BTC-D
POPCATUSDT → False breakout of bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:POPCATUSDT.P is testing trend resistance on the 4H timeframe. A sharp approach and a false breakdown of the upper boundary of the channel may provoke a correction or continuation of the decline
The global trend is downtrend, the locational trend also coincides with the global trend. Bitcoin cannot become a bullish driver for altcoins yet. Yesterday's economic news also had a negative impact on the market. In addition, the cryptocurrency community was betting big on Trump, but he has put cryptocurrencies on the back burner.
Technically, POPCAT is testing the channel resistance with a false breakout within the downtrend. Consolidation of the price below 0.322 could trigger further selling.
Resistance levels: 0.322, correction resistance
Support levels: 0.2386, 0.1596
I do not exclude the possibility of retesting the resistance of the correction channel, but due to bearish pressure and weak market the decline may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
No longs by far. 90-92K stands in focusMorning folks,
Last time we were speaking about possible upside bounce to ~102.5K area. But BTC has failed three attempts to move out from support level where it stands. Despite that upside momentum was not bad.
With the recent high CPI on the table and weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern on the back, we suggest that downside action could start at any time. First target will be ~90-92K area just because this is daily oversold. Weekly pattern suggest target around 80-81K.
By this reason we do not consider any new intraday longs by far. Besides, on daily chart today we could get bearish grabber that supports adea of 90-92K lows level.
BTC/USDT chart analysis.BTC is hovering around the previous trendline and will be testing it as potential support after the breakout.
So far, it remains above the green demand zone ($92,000 – $95,000), indicating buyers are stepping in.
100-day MA (purple line): BTC bounced off this level, reinforcing its significance as a dynamic support.
BTC remains above it, a bullish sign, but a breakdown could change the momentum.
Support: $92,000 – $95,000 (green zone).
Resistance: $100,000 – $102,500, which has been a selling zone recently.
Do you want a trading strategy based on this setup?
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DYOR. NFA
ZK Updaterode this one back to the entry (even after the trendline from 5th Aug was broken)
in-detailed explanation in the USDT.D chart (give it a read if you want to find out how to spot strong reversal areas)
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
APT Update - Who else was a great painter?After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid)
After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
ETH UpdateAfter the brutal 3rd Feb drop (explanation in USDT.D chart - link at the end of post), the downward wedge failed but EW count is still valid
I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :)
TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally!
Is BTC approaching its upcoming price increases?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local uptrend channel, as you can see we are holding at the lower border of the channel which may indicate that we are close to the return of the price growth.
What's more, on the RSI indicator we can see how we are moving below the lower border which may also indicate the upcoming growth.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 98944 USD
T2 = 101432 USD
Т3 = 103769 USD
Т4 = 107237 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 94233 USD
SL2 = 90048 USD
SL3 = 84997 USD
BTCUSD: 4H Bull Flag targeting 103,000Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.119, MACD = -816.800, ADX = 35.629) as it may have reached the 4H MA50 today but remains ranged inside a Channel Down since February 4th. According to the 4H RSI, this is technically a Bull Flag pattern like the one on Dec 26th-30th that was also formed during a 4H Death Cross. The Bull Flag bottomed and rebounded to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We can be bullish (TP = 103,000) at least on the short term.
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$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)-
PREVIOUS: 2.9%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases.
As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts:
Long:
- The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH.
- A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high.
Short:
- The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
SYN ANALYSIS📊 #SYN Analysis : Update
✅ Here we can see the price is around its major support zone. Falling wedge pattern is forming and 2 times bullish move from the same support point. We would see a good breakout soon and achieve our targets
👀Current Price: $0.4542
🚀 Target Price: $0.9700
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #SYN price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#SYN #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Turn off the log and see the Bitcoin waves.The Bitcoin market is delivering a powerful signal as it not only hit but exceeded the monumental $100K milestone.
This follows three significant bull runs characterised by substantial retail participation in 2017, 2021, and the dramatic surge leading up to Trump's presidential inauguration on Jan 20th 2025.
You don’t have to be an expert in Elliott Wave theory to recognise the five prominent upward waves and the three smaller downward waves (a, b, c) illustrated on this monthly chart.
Elliott Wave theory serves as a tool in technical analysis, helping to interpret a security's price fluctuations over time by pinpointing recurring eight-wave patterns within the return data.
Ralph Nelson Elliott unveiled his groundbreaking theory in the 1930s, gaining recognition for accurately forecasting the stock market's lowest point in 1935 through meticulous analysis of long-term indices and historical trends. The Elliott wave theory serves as a technical analysis framework, asserting that stock price fluctuations primarily manifest in waves rather than straightforward patterns. This approach shares notable similarities with the Dow theory, as both suggest that price movements unfold in waves rather than mere linear sequences.
Do you think we might have actually experienced a left-translated bull run? Or do you feel this is merely a reset in sentiment, characterised by sideways price movements, while crypto still has the potential to soar to the lofty heights that mainstream influencers eagerly promote?
GRT Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context:
GRT has retraced to a key support zone and is presenting a potential bounce-back opportunity for a long position.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.125 - $0.14
Take Profit Targets:
$0.18 - $0.20
$0.2350 - $0.2550
Stop Loss: Just below $0.12
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio if the support holds. Watch for any price reaction at this level! 📈
Bitcoin below $96K – Miners trigger a sell-offThe price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped more than 3% in the past 24 hours, closing around $96,000 amid aggressive selling by miners. Over 2,000 BTC have been transferred to centralized exchanges since Bitcoin’s recovery to GETTEX:98K , intensifying downward pressure on the market.
This price decline is driven by miners’ efforts to reduce their reserves in response to market instability. At the same time, Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.6%, signaling new challenges for the industry and adding pressure on the cryptocurrency’s value. Typically, asset transfers to centralized exchanges indicate a readiness to sell, whereas transfers to custodial wallets suggest long-term holding.
Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has repeatedly dropped below the $100K mark, influenced by uncertain U.S. trade policies and negative macroeconomic signals from the Labor Department report. A brief recovery failed to sustain bullish momentum, leading to large-scale sell-offs and further price declines, keeping altcoins under constant pressure.
As a significant part of institutional Bitcoin demand, miners continue to shape market dynamics. However, over the past seven days, selling activity has slowed as investors anticipate a potential price rebound.
FreshForex analysts forecast that BTCUSD retains the potential for recovery and even new all-time highs, while Standard Chartered suggests Bitcoin could reach $500K by 2028.
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets.
Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures
1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data
The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance
The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments.
3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment
The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
1. Immediate Price Reaction
Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark.
3. Chart Patterns and Indicators
Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution.
4. Market Sentiment and Volume
Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets.
Conclusion:
The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
MEUSDT Falling Pattern Breakout with 200%-250% Potential GainsMEUSDT has recently broken out of its Falling Pattern, signaling the potential for a strong price rally. A Falling Pattern often sets the stage for a reversal, and with the breakout now complete, MEUSDT is poised to enter a bullish phase. The pattern, which typically consists of lower lows and lower highs, has now formed a solid foundation for the price to move upward. With good volume supporting this breakout, there’s strong market confidence in the project, and traders are anticipating a surge in price. The expected gain range for this move is substantial, with projections of 200% to 250%+, making this a highly attractive opportunity for those looking to capitalize on significant upside potential.
The breakout from the Falling Pattern is a key technical event that signals a shift in market sentiment. As the price pushes higher, the breakout confirms that the bears may have lost control, and the bulls are now taking charge. With volume continuing to support the move, it increases the likelihood that MEUSDT will maintain upward momentum. As more traders and investors take notice of this development, the price could continue to rise, potentially testing previous highs and delivering substantial returns for those who timed their entry correctly.
Investor interest in MEUSDT has been growing, and this breakout has captured the attention of many in the crypto community. The combination of a completed Falling Pattern, solid volume, and growing market sentiment creates a perfect setup for significant gains. If MEUSDT continues to follow the expected bullish trajectory, it could quickly move into a new price range, delivering impressive returns to traders who are quick to act. This could be the beginning of a strong bullish trend for MEUSDT, and those who enter at the right time could see massive profits.
As always, it's important for traders to watch key resistance levels and price action carefully. The next few price movements will determine whether MEUSDT can maintain its bullish trend and reach the expected gains. Given the current breakout and the positive technical indicators, MEUSDT presents an exciting opportunity for traders looking to profit from the next major move in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on volume and support levels will be essential to navigating this setup successfully.
BTC - Building Block - UpdateHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After breaking below the $100,000, BTC entered the Short-Term bearish phase.
For the momentum to be shifted again to bullish, a break above the $100,000 is needed.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $108,500 level is broken to the upside, BTC is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $125,000 mark.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $90,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $75,000 mark, is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game