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Bitcoin Slips Amid Israel-Iran ConflictBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) faced a sharp drop on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalated, triggering a significant sell-off across the cryptocurrency market. Investors, seeking refuge in safer assets, moved towards bonds, gold, oil, and the US Dollar, leaving Bitcoin and altcoins under heavy selling pressure. Despite historically strong performance in October, this sudden market disruption has put the cryptocurrency’s best month under early threat. Geopolitical Tensions Cause Sharp Sell-off The price of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) fell by 3.16%, reaching $61,715 levels. Altcoins, including Ethereum, suffered even more, plunging between 5-10% as the war tension escalated following Iran’s launch of over 200 ballistic missiles on Israel. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), which historically has seen an average gain of 25.81% in October, is now struggling to maintain its bullish seasonal trend, dropping by 4% in the first two days of the month. Sean McNulty, director of trading at Arbelos Markets, described the drop as a "momentary setback," stating that October's favorable trends for Bitcoin are "alive and well." However, the broader market is expected to stay on edge as Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promises retaliation. Adding to the pressure, Bitcoin ETF outflows surged to $242 million, breaking an eight-day streak of inflows. Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) appears weak but is beginning to show signs of recovery. After testing the critical $60,000 support level, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has rebounded 0.75% in Wednesday’s market session, trading at $61,715. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 47.49, reflecting neutral conditions but indicating a slight bearish tendency. Bitcoin’s recent recovery, however, may be short-lived if geopolitical instability persists. The critical $65,000 resistance level remains a barrier to any significant upward movement, and a failure to break through could see Bitcoin revisiting $57,000, as some analysts predict. Prominent analyst Benjamin Cowen highlighted that Bitcoin’s historical behavior post-Fed rate cuts could lead to a larger correction. If the pattern holds, the cryptocurrency could drop further before resuming its upward trajectory, targeting a potential low of $50,000 by mid-November. Safe Haven Shift & Mining Pressure The conflict in the Middle East has driven investors to flock to safe-haven assets, causing a temporary withdrawal from riskier assets like Bitcoin. The flight to safety has boosted the US Dollar, bonds, oil, and gold, while applying downward pressure on the broader crypto market. Additionally, a report by JPMorgan highlighted declining revenues among Bitcoin mining companies, with September seeing the lowest levels recorded in recent months. This drop in miner profitability could trigger another wave of selling pressure if the mining sector experiences further capitulation, exacerbating the downward trend in Bitcoin’s price. Despite the current challenges, analysts remain cautiously optimistic. McNulty and others believe that as tensions in the Middle East cool down, Bitcoin’s historical performance in October could lead to a rally that pushes the cryptocurrency back towards its all-time high (ATH) of $73,000. Historical Trends & Future Projections: Uptober Rally in Jeopardy? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has enjoyed an average 25.81% gain in October when preceded by a green September. In line with this, data from BTC Archive suggests Bitcoin could surge to as high as $80,500 this month, as the crypto has consistently posted green candles in the last three months of the year. Similarly, trading firm QCP Capital noted that Bitcoin has seen a 22.9% gain in eight out of the last nine Octobers. If this trend continues, BTC could rise to $78,000 or higher. However, for this to happen, Bitcoin will need to clear crucial resistance levels and weather any additional shocks from ongoing geopolitical conflicts. Analysts have also pointed out that spot Bitcoin ETF inflows remain strong, and perp funding rates are approaching levels reminiscent of the early 2023 bull run. If these inflows persist, Bitcoin could see the support needed to break through to new highs before the year ends. Conclusion While Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has the potential to rally to new highs this month, the path will be far from straightforward. The Israel-Iran conflict, coupled with macroeconomic factors such as the US PMI data and Fed rate cuts, could create further volatility in the market. Still, Bitcoin's technical and fundamental strength may help it weather the storm and rebound toward its ATH as the year progresses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is trading at $61,715, up 0.73%, with momentum beginning to build for a potential rebound if market conditions stabilize. However, investors should remain cautious, as further geopolitical shocks could lead to more downward pressure in the short term.
Long
by DEXWireNews
2
BTC Downtrend Scenario and Key LevelsBTC seems like it is following this daily downtrend channel, and seems to be reversing from the top of the channel. All the timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H, and 15 Min) are screaming downtrend. We saw that it retested the downtrend resistance at 61125 level and looks like it might retest it. We have 5 minutes left in 4H timeframe so will need to wait for it to close and see how price reacts to it. Will wait for short long entry if the price breaks the 15 min key level and will have the target at the 1 Hour Key Level. (But chances are low). I feel like we will go down further till 59200 area where the 1 Hour strong demand zone is. If we break that, then we might see 54000 - 50000. Waiting on the sidelines until I see any clear structure or pattern forming. I feel safe that way. Good luck and happy trading!
by MoneyChartz
BITCOIN When Yuan gains Bitcoin shines. And it's already startedBitcoin (BTCUSD) has already started to break-out last week as it closed the first 1W candle with a Lower High in 6 months. Since the August 05 bottom, we've been seeing a strong bullish build up on BTC and the reason may be simpler than you thought. As this 1W chart shows, historically when the USDCNY pair (red trend-line) tops by forming Lower Highs and starts declining (aggressively), Bitcoin always initiates its Parabolic Rally phase. This basically means than when the Yuan gains strength, Bitcoin shines. The USDCNY's previous Cycle in particular, is virtually identical to the current one (2022 - 2024). All the above indicate that we may be on the verge and witnessing the start of BTC's most powerful part of the Bull Cycle. But what do you think? Will a continuous fall on USDCNY fuel an aggressive rally on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BTC Lucky Number 7 !!! Get Ready for the Bull RUN!! But first...Lucky Number 7 !!!!!! Get Ready for the Bull-RUN!!! But first... First of all, I want to clarify that all the checkmarks checked off are the predictions we have been making over all these months. Each checkmark is confirmation that the price behavior followed the analysis we conducted. In this case, the breakout of point #7 was fulfilled, and this is the breakout I had been waiting for around July-August (point #3). But before we proceed, I want to clarify that for me, a valid breakout means the candle and wick are completely outside the resistance line! So, indeed, for me, this is a legitimate breakout. BUT BEFORE THIS HAPPENS, WE HAVE TO SEE A SUPER IMPORTANT MOVE!!!!! Within the N3 pattern, whenever there is a breakout, it is always followed by a new high, and then the price makes its natural pullback. We will look for the price to touch the new support level, rebound, and aim for a new high. This is my N3 pattern, which I always look for after confirming a breakout. So, let’s wait a few days to allow Bitcoin to rise as much as it needs to, make its natural pullback, and then buckle up because we’re about to see a strong bullish run. Thanks for supporting my analysis. Good luck! -mike
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RocketMike111
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to $67KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago, the price rose to support 1, which coincided with the support zone, broke it, and even rose a little more. But soon it turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, where it broke support 1 again and fell to support 2. Soon, BTC broke this level too and dropped to the trend line, after which turned around and started to move up near the trend line, exiting from the downward channel. Price quickly rose to support 2, broke it, and even rose a little higher after this, but later BTC made a correction movement below the trend line. After this movement, the price rose higher than the trend line and continued to move up to support 1. When BTC reached this level, it broke it and some time traded in the support zone, until it broke the trend line one more time. A few moments ago BTC bounced up to this line and at the moment trades very close to the trend line. In my mind, BTCUSDT will correct to the support zone and then rebound up to the trend line. Then it can break this line and continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 67000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
10
Bitcoin's Breakout from a Wedge Pattern: Heading Towards $66,000hello guys. let's dive into btc analysis after the previous analysis: Broken wedge pattern: The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending wedge, a bullish reversal signal, indicating a potential trend shift. Upward channel: After the breakout, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, which provides a strong bullish structure for price movement. Support and resistance levels: Immediate support can be found near $62,000, while the next target on the upside is projected around $66,000. Potential pullback: A minor retracement within the channel might occur, but overall momentum remains bullish as long as Bitcoin stays within the channel. Bullish momentum: With the strong volume and the breakout from the wedge, the next logical resistance area to test is around $66,000 or higher. ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Long
by melikatrader94
7
Altcoin Market Breaking Out: Bull-Flag!Altcoins have been steadily losing value against BTC ever since the March top. However, TOTAL3 (total marketcap minus BTC+ETH marketcap) has finally broken out of a 6-month bearish channel pattern, making it a successful bull-flag break out. It's too early to call for a definitive continuation of the trend, but at least a major long-term pattern has changed as of this week. For now, I'm hoping for a move towards the yellow line, being the 2024 top. With a BTC Dominance at 57.5%, it would most likely lead to a new BTC all-time high if the altcoin market reaches the 2024 top. Potentially exciting times ahead!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by FieryTrading
2
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!==>>Short term!!!Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820) near 200_SMA(Daily) , and it seems that Bitcoin failed to break 200_SMA(Daily) for the second time . According to the Elliott wave theory in the 15-minute time frame , Bitcoin seems to have finished main wave 3 ( extended wave ) and is completing main wave 4 . One of the signs is the completion of the main wave 4, the support line break . I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If the 1&4 hour candle closes below $63,000 , I expect Bitcoin to break even with the Support zone($62,720-$62,350) and the lower line of the ascending channel . ⚠️ Note: If Bitcoin can break above the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820) this time, I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $65,400 and even higher. ⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
25
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
RUNE: Poised for an Imminent SurgeI’m waiting for this setup as it still shows strength. CRYPTOCAP:RUNE There are two demand zones at the bottom, with a breaker and an S/R flip in play. I’m anticipating that everything will become clearer after the FOMC meeting, so adjust your entry risk accordingly. Be prepared for potential whipsaw action before the market settles in any direction. My initial target is towards the most recent highs, but if conditions improve, I’ll keep a substantial portion of the position running.
BINANCE:RUNEUSDLong
by ZelfTrade