BTC at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Triggers Ahead of NFPWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's dive into today's BTC analysis.
Daily Time Frame Overview
As previously mentioned in past analyses, the 85K level , followed by the 80-82K range , has been a crucial support zone for BTC. So far, price has reacted well to this level, showing strong buying pressure. Additionally, BTC has reached the Pivot Point 4 weekly level , meaning we could expect either a range-bound movement or a potential price rebound. However, the market remains highly volatile due to external factors—mainly Trump's recent actions.
On Sunday , Trump’s tweet triggered a market pump, only to be reversed the following day after his tariff war statements. Given this unpredictability, if you’re looking to buy BTC for a long-term hold, here are two key triggers to consider:
Trigger 1 : Wait for daily candle closure above 90,700 before entering, with a stop-loss below 80,645.37 (~12-13% SL size).
Trigger 2: A breakout above 106,378.17 could be another entry point, with a stop-loss below 90,555.54 (~15% SL size).
💡 Risk Management Tip: In case of a stop-loss hit, limit losses to a max of 5% of your capital to preserve long-term profitability.
4H Time Frame - Futures & Short-Term Setups
Currently, the market lacks direction and is dominated by FOMO trading. Why? Because of high-impact events happening tomorrow, which include:
📊 NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) Data Release🎤 Trump & Powell’s Speeches
These could create significant volatility, making any positions riskier than usual. If you’re looking to trade BTC futures, consider these setups:
Long Trigger: Above 92,200, but for a safer entry, you can wait for confirmation at 94,628.59 or even 98,600 to ride the uptrend confidently.
Short Trigger: Due to the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) around 85K and 82K, I personally won’t short here. However, if you must, you could enter a short below 88,213.36, but only if volume confirms the move and RSI enters oversold territory.
🔔 Final Thoughts:
BTC remains highly volatile due to fundamental catalysts.
If you’re unsure, staying out of the market is also a position.
Drop a comment if you want me to analyze a specific coin or forex pair next!
Let’s grow together, not alone. Help me help you! ❤️
BTC-D
Bitcoin Bottom Confirmed & Price Dynamics —Buy OpportunityBitcoin is not trading at $200,000 just yet and I know this can be depressing, but the action we are seeing now is very interesting and reveals a few things:
1) The bottom is in. Last week's drop, touch and go, is the perfect bottom signal. We can take the bottom being in at $78,300. A 28% drop from the $109,000 All-Time High.
2) Classic retrace. After a strong bullish breakout, there is always a retrace. This is good.
Instead of massive force, straight up and higher, we are seeing a classic retrace and this is good because it means that the market (Bitcoin) will take its time to build up strength. Taking time to grow is good and the only way it can work if we are set to move higher based on the long-term.
On average, +$500 daily or +$800 daily can reveal how long it will take to reach higher prices and higher levels in the coming months. An example shared in a previous publication (visit by profile) mentions $120,000 as a possibility next month.
The low is in. What actions to we take now? Buy and hold.
The market is giving you a second opportunity. A second entry. Did you miss the jump from $85,000 toward $95K? If yes, now you have the chance to buy at relatively low prices. The market always gives a second chance. This is great.
Remember the simple strategy, we are in the accumulation phase.
Bitcoin is going up and will continue to grow long-term.
The bottom is in.
Thank you for reading.
Feel free to leave a comment with your questions.
All thoughts and opinions are welcome. Do not hesitate to comment if you have something negative to say. We appreciate you and welcome all feedback. If positive, please take time to say something. You are appreciated.
Namaste.
What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish.
It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend.
Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom):
Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise.
There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising.
There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows.
Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run.
It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow.
We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth.
We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
What About The RSI? BitcoinDaily MA200 has been working as support; support confirmed, for Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. This is a good signal, a strong one and all is good.
I also looked at the trading volume and this is also good. Clearly rising for a while now. A bullish bias.
I was wondering about the RSI.
How is Bitcoin's daily RSI looking like?
Great news.
Bitcoin's daily RSI hit its lowest level in February 2025 since August 2023. That's a strong one.
The low in February on this oscillator ended up being higher than August 2024. This produces the hidden bullish divergence signal. Very interesting.
MA200 sits perfectly between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. retracement level support. This level now sits at $83,000. Bitcoin will never trade again below 80K. The bottom is in.
Hold on, I have more. Let's revisit an update that I shared in a previous publications (5 days ago) related to the correction dynamics.
🅱️ Bitcoin's Correction Is Over
An advance from $74,000 to 110K is not the same as an advance from $20,000 to 74K.
The correction from 74 to 49K, -33%, took five months because of the prolonged consolidation between 20,000 and 74,000.
The correction from 110 to 78K totals a nice -28%. Support is found at 0.5 Fib. retracement in relation to the previous bullish phase. This is the exact same level that was hit in the previous correction from 74 to 49K in July/August 2024. The current correction does not need to extend any longer.
The rise from 49 to 110K amounts to 124%.
The rise from 20 to 74K amounts to 270%.
It is logical for the previous correction to be stronger than the current one because of the size of the bullish wave. Since this bullish wave was smaller, the correction also becomes small.
We are now in 2025 and everybody knows that Bitcoin is going up.
If the market couldn't push Bitcoin past 49K last year when doubt was the norm, remember the evil tendencies of the SEC, why would the market produce a stronger correction now when the SEC has been transformed to reasonable and conscious? Instead of a weapon this institution is now doing the job that it was supposed to do in the first place; guidance and support. The SEC is now offering strong support to the Cryptocurrency market and this is great.
Conditions are better now and fundamentals continue to improve.
There is reason to believe that the bottom is in, not only based on the correction size but also based on the fact that Altcoins are turning strongly green.
The correction is over. This is great news.
We are going up.
Once the market hits bottom... The new All-Time High will happen in late 2025.
Bitcoin can easily hit $180,000, $200,000 or more (can be $500,000 to $1,000,000). The Altcoins portion of the market will blow up. Not everything will grow, but most of the market will.
All those projects without a real base will lose momentum and the real Cryptocurrencies will shine the most.
There are lots of choices; choose wisely.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$BTC: First Bounce incoming? Eyeing mid 80ksI decided to go long on CRYPTOCAP:BTC below 80k.
There's a lot of confluence in that zone. Could it go lower? Of course. I think 75-76k would be a more optimal entry, but as long as I can grab some below 80k, I believe the chances of a bounce are higher than expecting sub-70k levels...
I could be completely wrong, and this could just be part of the normal path toward 71k, but I like my odds here.
At least, I plan to take some profits around the mid-80ks.
I’m mostly waiting to see how the market reacts post-Q1, especially after March 20th, before jumping back in big (just high caps)
LINK Trade Update: Recovery Bounce in Play Market Context:
LINK is showing a strong bounce off major support, signaling potential upside continuation. However, if the market remains bullish, key resistance levels at $20 and $24 should be monitored for potential take-profit zones.
Trade Management:
Previous Entry Around: $15.30
Updated Take Profit Zones:
$20.00 (First TP Zone - Key Resistance)
$24.00 (Second TP Zone - Strong Resistance Level)
If LINK flips $20 into support, it could extend toward $24 and beyond. Keeping an eye on overall market sentiment is crucial! 🚀
LTC Long OpportunityMarket Context:
LTC is testing the range's low support level, which presents a strong buying opportunity if support holds. A potential bounce from this level could lead to a move toward the next resistance zones.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $102.00
Take Profit Targets:
$109.00 - $115.00
$132 - $140
Stop Loss: Just below $98.00
This setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive trade for a possible reversal. 🚀
BTCUSD: Historic comparison shows hyper rally about to begin.Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.581, MACD = 979.600, ADX = 19.348) as it recovered last week's selloff and rebounded on its 1D MA200. Technically the pattern since 2024 is identical to 2020 as you can see on the chart above. The moment Bitcoin crossed again above its 1D MA50, a new hyper rally started. This suggests that a final target inside the 160,000 - 200,000 Zone is quite possible to take place.
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BTCUSD - Bull Extension Price right now has relatively been contained within an upward channel
In this chart i suggest a breakout of this trend line / channel and extension up to create a new ATH for this bull run
I have used the bars pattern from the 2016 - 17 run
Lets see what happens.
Daily chart
BTC - Just a Correction!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As long as we don't see a weekly candle closing below the $90,000 mark, this remains a correction phase 📉.
Since we're near the lower bound of the weekly range, we'll be looking for short-term longs on lower timeframes 📊.
For the next long-term bullish phase to begin, a break above $110,000 is required 🚀.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTCUSD - Similar Channels Current channel can be contrasted to the previous 2017 run
We are at the stage before aggressive bulls take control pushing above this channel
The verge of a large breakout for crypto across the board
I don't know if price will surpass 1m but it definitely will be pushing new ATH's probably each week
Weekly chart
Bearish until 98-100K Morning folks,
So, Old Donny euphoria was over on the next day, as we've suggested. ETH was even worse than BTC...
And we're skeptic on coming Crypto Summit tomorrow. What could happen in three days? A lot of speech and empty promises definitely will sound, but where the real deals? Recently. S. Lummis said that BTC Reserve issue is still under question and no guarantees that it will be formed. That's it... Nothing is prepared for BTC Reserve forming. Coming D. Trump talks could shake the market, but that will be only emotions.
Speaking practically, we suggest that until BTC stands under 98-100K area - context remains bearish. We see a few patterns, and this butterfly one of them. If you want to go short - this is the point that you have to think about. Based on the butterfly, the risk is not too big.
If even we will get "222" Sell - setup remains bearish, because upside AB=CD agrees with daily Fib resistance level. Only upside breakout of 98-99K will give BTC theoretical chances to start wobbling in 100-108K range.
Thus, for now we're not ready to speak about BTC buying. Albeit you want to make a bet on Summing euphoria tomorrow.
Bitcoin - A pattern you can't ignoreThis is the key that will help you make money on Bitcoin
According to my sources The Cryptocurrency Reserve in the US will be approved in May. But it will be too late to buy. When politicians get to cryptocurrencies it means it's our time to get out of the market.
And now I'll explain why the entire market will be down in September.
May through September will be the biggest bitcoin distribution, it will be much higher than the prices that are now
Since 2015, I have been fixating on this pattern:
The bull market always lasts 151-152 weeks (2.9 years).
A correction is 51-53 weeks (1 year).
And it worked without errors :
2017 : Peak in December - $19,783 (exactly within the cycle).
2018 : Bottom in November - $3,122 (in the bullseye again).
2021 : ATH in November - $68,789 (the cycle didn't fail).
2022 Bottom in November - $15.832 (in the bullseye again).
There are many publications with the same timings and decision-making
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion .
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion.
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
Timing : I enter at the end of a bearish cycle and exit at the peak of a bullish cycle.
Discipline : No “maybe it's time?” - just numbers.
Adaptation : Is the market evolving? My model is too. In 2025, my Academy will release an updated course - where I will share the most acutal information.
💥 Why am I disclosing this now?
Because there's not much time left until the end of the bull cycle, and I want you to be ready.
📉 “But isn't that risky?”
Risk is when you follow the crowd.
🔥 The END of 151 weeks will start sooner than you expect. Do I want you to miss out on the opportunity? Subscribe, save the post, write comments - and let's make money while others are looking for “magic indicators”.
Questions? Doubts? Write in the comments.
P.P.S. This is not “another prediction.” This is the key to the market, which I have been grinding for 11 years. And it's yours - if you have time.
Bitcoin's future is bright!
Best regards EXCAVO
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $92,786 resistance approaching, $91,375 support currently in effect, $86,305 key support from here, possible sign of reversal on 1D with RSI and MACD confirmation, can retake $94,148 support this week if no further manipulation changes it's course. Current Weekly and Previous one both looking bullish showcasing strength of the Bulls, expect resistance at $94,148-$95,878, next key support range at $80,582-$78,034.
DADDY Potential Rally Soon !! Crypto backed by Andrew Tate !It seems Andrew Tate has indeed exited Romania, and there have been reports suggesting he may not return anytime soon. This could have implications for his businesses and public persona, especially with ongoing legal battles related to the trafficking and assault charges he faces in Romania.
While his exit may create challenges, it could also present new opportunities for him to expand his global influence and projects—such as the DADDY cryptocurrency. Without being tied to one location, Tate could use his international platform to grow his businesses further, especially through digital means like social media, online courses, and his crypto ventures. The decentralized nature of cryptocurrency allows DADDY to thrive without being constrained by geographic boundaries, and Tate's ability to build an online community could still drive significant demand for his token.
Andrew Tate’s cryptocurrency, DADDY, has the potential to see significant bullish movement, and here’s why:
Massive Online Presence: With millions of followers, Tate’s influence can drive demand for DADDY, making it a popular choice among his loyal audience. His ability to generate buzz will likely push the token’s value up.
Real-World Use: DADDY could integrate into Tate’s existing businesses—like exclusive content, courses, or products—creating tangible use cases that boost demand.
Scarcity & Tokenomics: If the supply of DADDY is limited, its value could rise as demand increases. Strong tokenomics could also encourage long-term holding, supporting price appreciation.
Strategic Partnerships: Tate’s network and ability to form strategic partnerships could boost DADDY’s adoption, leading to more users and higher value.
Global Financial Trends: As more people seek financial independence through crypto, DADDY could benefit from this growing interest in decentralized assets.
With Tate's influence, scarcity, and real-world utility, DADDY has the potential to rise significantly in value, making it a token to watch closely.
BTC If the process of BTC continues to fall and based on what we've already seen with such heavy losses in layer 2 tokens the value of cryptocurrency will become a sludge of depressing outcomes. The indicator seems to reveal the changing phase with BTC in a falling pattern which could last for sometime even into the summer, sad.
(BTC) bitcoin "recent red plus sign"Bitcoin is a product of the environment we live in, for some there are references to it that matter, for others BTC is not reality and more so evil. Is BTC anymore evil than holding dollars in your pocket that you will not spend? Hodl value is akin to the properties of holding cash. With no purpose behind holding the cash a person would not hold cash, but money has purpose even if there is nothing to buy. Buying is figurative value where a conversion takes place between the property of the original cash and the newly found material item(s). Though the cash holds a stronger replacement for value than any single item of material value because to buy means to immediate lose re-sellable value. I can buy a pair of pants but if I wear them even once they are not brand new and cannot be returned or resold as such. If BTC is a product of the environment, what environments occur where BTC holds no value? When value is determined for value sake than value is indeterminate therefore the meaning of the value is not dependent to any one aspect of spending or savings. Fire a bunch of people from their job, does their value return to becoming pure cash or was it a daydream that some people believed to suspend payment of workers in order to recover what was believed to be lost. Animated imaginations create cryptocurrency to a degree that reaches a mass audience of people that do not actually like investing through memes. Bitcoin will never be a meme and will remain a digital historical monument throughout time which represents the before the story went crazy with fanciful ideas that may or may not have gone anywhere ...
DXY (Bitcoin - Alt Season - Bullish) everyone suddenly started posting DXY chart so I figured I should give my 2 cents on it as well.
People are finding hopes in DXY but main charts are still BTC.D and USDT.D
Monthly Chart has the whole picture
Weekly Chart (above) is what interests us
Breaking that Green Macro Trendline will be the 1st step towards success!
remember how yesterday everyone and their mothers were bearish except me?
This drama will continue, ignore the noise...