MSTR 4H: Potential Breakout from Descending TrendlineMicroStrategy (MSTR) has been forming a descending trendline resistance since its recent peak around 520. The price has been consolidating near the trendline convergence point, showing signs of a potential breakout. Current price action suggests accumulation with higher lows forming.
Key Levels:
Major resistance: Descending trendline (currently ~410)
Current price: ~400
Trade Setup:
Looking for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline with increased volume. A successful breach could signal the end of the current corrective phase and potential trend reversal.
Risk Management:
Place stops below recent swing lows. Watch for false breakouts and monitor Bitcoin correlation as it significantly influences MSTR's price action.
Btc-bitcoin
BTC Update: What’s Next for Bitcoin?Bitcoin is heating up, and all eyes are on the next big move. Here’s what we’re watching:
If BTC climbs into the $105K-$108K range, we might see a small correction before it gears up for a push to $116K or higher.
But if it struggles and breaks below $105K, we could dip to $101K. A break below that level might bring some bearish vibes to the market.
This is a critical zone for BTC, and how it reacts here could set the tone for what’s next.
Want to dive deeper? Drop the name of your favorite altcoin in the comments, and I’ll create a video analysis just for you. Let’s figure out the market together!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
BTC Cycle Idea: Peak to Peak 2018-2021 OverlayAnother Path to a 2025 Q4 Cycle Peak for BTC.
Overall market sentiment unanimously agrees that we're going higher next year. The question is how high and for how long? What happens after?
IMO its impossible to predict so instead, let's account for the most likely scenarios and react quickly as they develop.
Bitcoin currently in an ascending bull flagI made a rough estimate of where the flag make breakout for where I placed the dotted measured move breakout target line. There’s a chance it could not hit the entire flag tRGET and instead only reach the breakout target of just the channel portion of the flag itself which would be a much lower target. Also always a possibility arising channel breaks to the downside though at the beginning of a parabolic phase during a bull market they usually break upwards. We will see what happens soon enough *not financial advice*
BTC Breaks $101,000: BlackRock Advocates 2% Portfolio AllocationBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the world’s leading cryptocurrency, has reclaimed the $101,000 mark, riding a wave of institutional endorsements and bullish technical indicators. A groundbreaking paper from BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in diversified portfolios, suggesting a 1% to 2% allocation as a “reasonable range.” This development comes as Bitcoin surges amid macroeconomic and political tailwinds.
BlackRock’s Strategic Endorsement
BlackRock’s latest report emphasizes Bitcoin’s place in multi-asset portfolios, comparing its risk profile to the "Magnificent Seven" technology stocks in a 60/40 stocks-and-bonds portfolio. While cautioning against exceeding a 2% allocation due to increased portfolio risk, BlackRock’s endorsement underscores the asset’s growing legitimacy.
According to Samara Cohen, BlackRock’s CIO of ETF and Index Investments, “A Bitcoin allocation would provide a diverse source of risk, while overweighting tech stocks amplifies portfolio concentration.” The paper also notes Bitcoin’s low correlation with traditional assets, albeit with significant volatility.
Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Rally
Bitcoin’s recent surge is bolstered by multiple factors:
- Political Support: President-elect Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance and his appointments of blockchain-friendly officials have revitalized market confidence.
- ETF Adoption: The January 2024 launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a game-changer. These funds have amassed over $113 billion in assets, with $10 billion inflows recorded since Trump’s victory in November.
- Institutional Interest: With BlackRock’s IBIT leading the pack, institutional adoption is seen as a harbinger of reduced volatility and enhanced legitimacy.
However, BlackRock’s report tempers optimism by pointing out Bitcoin’s historically sharp drawdowns, ranging from 70% to 80%. While wider adoption could stabilize prices, it may also curtail the dramatic gains that attract speculative investors.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Trajectory?
Bitcoin’s technical indicators signal potential bullish momentum as it consolidates above $100,000. Here’s a closer look:
- Current Price Movement: Bitcoin is up 0.41% at the time of writing, showing resilience after a dip to $96,000 during a selling spree.
- Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above the $115,000 pivot could ignite a bullish rally, potentially driving prices to $150,000 by Christmas.
- Support Zones: Should consolidation persist, support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, coinciding with $95,000.
- Market Sentiment: Bitcoin’s year-to-date growth of 140% underscores robust investor confidence, despite its inherent volatility.
Balancing Risk and Reward
The BlackRock report advises adopting a “risk budgeting” approach to Bitcoin investments, particularly given its outsized impact on total portfolio risk. While Bitcoin’s low correlation to traditional assets adds diversification, its volatility demands cautious sizing.
For investors eyeing Bitcoin’s potential to reach $150,000, the strategy should account for key risk factors, including possible retracements and the evolving regulatory landscape. As institutional adoption grows, Bitcoin could mature into a less volatile but equally vital component of diversified portfolios.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s ascent past $101,000, coupled with BlackRock’s ringing endorsement, marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market. As 2024 draws to a close, Bitcoin remains a high-reward, high-risk asset poised to redefine portfolio strategies. With technical and fundamental indicators aligning, investors are watching closely—whether for the next breakout or the next buying opportunity at key support levels.
Will Bitcoin’s rally extend to new heights, or will its infamous volatility temper the excitement? Only time will tell, but the stage is undoubtedly set for an electrifying finish to the year.
BTC - The Bulls Are Still Strong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, BTC is in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
$BTC Moment of Truth - Massive Move Ahead!This whole move up to $100k appears to be topped out and coming to the final squeeze.
Going to be a drastic move in either direction very soon.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is either going to $115k or ~$85-90k.
My Spidey-senses lean towards the latter; Bull Trap.
Volume has been falling off a cliff during this rally, showing a strong case for a Bearish Divergence.
If that happens, expect a drastic sling-shot rebound, so get your bids in now.
I do expect a Santa Rally EOM.
NEO/USDT: Strategic Entry into a Mature Blockchain PlatformI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
NEO ( BINANCE:NEOUSDT NEO) is a cryptocurrency designed as a smart contract platform and decentralized application ecosystem. It is currently trading at $13.25, with intraday fluctuations reflecting the broader market's volatility.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $13.1793
- Stop-Loss: $5.7390
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $25.2672
- TP2: $43.2216
Fundamental Analysis:
NEO, often referred to as the "Ethereum of China," is a blockchain platform focusing on digitized assets, smart contracts, and decentralized identities. Recent updates to its N3 blockchain protocol, which introduced more efficient transaction handling and interoperability features, have bolstered its appeal. Additionally, NEO's integration with DeFi platforms and partnerships with Chinese enterprises enhances its real-world utility and adoption.
Technical Analysis:
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $12.80
- 200-Day SMA: $11.50
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating a slightly bullish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $12.50
- Resistance: $15.00
Market Sentiment:
With the ongoing global adoption of blockchain technology, NEO benefits from its established reputation and early mover advantage. Market sentiment has improved following announcements of increased development activity and integrations into various blockchain applications.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $5.7390 ensures controlled risk in case of unfavorable price movements, while the take-profit targets of $25.2672 and $43.2216 offer robust risk-reward opportunities. This setup requires disciplined adherence to trade levels given the market's volatility.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short term!After this heavy drop, BITCOIN has now formed an ascending triangle in the 1-h time frame, which could be a sign of a bullish trend. Please note that this analysis is in the 1-h time frame.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is breaking the Support zone($99,600-$98,620) and the lower line of the Descending channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin was able to complete Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to fal l at least as far as the width of the descending channel(broken) .
⚠️Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin goes over $99,900. ⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Support Levels Key to $105K Target📊 Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, aiming to accumulate liquidity in the market. 👉🏼 The $95,000 and $92,000 support zones are critical areas that could trigger the next upward move.
✅ If these levels hold, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trend and retest higher targets, including $102,000 and $105,000 .
BTC correction possible to 85k?This might playout, I had this after those huge wicks but hardly doubted this could playout, but now it seems more possible than before.
The orange bars is projection from previous pump when we got new ATH at 70k. Will BTC gonna get few months of slow bleed again?
USDT.D been falling for 90days with no real retests, this might be it.
Also fully completed previous projection of a Dump.
Bitcoin in short - term Hello, dear friends! It’s Kateryna here with You again! I'm so happy to reconnect with You all! It’s amazing to see the market coming back to life after years of stagnation.🙌🏻 I hope You're doing well and riding the waves of price action like pros, haha!😁
I’m also trying to keep up, despite a tough autumn and winter in my country.😞 Honestly, trading without this platform and the incredible community here feels dull and uninspiring. I truly miss the energy of the last bull run when I found so many like-minded people and made friends I’m still in touch with today!🫶
Let’s keep sharing ideas and supporting each other—it’s such a fantastic feeling to be part of this community!🚀
Now, about Bitcoin’s short-term price action: I see a potential price drop to the support levels of 96,500–95,500. It’ll be crucial to closely watch how the price develops in the following days. At the same time, we shouldn’t rule out the scenario where Bitcoin breaks through the short-term descending resistance line, giving it a chance to climb higher within the channel.
On the chart, You’ll notice what I mean if You look at the comparison of previous price movements (marked with pink and blue dots).
What do You think, dear friends?🧐 What’s Your outlook for Bitcoin in the near future? I’d love to hear Your thoughts—share Your comments or post Your charts!🙏
Yours always,
Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin's Range Between $91K and $102K Continues📊 After two days of consolidation, Bitcoin has started to gain momentum with the weekly candle closure and the reopening of financial markets.
👉🏼 The price is currently testing the lower channel support. If this level holds, Bitcoin could retest the $102,000 resistance.
🟢 As analyzed earlier, Bitcoin seems poised to range between $93,000 - $102,000 for a while. 🔴However, if the $96,000 - $97,000 hourly support zone breaks, a decline toward $93,000 could be expected.
Preparing for $100K Target📊 Bitcoin is likely to range within the $93,000 - $96,000 support zone, forming a base before potentially starting its next bullish leg toward the $100,000 - $102,000 targets.
✅ This consolidation phase could provide the momentum required for a stronger upward move.
👉🏼 This analysis will be updated as the price action develops.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin finally reached 6 digits!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. risk ON sntiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone. After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 90 thousand dollars.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Last week, Donald Trump appointed Paul Atkins as the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a decision that sparked mixed reactions. Hester Peirce, popularly known as the “Crypto Mom,” expressed her strong support for Atkins to replace the current SEC chairman, Gary Gensler. She stated, “Based on my previous experience working with him in this organization, I can’t imagine a better candidate for this position.”
Meanwhile, Caroline Crenshaw, a current member of the SEC, has been nominated for another term and now awaits Senate confirmation. If approved, she will serve on the commission until 2029. During her tenure, Crenshaw has taken a notably strict stance on cryptocurrencies, earning a reputation for being even tougher than Gary Gensler. One key point of contention is her opposition to approving Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In a letter dated January 2024, she cited concerns such as investor protection and market manipulation as reasons for her dissent. These views have led some to label her as the primary adversary of the crypto industry.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs now hold over one million bitcoins, surpassing the holdings of Bitcoin’s anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. Within less than a year, these funds have become the largest bitcoin holders in the world.
Lawrence Summers, a former U.S. Treasury Secretary, told Bloomberg that the idea of establishing strategic bitcoin reserves is “ridiculous.” However, he welcomed efforts to regulate the crypto space and foster financial innovation. Summers also expressed skepticism about reducing government spending through the Productivity Department, calling it a challenging path.
The performance and weekly and annual returns of major Layer 1 cryptocurrencies are shown in the accompanying chart. Meanwhile, Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, appeared in a Paris court to face charges of facilitating illegal activities through his messaging app. Durov, who was temporarily detained on August 24, was released after posting a $6 million bail but has been barred from leaving France until March 2025. French prosecutors have accused him of running a platform that aids illicit activities. If convicted, Durov could face up to 10 years in prison and a fine of €500,000. This case has raised concerns about privacy-focused technologies in the Web3 space.
At the same time, the number of cryptocurrency wallets with non-zero balances has reached 400 million. Michael Saylor, the CEO of Microstrategy, recently shared his proposed bitcoin purchasing strategy with crypto enthusiasts. He reiterated that bitcoin should be considered a long-term asset and advocated for using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for sustainable growth.
Saylor, one of bitcoin’s most prominent supporters, stated that for the past four years, he has consistently advised investors to “buy bitcoin and never sell.” He emphasized that bitcoin should be held as a long-term capital asset rather than a short-term profit tool. Saylor recommended that investors enter the market every three months using funds they do not need and hold the investment for at least ten years. He also stressed that investors should not worry about short-term volatility and should avoid stress by adhering to this strategy.
The trading volume of spot cryptocurrencies reached $2.7 trillion last month, marking the highest level since May 2021. A new survey revealed that over 80% of cryptocurrency holders admitted that their investment decisions were influenced by emotions like Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). The survey, which included 1,248 participants, showed that 84% invested due to FOMO and 81% due to FUD.
Kraken Exchange commented that the findings suggest many investors trade based on emotions and fears rather than logical strategies. These emotions often stem from misunderstandings or mistrust about the future of specific cryptocurrencies. The survey also revealed that FOMO drives investors to chase rising prices, while only 17% focus on buying opportunities during price drops. Interestingly, 63% of cryptocurrency holders acknowledged
All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value.
Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red).
The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner.
Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time.
I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets.
The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!