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BTC : Riding Asia Open Volume to the Golden Zone TargetOn the 8-hour chart, I’m targeting an entry to capture potential volume influx as the Asian markets open. I plan to take partial profits along the way, with a target to reach the $71,000 zone, which aligns with the golden Fibonacci retracement level. Fundamental Context: This setup is influenced by the buzz around the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election and speculation around Donald Trump’s potential reentry, possibly fueling a “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect. Given the high-impact events surrounding this period, I’m managing risk closely, aiming for strategic exits to maximize profitability within this volatile environment. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
2
BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification: Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel. Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: $68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel. $66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move. $64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further. Resistance Levels: $72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend. $73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move. Indicators Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum. Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion. Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case. Moving Averages: HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern. Take Profit Levels: Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains. Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario. Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above. Risk Management: Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets. Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside. Monitoring Indicators: Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout. RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal. Timeframe: This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion. Elevated Volatility Expected Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market. Political Uncertainty Looms Large The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC. Historical Trends and Market Sentiment Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy. Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart: 1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction. 2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors. Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin: Small Dip to $49k Or Crypto Winter down to $15k?There are two potential options for Bitcoin price. 1) Price will complete ABC correction as we have A-B in place already. The wave C could retest the valley of wave A at GETTEX:49K 2) Large red second leg down could complete a bigger correction. It could retest the bottom of leg 1 around $15k. Only below GETTEX:49K we can see what structure is unfolding. What are your thoughts why such a huge collapse is possible? Media says miners start switching to AI investments to drop cryptos. Please share your thoughts down below
Short
by aibek
1
Bitcoin Roadmap==>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched the 🎯 Targets 🎯 as I expected in the previous post ✅. Bitcoin started to rise well from the Support zone($67,620-$67,000) and the Support line again ( the start was accompanied by good momentum ). Regarding Elliott's wave theory , wave 5 seems to be completed . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Support zone after breaking the Resistance lines . ⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
Bitcoin Analysis==>>DUMP==>>Filling GapsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving in the Support zone ($70,100-$68,420) and near the Support line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 4 ( although with a little irregular movement ). I expect Bitcoin will break the Support line soon , and the main wave 5 can be finished in one of the Potential Reversal Zones(PRZs) and filling the CME Gaps one by one . Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
Bitcoin Stays True to “Uptober” with 11% Pop. What Happens Next?Bitcoin BTC/USD saw elevated demand in October as the surge nearly led to a new all-time high. Now the looming US election on November 5 is shaping up as a catalyst for growth, depending on who gets to become President of the United States. Bullishness is in the air. The OG token — Bitcoin BTC/USD — pumped hard in yet another October. Staying true to the “Uptober” tradition , BTC added 11% over the month, kicking it all the way up to more than $73,000 , just a few hundred bucks shy of its record high logged in March . The powerful surge is now taking a breather with prices diving back under the $70,000 threshold. But not for long, according to some analysts who are already living post November 5. What’s that? It’s the biggest event of the year — economically, politically, and … cryptolitically ? Gloves on, bell rings, the main event is here — in the blue corner is Democrat Kamala Harris facing her red-shorts opponent, Republican Donald Trump. The current Vice President and the former President are squaring up for the top spot in American politics. And both have vastly differing viewpoints on crypto. If we were to play favorites, it’s fair to say that Donald Trump is winning the hearts of the crypto faithful. Throughout his rallying and campaigning, he’s made it clear that he believes in Bitcoin’s growth potential. What’s more, he’s embraced digital assets in general and wants to see the market thrive in the world’s biggest economy. The promises don’t stop there. Trump has vowed to make the US the “crypto capital of the world” and dig out all the remaining Bitcoins from within US grounds. He also pledged to set up a Bitcoin strategic reserve and fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler, who is seen as a roadblock to future crypto growth. Hence the so-called “Trump trade,” which has been propelling the orange coin to higher places. On the other end of the spectrum is Kamala Harris who has adopted a warm, but not that warm stance toward crypto. She’s all about casting a sweeping regulatory framework over the industry. The Democratic candidate has vowed to “encourage innovative technologies” like digital assets. Still better than President Joe Biden’s crackdown on the sector. More interestingly, Trump has recruited a key player on his team. Elon Musk, the world’s richest guy (depending on the day) and CEO of Tesla TSLA , is a major donor to Trump’s campaign. He is looking to potentially get employed by the government as head of — can you guess? — Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE (a nod to Musk’s beloved coin). "I will create a government efficiency commission tasked with conducting a complete financial and performance audit of the entire federal government," Trump said at a rally back in September. “I look forward to serving America if the opportunity arises. No pay, no title, no recognition is needed,” the eccentric billionaire wrote on his X platform . How is that bullishness trickling into the markets? Besides the obvious price leap, options traders are ramping up their bets for $80,000 Bitcoin by the end of November. Implied volatility on November 5 is elevated — BTC options flag a 30% chance of a 10% swing in the price. Stay cool, stay ready. On the ETFs front, exchange-traded funds that hold genuine Bitcoin and offer spot trading pulled in around $4 billion of net new money in October. The biggest winner of all 11 spot BTC ETFs is the BlackRock-owned iShares Bitcoin Trust, which holds more than $26 billion in assets. Traders broadly (not just the crypto space) may be pricing in a Trump victory and scooping up some of the assets that are likely to do well under his term. But while Trump is ahead in prediction markets, he’s neck-and-neck with Harris in the national polls, making Election Day all the more uncertain. With that said, Bitcoin is up 57% on the year, outperforming other large-cap assets, such as gold XAU/USD , up 35% in a stellar year of its own , and the S&P 500 SPX , up 20% year to date, also enjoying lots of buying appetite . Whose side are you on and do you think we'll see a huge swing in the price of Bitcoin come November 5? Share your thoughts below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
18
Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty Amid Mt. Gox BTC TransferMt. Gox BTC Movement Raises Concerns Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) markets were rattled by news on November 1 that $35 million worth of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) associated with the infamous Mt. Gox exchange had been transferred to unmarked addresses. Blockchain intelligence firm Arkham disclosed that the defunct exchange moved a total of 500 CRYPTOCAP:BTC , split into two transactions of 31.78 BTC and 468.24 BTC. This transfer is notable as it marks the first significant movement from Mt. Gox-associated wallets in over a month. Currently, approximately 44,905 BTC, worth around $3.1 billion, remains in wallets flagged as Mt. Gox-associated, adding to market anxieties about a potential liquidation. The broader context deepens concerns: in early August, Mt. Gox moved 12,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC worth $700 million, a signal that the pace of transfers is quickening. The repayment process for Mt. Gox creditors has been fraught with complications. In an official statement earlier this month, Mt. Gox extended the deadline for repayments by another year, pushing it to October 31, 2025. The delay is attributed to “system issues” and unresolved procedural steps by rehabilitation creditors, with the trustee even acknowledging incidents of double payments that required refunds. As these issues unfold, market participants remain wary of the potential impact of Mt. Gox-related liquidations on Bitcoin's price. Historical Context and Broader Market Fears Mt. Gox was one of the world’s first and largest Bitcoin exchanges, responsible for handling 70% of global BTC transactions at its peak before a series of hacks led to its infamous collapse in 2014. Since then, the repayment of creditors has been a lingering issue, casting a shadow over the market. The prospect of sudden, large-scale Bitcoin sales tied to Mt. Gox funds creates a cloud of uncertainty that traders and investors have come to dread. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s recent rally to $73,600 between October 26 and October 29 brought it within a hair’s breadth of its all-time high of $73,808. This surge, representing a 10% increase over just a few days, was followed by a sharp 5.5% correction. As of early trading on November 1, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) fell below $69,000, but this pullback commenced hours before the news of the Mt. Gox transfer, suggesting that broader market forces were already at play. Currently, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is attempting to stabilize, trading at $68,000 to $69,000, with its RSI (Relative Strength Index) reading at 56. Indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is maintaining support at the $70,000 level, albeit tentatively. The RSI suggests that selling pressure could persist, threatening a drop to the $65,000 support level if bulls fail to regain control. Conversely, if Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) can hold above the $70,000 mark and selling pressure subsides, it may pave the way for a more robust rally. Overheated Market Conditions Market sentiment data adds another layer of complexity. According to CryptoQuant, over 99% of Bitcoin’s supply was in profit when the asset traded at $72,323 on October 31. Such an elevated level of profitability indicates potential overheating, as more investors might be tempted to lock in gains, adding downward pressure on prices. Profit-taking could exacerbate the current correction, with key support zones under threat. Outlook: The Road Ahead The immediate future for Bitcoin remains a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. The $73,000 mark serves as a pivotal point, acting either as a short-term resistance or the springboard for a new leg higher. Should Bitcoin break above this level convincingly, we could see fresh all-time highs, with projections ranging from $90,000 to $100,000. Such a move might be catalyzed by major market events, such as the upcoming U.S. presidential election. However, a failure to defend the $70,000 support could invite a steeper correction toward $65,000. Traders should watch for renewed selling pressure, particularly if profit-taking intensifies or if further Mt. Gox-related news emerges. The interplay of technical indicators, fundamental developments, and market sentiment will likely dictate Bitcoin’s direction in the weeks ahead. Conclusion Bitcoin's market remains on edge as concerns over Mt. Gox fund movements and the potential for profit-taking weigh heavily. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can weather this storm or if a deeper correction is imminent. As always, traders and investors must stay vigilant, keeping a close eye on key support and resistance levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DEXWireNews
6
BTC $83k-$86k top, then down below $30k?I sold all of my crypto between May - July thinking we'd see a large correction. We did pull back to the GETTEX:48K level, but we didn't see continuation below that level. Now price is within MIL:1K of where I sold it and I now think we'll see the last move higher. So I'm starting to build exposure again. If we look at the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been consolidating right below resistance. I think we'll see one final move to FWB:83K -$86k, then we'll see the larger correction that I was anticipating below $30k. Still don't think we see $100k BTC anytime soon. I think that doesn't come until 2026-2028. I've started building exposure to CRYPTOCAP:BTC again and certain alts, specifically CRYPTOCAP:DOGE incase Trump wins as I think that'll be a catalyst to send price higher. I I think alts will see one last move higher into early December before the whole market starts to correct. Let's see what happens.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by benjihyam
19
Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025. Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
2
$BTC - Deviation or Continuation?Bitcoin retraces to the previous value area. On the daily chart, price deviated above our VWAP and is now retesting its upper band. Currently, price is retesting the previous range high. If this level holds, a complacency bounce is likely. Immediate resistance to break is around 70.7k ( pdPOC) . A rejection at this level could drive price down to 68k (pwVAH) and potentially further to 66.4k (pwVAL) , sweeping through imbalances (single print/poor low) .
by Tealstreet