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Btc-bitcoin

Bitcoin Potentially Forming An Inverse Head & Shoulders: Dump?After yesterday's sell-off I started to wonder what would happen if BTC would fall again and how the price action would look like. If BTC were to go down again I'd look for a retest of the 61k-60k area (purple dotted line). This area has proven to offer strong support, and can be a stepping stone for an inverse head & shoulders pattern. Keep in mind that BTC going down to 60k is (in my eyes) less likely than making a new all-time high soon. The pattern has yet to be confirmed. However, if we go down you are prepared.
Short
by FieryTrading
15
Altcoins Still In A Bear Market? This Indicator Says YESIn this analysis I want to take a look at an indicator that is not often mentioned, but can say a lot of interesting things about the current state of the market. Note: we only have a population of 2 (N=2) to look at and deduce information from, so take it with a grain of salt. The indicator in question is the value of TOTAL3 (total crypto marketcap minus ETH and BTC) divided by the price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD). This indicator measures the strength of altcoins compared to BTC. In other terms: Indicator goes up = altcoins outperforming BTC, often during altseasons. Indicator goes down: BTC outperforming alts, often during bear markets. In the last 6 years there have been 2 strong alt seasons, which occured at a later stage during the Bitcoin bull-market. The indicator touched the bottom support and shot all the way up towards the top resistance. This caused a massive bull-run in alts, where many did a 10x or more in a matter of weeks. Looking at the past, it seems that there's still more value to be lost in alts relative to Bitcoin. Assuming we have to touch the bottom support, of course. Furthermore, nothing about this chart suggests that altcoins are a good investment at the moment. They're only losing more value against BTC, even during the latest move from 30k > 70k. For now, I'd put an alarm around the bottom support. Once the indicator touches that area it's historically an AMAZING time to switch your Bitcoin to alts. Happy to hear your thoughts!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by FieryTrading
10
BTC: June 14th, 2024Hello dear traders. Let's cut to the chase. There's no denying that price is weak and seems in desperate need of a new narrative or momentum. Technically, price is showing weakness in the mid-range, which is in line with the POC of the range as well. Momentum h4 EMAs (12, 21) are rolling over as well. The positive thing at this point is the bullish absorption that is unfolding. In fact, it has been more or less so throughout the whole range. Apparently, a lot of bitcoins are changing hands. My thesis is in line with the context, i.e. range-bound price action. I will play the range until the break. Why the local bullish bias? We have a couple of nPOC prints above. Also, the move from sub 60K to 70K is impulsive to me, and I believe we are in the process of putting in a higher low. Plus, if you trade with the flow, the previous quarterly value area high aka pqvah is at 66K while the current quarterly vwap is creeping higher and closer to this level (Find the picture in the comments section). I usually use flow for the daily chart and mid-term bias. As long as 66K is held, my bias is bullish with a move towards the EQ highs at the top of the range. If 66K is lost with a daily candle and strength, I will look at 64K or even 62K. I try to to manage my risk, and stick to the facts. I hope you do the same, and bear in mind that this post is not financial advice, so DYOR. If you like the idea, please share and smash the like button.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Trader_Nebula
BTC DAILY: Inflation rates, CPI and FOMC todayBitcoin cleared nearest liquidity pool under ~66155 and closed above that level which might be a swing failure - bullish pattern. But too early to confirm that. Target for that bounce is May VAH zone + year VWAP VAH around 69.2k (for the wicks). These are conservative targets that assume rejection and pull back to 67600 at least with further consolidation. Today CPI and Inflation rates at 12.30 UTC and FOMC at 18 UTC time. That always cause extra volatility. As I wrote before, there was no correlation with global markets in this crypto dump. Stocks actually performed pretty well yesterday. And Dollar Index so far follows the drawn path I've shared two days ago. So I don't see any sufficient bearish pressure on BTC outside of crypto world. Bullish scenario comes into play if BTC find acceptance above year VWAP VAH. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 68256 / 68840 / 70400 / 72240 below - 66905 / 65760 / 64233 / 59960 Lines on the chart: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸70393 - last W VAH 🔸69667 - week close 🔸68540 - last week close 🔸67577 - May close 🔸66239 - week close 🔸64025 - last April week close Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 72 < 74 < 72 < 75 < 72
by WiseAnalyze
$BTC price is confirming the correction?As seen on the chart, less than a month period, #bitcoin did unable to cross 72K, after 2 major declination, formed bearish double top pattern. Also in 3 months period, CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed Wyckoff' s distribution schematic and proceeding to last confirmation of the major correction. In lower time frame, #btcusd dumped from 70K to 66K heavily and lost the trend line (black line) support. Before CPI, yesterday attempted to reclaim the trend line but price heavily declined from 70K. So, #btcusdt did a bearish retest and reclaiming the trendline failed with this fake pump. If we want to see a bullish #btc , the price must reclaim 72K permanently, otherwise the next major support zone is given on the chart (the red box). Not financial advice.
by naphyse
INJUSDT → Interested buyer. Ready to rise to 43.0?BINANCE:INJUSDT looks stronger than bitcoin and the crypto market. Against the background of the general decline, the coin is growing and this is a rather strong premise. The price may return to the range of 29.0 - 43.0. On D1, a pre-breakout setup is forming regarding the 29.2-29.45 area. If the price can consolidate above this area, then further traders will open bullish potential, the target of which could be a rise towards resistance (intra-range movement). The coin looks green in the red market and it means that someone is interested in it (big player). On the overall negative fundamental background there is a risk that the coin will go down, but for now I am looking out for further upside. *The long scenario will be broken if the price closes below yesterday's opening. Resistance levels: 33.62, 43.4 Support levels: 29.21, 29.85 The potential is there. It can be realized if the bulls hold the defense above the key support area. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
2024-06-12 - a daily price action after hour update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Interesting day. I did almost no updates on the posted chart. The pink breakout line was king again and I shorted it a second time for another 3000 points. I don’t care if the triangle is broken to the upside, when the market turns around again, it was a trap and the pattern lives on in my world. This market is not behaving as bullish as almost everyone on twitter tells you. Today nasdaq had an almost 2% day while Bitcoin stayed below 70000. current market cycle: trading range key levels: small range 66600 - 70000 / big range 56000 - 74000 bull case: Bulls tried to break to the upside but the breakout price around 70000 proofed strong resistance again. I don’t know how many times they will try again but I think the number is very low. Triangle will break tomorrow. Bulls need 70000 and above, otherwise it’s lights out. Invalidation is below 66000. bear case: My target for the bears, if they break 66000 is 65000. There I will decide how strong the move is and if we can get to 64000 fast. If they fail to close tomorrow below the daily ema at 68600, my bearish wave series is probably wrong and we more more sideways until we get a bigger impulse. Invalidation is above 70000. short term: Neutral here inside the triangle. —unchanged medium-long term: down to 40000 (could take 3-6 months). Could also drop to 20000 again but let’s make 40000 first and see how many want to buy there. —unchanged current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Short the breakout price around 70000, was good for 3000 points.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Pulling back to the broken ascending trendlineIn our previous analysis, we mentioned that we expected Bitcoin to touch its support level, and this indeed happened. Bitcoin is currently trading between $67,000 and $71,000 and is pulling back to the broken ascending trendline. In our opinion, it's best to wait until Bitcoin breaks above $72,000 before expecting "strong" growth. While the market is in this corrective wave, focus on scalping and small swing trading opportunities. Avoid rushing into high-volume trades and make decisions with greater caution.
by MonoCoinSignal
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis: Navigating Key Levels Amid Market News🔍Bitcoin (BTC) is responding to significant market events. Here's a detailed analysis to guide your trading decisions. 📆Coin of the Day: Bitcoin (BTC) About the Project: Bitcoin is the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, often referred to as digital gold. It operates on a decentralized network without a central authority, using blockchain technology to facilitate secure and transparent transactions. 🧩Technical Analysis 4-Hour Timeframe This analysis focuses on shorter-term trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios. 📉Support and Resistance: Key Supports: 66,208.06 64,616.89 62,450.00 Key Resistances: 70,108.93 73,305.41 (Major Supply Zone) 📈Bullish Scenario: Supply Zone Test: BTC is currently within a significant supply zone (70,108.93 to 73,305.41). A break above this zone could indicate strong bullish momentum. Targets: Key resistance levels to watch are 70,108.93 and 73,305.41. Breaking above 73,305.41 could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 📉Bearish Scenario: Break Below Key Support: If BTC fails to hold above 66,208.06, it could signal a bearish reversal. Targets: The next support levels are at 64,616.89 and 62,450.00. 📊Volume and RSI: Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes suggest increasing interest, which is critical for sustaining upward momentum. RSI Analysis: Current RSI: 41.09, indicating neutral momentum. Key RSI levels to watch are 55.29 for resistance and 41.09 for support. 💡Key Triggers: For Long Positions: Entry Trigger: Break and hold above 70,108.93. Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 73,305.41. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. For Short Positions: Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 66,208.06. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 64,616.89 and 62,450.00. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 📉Market News Impact Upcoming News: The U.S. interest rate and inflation data are expected today. These macroeconomic factors can have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. Interest Rate Decision: A higher interest rate might lead to a stronger USD and potential bearish pressure on BTC. Inflation Data: Higher inflation rates could increase demand for Bitcoin as a hedge, potentially driving the price up. 👨‍💻Trading Positions Long Position Entry Trigger: Hold above 70,108.93 with confirmation from RSI and volume. Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 73,305.41. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. Short Position Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 66,208.06. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 64,616.89 and 62,450.00. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 📝Bitcoin is currently navigating key levels amidst significant macroeconomic news. Traders should closely monitor these levels and the impact of the U.S. interest rate and inflation data. Volume and RSI trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts. 🧠💼Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
2
$BTC price hours before FEDAfter forming Wyckoff's distribution pattern, #bitcoin price lost the trend support and now likely to test the trendline resistance zone (formerly support). There' ll be 2 powerful technical analysis scenario: 1- This dump to 66 - 67K will be remembered just a deviation, CPI and inflation rate will be positive and #btc will reclaim the trendline. So, distribution pattern will be longed or even invalidated later. Reclaiming 69.3K will be very important. 2- #btcusdt will have a bearish retest, price declination will make the distribution pattern fully play out and #btcusdt discover a price deeper low. Not financial advice. DYOR.
by naphyse
Bitcoin On-Chain: Is The Cycle Over Already?In this analysis I want to discuss a (most likely) unpopular view on the market. Namely, that the "cycle" is already over and that the peak is in for now. Preface This is not my most likely outcome for the markets. You can find my most likely outcome below: Still, it's always advised to keep an open mind and explore different potential outcomes. Overview When we look at the last 7-8 years of Bitcoin's newly created addresses we can see that this value follows a clear boom-and-bust pattern. It peaks (green) during mania when everyone wants to step into the market and it declines after the market has topped (red). For the people who are wondering about the November 2021 peak: on-chain data peaked in Q1-2021. What this chart suggests is that the "mania" phase of the market cycle is over and that the top is either in or very close. Once the mania phase is over, crazy gains are more rare and trading is more difficult. I'm interested to hear your thoughts on this idea. Like I said, it's not my most likely outcome, but it's possible that we've topped after the ETF mania.
BShort
by FieryTrading
35