonable to open a Long position near the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) , and it can give us a good Risk-To-Reward . What do you think? ---------------------------------------------------- My concerns for Bitcoin's continued bullish trend: Because Bitcoin's correlation with US stock market indices , especially the SPX500 , is higher than in previous weeks, my analysis is that there is a re-correction in the SPX500 index , which could prevent Bitcoin from continuing its upward trend . The Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is likely to complete, which could cause Bitcoin to fall further if the lower lines of this pattern are broken. If tensions between Pakistan and India increase, it could prevent Bitcoin from growing further. ---------------------------------------------------- Also, Today, the Federal Funds Rate is scheduled to be announced. Let’s take a look at how this decision — along with Powell’s speech — might impact Bitcoin . Be cautious with your positions during the announcement and Powell’s remarks, as markets may become volatile. Holding the rate steady is a signal of monetary policy stability, which could give risk assets like Bitcoin some breathing room in the short term. Given recent U.S. economic data, markets are mainly focused on Powell’s tone during the press conference. If he adopts a dovish stance (hinting at potential rate cuts), this could support Bitcoin’s upward momentum. However, if Powell emphasizes that rates will remain elevated for an extended period, we might see a temporary wave of selling pressure in the market. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely — high-impact events like this can lead to sharp moves in crypto. ---------------------------------------------------- Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,511-$97,774 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $95,966-$95,550 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $94,400, we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin is showing strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having broken out of a key range and now approaching a potential retest zone. Price is currently hovering around 96,990, and we’re anticipating a possible retracement into the demand zone between 91,856 – 88,533. This area aligns with a previous consolidation and breakout range, offering a high-probability buy zone if price reacts with bullish intent. 📌 Key Technical Highlights: Break of structure confirms bullish bias Demand zone identified between 91.8K – 88.5K Anticipating a retracement for continuation Bullish targets toward 100K+ We’ll be watching lower timeframes for confirmation (engulfing candles, bullish BOS, or SFPs) before entering long.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400. In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision. The expectation is for it to remain unchanged. If it remains unchanged; there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500. If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels. If the interest rate is reduced; the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play. If the interest rate is increased; the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly. The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets. With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
by CryptoSignalAPP
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days . Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion). Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves . The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis . USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash . I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924 Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
30
BTC is suggesting a potential bearish reversalBitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a head and shoulders pattern near the $96K– GETTEX:97K resistance zone, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. This pattern, characterized by three peaks—the middle being the highest—indicates that the upward trend may be weakening .​ The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 7, 2025, is a pivotal event for BTC. While the consensus anticipates that the Fed will maintain current interest rates, the market is keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's remarks for hints of future monetary policy directions. A dovish tone could bolster BTC prices, whereas a hawkish stance might exert downward pressure .​ Technical analysis reveals that BTC has been trading within a range of $93,399.86 to $97,625.81 over the past 24 hours, with the current price around $96,362. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 58, suggesting that BTC is approaching overbought territory but hasn't crossed it yet .​ A significant support level lies around $88,700, where substantial liquidity could trigger a price rebound if tested. However, if the head and shoulders pattern confirms a breakdown, BTC might retest lower support levels, potentially around $78,000 .​ Actionable Insight: Traders should closely monitor the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern and the outcome of the FOMC meeting. A break below the neckline with increased volume could signal a bearish trend, while a dovish Fed stance might invalidate the pattern, leading to bullish momentum. More Analysis and Trading Ideas on SorooshX
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by sorooshx
btc . may . w1 . waiting for lower pricesThe squeeze of shorts saw MayOpen pump through the resistance zones finally. Friday 2pm, gave us the ladder entry to SHORT an SFP just before the weekend. short . entry . 97368 . tp1 taken . ride the trend Monday showed no volatility, no trades taken. Too low to SHORT, too soon to LONG. I'd rather: SHORT higher - add to position size. cmVAL . pw0.5 . pwVwap entry . 95347 tp1 . 90216 . +5.3% tp2 . 88600 ish . +7% LONG intraday cwLow around 2pm and ride this for an intraday LONG into entry SHORT entry . 93454 tp1 . 95347 . +2%
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Dartagnones
BTC - Golden Pocket test & what comes next?Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily recovering from its January correction, entering a promising uptrend that has now brought it to a crucial technical juncture: the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone, which lies between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels. This area is widely watched by traders, as it often serves as a springboard for either significant reversals or continuation of the trend. 4H timeframe On the 4H timeframe, BTC recently formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price managed to break above the triangle’s resistance, but it failed to hold above this level, closing back below the breakout zone. This lack of follow-through signals weakness and suggests that a short-term pullback could be imminent. Daily timeframe Turning to the daily chart, the situation becomes even clearer. After reaching the Golden Pocket, BTC printed a bearish engulfing candlestick, a strong reversal signal. The subsequent price action saw BTC break below both the 4H support and a daily FVG, further strengthening the case for a deeper correction or trend reversal. If this downward momentum continues, the next major support zone is likely between $89,000 and $91,000. This area marks an imbalance created during the previous rally and is a natural target for buyers to step in. However, the bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. If BTC can reclaim and hold above the Golden Pocket, it would signal a resumption of the uptrend, with the next key target being the psychologically significant $100,000 level. For now, though, the technical structure suggests that a retracement toward the $89–91k zone is more likely before any attempt at new highs. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin’s recent test of the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone has resulted in a short-term rejection. The immediate outlook is cautious, with a likely retracement toward $89–91k. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals in both price action and volume before making new commitments. A successful hold above the Golden Pocket would open the door for a rally toward $100,000, but for now, patience and careful observation are advised. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
66
Bitcoin - Bitcoin on the Road to $100,000?!Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between EMA50 and EMA200. If Bitcoin moves downward towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In April, Bitcoin recorded a growth of 14.7%, successfully rebounding from a sharp early-month decline that had dragged its price down to $74,901. This level marks Bitcoin’s lowest price point in 2025 so far. U.S. President Donald Trump, in an interview with NBC News, responded to growing concerns about a possible economic recession by saying that everything would be “fine.” He referred to the current phase as a “transitional period” and expressed confidence that the U.S. economy would perform “extraordinarily well.” When asked directly if he feared a recession, Trump replied, “No,” though he added, “Anything is possible, but I believe we are headed toward having the greatest economy in our nation’s history.” On the other hand, Ethereum ended April with a 1.58% decline—marking its fifth consecutive month of losses. Over the past year, Ethereum has only seen gains in three months, and it is currently down 36.7% compared to the same period last year. Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced its intention to invest up to $84 billion in Bitcoin. The funds will be raised evenly through stock issuance ($42 billion) and debt securities ($42 billion). In the first quarter of 2025, Strategy reported a profit of $5.8 billion from its Bitcoin investments, achieving a return of 13.7%. The company has also raised its annual targets, increasing its projected Bitcoin return from 15% to 25% and its dollar profit goal from $10 billion to $15 billion.Meanwhile, the short-term holder profit/loss ratio for Bitcoin has returned to a neutral level of 1.0, indicating balance between coins held at a profit and those at a loss. Historically, this level has often served as resistance during bearish phases. If prices remain above this point, it could signal strengthening momentum and a potential market recovery. Elsewhere, reports indicate that Apple has violated a previous antitrust ruling by continuing to restrict users from accessing alternative payment methods outside of the App Store. The decision, issued by Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, now requires Apple to allow apps—including those related to crypto and NFTs—to operate without paying fees or seeking special approval. This ruling immediately strips Apple of its ability to collect commissions on out-of-app purchases and prohibits the company from monitoring or tracking such transactions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND