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Btc-bitcoin

Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA . Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dasBoot
Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level Welcome to today’s analysis! Let’s break down the Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) chart, focusing on the double top pattern and key levels. ⸻ 🌐 Overview: Double Top Formation & Breakdown 📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a double top pattern and has broken the neckline (yellow level). 🔄 Current Scenario: • The double top pattern suggests a bearish move, with a projected target at the green support level. • The green support zone aligns with the previous ATH from the last bull run, making it a key area for potential price stabilization. • If buyers step in at this support, we could see a bounce and possible bullish reversal. ⸻ 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟡 Neckline (Broken Support): Confirmed breakdown, acting as new resistance. 🟢 Support Zone: Green Level (Previous ATH, potential stabilization area). ⸻ 🛠️ Trade Scenarios 📌 Bullish Scenario (Support Holds & Price Bounces Up) • If CRYPTOCAP:BTC stabilizes at the green support, buyers may step in, leading to a potential recovery move. • Confirmation of bullish strength could come from a higher low formation at this level. 📌 Bearish Scenario (Break Below Green Support) • If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to hold the green support zone, further downside could occur, potentially testing lower support areas. • A confirmed breakdown below this level would signal continued bearish momentum. ⸻ 📌 Conclusion CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken the neckline of a double top pattern, and its projected target aligns with the green support zone (previous ATH level). This area is critical for potential price stabilization—if buyers defend it, we could see a rebound and bullish continuation. However, if it breaks down, further losses may follow.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by WaveRiders2
Powell’s Speech & Bitcoin’s Decline: Is More Downside Ahead? Today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak, and traders should brace for potential market volatility! Given the recent economic data , his tone is likely to be balanced but leaning hawkish . Why a More Hawkish Powell? 1- Strong Job Market : Unemployment Rate : 4.1% (Still low) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) : 151K (Decent, but lower than before) Average Hourly Earnings : 0.3% (Steady wage growth) This suggests that the labor market remains resilient, which might discourage the Fed from cutting rates too soon. 2- Inflation Still a Concern : Wage growth and inflationary pressures persist, which means Powell may emphasize keeping rates steady longer to combat inflation. 3- Markets Are Too Optimistic on Rate Cuts : Investors are heavily betting on rate cuts in 2024, but Powell may push back against these expectations to prevent excessive risk-taking. Powell will likely maintain a cautious yet hawkish stance to manage expectations. Big price swings are expected across forex, crypto, and commodities—so stay alert! (Of course, this is just a personal analysis). In addition to Donald Trump , Signs Executive Order to Create Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Of course, today, we didn't see any strange movement in Bitcoin, and probably, the proverb " buy the rumor, sell the news " was fulfilled. ---------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame and also take help from technical analysis tools . Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is in a Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and has started to decline from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to move in a Symmetrical Triangle . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we should wait for the next bearish wave . I expect Bitcoin to attack 200_SMA(Daily) again after breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle . Note: Bitcoin is likely to pump more if the symmetrical triangle's upper line breaks. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
54
#Bitcoin $BTC OutlookCRYPTO:BTCUSD is testing a 2 years old uptrend channel lower wedge extending since 2023 where #BTC price was ~$25k. The wedge is ranging between ~$80k : ~$70k. Key levels: ~$79k: kind of imminent today. ~$73.5k: The first and the nearest core demand, smart money is concentrated at this level "A bounce is anticipated from here" ~$70k: Is the last bulls haven, breakingdown will unlock the ~$60k mark. Check my previous BTC analysis, I've been calling for the ~$80k : ~$70k since ATHs. #AhmedMesbah
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by AhmedMesbah
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point: We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th. That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers. If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested. The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**. For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**. There are plenty of ways to play this: - Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**. - If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**. - If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**. Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZelfTrade
Will $78.5K hold or spark a liquidation storm?Bitcoin is facing intense selling pressure within the critical $78,500 – $82,000 zone on the 4-hour timeframe. A large liquidation cluster in this range (over $800 million in leveraged longs) raises the risk of a sharp drop toward $77,800, a key institutional support level. However, oversold RSI (32) and slowing bearish momentum on the MACD suggest potential exhaustion in sellers, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if the zone holds. A decisive breakdown below $78,500 could accelerate corrective moves toward short-term lows. A sustained hold above $78,500 followed by a breakout above $82,000 would open a bullish reversal scenario, targeting $86,000 (Fibonacci extension level) and $89,000. Such a move would likely trigger a short squeeze, fueled by liquidations of leveraged shorts and rising buy-side volume.
by MonoCoinSignal
2
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it. (hopefully this link shows the chart) pbs.twimg.com My response is below. --- This is a really good question! Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it. That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25. But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21. Here’s the correct way to draw the trends. If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up. This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.

I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI. Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot! It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend. I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting. I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
BTCUSD – Descending Broadening Wedge With Key Buy ZonesBitcoin is trading within a Descending Broadening Wedge on the 6-hour timeframe, a pattern that typically signals increasing volatility before a potential breakout. The price is fluctuating between two diverging trendlines, with several critical buy levels forming along the structure. Descending Broadening Wedge Resistance Breakout at 94,543 The upper boundary of the wedge, around 93,000 to 94,500, serves as dynamic resistance. If Bitcoin pushes through this level, it could trigger a breakout toward the first target at 108,000 and possibly extend to 124,407. Volume has been increasing near resistance, indicating strong market participation. Ascending Trendline Rebound at 84,536 This level aligns with an ascending support trendline inside the wedge. Bitcoin has previously bounced from similar trend structures, making this an important zone to watch for a potential reaction. Double Bottom Possibility at 79,006 The 79,000 level has acted as support in previous price movements, creating a possible double bottom scenario. If the price stabilizes here, it could be an early sign of trend reversal within the wedge. Descending Broadening Wedge Support at 75,092 The lower boundary of the pattern, around 75,000, remains a major support level. This is where previous downward movements have found buying interest, making it a crucial point for potential price reversals. Stop Loss at 69,000 to 68,000 A drop below this range would indicate that the wedge structure has failed, opening the possibility for further downside movement. Bitcoin remains within a widening consolidation phase, with increasing volume showing heightened market activity. As long as the price respects the wedge boundaries, these key levels present potential opportunities for positioning ahead of a breakout.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DNP-FX
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present. Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest: Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red. 90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively. The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments. 1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis 1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800 A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle. Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target: 1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range). Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries. Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05: Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes. 1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance. 1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21. Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K: 1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K. Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block. Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67: When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals: 2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out 2.1. Scaling In (Entries) We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206: Short Trade Laddered Entries: Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K). Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account). 2.2. Scaling Out (Exits) We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10: Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account). Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade. 3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade. 3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588. A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence? 5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637: 3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in. Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone. Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280. Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62: 3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month. Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far. Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K: 3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone). Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer. Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce. Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target. 4. Summary Short Trade: Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K. Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560. Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account). R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup. Long Trade: Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences. Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K. Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward. Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility. Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus. Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.
Short
by SiDec
8
Bitcoin’s Roller Coaster Ride: More Volatility Until March 7?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been acting like a Roller Coaster in the last few days, and one of the main reasons for the high momentum movements is Donald Trump's speech . Generally, this market behavior detriments investors and trades. Such movements may continue until March 7 ( Let us recall that Donald Trump will meet with industry representatives at the “first crypto summit” at the White House on March 7 ). So please pay more attention to Capital Management these days . It seems that Bitcoin's Main Support is 200_SMA(Daily) , which failed to break yesterday and started to increase again. Now, Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the Resistance zone($87,100-$85,800) . According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Do you think Bitcoin is still Correcting or ready for another major up move? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,000, the possibility of Bitcoin increasing again will decrease. Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and the Resistance lines, we can even hope for a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
32