Distribution phase in the next 10 monthsSo we broke 100k. I'm sure we'll see higher in the next 10 months.
What's next? When is the correction?
I see such messages every day. That's why I want to give a full commentary and my vision.
As Waykoff told us, there are accumulation and distribution zones.
On top is the distribution zone If we stick to the theory of cycles, which I often write about
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We are entering the zone of local distribution I mentioned and marked with red zones If we are interested in the question how we will form the top and where we will distribute?
I would take into account the fact that we are already in the bitcoin distribution zone in this cycle and it will continue for another 10 months.
So, sideways in the 50k range, I agree, but I don't think it will go below the previous high of 73k.
Three distribution options:
1. ATH and then a gradual slide - the most standard top formation, with a run above 100k to induce euphoria
2. Two rising tops look better with liquidity removal of the first top, etc.
3. The killer of all the shorts, those waiting for the crisis, and so on.
They're going to kill all the non-believers on the moon.
And force everyone who believes in a million dollars for bitcoin to buy it.
Conclusion -
I expect a local distribution above 100k over the next 10 months, the possible top formation I have shown.
I do not expect a sharp drop to 50k - bitcoin has become a different asset class.
Everything can change a lot in 10 months, and based on my cycle theory,
I am waiting for the bull cycle to end. In this range of 10 months, altcoins will once again fall and rise at the very end. They will fall 51 more weeks down after September 2025.
I'm talking about local forecast in 1-2 years, further it will be even more interesting because globally after this cycle, all retail will say goodbye to their bitcoin and will not buy it back cheaper in 95% of cases. and Next we will count how much 1 sashoshi is worth.
in 1 Bitcoin is 120,000 satoshis.
When 1BTC reaches $120k.
1 sat = 1USD
And due to the fact that the printing press is working 1 satoshi will grow in the long run.
I hope for the best in our world. Stay close.
You can find out about other communication opportunities down below the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
Btc-bitcoin
BTC SELL OFF INBOUND - $74,000BTC broke the $100k barrier in true let me suck in the noobs fashion. The reversal off the ATH was fast , hard, and full of HFT. Dont be fooled. This is not a safe entry. I forecast in 1-2 hours BTC will hit $98,100 and then wont see prices too much higher until a trip to the $74,000 - $75,000 Area Using Murrey Math , Elliott Wave and my own brand of bad ass. Good luck.
Breaking: Bitcoin Surpasses $104k, Eyes on $150k NextBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has officially broken through the $100,000 barrier, reaching a new all-time high of $104,000. This milestone, achieved after nearly 15 years since its inception, has not only validated the resilience of the cryptocurrency but also shifted the narrative around its skeptics. Here's an analysis of both the technical and fundamental aspects driving this surge:
Technical Analysis:
Current Price and Momentum: As of now, Bitcoin trades at approximately $102,000, marking a 3.8% increase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 71, suggesting the asset is slightly overbought. This could indicate a potential retracement, but the market sentiment remains bullish.
There's an expectation of a retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level if selling pressure increases, which would be a normal correction in a strong uptrend.
The daily chart shows signs of a forming golden cross, where a short-term moving average (like the 50-day MA) moves above a long-term moving average (like the 200-day MA). This pattern is typically viewed as a bullish signal, indicating possible continued upward momentum or a reversal to an uptrend.
Future Price Targets: Analysts are eyeing $115,000 as the next psychological resistance, with many predicting a climb to $150,000, driven by increasing institutional interest and market sentiment.
Fundamental Factors
Institutional Adoption: The involvement of hedge funds and institutional investors has significantly grown. For instance, MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) has seen a surge due to its Bitcoin holdings, now valued at over $40 billion, providing a clear example of institutional confidence in Bitcoin's future.
Regulatory Environment: The election of Donald Trump, known for his pro-cryptocurrency stance, has bolstered investor confidence. His administration's expected regulatory leniency or support towards cryptocurrencies could further drive institutional and retail investment into Bitcoin.
Skeptic to Advocate Transition: High-profile skeptics like Mark Cuban and Jamie Dimon have either shifted their stances or their companies have engaged with blockchain technology, reflecting a broader acceptance of Bitcoin's role in finance. This shift is significant from a fundamental perspective as it indicates changing perceptions at high levels of finance and investment.
Supply and Demand Dynamics: Bitcoin's supply cap at 21 million coins, combined with its increasing adoption, creates a fundamental scarcity that could drive prices higher, especially as demand from diverse sectors like retail, institutional investors, and even nations considering it as a reserve asset grows.
Market Sentiment and Future Prospects:
Market Sentiment: The crypto community and broader financial markets are buzzing with optimism. The narrative has shifted from Bitcoin being a speculative bubble to a legitimate store of value, often likened to 'digital gold'.
Potential Risks: Despite the bullish outlook, there are warnings about potential pullbacks if the current rally reverses. However, the overall market sentiment suggests that any dip might be seen as a buying opportunity by investors looking for long-term value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's journey past $100,000 underscores not just its technical strength but also its evolving acceptance in the financial ecosystem. The transition of skeptics into either silent supporters or active participants in the crypto space further solidifies Bitcoin's foundational role in modern finance.
With the technical indicators supporting a continued trend and fundamental factors aligning for growth, Bitcoin's ascent to $150,000 looks increasingly plausible, marking another significant chapter in its storied history.
100K The Countdown Begins- We are so close.
- To every Bitcoin holder who has weathered the highs and lows, celebrated the peaks, and endured the troughs—remember, you are not just an investor.
- You are a believer in a decentralized future, a pioneer of financial sovereignty, and a guardian of the idea that true value transcends borders, governments, and time itself.
- Holding Bitcoin is not merely holding an asset; it’s holding a piece of the revolution that will shape generations to come.
Keep the faith, for the future belongs to those bold enough to believe in it.
Thank you to all my followers for constantly inspiring me to share more analyses. Your support means the world—love you all!
PS : This isn’t an analysis. it's a heartfelt congratulations!
Happy Tr4Ding !
$100,000!! Capital could rotate into the Sol system again.Solana space obviously leading this altcoin market and has been for a while now. The Tron breakout of all time highs does undermine SOL somewhat but not really the Solana space. With Solana space breaking out like it did so aggressively at the end of 2023 was the first rotation of BTC gains.
I think its quite possible that Solana space gets first rotation of these new BTC gains.
The Full Monthly Chart Bullflag on BitcoinUsd PairJust as an addendum to my chart I just posted on the measured move target for just the channel portion of this bullflag, I wanted to include an updated visual for the full flag and its breakout target which is pretty much just ever so slightly below 100k. Will link the previous relevant chart ideas below. *not financial advice*
A close above the top red trendline would be very bullishShown here on the weekly chart is the weekly bullflag bitcoin has been consolidating in ever since correcting from the all time high we hit earlier this year.. For the first time since then, we now have part of a daily candle body above the top eligible top trendline of the flag and may very well close the current daily candle above that trendline for the first time which would be a very bullish development. It will be even more bullish if we can also manage to close a weekly candle above it as well but we still have another 6 days before anything like that can occur. For now a daily candle close above is still good progress which we have about 40 minutes left before the current daily candle closes (not shown here). If we were to break up from the red bullflag at this exact spot on the chart, there is some excellent bullish confluence here as you can see the measured move breakout target from here would be the exact same target as the much larger Purple bull flag we broke upwards from back in February. Both have a target around 99k. So this would indeed be a great spot for such a breakout to occur. We can also see the weekly 50 moving average(in orange) is holding very strong bounce support and should help to prevent the price action from recentering the flag/channel in the coming months as it climbs higher. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin as Water. Will Bitcoin move towards less resistance?Hello,
The volume profile of this chart with 4-hour candles indicates two levels where high trading interest can be found. One of these levels is the orange level, $91.5k, around which Bitcoin built a strong support zone. The other level is the red line, $98.5k, where BTC has a strong sell zone. I expect the price action to unfold between these two zones. You may ask which would come next. The current price, $97.1k, is closer to the sell zone than the buy zone. Hitting the sell zone requires less effort than falling into the buy zone. A few people observed that the market often moves towards less resistance. This lesser resistance is now moving into the sell zone. Furthermore, MACD goes up like a bullish trend, which means technicals contribute to BTC hitting the sell zone next time. The white trendline on the chart can act as additional support, which means for BTC to fall into the buy zone, it has to cut down the white trendline. Again, the less resistance for the price would be not to cut down the support trendline, but to pump into the sell zone, which is open from the bottom up without additional resistance standing in the way.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin will go DOWN by H&S Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )started to rise after every positive news over the past days, but then started to fall again . Did you see the negative news that did not come !?
Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($95,600-$93,200) and Descending channel .
The rise and fall of Bitcoin over the past 5-6 days has managed to form an Head and Shoulders Pattern . (in terms of Classical Technical Analysis ).
Since BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) started to fall from the Heavy Resistance zone(63.30%-57.10%) and after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , we can confirm that Bitcoin's dominance on the crypto market can end for a while. If the cryptocurrency market wants to have a correction , Bitcoin can experience a further correction. If the crypto market wants to experience an increase again, we can say that we have entered the Altseason .👇
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($93,835-$93,720) AFTER breaking the Head and Shoulders Pattern's Neckline and Support zone($95,600-$93,200) and then decline to at least the H&S pattern's target(around $91,000) .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $96,800, we can expect Bitcoin to rise again to the resistance lines.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Triangle Consolidation on Bitcoin (BTC)Hello,
Current Price: $94k.
Chart Pattern: Triangle
Trend: Consolidation/Sideways
Trade: You may try a long position if BTC stays within the triangle or breaks upwards. Breaking the triangle downward would invalidate the long position ideas and have a bearish indication.
Regards,
Ely
Are we waiting for #FOMO in #SPX to spark Fomo in #BITCOINSeems, clear to me the obvious answer is YES!
So let's cheer on #STONKS cracking 5,000 on the #S&P
As we would likely see risk be fully turned on, and cash to flow into the #Crypto space.
FWIW
I think the #Economy stinks
but that doesn't necessarily mean assets can't go up in number.
There are plenty of examples where this is the case.
Argentina. Turkey and so on.
#BLOWOFFTOP scenario is still in play.
Bitcoin to Hit $100,000 in a Cycle Degree TopBitcoin has been subdividing higher fairly normally in an extended wave 3 of 5. Currently we have no indication wave 4 is done retracing and/or consolidating. That only is confirmed when price breaks back above the recent highs just below $100k.
However, upon getting into our wave 5 target box, and in the larger perspective...Bitcoin is topping in a Cycle wave I. This will occur despite the halving, and more to do with the potential top in the equity markets I am seeing now. As a risk asset, Bitcoin will enter a longer term retracement, counter to much of what your hear on the financial news or read.
I don't often update on Bitcoin, so I recommend followers keep this chart handy if involved with Bitcoin.
Best to all,
Chris
TON → One step away from a rally. Trying to change the trendBINANCE:TONUSDT is coming out of a prolonged consolidation, but only one action separates us from the distribution phase. The bitcoin rally is favorable for many altcoins....
In my opinion, TON is a rather undervalued project that has a fundamentally significant base (many altcoins cannot boast of this).
Technically, the consolidation lasted for almost 9 months and, consequently, this energy should be used somewhere. The exit of the price from the accumulation begins to show us in which direction the distribution is likely to go.
The focus is on 5.420 and 5.150. If the bulls hold their defenses above this zone, the coin could show a flight to the moon in the long run. But don't look at cryptocurrencies with rose-colored glasses, assess the situation relative to the risks!
Resistance levels: 5.420, 6.133
Support levels: 5.151, 4.51
The price is breaking the resistance of the bullish pattern (descending wedge or descending triangle), we have to wait for confirmation that the trend change will be true. The fight for 5.420 continues. Let's keep an eye on this zone ;)
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Likely to Correct to $84K - $87K Before Targeting $100K📊 Bitcoin is currently testing the $96,000 support level , and a price correction seems likely before any further upward movement.
👉🏼 If $96,000 is broken, the price may drop to the $84,000 - $87,000 range.
✅ This correction could provide a foundation for the next potential move upward.
✅ In this scenario, we will analyze Bitcoin's next move after the correction and share it with you.