Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
Btc-bitcoin
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now.
I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets.
Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern.
After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support.
Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Trading Tip:
As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario:
Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly.
Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key.
Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation!
Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)
The Impact of KULR's Investment & Israel's Bitcoin Mutual FundsThe cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), has seen significant movements recently, influenced by both institutional buying and regulatory developments. Two key events stand out: KULR Technology Group's substantial investment in Bitcoin and the upcoming launch of Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin experienced a notable "spiral movement," reaching a peak of $99,000 before a sharp 4% dip, settling at around $95,481.85. This volatility can be attributed to immediate market reactions to news like KULR's purchase of 217.18 BTC for about $21 million. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44 indicates a potentially weak growth pattern, suggesting that Bitcoin might be overbought in the short term, prompting traders to be cautious.
The 24-hour trading volume of over $46 billion points to significant interest, yet the downward trend in price despite high volume might signal profit-taking or a shift in market sentiment. This could be interpreted as a consolidation period following a rapid ascent, with investors possibly waiting for more clarity or another catalyst.
The current trend for Bitcoin appears weak, as observed from the RSI and the market's reaction to new institutional investments. This might suggest a period of stabilization or correction is on the horizon before the next potential bull run.
Institutional Adoption
KULR Technology's decision to allocate up to 90% of its surplus cash into Bitcoin, following in the footsteps of giants like MicroStrategy, underscores a growing trend of corporate treasuries diversifying into cryptocurrencies. This move not only legitimizes Bitcoin as an asset class but also potentially influences its price through increased demand.
Regulatory Developments in Israel
The introduction of six Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel, set to launch on December 31, 2024, is a pivotal moment for crypto investments in the region. This development aligns with global trends where regulatory clarity often leads to increased institutional investment. The funds, managed by well-known firms, will offer investors a regulated, less volatile way to gain exposure to Bitcoin, potentially driving further adoption and demand.
The U.S. SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year has set a precedent, showing that with regulatory support, Bitcoin can attract significant institutional capital. Israel's move might follow this path, enhancing the perception of Bitcoin as a legitimate investment asset, not just a speculative one.
Economic Implications
By allowing transactions in shekels, these funds bridge the gap between traditional and digital finance, making Bitcoin more accessible to the average investor. This could lead to broader economic implications, including increased liquidity for Bitcoin and possibly influencing the digital shekel's development.
Conclusion:
The combination of KULR's bold investment strategy and Israel's innovative approach to Bitcoin through mutual funds paints a picture of a maturing market. Technically, Bitcoin might be facing short-term headwinds, but fundamentally, these developments suggest a robust future. Investors should watch for how these factors play out in terms of price stability, regulatory responses, and further institutional involvement. The narrative around Bitcoin continues to evolve from a digital currency to a recognized financial instrument in both corporate and national strategies.
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
ETH/BTC - Once in a lifetime opportunity#ETH/BTC #Analysis
Description
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+ ETH/BTC pattern looks exactly like the pattern we have seen before 2021 bull run.
+ There is some serious is consolidation that we have seen over the years and price is expecting to be bounced back any time now.
+ I'm expecting the price to move in a pattern which matches with 2020 ETH/BTC pattern.
+ I'm entering some position now to increase my BTC balance.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Mastering BTC Levels: Predicting the Next MoveHere's an in-depth look at BTC's key levels 🔍
📍 Bullish and bearish zones mapped out
📈 Using ATR to target potential price ranges
Will BTC break out or stay range-bound? Share your thoughts! #BTC
Context:
Key Levels: The chart highlights major support and resistance zones using green (bullish levels) and red (bearish levels) bands.
Bullish Day/Week Levels: Green zones where bullish momentum could sustain or start.
Bearish Day/Week Levels: Red zones where bearish sentiment could dominate.
ATR (Average True Range): The "Day ATR" and "Week ATR" indicate potential ranges BTC might move within, helping traders set targets or stops.
Price Action: BTC seems to be fluctuating within these predefined zones, offering insights for both breakout and range-bound strategies.
Directional Arrows: Green and red arrows suggest potential bullish or bearish trajectories from current price levels.
Close Day Marker: The "Close Day" line highlights the critical closing price, often serving as a benchmark for future market direction.
Insights:
The chart is ideal for short-term traders looking for high-probability entries and exits.
It emphasizes the importance of respecting these predefined zones to maximize risk-reward.
BTC Long term analysisBitcoin Weekly Analysis: Ascending Channel in Play
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel on the weekly time frame, indicating a strong bullish trend. Here's the breakdown of the setup:
📈 Channel Boundaries:
BTC price is respecting the channel's upper resistance and lower support (yellow lines).
The midline (blue dashed line) acts as dynamic support/resistance, guiding the price action within the channel.
💡 Current Scenario:
The price is trending toward the upper boundary, showing bullish momentum.
A potential retracement back to the midline is expected after touching the resistance, as illustrated by the green path.
🚀 Bullish Case:
A breakout above the upper boundary could signal accelerated bullish momentum.
BTC might continue rallying beyond the channel if volume supports the breakout.
⚠️ Bearish Case:
A breakdown below the lower boundary could signal a trend reversal, leading to bearish pressure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Upper Channel Resistance: Critical zone for a breakout.
Midline Support: Retesting this level could offer a buy opportunity in case of a pullback.
Lower Channel Support: Watch for potential trend invalidation below this level.
📊 Conclusion:
The ascending channel suggests BTC remains in a strong uptrend on the weekly time frame. Staying within the channel keeps the bullish structure intact, offering opportunities for both breakout and retracement traders.
Do you agree with this setup? Share your thoughts or ideas in the comments! 👍
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) –1 H Timeframe AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently testing a blue trendline resistance. If the price successfully breaks out of this trendline with confirmation (e.g., strong volume or bullish candlestick patterns), it could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
The Target
After the breakout, the next target aligns with the red zone, which serves as a key resistance area and potential profit-taking level.
DAY 5 - Daily BTC Update Merry Christmas!Yesterday's Update
🎄 Merry Christmas, TradingView Fam! 🎄
The BTC bulls are delivering a gift this holiday season 🎁! After a strong bounce, Bitcoin is eyeing $100K today, setting the stage for a spectacular Christmas Day rally.
Here’s the roadmap:
🎯 First Pivot: $100,800
🎯 Second Pivot: $105,720
Breaking through these levels will set BTC on Pathway 1, as outlined yesterday, and reinforce the bullish momentum. 🚀 (Although not breaking the first pivot could see Pathway 2)
Santa seems to have packed his bag with a Bitcoin rocket this year! 🌕
Wishing you all a magical Christmas!💫
See you all tomorrow! <3
Bitcoin Short - Final Squeeze?Negative ETF Inflows and positive ETF Outflows. We go after data right? I'm bearish until ETF data prooves otherwise. Which level will be the final one? I'm deciding on speed and time above 100k. For now target is 104-105.5. If we hover around several days at 100k without hitting any, I'm more into the 103 lvl.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone ($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) , also Bitcoin managed to break the Descending Channel . Although the main Ascending Channel has been broken in the above time frame , I still expect the pullback to the main ascending channel to continue.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave Y of the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the 🎯Targets🎯 I have specified on the chart .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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LPTUSDT Ecpecting 30%+ Gain LPTUSDT, currently trading at $18. Analysts predict a target price of $26, indicating a potential gain of over 30%. This forecast is based on the coin's price movement, which is following a support and resistance pattern. Specifically, the price is bouncing off the support level, suggesting a potential upward trend. Investors may consider buying LPTUSDT at its current price, with the goal of selling at the target price to realize the predicted gain. To manage risk, a stop-loss order can be set below the support level. Overall, the investment strategy for LPTUSDT carries a medium to high level of risk.
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars.
previous analyses
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory.
Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers.
This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports.
After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally.
If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected.
Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market.
In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs.
MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world.
Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%).
Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025.
Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.”
Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.”
He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.