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btc . wednesday . may . w3yesterday . no LONG - only at bigger retracement - didnt come . no SHORT - as 10pm (UTC+2) has recently been a little unpredictable today - wednesday - LIQUIDITY + VOLATILITY ?! . no SHORT - as we are nowhere price opportunity wise + BULLISH outlook . yes COMPOUND LONG . I had wanted to see the drop towards 2pm (UTC+2) - run yesterdays NewYork low and push up . didnt happen, but as I was waiting for the level, I had limit orders prepared of which 4 triggered during LondonSession . additional little compound now prepared at 103622 - LPOC + VWAP - bullish continuation . price is consolidating and momentum of this week is turning to the upside - bearish continuation . see a rejection here at dOpen + wOpen . have price loose its cwLow . catch everyone of guard (unlikely by the outlook, but neverless)
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
2
Bearish sign but we think it pushes to MAJOR RESISTANCEYesterday CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a BEARISH ENGULFING. We've spoken on this pattern countless times. However, we didn't bring it up because we didn't/don't think it's relevant. WHY? Look at the paltry volume. Bitcoin volume is SUPER LOW. BTC is still in Bullish mode from Late 2022. --- We turned Bullish again on CRYPTOCAP:BTC around early April: A) We saw that huge Bitcoin selloff 4/7 2) Which reversed that same day 3) Followed by some buying a couple days later 4) More BTC accumulation 4/21 when it was under 88k Major resistance coming up soon. Pause HIGHLY LIKELY.
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
HolderStat┆BTCUSD retest $100 000 level🚀 After a grueling multi‑month consolidation boxed between mid‑90 k and 100 k, BTC finally sliced through its ceiling, confirming a textbook breakout from the rising wedge that grew out of March’s strong consolidation pennant. Price is stair‑stepping higher inside a fresh ascending channel, using 96 k as intraday support and chewing through 100 k supply. As long as this channel stays intact, traders can focus on the mapped path toward the projected new ATH near 115 k.
Long
by HolderStat
1
BTC - New Short-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #BTC retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
Bitcoin’s Path to ATH: Final Wave or Just a Pause? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) pumped about +2% after the " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. " news, but then started to decline again. Do you think Bitcoin can see the new All-Time High(ATH)? Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) and Support line . In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 and is currently completing microwave 4 of the main wave 5 . Given the momentum of the decline a few hours ago , I expect Bitcoin to either touch the previous low or create a new low in the 1-hour timeframe . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) once again and possibly touch the Support line and then attack towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) with the two scenarios I outlined on the chart . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,313-$104,787 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,198-$101,697 Note: If Bitcoin can move above $104,500 without correction, we can expect more pumping. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,500, we can expect more declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
21
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300 Current price: 104300 Here are the key observations: Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively. Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested: 97700 and then 91100 CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA ) Trading Implications: For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000. For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000. Not financial Advice!
by Ifiok-Trades
$BTC probability still favors new lowBTC has had a strong rally back into the prior resistance and unless we can break above the prior highs, I still think probability still favors more downside (and I think we see a new low). I've marked off support levels and resistance levels as I think this will largely be the range over the next year. My base case as of now, is that we see one more low down in the $69k-$62k region before we start a new run to the highs above ($122k+). Another possibility is that we sweep the lows and bounce at $72k, then move up towards the highs. That said, the reason I think lower is due to the massive imbalance on the chart that needs to get resolved. Overall I still think we're in a bullish trend, but that we continue to pullback before the final move higher.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by benjihyam
MSTR (Strategy) coming up to $395, the smaller resistance levelNASDAQ:MSTR has rebounded from the bottom fairly fast compared to other stocks and indexes. It's even performed better than Bitcoin itself. However it should be hitting heavy resistance now near 395-400 and above is only heavier resistance. It's time for a pullback and a breather for MSTR. Target is the Point of Control near $350, before going higher. However we could turn bullish again before reaching $350 I personally know someone who played with fire by buying MSTR options calls while it was dropping before, meaning he was trying to catch a falling knife and got burnt finally. He lost nearly $500,000 because of it. So I don't mess with options personally, however I will margin trade with stocks and trade futures, forex and leverage trade cryptocurrencies.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by SakisBack
1
12/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $104,972.46 Last weeks low: $93,385.49 Midpoint: $99,178.97 Bitcoin climbs over 12% from weekly low to weekly high, an incredible achievement despite a mixed performance in Tradfi. A pattern we've seen since the $74,500 double bottom following Liberation day goes; A strong rally for a week, consolidation in a tight trading range for a week, then repeat. Should this pattern continue we should see consolidation between weekly high and $102,075 (0.75 line). CPI & PPI take place this week on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, inflation is still a big talking point but baring a crazy print I would be surprised if these events move BTC. In the last few hours at time of writing The US has reduced tariffs on China to 30% for 90 days, China has reduced tariffs on the US down to 10%. To me this signifies the worst of the trade war narrative is behind us. This week I will be tracking altcoins with strong fundamentals as BTC.D rolls over from its highest point since January '21, ETH has already had a strong breakout from the downtrend and with BTC at ATH levels with strong resistance this should be the time to see altcoin strength and play catch-up. Good luck this week!
by ProR35
2
CYCLE 4 | Pull back complete!Hi team, The purpose of this post is to close out our thoughts posted back in December 2024 with the suggestion of a possible 30-40% correction scenario we envisioned BTC might look to complete over the upcoming months, and what we wanted to see the bulls achieve in order for Cycle 4 to move into its final phase. Using this set up we can look towards where BTC may look towards from here. These steps were outlined in the below two posts: CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back (Dec 20 - 2024) CYCLE 4 | UPDATE - BTC Possible Next Move into Sell Zone (Feb 14 - 2025) REVIEWING WHAT HAPPENED In these posts we suggested 1) BTC will likely pull back and look for opportunities for support 2) We outlined the following levels * Demand Zone and bottom of our defined Price Channel (92-90K) * Daily Order Block (OB) (88.5-87.9k) * CME GAP - down as far as ~77K and suggested a wick on the weekly down to our March 2024 high would not be out of the question These levels all were taken out with our worst-case forecast achieved. Bulls then successfully preceded to complete the requirements we set out in these posts: 1) Uptrend Channel: No Open / Close weekly candle outside of, push back within and HOLD as support / HOLD and remain inside of our cycle uptrend channel (keep BTCs relationship with this trend line intact). 2) Daily OB: Flip and hold as support (BTC first attempt was rejected, held as resistance and allow a more bullish double bottom to be formed). 3) 20W SMA / 21W EMA: Flip and hold these moving averages 4) Price Channel: Push back inside and hold with a least two weekly candle closes. WHERE TO FROM HERE We are now at this point where BTC is now poised to look at a new ATH. BULLs are looking for BTC to finish off this cycle, and the set up aligns perfectly with our 'Sell Zone' box time frame we have put in place to help us navigate this cycle. Our 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' (see charts in below posts for updates) has swung back into our RL level of 7 and moving back towards out cycle peak risk levels. To achieve a 'proper' finishing ATH bulls are looking for in this zone we would want to see BTC start to making aggressive moves from here in Q3 & Q4 of 2025. The biggest concerns for BULLs and the upcoming case for bears is the weekly bearish divergences BTC has put in place with our prior ATHs this cycle. This is most notable in the RSI shown in this posts original chart. From here there are 3 likely scenarios BTC could take based on rejects of our RSI dark black tend line and in place weekly bearish divergences. These Scenarios are marked 1, 2 and 3. Scenario 1 BTC moves aggressively out of this price channel to new ATHs. There is a chance Bears could push price into a lower high here or put in a 'SFP' (Swing Failure Pattern) and sweep our prior high. Scenario 1a This would play out scenario 1a which bulls would want to see a retest and hold of the 20W SMA / 21W EMA before heading back up to attack high levels. We would expect our RSI moving Advertage to provide support in this level (see point 1a in the RSI chart). Failure to hold would strongly support the suggestion of cycle 5s bear market beginning IMO. Scenario 2 A HOLD and bounce off the 20W SMA / 21W EMA again would give bears another chance to put bearish divergence with the weekly RSI. Watch for a higher high in price (likely a SFP or sweep of our current ATH) and a lower high closed in our Weekly RSI. This would be a scary scenario for the bulls. BULLISH SCENARIO | BREAKING THE RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE DOWN TREND LINE The most bullish move BTC Bulls could achieve in all the above scenarios is to breaking above the RSI Bearish Divergence Down Trend Line (shown as green up trend arrows in the RSI). This will invalidate current bearish divergences and sent bulls focus on the more speculative upper targets for this cycle. Hope you have found this post series an interesting watch as I have.
Long
by Brodie
AUDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term descending channel and is currently trading around 94.50. The breakout is clean and supported by solid bullish volume, which confirms that momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. This setup indicates a clear trend reversal on the daily timeframe, and with the pair establishing higher lows and breaking resistance, the path toward 100.00 looks technically achievable in the coming weeks. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained a firm stance on inflation management. The latest CPI figures remain above the RBA’s comfort zone, and recent wage growth data has further reduced the probability of near-term rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to lag due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary stance and consistent verbal intervention that lacks follow-through, keeping JPY broadly weaker across the board. Technically, we’ve seen strong follow-through after the breakout, with price now holding firmly above prior resistance turned support. If this momentum sustains, we could see buyers step in aggressively, targeting 96.50 short-term and extending toward the key psychological level of 100.00 in the medium term. The risk-reward remains attractive with a clearly defined invalidation point below 91.00. Overall, AUDJPY stands out as one of the most bullish JPY crosses on my radar. With a clean breakout, supportive fundamentals from the Australian side, and persistent weakness in the yen, this trade aligns with broader macro sentiment and could offer strong upside potential heading into the next quarter.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
8
$BTC Post Death Cross PA Has NOT Confirmed 200DMA - Must Read!Throughout Bitcoin's history it has had 11 Death Crosses (50DMA crossing under 200DMA), and 10 of those times price has retested the 200DMA within ~3 months (with 1 outlier). Do you know what time it did NOT retest the 200DMA? You might have guessed it… this most recent death cross ☠️ The only outlier that price did not retest the 200DMA within ~3 months was in 2015, where it took nearly a year to retest. In that time, CRYPTOCAP:BTC ripped 200% just 75 days later, which marked the start of the PARABOLA. This is why I have been so adamant with sticking to my base case for Bitcoin’s next move. Is this time different? 🥸 Will it take nearly a year to retest the 200DMA? An interesting observation I found was that if we take 90D from the most recent death cross, it brings us out to July 6th, which is right around when the 90-day pause of tariffs is lifted 🧐 Having said all that, if PA confidently breaks above and confirms previous ATH (~$110k), I will lean towards the 2015 outlier for the 200DMA retest, which would put us into late Q1 2026. That would line up nicely with a suspected top of the cycle 🥲
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
Bitcoin Breaks Wedge! Correction Coming Before Next Leg? After Trump said in the press conference, " Better go out and buy stocks now ." The SPX500 index started pumping , and as I said in the ideas of the last few days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )'s correlation with this index has increased. Bitcoin also started pumping. Yesterday's Bitcoin pump succeeded in failing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , generally, if the reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role . Bitcoin is moving between the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) and the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) . The question is whether Bitcoin will touch the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) again and move towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) or will it continue its upward trend. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 . We can expect an even Time Correction on Saturday and Sunday when trading volume is low . There is also a possibility that microwave 4 of the main wave 5 in Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($101,838-$101,432) will be completed. One of the reasons I think we should wait for a correction is the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, which we used as a guide in previous ideas . USDT.D% has reached Monthly Support(1) and a Heavy Support zone(4.73%-4.50%) , which I believe is unlikely to be broken within in first attack , and I expect an increase to the Fibonacci lines on the chart. I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after a correction . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,114-$104,100 Note: If Bitcoin touches $97,500, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
59
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍 📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date. This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future. 📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event. You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EhsanZeydabadi