Btc-bitcoin
Will Bitcoin Break the Heavy Support Zone!? Happy New Year 2025 ! May this year bring you health , happiness , and financial success 🎉.
Let's make it a year of growth and prosperity together !
First, let's take a look at the reasons for Bitcoin's decline these days :
1 - Profit-Taking : Long-term investors are selling after 2024's gains.
2 - Federal Reserve Policy : Slower rate cuts in 2025 have dampened optimism .
3 - Macroeconomic Concerns : Inflation risks and high-interest rates affect sentiment.
4 - Institutional Activity : Reduced MicroStrategy purchases and Bitcoin ETF outflows show declining institutional interest.
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) chart from the point of view of Technical Analysis :
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is trying to break this zone. Also, the most important Resistance for Bitcoin , in my opinion, right now is the 50_SMA(Daily) and in the next step $98,100 .
In addition, with the closing of the monthly candle , we can also see the Shooting Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern .
After breaking the Uptrend lines , I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the width of the Ascending Channel(broken) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage : $97,686-$96,380
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage : $91,446-$90,000
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($96,620-$95,500), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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an analysis on BTCBINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅ Currently, with the break of the $97,500 resistance, it can grow to the top of its trading range, which is the $99,500 range 👌
✅ Bitcoin's exit from the top of the short-term trading range will start a new upward wave and record a new high for Bitcoin 👍
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Bitcoin: A New Year's Gift? Engulfing Zones Signalhello guy!
First of all! Happy New Year!
I believe in a long position here! Why? let's explain it!
Engulfing Zones:
The term "engulfed" on this chart represents price levels where strong price movements absorbed opposing orders, marking areas of liquidity shifts.
The most recent engulfing level near $93,500 is a critical pivot. It has established itself as a short-term resistance point to watch.
Support Zone:
The shaded region around $91,000–$92,000 has consistently acted as strong support, with multiple rejections confirming its significance.
This zone is crucial for maintaining the current bullish structure.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $93,500–$95,000, which aligns with prior engulfing price action.
Major Resistance: $97,271, marking the upper boundary of the consolidation range and a potential breakout zone.
Trend Structure:
The chart suggests a building bullish structure, with higher lows forming. This indicates buyers are gradually stepping in at higher price levels.
Potential Breakout Setup:
The chart projects a bullish breakout above $93,500 and a test of $95,000. A sustained move above $95,000 could pave the way for a rally toward $97,271.
____________________________________
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $93,500 confirms momentum toward $95,000. Clearing this resistance opens the path to $97,271 and possibly higher levels.
The continuation of higher lows supports the bullish outlook, provided the price remains above $91,000.
Crypto & IWM Leading the way higher!At the beginning of the month, I anticipated a necessary pullback due to the red barrier on the Wr%. While I accurately predicted the pullback, I underestimated its severity and was slightly off on the timeline. As a swing/long-term trader, I'll accept minor discrepancies in the degree of severity and timing.
In a previous video and subsequent write-ups, I emphasized that Crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and AMEX:IWM , CAPITALCOM:RTY would lead us out of the DIP. This week, we are witnessing exactly that! Crypto and the Russell 2000 are bouncing back stronger than NASDAQ:QQQ and $SPY.
In my 2025 preview, I discussed how AMEX:IWM has lagged behind since its peak in 2021. Before this bull market truly ends, we need a catch-up rally where the Russell launches itself at the SP500. I believe we will witness this in 2025, culminating in a blow-off top similar to 2021, followed by a significant correction crash.
Not financial advice.
ON THE EDGE - HAEDS OR TAILS? Happy New Year to all of you! :)
As illustrated, we can see BTC hanging on the edge of a cliff.
Apparently , Black Rock and other financial institutions involved are manipulating price; however, that's only rumors until a major media source proves otherwise.
Technically speaking , the key support area is the $90,000 - $91,000 price range where we've seen BTC bounce strongly to the upside once testing it.
Don't be surprised if there's a strong selling inducement ( what retails call "fake breakout" ), where these bigger institutions bid the market just bellow $90,000 trapping sellers and shaking off buy-holders, and then buy back all of the liquidity at a discount price (potentially around $85,000 - $80,000).
However, the sell-inducement maneuver could cause a panic sell-off, taking price lower toward its previous maximum highs of $73,000 ; being such price range a major potential buying area for a long term HODL toward what could be a short-term target of $115,500 - $118,000 price range.
Patience is key since we are starting the year, and price "should" create the low of the year (somewhere), so it's natural and not strange for there to actually be a drop which, as a matter of fact, is fair and actually good so that everyone can get their hands on some BTC at a better price.
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GOOD LUCK!
And I wish you all a year full of abundance and prosperity.
HBAR TRADE IDEA Hedera HBAR has held up better than the majority of alts have since the peak of the Trump pump in early December '24, sitting above the 4H 200 EMA were most alts have now lost its support.
The chart is a simple one, we have a clear range marked out between $0.395 - $0.235 with price currently at the 0.25 line. Just below that is the 4H 200 EMA which coincides with the bullish OB creating what should be a strong level of support. Naturally the invalidation for a trade at the level would be acceptance under these key supports.
There is a clear LTF downtrend, a breakout of that range could be a good trigger for a long position with the range quarters acting as take profit levels. With alts still very much tied to BTC and as it stands the price action is stagnant due to end of year window dressing and lack of volume, this should change next week and if the ETFs continue inflows this will help HBAR and alts increasing the positive probability of the long. If BTC starts the year poorly then the SL comes in as the bullish trend is lost.
250k Btc (with facts) Bitcoin growth across three Halving CyclesFirst Halving:
Market cap at halving: 146 million
Market cap during run-up: $18.75 billion
Run-up: 20 billion (approx.)
Second Halving:
Market cap at halving: $9.375 billion
Market cap during run-up: $300 billion
Run-up: $290.625 billion (approx., 15 times larger than the first halving)
Third Halving (hypothetical):
Market cap at halving: 150 billion
Possible market cap scenarios during run-up:
a. $1.2 trillion (already achieved)
b. $2.4 trillion (potential)
c. $4.8 trillion (potential)
Run-up (applying the 15x increase pattern): $4.35 trillion approx.
Hope you learned something :)
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IBITUSDT Analysis: Red Box Breakout PotentialIn IBITUSDT, the red box signifies a critical resistance zone. If price breaks and retests this level, it may present a long entry opportunity . That said, my overall expectation is for the correction to deepen further before significant upward movement.
Key Points:
Red Box Resistance: Monitor for a breakout and retest to confirm a potential long setup.
Deeper Correction Likely: Current market conditions suggest the correction could continue before recovery.
Confirmation Indicators: I will utilize CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames to validate entries.
Learn With Me: If you want to understand how to leverage CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints for accurate market analysis, feel free to DM me.
Reminder: Always manage your risk and look for confirmation before taking any trades.
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I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall by Flag Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) in the past days, and this could be a sign for a further fall of Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is breaking the Support lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Bearish Flag Pattern can cause Bitcoin to fall further.
I expect Bitcoin to drop towards $91,000 minimum after breaking the Support line and a possible pullback, and if the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) is broken, we should expect more dumps .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
MicroStrategy Buys the Dip Amidst $BTC Crash to $92KThe cryptocurrency market witnessed another headline-grabbing move by MicroStrategy as the firm added 2,138 BTC to its holdings for $209 million. While Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant dip, this acquisition reflects a continued belief in its long-term potential. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin’s current state.
MicroStrategy’s Strategic Buy
On Monday, MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 2,138 BTC at an average price of $97,837. This marks yet another chapter in the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, critics like Peter Schiff were quick to note that these purchases are involving less capital, and the acquisition price consistently overshoots the market rate.
Despite such criticism, MicroStrategy’s move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. The company’s continued investment is seen as a vote of confidence amidst bearish market sentiment, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s price action is currently confined within a horizontal channel, with support at $92,200–$94,200 and resistance at $98,700–$101,000. As of now, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the lower boundary of this channel. A decisive move in either direction could dictate the asset’s next major trend.
Bullish Scenario
Should buyers step in with strength, Bitcoin could rebound and retest the $98,700–$101,000 resistance zone. A breakout above this level may act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially marking the start of a sustained uptrend. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to gain momentum after the New Year’s pause, making January 8, 2024, a key date to watch for heightened volatility and potential upside movement.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a breakdown below the $92,200 support could trigger a retest of the $90,800 level. A more severe downturn might lead to Bitcoin revisiting its major support at $85,000. This psychological level will play a pivotal role in determining whether BTC can stage a trend reversal or face further downside as sellers shake out weak hands.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The broader market sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin’s price consolidates within its current range. MicroStrategy’s recent purchase has injected some optimism, but the market awaits stronger signals of a directional move. Traders are closely monitoring the $101,000 resistance level, which could act as a springboard for greater gains if breached.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price is at a critical juncture, with key support and resistance levels in focus. MicroStrategy’s continued investment highlights institutional confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for both recovery and further downside. As the market navigates this pivotal phase, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move, which could shape its trajectory for the months ahead.
Sell BTC/USDT Bearish ChannelThe BTC/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to form of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the top of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 91151
2nd Support – 90107
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Bitcoin at Critical Support: Will It Hold or Breakdown?We’re currently looking at Bitcoin on the weekly chart with 6 days remaining before this candle closes. It’s sitting at a key support level of $93,416.91, and Bitcoin needs to maintain this support for the bullish momentum to continue. If this critical support level breaks, we could see a bearish crossover, with the 9 EMA crossing below the 4 SMA. This could trigger a sharp decline and potentially lead to a panic sell. The next key support is at $87,328.39, which we’ll need to hold. We’ll revisit this analysis when the next move unfolds. If you found this helpful, please hit the like button.
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it .
Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours.
I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart.
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️
⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN (BTC) Setting Up for One Last Dip Before 200kCurrently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is about to tag the equal lows at 92.1k, but I’m not betting that level will hold. I’m more focused on the opportunity if CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops into the low 80ks. It might be a bit ambitious, but I’ve been waiting since the tap at 107k.
I expect this move to unfold before mid-January. By halfway through Q1, we could start to see some market strength, with a potential target of 198k for BTC. MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
BTC HEAD&SHOULDER Key Observations
1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A clear head and shoulders formation is identified, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder well-defined.
The neckline is slightly sloping and serves as a key support level. A breakdown below this line would confirm the bearish pattern.
2. Measured Move:
The measured move is calculated by taking the distance between the head and the neckline and projecting it downward. This aligns with a major support zone below the neckline and suggests further downside if confirmed.
3. Indicators:
RSI: Currently below the midline, indicating weakening bullish momentum and leaning bearish.
OBV (On-Balance Volume): Trending downward, signaling reduced accumulation and fading buying pressure.
Volume: No significant spikes near the neckline yet, meaning confirmation of a breakdown is still pending.
4. Fibonacci Levels:
The retracement levels suggest key support zones below the measured move target. A deeper correction could align with these levels if momentum accelerates.
Scenarios
Bullish:
A strong rebound from the neckline and a breakout above the nearest resistance level (right shoulder region) would invalidate the head and shoulders, paving the way for a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Bearish:
A confirmed breakdown below the neckline triggers the measured move, with price potentially heading toward the calculated target. A further breakdown beyond this level could align with deeper retracement zones.
Recommendation
Monitor the neckline closely for a breakout or breakdown.
Look for volume confirmation to validate the move. Lack of volume could indicate a false breakout/breakdown.
Use the measured move target for planning potential entries/exits and manage risk accordingly.
Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now.
I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets.
Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern.
After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support.
Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Trading Tip:
As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario:
Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly.
Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key.
Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation!
Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)