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BITCOIN: Pattern gets repeated again and again and again.Bitcoin is on the most desirable buy levels long term as apart from only being neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 281.800, ADX = 29.399) it just validated today the enormous buying zone that was waiting on the 1D MA100. This is a level that has worked as a buy entry over and over again these 2 years of the Bull Cycle. The last time it did was exactly a year ago on January 22nd 2024. The result was a +90% rally. If this gets repeated again the exact same way, then a new ATH at 170,000 is more than plausible. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go. There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top: May 2025 **Volume Flow**: 1157 Days **From June Bottom**: 1064 days **ETH clear bottom**: June 2022 **Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom **221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May. September 2025 **From November Bottom**: 1064 days **Major Macro Time Fibonacci** **Chainlink Fractal** **Chainlink Time Fib** March 2025 **Small Time Fibonacci** **Bull Flag End** **Average % move and time since 2019** As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025. --- May 2025 Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May. Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom. The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022. If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May. For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May. ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May. So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin. --- September/October 2025 1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025. For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart. As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022. I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025. Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025. --- March 2025 This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction. A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal. 240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025. A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025. --- Elliott Wave Section I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes. Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5? Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market? The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days. Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k. --- ### **Price Targets If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021. If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025. As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows. --- Pi Cycle Indicator If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross. --- Conclusion We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be. This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
16
ETH 18000 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 God dam what a beautiful day it is , one dreams of such a entry in a bull market. ETH will hit 18000 dollars by september 2025 there is nothing you can about it , this is the game, leverage wiped out and reset now we enter the "only up period" from this moment . The key to finding out the next move was the USDT DOM like always pointing the way , the lower higher on the RSI showing divergence. The money flow on MC indicator was very clearly showing this move , private indicator cant publish it on here. The Fractal from 2020 on ETH is playing out FORGET THIS HAMMER WICK it is happening from here ETH will close in this channel and rally to 18k! Do not give in to fear this is where you want to stack as much as possible . Invalidation of idea would be ETH closing a weekly candle under this ascending macro channel .
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Sporia
12
03/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,485.24 Last weeks low: $100,995.99 Midpoint: $95,506.74 As the US begins a tariff trade war on the world, BTC ends the previous week with a weekend selloff back into the range low of $91,000. Despite the crypto world being everchanging this range low level has held strong for nearly 3 months now. Because of this strong support level we have seen many weekly outlooks follow the pattern of an early break below weekly low, then reclaim and rally back up the range throughout the week. Could this be the case once again? Currently sentiment is terrible, probably bear market levels of depression despite Bitcoin being above $100K most of the time. I think this is largely due to the state of altcoins as they are at pre-US election lows, in some cases bear market levels... This plays havoc mentally which so much was promised in terms of alt season potential now that Bitcoin is a new highs. In reality the market will do what hurts the most, max pain. Having said that, generally a weekend dump can be misleading due to low volume and the absence of institutional buying making any manipulated move much easier to pull off from a market makers point of view. There are some nice 4H TF setups emerging, now the macro environment is definitely calling the shots in the Tradfi world but as long as the $91,000 holds the rangebound move is still in play.
by ProR35
Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin Plunges to $91K Amid Market TurmoilThe cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs. Technical Analysis Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest: - Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines. - Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery. - Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure. - Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin. Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior. Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets. Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline: 1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum. 3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines. 4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action. What’s Next for Bitcoin? While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including: - $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance. - Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory. - Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market. Conclusion Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
BITCOIN BEARISH PROJECTION#Bitcoin is showing potential for downside momentum if the price confirms a breakout below key support. A confirmed breakdown could lead to a retracement toward the 200 EMA, aligning with a possible 38% Fibonacci correction. The double top formation has intensified bearish sentiment, pushing the price below $95K. Additionally, fair value gaps on the left indicate that if selling pressure increases, the price could dip below $80K. The trendline drawn on the daily timeframe is also acting as a crucial support level to watch. The market has been struggling, with panic setting in due to recent developments. This aligns with escalating trade tensions, driven by Donald Trump’s decisive actions regarding Canada and BRICS. Key events contributing to market uncertainty include the latest tariffs imposed on Canadian goods, potential restrictions on trade with BRICS nations, and heightened geopolitical friction. These factors have intensified volatility, prompting investors to reassess risks in the global economy.
Short
by traderchamp_
Be careful with bitcoin !!!As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the 4h timeframe, If my view is correct, btc will rise to $120k . And if this pattern is correct and breaks, higher targets are possible. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Bitcoin’s price has finally started movingHello, dear friends!🩷 I’m so glad to see You here! After a week of stagnation, Bitcoin’s price has finally started moving—it’s heading downwards, continuing to form an inverted triangle, or as some might call it, an inverted wedge! I believe that in the near future—perhaps a day or two—we might see Bitcoin at $90,000. Whether the price will continue to drop after that is still unclear, so we’ll keep a close eye on how it develops. How are You doing? Where do You think Bitcoin is headed in the near term? Do You agree with my analysis, or do You have a different opinion? Share Your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear them! Thanks for Your attention🫶 Sincerely Yours, Kateryna 💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RocketBomb
1
AT CryptoScan: BTCUSD downside target is...As highlighted previously, there were issues with the recent BTCUSD Bitcoin rally... and so it is very clear now that there is a TOP resistance to breakout eventually. This is marked out by the green box at about 107K. Furthermore, breaking back into the purple box also suggests a breakdown out of the lower end... to which just about happened. The thing is, this is only a beginning and there should be about 5 to 8 days more of overall sliding down. Notice that the candlesticks of late are getting longer and longer? This is indicative of momentum and as it falls over the cliff, it would continue until it stops. Meanwhile, it just is about to break the SuperTrend support. So expect more downside... I marked out the immediate TDST at 89,164, expecting that over the next 5 days shou;ld breakdown below that level. The next TDST is at 69,284... and I think this is a little too far down. Looking for two bounce areas at 88K and 75K for reaccumulation, some time in mid- to end- February. That's the plan.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Auguraltrader
$BTC Remains Bullish Despite Tariff FearsMarket is panicking over Tariff Wars, but ₿itcoin continues to remain in a bullish uptrend. CRYPTOCAP:BTC got rejected hard at $104k on the Weekly, and has closed below the 9WMA. Strong possibility of price trading $94-91k. A range for a few weeks might appear painful, but will give the market time to reset and accumulate all that liquidity for the next leg up. Price is nowhere close to the 20 or 50WMA, so there’s nothing really to worry about structurally at this point. The Bull Case is price is closing above the .382 Fib, so we could slingshot up if we get some bullish catalysts next week. WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by jonnieking
BITCOIN (15m)The price will rise to the trend line and then drop towards the support. This analysis is in the 15-minute time frame. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
10
BTCUSD at Major Resistance – Will Sellers Take Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD reached a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals. If the price confirms a rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the $101,155 level. However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the resistance zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area. Let me know your thoughts or if you see an alternative perspective!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DanieIM
3
BTC - The path to $72kIve been tracking the BTC wave form and its been complicated. Originally believing the high was in Mid December, we had another wave unfold to create a peak a boo high in Mid Jan. Then its been sleepy sideways action since. While a new high is definitely possible, targets of $113 - $118k , I think the ideal time for those have passed, and todays price action confirms for me the next leg is beginning downward to $74 - $72k . I have wrongly been expecting this since Dec, so modesty is warranted. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave and Kumar wave being used. Basic top of frame roll over, and truncated 5 wave count looks complete, looking for an ABC pull back. I recommend selling and waiting for rebuys at $74 - $72k - with caution, as we could go lower. Good luck.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Urbanmove
BTC on Weekend: Short Bias Until 99.5K, Watch 102.5 ReclaimI remain short on Bitcoin until 99.5K unless the price reclaims last week’s close at 102.5K. Both my daily and weekly bias remain bearish, with BTC already crossing yesterday’s low and last week’s close. Bitcoin tends to pump on weekends when traditional markets are closed. A bounce wouldn’t be surprising, but confirmation of a shift would require a 15m impulsive move to the upside or a bullish market structure change above 102.5K and 103.2K. Two possible outcomes: 1. A low-volume pump to 104.6K, aligning with Bitcoin’s typical weekend behavior in low-liquidity conditions. 2. A direct drop to 99.5K as support. I don’t trade weekends, as crypto often reacts more to speculation than real data when liquidity is low.
by BlackTieCrypto
1