TRX Approaching Cup Breakout – Market Decision Imminent
TRX/USDT – Daily Chart Analysis
TRX is shaping a textbook Cup Pattern on the daily timeframe — a strong bullish continuation signal if confirmed. Price has gradually curved upward, and we are now testing the key resistance area at 0.29–0.30.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.30 would validate the cup formation and set the stage for a rally toward the next target zones at 0.35 and 0.45 — measured based on the cup’s depth.
🔹 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
If the resistance holds, expect a pullback toward the midline (~0.24) for potential accumulation and base-building before the next move.
💡 Volume confirmation and breakout momentum are critical to watch here. The market is approaching a decision point.
🟢 Our directional bias remains bullish — we anticipate the breakout to occur, leading to an upward continuation. However, we’ll wait for confirmation of the breakout and completion of the pattern before entering a long position.
BTC-D
#BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025
Bitcoin has surged nearly 9% from the supply zone and is currently trading around the $119,000 level. However, looking at the current volume, the momentum seems to be fading.
If a correction takes place, the potential support zones are:
✨First stop: $114,000
✨Second stop: $113,000
✨Third stop: $111,500
After a pullback, the next target may be around $122,000. However, macroeconomic risks are rising. The U.S. is considering a 500% tariff on Russia imports, and in the past, even a 100% tariff triggered a sharp drop in Bitcoin.
Since BTC has already made a significant move up, I don’t think opening a Long or Short position is wise at the moment. Just observing for now.
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) – Bitcoin Proxy Setting Up AgainMicroStrategy Incorporated NASDAQ:MSTR remains the definitive institutional proxy for Bitcoin exposure, uniquely combining its enterprise software operations with a high-conviction, leveraged Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Its $1.42B BTC purchase in April 2025 further cements this thesis, making MSTR a prime vehicle for traders seeking amplified BTC exposure via equities.
Since our May 5th analysis, MSTR has rallied ~14.61%. We’re now eyeing a re-entry opportunity on a pullback to the $394–$387 zone, aligning with technical support and previous consolidation.
🎯 Bullish targets remain unchanged: $490.00–$500.00, backed by Bitcoin strength and MicroStrategy’s unwavering strategy.
🔁 Re-entry: $394–$387
🟩 Targets: $490–$500
#MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #BTC #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MicroStrategy #HighBeta #CryptoExposure #TradingSetup
Bitcoin's Next Target Based on a 210 Days Long ConsolidationAfter each 210 days long consolidation phase Bitcoin advanced 137% on average, from bottom to top, since the November 2022 bear market low. Such an advance would put Bitcoin at a price of $170,000 next.
Now, the 137% is just the average. In one occasion Bitcoin rose 83% while in another occasion total growth amounted to more than 200%. We are counting the rise from the consolidation phase lowest point.
Let's look at some numbers:
» An 83% rise would put Bitcoin just above $135,000.
» A 128% rise would put Bitcoin right at $170,000.
» A 202% rise would put Bitcoin at a price of around $225,000.
~200% is how much Bitcoin grew between late 2023 and early 2024.
How much will Bitcoin grow exactly? We don't know. What we can know for sure is that there is plenty of room available for growth.
We are aiming for at least 100% growth starting from 100K, that is, a target of $200,000. Can be $180,000 just as it can be $220,000. That's the cycle top.
Do you agree with this target?
Leave a comment with your number.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Where is the next stop? 133,333?Leg 1 was clean. Leg 2 looks ambitious. But here’s the real question: Where’s the next stop—or has smart money already left the station?
BTC just sliced through both EMAs with conviction, now hovering above $116K. Volume’s decent, sentiment’s euphoric… but is this rally genuine markup, or a cleverly disguised distribution phase?
🔍 Price targets like $133K are seductive—but what if consolidation isn’t horizontal anymore?
Vertical consolidation is real. And it’s where retail gets baited hardest.
📊 Leg 2 might still play out—but don’t ignore the possibility that this is the final markup before a liquidity sweep.
👉 Where do you think the next stop is? 🧠 Is this a continuation—or a trap?
Drop your guess...
Who has entered here:?
Who can let the winners run in this situation:
#MJTrading #ATH
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #WyckoffMethod #LiquiditySweep #DistributionPhase #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoChart #PriceAction #EMA #Consolidation #CryptoStrategy #TrendReversal #CryptoCommunity
Evolving Price & Candle Patterns: BitcoinLook what is happening here with the candle patterns and price action. In the most recent challenge of resistance something changed. Change is good. It can mean the end of this sideways period.
At (1) Bitcoin finds resistance and immediately starts a decent. The same happens at (2). When we reach (3) everything changes. (1) & (2) produced a low and lower low. The down-move was extended. (3) produced only two red candles, a strong higher low and the third day was a full green candle moving above the descending trendline resistance. The price pattern is now erratic, completely different to previous moves.
Now, consider (4). If the strong green candle was intended as a bull-trap, then we would expect a down-move to follow right after the peak, just as it happened with (1) and (2). But nothing, after (4), Bitcoin has been sideways within the bullish zone.
This change is good, bullish.
A drop can develop anytime but the market already had two changes to produce a down-wave, (3) and (4). The fact that a down-move didn't materialize means that the market has something different in store for us, change. This change is good because when resistance is challenged, prices tend to drop when the market is moving within a range. No drop can signal the end of the range trading which in turn can translate into the start of the next bullish wave.
If this idea turns out to be true, Bitcoin will start growing within days. Growth should be strong because consolidation has been happening for months.
Namaste.
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
Bitcoin : Missed $100K? Don’t Miss What’s Coming Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves.
Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside.
This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins...
The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3.
What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO:
Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in.
Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions.
Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late.
In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs.
If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously.
In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.
Btcusd breaking above cup and handle necklineIf it confirms the bullish breakout the target is 150k. Also by breaking above 116k and solidifying that level as strong support, we will trigger an even bigger inverse head and shoulders pattern (not shown here) with a breakout target around 208k! I will provide a link below to the chart I posted of that pattern. Thanks for reading, liking, and following. *not financial advice*
BTC/USD 1H chart short-term🔻 Trend:
• Currently visible inheritance channel - confirmed by the yellow inheritance trend (decreasing peaks).
• The price tests resistance in the area 117.564 - possible to break out, but requires confirmation of the volume.
⸻
📊 levels of support and resistance:
• resistance:
• 117,564 (here we are now - resistance test)
• 117,939
• 118,206 (key level - potential breaking from the channel)
• Support:
• 117,205 - a recent hole, valid short -term
• 116,905
• 116,680 - deeper support, possible target with further decline
⸻
📉 Macd:
• The histogram begins to decrease, but the MacD line and the signal line still below zero → still weakness.
• Possibility to build a base for reversing the trend, but there is no clear signal intersection.
⸻
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• RSI below 50, but it starts to reflect slightly.
• MA RSI is still falling → no strong growth dynamics.
⸻
🔍 Applications:
• The downward trend still dominates, but the price is trying to pierce local resistance (117.564).
• If it breaks above 117,939–118,206 and persists, a possible change in the direction at a short interval.
• If he rejects the resistance - a quick descend to 117.205 or lower (116,900-116,680).
⸻
⚠️ Signals for observation:
• Closing the candle 1h above 118.206 - Bullly Breakout.
• Rejection of level 117.564 and descent below 117,200 - confirmation of further decline.
• MacD and RSI - 50 - potential change of direction.
BTC: the breakout should be legitAs you can see the breakout had 3 days of rising volume and OBV also broke out so it should bne legit. On daily the upper band of the TMA bands is being tested, probably soon we'll see a retracement, I suppose the former resistance is now the support to test, however if the euphory continues we could see another peak of the price while RSI stays below the "overbought zone".
I'd look at opportunities to short although I usually don't trade BTC, I use it mostly as indicator on when to buy alts.
Good luck