MicroStrategy another pull back before all time high?NASDAQ:MSTR analysis update..
📉 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 The weekly R5 pivot target is bold at $1500 but definitely possible as a max greed scenario when the triple tailwind of Bitcoin, SPY and Bitcoin treasury companies trends return.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 retracement is expected to end around the S1 pivot at $341 and a secondary target of $321.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse. However, if the conflict is resolved soon investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price appears to have completed wave (B) of an ABC correction in wave 4. Wave C is underway with an expected thrust down (such is the nature of wave C) towards the daily S1 pivot $341. This is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability area for wave 4 to end. A deeper correction will bring up a triple shield of the High Volume Node, ascending daily 200EMA and 0.5 fibonacci retracement at £321.
Daily DEMA has death crossed.
Safe trading
BTC-D
BTC SHORT TP:102,200 18-06-2025Let’s keep it simple: this pump looks fake.
I’m entering SHORT between 104,550 and 105,500, aiming for a target between 101,300 and 102,300. Average RR: 3.4 — solid and clean.
⏱️ Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Estimated duration: 12 to 24 hours
⚠️ Context: Bearish continuation — let’s ride the wave, not the noise.
Use your stop-loss based on your risk strategy. If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and start move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can observe how the price developed a gradual upward trend, respecting the trend line as dynamic support multiple times. After each interaction with this line, the price showed a consistent pattern of rebounding and continuing its upward movement. Recently, the price faced a notable correction, which pushed it back toward this trend line once again, a critical zone that has proven its relevance as a support area. Upon touching the line, the market reacted with a bounce, signaling that buyers are still active and defending the structure. The price began to climb again, regaining some momentum, though it hasn’t yet managed to break the previous highs. Now BTCUSD is hovering near the ascending trend line, preparing for what could be another retest. If the trend holds, we may see a short-term decline toward this line, followed by a bullish rebound. I expect the price to push higher from this level, targeting the resistance zone near 108300, which also acted as a rejection area in the past. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin– bearish momentum builds after rejection at $109KIntroduction
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing weakness after forming a lower high at $109,000. This level acted as a significant point of rejection, and since then, BTC has been moving lower. The price has broken through key support areas, indicating a possible shift in market structure. In this analysis, we’ll break down the recent price action, explain the technical signals behind the move, and discuss what could be expected in the short term.
Rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci Level
The rejection at the $109,000 level aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour timeframe. This level is often seen as a strong resistance point during corrective moves, and in this case, it held firmly. The precision of this rejection gives it more weight, and since hitting that point, BTC has been steadily declining. This move down suggests that buyers were unable to push through the resistance, leading to increased selling pressure.
Break of the 4H Bullish FVG
As BTC started its decline from $109,000, it broke through the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed earlier on the 4-hour chart. This gap previously served as a support zone but has now been decisively broken with strong volume. The loss of this level is significant, as it marks a breakdown of the bullish structure and opens the door for further downside movement. In the process of this move lower, BTC has created a new bearish FVG on the 4-hour timeframe. This gap remains open and could potentially act as a magnet for price to revisit, offering a possible short entry if price retraces into that zone. However, the clear break below the previous bullish FVG indicates a shift in momentum and supports a more bearish bias for now.
Downside Target at $102.7K
Given the recent breakdown, the next key level to watch is around $102,700. This area marks the wick low on the 4-hour timeframe and stands out due to the size and sharpness of the wick. Such large wicks often leave behind unfilled orders, which markets tend to revisit over time. The presence of these resting orders makes this level a likely target for the ongoing move down. It also acts as a strong area of potential support, where buyers might step back in if the price reaches that point.
Conclusion
With the rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the failure to hold the bullish 4H FVG, BTC has shown clear signs of weakness. The breakdown in structure suggests a continuation to the downside is likely, with $102.7k being the most immediate target. This level could serve as a strong support zone due to the unfilled orders left behind by the previous wick. Until BTC reclaims key support levels or shows a shift in momentum, the bias remains bearish in the short term, and traders should remain cautious while expecting further downside.
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$COIN 30% Pullback Confirms if we Fakeout Recent 15%+ Rally 🧨 COIN SHORT TRADE IDEA — FAKEOUT TRAP IN PLAY
Ticker: NASDAQ:COIN
Date: June 20, 2025
Thesis: Breakout trap setup — expecting a rug pull / red reversal tomorrow to confirm.
🔍 Context
Price broke above range today with a big +18.8% candle to $295 — but...
Volume spike may signal exhaustion, not strength.
RSI = 68 → near overbought
MACD curling into a bearish cross — same signal preceded the last -30% and -40% drawdowns.
History: Same range-break setups in Dec and Feb collapsed hard (-30 to -40%) over 16–25 days.
💣 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry Trigger:
🔻 Enter short if price closes below $277 tomorrow — confirms breakout trap.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $253 (top of old range)
🎯 Target 2: $235 (mid-range support)
🎯 Target 3: $208 (full breakdown move, matches last 2 cycles)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Above $297 (breakout highs)
Timeframe:
1–3 weeks (16–26 bars historically)
🧠 Bias
Bearish unless bulls hold $280+. If we get a big red daily candle tomorrow, fakeout confirmed — high-probability follow-through expected.
CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price.
On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside.
Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target.
I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal support level
Around 101,288$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local rebound so we can
Go long with the Take Profit
Of 104,324$ and the Stop
Loss of 100,300$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN: The $110K Crossroads - Bull vs Bear Battleground! The Setup: "The Healthy Pullback Hypothesis
🔵 BLUE SUPPORT TRENDLINE (Rising from ~$76K)
The Foundation: This ascending support has held multiple tests
Current Status: Price dancing right on this crucial line
Psychology: Bulls' last stand
🔴 RED RESISTANCE CHANNEL (Descending from $112K peak)
The Ceiling: Two parallel resistance lines creating downward pressure
Pattern: Classic bearish channel formation
Volume Profile: Declining volume suggests exhaustion
🟡 YELLOW HORIZONTAL ZONES
Key Level 1: ~$98K (Previous resistance turned support)
Key Level 2: ~$112K (The rejection zone)
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (65% Probability)
Setup: Breakout above red channel resistance (~$108K)
🚀 Rocket Ship: Explosive move to $120K+
📉 Reality Check: Deeper correction to $95K-98K range
Entry: $97K - 98K (confirmed breakout)
Target 1: $104K
Target 2: $110K
Stop Loss: $95K
____________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! ⚠️
Symmetrical Triangle: Volatility Squeeze Before Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This formation is characterized by converging trendlines—higher lows and lower highs—indicating a period of consolidation and decreasing volatility.
Price action is tightening, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent. Symmetrical triangles can break either way, but in this case, the pattern follows a strong prior uptrend, hinting at a possible bullish continuation. Still, traders should watch closely for a confirmed breakout with volume.
⚠️ Key levels to watch:
Upper resistance: ~$111,000
Lower support: ~$96,000
A decisive break above or below these boundaries could set the tone for BTC’s next major move.
$BTC - Protected LowBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 1D
Price got strongly rejected at 106.5k
It deviated below the 4-hour mini-range. We now need to see a reclaim of 105–105.1k. If not, a retest of the value area low at 101.4k is likely.
100k remains to be the protected low, and it would be critical if we won't get a valid retest at 101.4k
local resistance: 105-105.5k
local support: 101.4k
protected low: 100k
Bitcoin Strategic Interval – Latency & Asymmetric Bias.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1D) – (June 20, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,025.88.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D):
▦ EMA21 – ($105,772.44):
∴ The price remains fractionally above EMA21, retaking the short-term reactive axis;
∴ Despite prior rejection, current candle shows renewed traction with a solid close above;
∴ The slope is flat–rising, signaling the potential reactivation of local trend continuation.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 is tentatively reclaimed – a short-term bullish signal under close scrutiny.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($95,921.92):
∴ Long-term structure preserved: price maintains a wide buffer over SMA200;
∴ The moving average exhibits a healthy upward slope, uninterrupted since Q4 2023;
∴ No technical threat detected to the macro-trend structure.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 acts as the primary institutional defense line. No stress present.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (105,899 | 105,738 | 102,433 | 105,576 | 106,025):
∴ Price is nestled precisely within the flat upper cloud band – a known zone of consolidation;
∴ Span A and B are beginning to flatten, suggesting temporary exhaustion of momentum;
∴ Chikou remains above price – confirming trend integrity.
✴️ Conclusion: Ichimoku signals a pause, not a break – directional clarity pending.
⊢
▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (Histogram: -364.87 | MACD: 257.20 | Signal: 622.06):
∴ Bearish histogram remains negative, but shrinking for three sessions;
∴ MACD line curling upward with initial convergence to Signal line;
∴ Reversal signal forming but not yet triggered.
✴️ Conclusion: Early signs of MACD cross; confirmation requires follow-through.
⊢
▦ RSI – (53.17 | Avg: 51.74):
∴ RSI reclaims neutral-positive zone, stabilizing above 50;
∴ Structure shows divergence fading, with momentum recovering slowly;
∴ Still far from exhaustion thresholds.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI favors the bulls with cautious optimism.
⊢
▦ Volume (Last 5 Days):
∴ Volume remains muted, averaging 110–120k Bitcoin/day;
∴ No aggressive buy or sell pressure confirmed;
∴ Current move lacks conviction – suggests passive spot activity.
✴️ Conclusion: Price is advancing without volume confirmation – fragility persists.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Structural trend remains intact and undisturbed on the macro scale;
∴ Short-term bullish reclaim of EMA21 within the cloud, but momentum and volume still lag;
∴ Absence of conviction demands validation from price action or macro catalyst.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ 🝰 Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7):
∴ Metric sits near historic lows (≈0.4 BTC), denoting multi-week suppression of inflows;
∴ Correlates directly with reduced sell-side pressure from whales and institutions;
∴ Price structure remains unchallenged by inflow spikes – consistent with strategic holding.
✴️ Conclusion: Absence of fear or distribution among large holders – bullish backdrop intact.
⊢
▦ 🜍 Estimated Leverage Ratio – (Current: 0.259):
∴ Leverage steadily increasing, now entering historical danger zone;
∴ Elevated risk of cascade liquidations on any sharp downside move;
∴ Suggests the current rally is not organically fueled by spot demand.
✴️ Conclusion: Price structure is leveraged, not grounded – risk of synthetic instability.
⊢
▦ 🝗 Exchange Reserves - (Binance) – (≈544.5K BTC):
∴ Continuous net outflows – multi-month drain confirmed;
∴ Reflects silent accumulation or self-custody migration;
∴ No exchange-driven supply pressure visible.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural supply depleting – passive bullish signal.
⊢
▦ ⚒ Miners’ Position Index - (MPI) – (-1.1):
∴ Readings below 0 indicate minimal miner distribution;
∴ Suggests miners are confident, or at least not forced to sell at current levels;
∴ Historically coincides with market support zones.
✴️ Conclusion: Miner behavior aligned with trend preservation – not resistance.
⊢
▦ 🜚 Funding Rate - (All Exchanges) – (+0.003):
∴ Rates mildly positive, indicating slight dominance of long positioning;
∴ No excessive funding imbalance – healthy sentiment baseline;
∴ Reflects controlled bullish bias with no speculative overheating.
✴️ Conclusion: Longs exist, but not in a way that endangers trend integrity.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain metrics echo the technical chart: structurally sound, short-term vulnerable;
∴ Long-term holders remain disengaged from distribution behavior;
∴ The system is healthy, but carries hidden leverage that may trigger volatility.
⊢
⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus:
▦ 🇺🇸 United States – Federal Axis & Risk Channels:
∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal;
∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand;
∴ Fed has signaled no rate cuts before September – QT policy remains;
∴ Speculative expectations for only 1–2 cuts in 2025;
∴ Trump administration signals potential military action in Iran, igniting geopolitical risk premium.
✴️ Conclusion: U.S. monetary regime is steady–tight; geopolitical volatility injects asymmetric risk into crypto valuations.
⊢
▦ 🇨🇳 China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation:
∴ Industrial Production slows to +5.8% YoY – weakest in 6 months;
∴ Retail sales climb to +6.4% YoY due to stimulus programs ("618 event", consumption vouchers);
∴ PPI remains deflationary (-3.3% YoY), compressing industrial margins;
∴ Fiscal revenue down -0.3% YTD – signals internal fragility despite easing efforts.
✴️ Conclusion: China is applying targeted stimulus, but lacks decisive global impact – neutral crypto flow effect.
⊢
▦ 🇪🇺 European Union – Disinflation & Rate Reversal:
∴ HICP inflation falls to 1.9% – below ECB’s 2.0% target;
∴ ECB cuts deposit rate by 25bps – now 2.00%;
∴ PMI Composite remains below 50 – economic contraction underway;
∴ ECB forward guidance signals data-dependence and hesitation for further cuts.
✴️ Conclusion: Europe is easing rates amidst stagnation – weak driver for global risk flows.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle:
∴ U.S. tight policy + Iran tension = dual pressure point on risk assets;
∴ China’s mild stimulus is not yet globally inflationary – no volatility trigger;
∴ EU drifts silently – supportive, but irrelevant to Bitcoin in current configuration;
∴ Global system is stable in appearance, but tactically charged beneath – setup aligns with Bitcoin volatility potential.
⊢
IV. ♝ Market Sentiment - Media & Institutional Lens:
▦ The Block – Corporate Stockpiling Thesis:
∴ Ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by public and private entities continues across Q2;
∴ Institutional wallets showing strategic DCA behavior – interpreted as positioning for either macro easing or geopolitical hedge;
∴ Unlike past cycles, no major corporate selloffs have been detected.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional base remains in passive accumulation – potential catalyst insulation.
⊢
▦ CoinDesk – Sentiment Report – BTC at $92K Risk Threshold:
∴ Despite price climbing above $106K, analysts caution of technical rejection scenarios;
∴ Zones near $92K identified as high-liquidity, high-reaction clusters;
∴ Chart analysis frames current movement as vulnerable if macro catalysts turn hawkish.
✴️ Conclusion: Sentiment remains cautiously bullish but alert to correction windows.
⊢
▦ InfoMoney – U.S. Military Risk – Iran Strike Potential:
∴ Reported internal briefing of U.S. military planning toward Iranian targets;
∴ Trump’s media team leveraging geopolitical strength posture to influence sentiment;
∴ Markets (Dow Futures) showing pre-market decline on the headline.
✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin holds narrative premium under geopolitical fear – but risk surge remains volatile.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Media Oracle:
∴ The crypto narrative is suspended between structural trust (institutional accumulation) and external fear (macro-political instability);
∴ Bitcoin presently benefits from asymmetric narrative positioning — but lacks transactional confirmation;
∴ Media flows suggest that sentiment will pivot swiftly if Powell’s tone confirms further hawkish stance or if Iran tension escalates.
⊢
⊢
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ The 1D reclaim of EMA21 inside the Ichimoku flat cloud reflects a market in suspended potential, where trend continuation and failure share equal weight;
∴ On-chain dynamics remain structurally undisturbed, yet veiled in a fragile layer of leveraged positioning;
∴ Exchange reserves continue their descent, detaching the market from traditional sell-side threat, but increasing reliance on thin liquidity zones;
∴ Macro vectors (Fed policy + Middle East tension) hover as dual shadows, capable of igniting volatility without prelude;
∴ Institutional accumulation remains active, but no longer decisive - the market awaits external ignition, not internal strength;
∴ Sentiment is asymmetrically bullish, yet explicitly unconfirmed in transactional volume and price aggression;
∴ The system is quiet - not because it is resolved, but because it is observing itself. This is a moment of ritual latency.
⊢
⌘ Market Status – Tactical Mode:
✴️ Strategic Position: “Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended”;
✴️ Primary Mode: “Observation Priority”;
✴️ Tactical Stance:
∴ No active positioning expansion without confirmation beyond Ichimoku flat zone;
∴ Watch for MACD confirmation and volume acceleration;
∴ Monitor geopolitical escalation and Powell’s tone – both capable of shifting structural balance.
✴️ Directional Bias: Neutral–Bullish, contingent upon validation;
✴️ Key Zone of Collapse Risk: $92,000;
✴️ Ascent Gate: $110,800 + (confirmation threshold).
⊢
HolderStat┆BTCUSD ready for the next leg upBINANCE:BTCUSDT on the 3h chart is showing a textbook sequence of consolidation phases, each acting as a launchpad for further gains. The price action is respecting both the ascending and horizontal support lines, with each dip being bought up quickly. The current consolidation is forming a tight triangle, indicating that volatility is about to return. The structure favors a bullish breakout, with the next resistance levels at 107,000 and 110,000. As long as BTC holds above the 104,000 support, the uptrend remains strong and the probability of a new rally is high.
ADAUSDT → Bear market. Support breakdownBINANCE:ADAUSDT.P is in the distribution phase after exiting consolidation. The coin continues to update local lows within a downtrend.
Technically, the cryptocurrency market is in stagnation/correction, as there is no bullish driver yet. Bitcoin is currently consolidating but continues to shoot local downward impulses, which generally has a negative impact on coins.
ADA is entering a distribution phase of accumulation formed in the range of 0.62 - 0.71. If the bears keep the price below 0.62-0.6, ADA may well test the intermediate bottom of 0.5364-0.51
Resistance levels: 0.61, 0.62
Support levels: 0.5993, 0.5364
Focus on 0.61 and the local level of 0.5993. Price consolidation below this zone could confirm the bearish nature of the market, which could lead to another decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend...
NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom...
After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards...
Resistance levels: 1.2532
Support levels: 1.1675
Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd).
Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart.
Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well.
I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase.
-
If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point.
Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported.
-
Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90.
The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range.
Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend.
Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained.
If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure.
One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend.
(Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.)
Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance.
-
In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level.
In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response.
If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety.
The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses.
Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin Short-Term 1H Timeframe, Next Target ConfirmedWe have two drops on this chart. The one of the left is more extended and long lasting compared to the one on the right. When a move is sudden with major force, it tends to end suddenly as well.
The recent drop was very steep and the force needed to keep pushing prices lower cannot be maintained, it requires too much energy; for this reason, a higher low is in place and the bulls win the game.
The action is happening above the blue line and space on the chart, this is the 0.618 Fib. retracement support. This is the most important level and so far it holds. Prices went below just to recover. Can be called a failed signal or a bear-trap, whichever you choose, the action is bullish above this level and bearish below.
Bitcoin's main support stands around $102,663, this level was not challenged. Since bears failed to push prices lower, the next logical move is a challenge of higher resistance. And the same pattern repeats, up and down, up and down... This is the short-term noise. When all is set and done, Bitcoin will resolve going up.
Patience is key.
Thank you for reading.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.