Market pullback at the change of the monthToday, on the threshold of changing the monthly candle, I want to once again consider the market position and prospects for the coming week. This week, the price has worked once again according to the forecast for a local overshoot and a test of 3750. Further, according to the planned plan, by the change of the month, the probability of consolidation prevails in the area of the key level of 3500, which determines the direction by 5000 or 2500 in case of consolidation under it. I think the new month will open above 3,500 due to the positive opening of the half-year, quarter and second half of the quarter, which give signals to maintain purchases. Today, there is a probability of a breakdown of 3750 with an attempt to close the month higher, but with a lower probability, because this week an attempt to retest 3000-3100 was bought off and this target remains for the new month, which puts pressure on the market.
Bears are quite likely to take advantage of the current pullback to 3500 to work out the goals on the 3100 retest. In this regard, at the beginning of the week, the market may stall even when the month opens above 3500, against which a shadow will be drawn for a new monthly candle on both tops and altcoins. For coins that have shown a large increase this month, this momentum may turn into stable sales and a rollback on an annual schedule until the beginning of the new year. It is worth being on the alert when working with overbought coins. Coins that have not shown significant growth this month are likely to give a slight pullback and quickly return to continued growth.
After the shadow on the new monthly candle, I expect a recovery in buyer activity from the middle of the week and a transition to a continuation of the bullish trend and a reversal of the weekly and monthly candles into bullish ones by the end of the week. Purchases are likely to continue until mid-December against the background of last month's trend. During this period, the bulls should be able to break through 3750.
Against the background of the current pullback, I reduced positions on ast and akro because they have an incomplete issue and are more sensitive to market drawdowns against this background. There is also no obvious breakdown on the move, which indicates the fears of buyers in connection with the upcoming pullback. I keep Vib in full volume due to the absence of pitfalls in the form of emissions. It protects the probability of a 0.1 jump with an attempt to close the month higher. According to vite, there is also a fairly large position in the work, due to the full issue and high oversold value of a similar vib.
