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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin stabilize above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly). Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The break of the charted channel will pave the way down for Bitcoin. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy and a prominent Bitcoin advocate, is set to present a Bitcoin investment strategy to Microsoft’s board of directors next month. On November 19, Saylor announced that he would have three minutes to outline the investment plan to the board. This development follows Saylor’s headline-making proposal last month, where he offered to help Microsoft generate $1 trillion in revenue through a Bitcoin-based treasury strategy. In an October post on X, Saylor urged Satya Nadella to reach out if he wanted to secure the next trillion dollars for Microsoft’s shareholders. The proposal came after reports that Microsoft shareholders would vote on a proposal to consider Bitcoin as a reserve asset. However, the board of directors blocked the proposal. Nevertheless, market observers noted that major shareholders like Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, and Fidelity will play a critical role in the company’s final decision. With $78 billion in cash reserves, Microsoft has made significant investments in companies such as Skype and OpenAI but has yet to allocate any funds to Bitcoin or related assets. Saylor argues that this approach is short-sighted and urges tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google to consider Bitcoin as a superior alternative to cash reserves. According to Saylor, if Apple had invested $100 billion in Bitcoin, it could have grown to $500 billion, and the company would now have a $500 billion business growing at 20% annually. Last week, altcoin trading volumes surpassed $300 billion for the first time since 2021. Meanwhile, lawmakers in Pennsylvania have introduced a bill in the state’s House of Representatives that would allow the state treasury to allocate up to 10% of its funds to Bitcoin. If passed, the law would enable the Pennsylvania Treasurer to invest part of the state’s $9.7 billion general fund and its nearly $7 billion “rainy day” fund in Bitcoin. Bitcoin itself has surged past $99,000, marking its largest monthly candle in several years. So far, the cryptocurrency has recorded a 40.67% monthly gain. Donald Trump, the president-elect, has nominated Scott Bessent, a prominent hedge fund manager and cryptocurrency advocate, as the next Treasury Secretary. Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping Trump’s economic policies and has supported the president-elect’s plan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Bessent’s nomination will require Senate confirmation. If approved, he will oversee the administration’s economic agenda, including tax reforms and cryptocurrency-related policies. His extensive experience in finance and investment is expected to influence the Treasury Department’s approach to emerging financial technologies. Google searches for Bitcoin have reached their highest level in a year. Meanwhile, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming told CNBC, “The proposal I’ve put forward, and one that President Trump has discussed, involves creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.” She added, “This digital asset acts like a gold standard, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve is a way to integrate it into our system.” She explained that the Federal Reserve’s 12 banks currently hold reserves that include gold certificates, which can be revalued at fair market value. Senator Lummis proposed converting these gold reserves to Bitcoin, thereby eliminating the need to print new dollars to establish this reserve.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTC’s logarithmic bullflag targets on the monthly chart Shown here are the two bull flags that have formed since the last bull market top. Since this is on the logarithmic chart, there’s no guarantee that we can hit any of these breakout targets in the current bull market, however the smallest flags breakout target of around 199k has a much higher probability of being reached in the current bull market than the others. That being said, there is still a chance we could hit one of the 2 potential targets for the 2nd bigger flag, and even hit the highest target shown here as well which is a breakout target from a flag from 2 full bull markets ago that hasn’t yet hit its full target. Considering that logarithmic chart patterns from the higher time frames (monthly and higher) usually tend to take 2 bull markets to be reached so that does slightly raise the probability that we could hit that highest target this bull run as it is 2 bull runs after that flags breakout occurred. This probability is bolstered also by the fact that the bull flag prior to that one only took 2 bull rackets to reach its target as well.Whatever the outcome, I feel fairly confident that if not this bull run we should definitely be able to reach the 280k target by the next bull market and also very likely to reach the highest target by ext bull run as well since then it would be 3 full bull markets since that flag confirmed its breakout. Patterns worth keeping an eye on anyways regardless of how long it takes for them to reach their full targets. *not financial advice*
INDEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin’s entire history is just a series of bullflag fractalsOn the entire bitcoin history index monthly logarithmic chart we can see how Bitcoin is nothing but bullflags. The second bullflag we broke up from took 2 bull runs to hit its full breakout target. The first one however because of how insanely long its pole is, has still yet to hit its full breakout target. It is now the 4th consecutive bull market since it broke out of the first flag though so perhaps it will reach that target this bull market, if not this market I’m confident the 1st flag will finally reach its full target next bull market. The second bull flag in the fractal series was able to hit its full target within 2 bull markets which is typically about the pace the huge macro patterns on the logarithmic chart tend to take. The other Flags since that second flag also are yet to hit their full targets but if the next flag in the series is also able to hit its full breakout target within a 2 bull market timeframe, the flags after it will also have to hit their targets as well on the way yo hitting that 3rd flags breakout target. We can see each flag seems to be getting progressively smaller as the fractal continues so odds are good the time it takes each flag to reach its full breakout target should also be getting progressively smaller as well so that would make sense. Anyways I just wanted to post a new version of the entire bitcoin history’s bullflag fractal so i could easily reference t and follow its progress for the current bull run *not financial advice*
INDEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
An updated look at BTCUSD’s pi cycle If I was a betting man, it seems to me like the top white line of the pi cycle indicator (350ma) is very likely to reach the full breakout target price of the cup and handle pattern bitcoin has broken up from (at $133282) long before the lower yellow line of the pi cycle (111ma) has a chance to catch back up to it and cross above it for the pi cycle top. In fact I have a feeling we won’t even be close to the yellow one even being near the white line by the time the white line reaches that level, suggesting that we have far more upside left to go in this bull cycle. In the past most if not all pi cycle tops have happened after price action gets above the white line, so if that trend should continue we can look at whatever the white lines price action is and know theres a high probability that that means the top price bitcoin reaches this bull run wll be even higher. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
BTC - Thank Me Later!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard. 🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023? As mentioned back then, BTC was forming Pattern 4, which was activated after breaking above the falling green channel, leading to a surge of over 200%. So, according to the educational post, where are we now⁉️ 🔑A falling correction after a bullish impulse signals what? That’s right — we are now in the process of forming Pattern 1. For this pattern to be activated and the bullish continuation phase to begin, we need a weekly candle close above $70,000. Of course, in the meantime, as long as BTC is trading within the falling channel, it can still retest the lower bound before activating the phase. ❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way. 📉 Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen, and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! 🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
55
Btc currently retesting top trendline of rising wedge/pennantIt now has 3 consecutive candles above the rising wedge on the daily chart. Should the retest maintain support the breakout target for the entire pennant is 117k. Should the top trendline of the wedge lose support the wedge could still potentially breakdown, in which case we could then see bitcoin correct further to try and fill this gap on the CME BItcon futures chart before resuming the uptrend —-> For now probability favors the break upward until we lose the top trendline of the wedge/pennant as support. Jim Cramer announcing he’s bullish on bitcoin could easily cause enough downside to change that probability though. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels: That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
CME:BTC1!
by DrDovetail
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not. - There's nothing at 100k. - the trend would not be respected. - i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time. - At that time, most traders called for a top and scared. - BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$.. - i see only 3 Scenarios. 1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k. 2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k. 3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ). - As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion. - Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.) - More it will take time, more up BTC will go. Stay S4fe Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by thecryer
9
BTC The State NowHere’s a quick market update with a timeline and trend analysis : - As always, it’s as simple as checking the colors and trends in the graphic. - We’re currently in a phase of solid consolidation. - The bull run hasn’t started yet, but in time, BTC is expected to go parabolic, as it usually does. - The current cycle is taking longer to play out. - The differences between 2020 and 2024 corrections are clear. Back in 2020, BTC was still maturing, not widely accepted, and impacted by the Covid crisis. - In 2023, BTC has gained more recognition with ETFs, attracted wealthy investors, and is evolving into a true store of value. - For these reasons, TheKing may be retracing, but it’s doing so with power and resilience. - Everyone wants a piece of the cake, which is why Bitcoin's price remains elevated. Just HODL and you'll be rewarded in the long run. Happy Tr4Ding
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
19
ATCryptoScan: Bitcoin Projections into 2025I know that there are many people out there projecting Bitcoin movements, and some are accurate, while others are, well..., less accurate. I think we need to learn and discern what is sound, what is probable and what should we follow. Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts. Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns. Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October. A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came. So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry. Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building... The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential . What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change. With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways... First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500. And then the spike rally started yet again... This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating. TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly). Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/ Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year. Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility. Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce. So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
CYCLE 4 | SMA Golden Ratio [UPDATE]For those following along with this indicator, the current price action volatility has accelerated price to some interesting historic points. As discussed in prior post above, historically BTC has followed a trend of dropping to the lower SMA extension coloured line with each cycle with interesting multiple hits in establishing our 2021 technical cycle top. We have already tagged the gold line and currently approaching the 'Gray Line' which put in our prior cycles ATH. Will be interesting to see how BTC (buyers / sellers) handles this price level and the information this may provide on how useful this indicator may be this cycle....
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
Why FET/USD looks like ETH/BTC ??noticed this this morning maybe there is a very simple explication, feel free to share it, I'm not a pro charter so I'll not be able to put the pic of ETH/BTC directly on the chart but here is it timeframes are different but there remains proportionals it's a pattern that consists in : - a vertical move (early 2024 for FET, early 2016 for ETH) - a distribution that bring us to a higher low from before that vertical move (Low for FET was 6 august 2024, for ETH/BTC early September 2019) - a move up that create a inverse H&S, that distribution is the left leg - another distribution from that previous move that finished this month for both pairs, yesterday was THE low for ETH/BTC if my whole idea is working, it was a local low for FET/USD but this one touched the channel where FET is evolving + it's a 0.5 fib retracement from previous move up TP 15???¿
BINANCE:FETUSDLong
by onemorewine
1
BERT/USDT 1H Memecoin play with some strong numbers and community: - FWB:69M MarketCap - $42.5m 24h volume (61% Vol/Mcap) - 100% of max supply (980M) in circulation. (Self-reported) - Solana chain Currently not yet listed on Binance or Coinbase but there are rumours that it may be listed soon which would bring a lot more potential buyers to the coin. For memcoins technical analysis is less important but can still tell a story. The current range shows a clear resistance at 0.75 and a support at 0.25. The diagonal resistance breakout coupled with the bullish divergence already printed indicating a bullish reversal the TA looks good currently. Memes are risky and unpredictable so DYOR
by ProR35
BTCUSD at 100k. And then what?Sharing an idea about Bitcoin and its potential further path. Let me know if you agree or not. CRYPTO:BTCUSD EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
by easyMarkets